With the XRPL burning nearly 1 million XRP every year, how could this supply reduction impact XRP price by 2050?
Notably, XRP’s total supply today stands at 99,985,821,508 (99.985 billion) tokens, slightly lower than the original 100 billion that launched with the network. This drop comes from its built-in burn mechanism, which permanently destroys a fraction of XRP during every transaction.
XRPL Burns Nearly 1M XRP Tokens a Year
However, the original architects did not design this system for its price impact. Despite this, several market watchers now believe that the ongoing supply reduction could help create a sense of scarcity that supports price growth.
On average, the network burns about 2,700 tokens each day, with occasional spikes. This figure adds up to nearly 985,500 XRP in a year. Notably, if this pace holds, the total amount burned over the next 25 years, specifically by Dec. 31, 2050, would reach around 25 million tokens.
By then, the supply would slip from 99.985 billion to about 99.960 billion, a change of only 0.025%. While this number looks small, markets often react to the story rather than just the math. Specifically, a continuous decline in supply can trigger the perception of scarcity, which in turn can influence how investors value the asset.
However, the extent of such impact remains uncertain. As a result, we asked ChatGPT to model different outcomes through 2050. For context, XRP trades at $2.95 today. Considering this, the chatbot outlined three bullish scenarios based on adoption, liquidity growth, and global use cases.
XRP Price Prospects by 2050 With and Without Burns
In the first scenario, it assumed that banks, remittance companies, and fintechs will adopt XRP over the next 25 years. In this scenario, even without the burn, a compound annual growth rate of 6-8% could lift prices to between $18 and $25 by 2050.
However, with the burn adding a sense of shrinking supply, ChatGPT suggests that the range could move slightly higher to $20 to $28. Here, the burn acts less as a mathematical driver and more as a psychological one.
Meanwhile, the second scenario imagines XRP becoming a major liquidity hub for cross-border payments, central bank digital currencies, and tokenized assets. If adoption grows at 12-15% annually, XRP could climb to $150 to $250 by 2050.
ChatGPT suggested that at this level of use, daily burns would rise as well. If the average burn rate grew from today’s 2,700 to as high as 100,000 tokens a day, the network could permanently remove 500 million to 1 billion XRP. This amounts to roughly 1% of the supply, which could push the price range higher to between $180 and $300.
In the third scenario, ChatGPT noted that XRP could serve as a neutral global reserve settlement asset for trillions in daily flows. Under this outlook, it predicts XRP to rise $1,000 to $2,500 without factoring in the burn.
However, if activity grew so large that the network destroyed hundreds of thousands of tokens each day, XRP could lose 5 to 10 billion from its total supply. This 5-10% reduction would represent meaningful scarcity, raising potential valuations to $1,200 to $3,500.
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