A ‘Jump Across the Creek’ Could Push XRP to $4.9 After Wyckoff Spring Low: Analyst

Market data suggests that XRP could trigger a “jump across the creek” toward new highs after the Wyckoff Spring low.

XRP trades at $1.59 as the broader crypto market remains weak, but the recent pullback follows a Wyckoff Accumulation pattern that may be leading to higher prices once the existing structure plays out as expected. 

Notably, the daily chart shows XRP’s price moving through the final stages of consolidation after a strong upsurge, with the current action suggesting the market is preparing to “jump across the creek” to a price around $4.9 after recently hitting the Spring low.

Key Points

• XRP currently faces bearish pressure, but market data indicates the downtrend is part of a larger Wyckoff Accumulation pattern.
• Phase A of the pattern began in November 2025 when XRP’s price surged from $0.5 to the $3.4 peak two months later.
• From there, an automatic pullback and follow-up test emerged, creating an accumulation range, with support around $1.50 to $1.60 and resistance between $3 and $3.6.
• As XRP consolidated, a sloping resistance line formed the creek, which represented the major barrier prices must break to show strength.
• In Phase C, a Spring emerged as the price dipped under $1.50 and quickly reclaimed the range.
• A move above the creek would signal a sign of strength and Phase D, opening the way for a rally toward $4.9.

XRP’s November 2025 Rally Marks the Start of Accumulation

Chart Nerd, a market watcher, discussed this during a recent analysis. Data from his chart shows that the Wyckoff structure began in November 2025, when XRP broke out from a long base around $0.5. 

After the U.S. elections, buyers entered the market, pushing prices above the $1 and $2 resistance levels. Amid this move, stronger participants absorbed supply at higher levels. As the momentum persisted, XRP hit the buying climax (BC) at the $3.4 peak in January 2025.

This $3.4 area later became the upper boundary of the accumulation range. Once demand cooled, XRP pulled back, forming an automatic reaction (AR) that set the lower boundary of the range at around $1.6. A rebound attempt followed but failed to break higher, creating a secondary test (ST) that confirmed resistance and completed Phase A of the Wyckoff structure.

Phase B Consolidation Builds the Creek

After Phase A, XRP entered a prolonged Phase B, featuring sideways movement and repeated swings between support and resistance. The price spent months trading between $1.60 to $1.90 on the downside and $3.30 to $3.6 on the upside. During this phase, large participants continued to absorb supply without forcing a sustained breakout.

The chart also highlights an upthrust during Phase B, where XRP briefly moved above the resistance before quickly reversing back into the range. 

This failed breakout trapped late buyers and confirmed that accumulation was dominant, not distribution. Over time, a descending internal resistance line formed across lower highs. Notably, this sloping barrier represents the creek, a level the price must clear to confirm renewed strength.

XRP Sees Spring Below Support in Phase C

As the range matured, XRP showed signs of weakness through lower highs. This led to Phase C, which brought up the most important event in the structure: the Spring. XRP now trades within this phase. Specifically, the price dropped below support, briefly dipping into the $1.50 support on Jan. 31.

In Wyckoff theory, the Spring acts as a shakeout. Notably, it forces weak holders out, triggers stop losses, and draws in short sellers, while stronger hands absorb the remaining supply. XRP quickly reclaimed the $1.60 area and followed up with a successful test that held above the Spring low. This showed that selling pressure had largely run its course.

Jump Across the Creek Could Push XRP to $4.9

With the Spring and test complete, the structure now heads toward Phase D. Chart Nerd called attention to the potential for a Jump Across the Creek, which would see XRP break above the descending creek trendline. This move would confirm that buyers have regained control.

After the jump, Wyckoff principles call for a last point of support, where price pulls back briefly but holds above former resistance. A strong follow-through, known as a sign of strength (SOS), would then carry XRP toward the top of the range above $3. 

Meanwhile, the projected roadmap moves beyond this zone, suggesting that a confirmed breakout could trigger Phase E, the markup phase, with XRP advancing toward the $4.9 level.