Gemini Users See 73% Chance XRP Ends 2025 Between $1.5 and $2

Leading crypto exchange Gemini has revealed that a clear majority of its users expect XRP to close the year at prices between $1.50 and $2.00. 

In a post on X, Gemini shared screenshots of its ongoing user polls gauging expectations for XRP’s year-end price. The poll, which launched on December 12, shows that most participants believe XRP will finish the year between $1.50 and $2.00. 

More Gemini Users See XRP Closing 2025 at $1.5-$2 

In its latest update, Gemini reported that users assigned a 63% probability to XRP ending the year above $1.50 but below $2. This range reflects a broad consensus that XRP is more likely to remain stable with no aggressive breakout before year-end. Meanwhile, confidence in this outcome has strengthened, with the probability rising to 73% at press time.  

Indeed, expectations of higher prices have weakened. According to Gemini, only 38% of participants initially predicted that XRP would end the year between $2 and $2.50, a figure that has since declined to 28%. 

Similarly, users assigned just a 5% chance to a move into the $2.50–$3 range and a 4% probability to a rally above $3. As of press time, the odds for both scenarios have dropped further to 4% each. 

On the downside, Gemini noted that 6% of participants expected XRP to fall below the $1.50 mark by year-end. Following the recent pullback across the broader crypto market, that figure has edged up slightly to 7%. 

Resolution of Outcomes and Payouts 

Notably, the XRP price prediction closes on December 31, 2025, at 09:00 a.m. (GMT +1). In the meantime, Gemini clarified how it will determine the outcome, using the $1.50–$2 range as an example. 

The exchange explained that users who bet on this target will see their outcome resolve to “Yes” if XRP’s price, as measured by the GRR-KAIKO_XRPUSD_8UTC index on Kaiko, is greater than $1.50 but less than or equal to $2.

Furthermore, Gemini stated that it plans to distribute payouts to users no later than the day following the market’s closure. 

XRP Current Performance

With just a week left in the year, XRP is trading at $1.87. Since December 15, the token has been hovering between $2 and $1.80. This helps explain why most Gemini users remain confident that it will neither drop below $1.50 nor exceed $2 by year-end.

The $1.50–$2.00 target reflects an extremely conservative outlook compared to XRP’s performance earlier this year, when the token surged to around $3.65 in July. 

Nonetheless, many users anticipate that the current downtrend will not persist. They expect a short-term reversal, driven by potential catalysts such as rising institutional demand and upcoming regulatory clarity.