Analyst Explains Why XRP Can Still Surge 550% Despite Short-Term Weakness

XRP recent pullback continues to stir fears across short-term charts, but analyst EGRAG says the macro trend remains intact.

In his latest analysis, he argued that the macro trend still points toward a move into the double-digit range for XRP, with prices potentially reaching as high as $13. Notably, he used a multi-timeframe analysis to show that the long-term structure is unaffected despite near-term weakness.

Six Timeframes Flash Bearish, but One ‘King’ Signal Holds

Specifically, EGRAG reviewed seven key timeframes, and six of them are currently trading below the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). These are the 4-hour, 1-day, 3-day, 5-day, 1-week, and 2-week charts.

These lower and mid-range timeframes show bearish pressure, which explains the current market sentiment around XRP. For context, XRP is trading at $2.03, representing a notable loss of 8% over the past week. Moreover, on the four-week chart, XRP is down over 20%.

Meanwhile, one timeframe overrides all the others: the monthly chart. According to EGRAG, XRP remains bullish on the 1-month timeframe. On this chart, the price stays above the 21-EMA, which he calls the most important signal in the entire structure.

“In technical analysis, the higher the timeframe, the stronger the truth,” he noted, adding that short-term fear is mostly “noise.”

XRP Macro Structure Still Targets $9 to $13

Indeed, the analyst’s long-term “Chasm” model on the monthly chart continues to project XRP upward. Despite the disappointing price performance since July, when XRP touched $3.66, the overall structure remains upward.

In particular, according to EGRAG, it points toward the $9–$13 zone, as long as the monthly candle holds above its support structure, which is currently intact. The macro chart places XRP inside a long-standing upward channel, with the upper boundary near $13.

EGRAG assigns a 55–65% probability that XRP’s price will reach this level within the next 3–6 months, arguing that higher-timeframe momentum often triggers fast, decisive moves:

“When it kicks in, it won’t give second chances.”

For context, XRP’s price would need to surge 4.5x from its current position to hit $9, while reaching the higher target would require a more aggressive increase of 6.5x.

While ambitious, EGRAG stressed that the macro trend has not changed, even if lower timeframes appear weak. As such, holders must remain patient during the ongoing underperformance.

Other Analysts’ Views for XRP in 2026

Other market analysts share a similarly optimistic outlook for XRP over the next few months. For instance, Dr. Whale recently projected that XRP could reach up to $4 within four months.

Separately, a 24/7 Wall St analyst argued that XRP could reach $4.50 by the end of 2026, citing Ripple’s plans to launch RLUSD in Japan by Q1 2026.

Other factors analysts believe could push XRP beyond the $4 range include spot XRP ETFs. Interestingly, these products have now bought over $756 million XRP just weeks after launch, despite the largely bearish market.