An XRP analyst known as “J4b1” recently triggered renewed optimism about XRP’s future price trajectory, as the token continues to trade around $2.
In a recent analysis, the analyst explained why buying XRP at $2.20 isn’t too late to the party. In his view, it could be an early move before institutional demand triggers a major breakout.
Notably, the analysis relies on historical context, internal forecasts, and Ripple’s strategic price management. It explored XRP’s origins, noting that its story began in 2012, when it traded below a penny while Ripple pitched its payment solutions to banks.
From Under 1 Cent to Cross-Border Challenger
He claimed that as institutions began recognizing the benefits—faster settlement, reduced fees, and freed-up liquidity—XRP skyrocketed to $3.84 during the 2017 bull run. However, disruption came with resistance.
Ripple’s challenge to traditional finance drew regulatory fire. A 2015 fine from FinCEN and the 2020 SEC lawsuit plunged XRP into years of uncertainty. It stalled adoption and suppressed price performance. Still, Ripple never stopped building.
The company focused on infrastructure and partnerships, acquiring firms like Metaco and securing licenses globally.
Interestingly, J4b1 cited a supposed 2018 BlackRock report that estimated XRP’s price could reach between $6.37 and $30 in bullish scenarios. He claimed these projections, made before the SEC lawsuit, hinted at XRP’s institutional potential, one that may have already played out if regulatory headwinds hadn’t slowed momentum.
Why $2.20 May Be Intentional
Meanwhile, the analyst examined Ripple’s strategy for managing XRP’s liquidity to explain XRP’s price action. Each month, Ripple unlocks 1 billion XRP from escrow but only sells a fraction, often via OTC deals, to minimize market impact. The firm then re-locks the remaining tokens.
According to J4b1, this approach helps Ripple stabilize XRP within a range that supports operational needs. In his example, if Ripple needs to move $200 million using 100 million XRP, each token must be worth $2. If prices rise too quickly, Ripple sells; if they fall too low, Ripple buys.
J4b1 used this scenario to argue that XRP hasn’t broken out yet because Ripple may be deliberately maintaining a stable price for functional reasons. However, this perspective is largely speculative, as a higher XRP price could also benefit the company and its stakeholders.
What Could Trigger an XRP Breakout?
Regarding what could drive an XRP price breakout, J4b1 highlighted several key catalysts:
- Institutional adoption
- Regulatory clarity under a pro-crypto Trump administration
- XRP spot ETFs
- Real-world asset tokenization on XRPL
The analyst suggested that a supply shock could occur once institutional demand outweighs Ripple’s supposed price management strategy, potentially driving XRP significantly higher.
XRP: From $6.37 to $30?
According to the analyst’s models, XRP’s 2025 price could range from $6.37 on the conservative end to $30 in an optimistic, utility-driven scenario. He emphasized that these aren’t meme-level predictions but are based on fundamental analysis and early institutional modeling.
Ultimately, J4b1 used these points to argue that entering the XRP market at current prices still offers investors ample opportunity, a sentiment widely shared within the XRP community.
2025 Price Outlook
Institutional models suggest:
📈 $6.37 (conservative)
📈 Up to $30 (optimistic)These aren’t random targets, they’re based on fundamentals and early institutional forecasts.
— J4b1 (@XRPJ4b1) May 4, 2025
DisClamier: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author's personal opinions and do not reflect The Crypto Basic opinion. Readers are encouraged to do thorough research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.
