Analyst Predicts XRP Blow-Off Rally Toward $9.5 or Even $37.5, Explains Rationale Behind 455% and 2,000% Surge

XRP could be on the brink of its most significant rally yet, according to analyst EGRAG Crypto.

In a recent update, he suggested XRP might climb to as high as $37.5 this year. This prediction is based on historical price behavior and the repetition of XRP’s cyclical structure.

XRP Cyclical Pattern Pointing to a Blow-Off Phase

In this analysis on X, EGRAG noted that XRP’s long-term price movement has followed a specific pattern across multiple market cycles. In each instance, the price surged above the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), then retested it before entering an intense rally phase that defined the cycle’s top.

According to the accompanying chart, the first major cycle occurred around late 2017. Specifically, it saw XRP soar by about 2,000% after its EMA retest, reaching a peak of over $3.80.

Meanwhile, in the second cycle during the 2021 rally, XRP gained 455% following a similar structure. Its price lost momentum after reaching $1.96.

Now, EGRAG believes the third cycle is underway, with the retest phase potentially completed in April 2025.

Price Targets: $9.5 for Conservative, $37.5 for Aggressive

Based on historical blow-off moves, EGRAG lays out two projections. If XRP mirrors the second cycle’s more conservative move, a 455% increase from the recent retest point would place XRP at around $9.5.

However, if the pattern plays out like the first cycle, the price could rise by 2,000%, placing the top at approximately $37.5.

Notably, XRP is currently trading at $2.27, and EGRAG’s chart suggests that if history repeats, the conditions are aligning for a potentially parabolic move.

But When?

This latest XRP analysis from EGRAG aligns with his earlier predictions, which highlighted up to three price scenarios based on historical movement. Two weeks ago, he outlined potential targets of $6.70, $13, and $27, depending on how XRP responds to a key moving average crossover.

He emphasized that the 21-week EMA crossing above the 33-week SMA has historically signaled major bullish runs. EGRAG suggested that the next such crossover could occur around September 2025, which could mark the beginning of XRP’s most significant breakout yet.

XRP holders continue to watch for signs of major price movement beyond technical analysis. While some lookout for partnership news from Ripple, others focus on developments regarding ETFs.

Amid the bullish outlook, EGRAG has stressed the importance of remaining disciplined. He advises investors to set realistic targets, stick to a trading plan, and avoid emotional decisions driven by hype.