Analyst Says $1.30 Could be a Trap, And Not a Bounce Zone

Analyst warns of a key XRP price zone acting as a trap due to weak structure and liquidity targets.

As of today, XRP trades at $2.02, marking a 2.65% decline in the last 24 hours and an 8.35% drop over the past seven days. Yet, an analyst warns that the broader setup may point to deeper structural weakness rather than a reversal.

Analyst Flags Technical Weakness on XRP Chart

A market analyst, Arthur, emphasized several structural concerns surrounding XRP’s recent price behavior. Despite optimism from some traders who viewed the move above the long-term downtrend as a breakout and a journey to a new all-time high, the analyst argued that the current formation lacks a solid technical base. 

🚨 While most are screaming “BREAKOUT” and calling for a new ATH on $XRP…

Here’s why I remain extremely cautious and why $1.30 could be a trap, not a bounce zone.👇 pic.twitter.com/f3yD8UPeV0

— Arthur (@XrpArthur) June 22, 2025

According to this view, the $1.30 level, which previously acted as resistance ahead of XRP’s rally to $2.90 in December 2024, remains an important area of interest.

Notably, the analyst identified $1.30 as a liquidity pool where the market could sweep late long positions before any genuine upward momentum returns. The analyst pointed to the absence of confirmation in the current move, noting that market makers tend to target such zones before allowing price to climb. 

Meanwhile, he identified a preferred re-entry point for a potential long position between $1.05 and $1.10, an area that could offer cleaner structural support.

The analyst cautioned traders to mentally prepare for a potential drop, even if it doesn’t materialize, emphasizing a strategy focused on areas of maximum pain rather than following crowd-driven moves. According to him, he prefers targeting deeper price zones where others are less likely to act.

Broader Macro Conditions Weigh on Sentiment

Beyond technical factors, the analyst also cited macroeconomic and geopolitical concerns as contributing to a bearish outlook. He mentioned uncertainties stemming from ongoing conflicts—including tensions between Iran and Israel, and the Russia–Ukraine war—as key risks. Additionally, he highlighted delays in regulatory clarity and the unresolved status of the Ripple case as deterrents for institutional capital inflows.

Furthermore, he noted that summer market conditions boast historically low liquidity, making them more susceptible to manipulation. He listed these seasonal patterns alongside frozen ETF flows and overall market hesitancy among the reasons for traders to approach current XRP levels with caution.

Teucrium CEO Highlights Long-Term Use Case for XRP

Despite prevailing caution, Sal Gilbertie, CEO of Teucrium, pointed to continued demand for XRP-linked investment vehicles. 

During a recent interview, Sal Gilbertie highlighted increasing interest in investment products tied to XRP. He observed that several market participants believe XRP holds the potential to deliver stronger long-term returns than Bitcoin.