Investment giant VanEck expects Bitcoin to reach $180,000 by the end of 2025, citing strong institutional demand and resilient market fundamentals.
In its latest Mid-August 2025 ChainCheck report, the firm projected a year-end price target of $180,000. The report explained that the months ahead bring both opportunities and risks.
Seasonal investor activity and wider economic shifts could either extend Bitcoin’s momentum or trigger profit-taking. Despite this uncertainty, VanEck reaffirmed its belief in Bitcoin’s ability to reach its ambitious target by year-end.
Institutional Demand Driving Growth
The firm highlighted several supportive trends, with institutional investment standing out as the strongest driver of Bitcoin’s growth. According to data from BitcoinTreasuries, 294 entities, including MicroStrategy, now control over 3.67 million BTC.
Meanwhile, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have brought in $54.97 billion in net inflows, holding a combined $151.9 billion in assets. These figures show long-term investor confidence despite short-term volatility.
VanEck also emphasized that MicroStrategy’s steady commitment to Bitcoin has inspired waves of new institutional interest.
Profitability, Price Context, and Market Strength
Moreover, VanEck noted that 92% of on-chain Bitcoin holdings were already profitable before Bitcoin’s most recent all-time high. This widespread profitability supported the market during that temporary spike.
For context, Bitcoin hit a record high of $124,457 on August 14. Since then, the price has retreated. At press time, it trades at $115,339, about 7.33% lower than that peak.
Although Ethereum has attracted strong institutional interest, VanEck believes Bitcoin’s market position remains stable. The decline in Ordinals activity has hurt BTC’s dominance, but institutional backing has kept volatility relatively low.
Mining Sector at Record Levels
Bitcoin mining continues to expand. Mining difficulty reached a new all-time high last month, yet revenues continue to climb.
The U.S. mining sector now controls a greater share of the global hashrate, signaling a more consolidated and competitive market.
Building on this trend, VanEck also highlighted TeraWulf’s decision to scale back some of its Bitcoin operations. The firm acknowledged the adjustment but stressed it does not undermine the broader market outlook.
Potential Risks Ahead
Despite its optimism, VanEck acknowledged that challenges may arise. Corporate treasuries holding large Bitcoin reserves could spark market turbulence if low volatility persists.
The firm cautioned that prolonged stability might limit companies’ ability to raise capital for new purchases, which could amplify downward movements.
Overall, VanEck remains firmly bullish. The company expects Bitcoin to remain attractive to both retail and institutional investors through 2025.
With strong ETF inflows, expanding corporate treasuries, and resilient mining economics, VanEck sees $180,000 by year-end as a realistic target.
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