XRP at $10 Would Mean a $620 Billion Valuation, Analyst Says It’s Still More Achievable Than SpaceX at $15 Trillion

XRP YouTuber Zach Rector has compared the upside potential of XRP with that of newly public aerospace giant SpaceX. 

He argued that XRP offers a more realistic path to a 9x return on investment. 

In a post on X, Rector said XRP reaching $10 would generate roughly a ninefold return for investors. By comparison, he noted that SpaceX would need to grow into a $15 trillion company to deliver similar gains from its recent IPO valuation.

“Same return. Wildly different odds,” Rector wrote.

XRP at $10 Could Push Valuation Above $600 Billion

In a YouTube video, Rector explained the math behind his comparison. He noted XRP was trading around $1.13 with a market capitalization of about $77 billion and a circulating supply of roughly 62 billion tokens.

Under those conditions, a move to $10 would represent an increase of about 800%, turning a $1 investment into nearly $9. XRP’s market capitalization would also climb to around $620 billion.

Rector acknowledged that a valuation above $600 billion sounds enormous. However, he argued it remains achievable given XRP’s ambitions in global payments and tokenized assets.

He added that if XRP’s circulating supply eventually expands to its 100 billion maximum, a $10 price would imply a valuation of roughly $1 trillion.

According to Rector, both scenarios remain “very doable” over the long term.

SpaceX Faces a Much Bigger Challenge

Meanwhile, Rector contrasted XRP’s outlook with SpaceX, which recently went public at a valuation of about $1.75 trillion and briefly traded above a $2 trillion market capitalization.

To generate the same 9x return as XRP reaching $10, SpaceX would need to achieve a valuation of roughly $15 trillion to $16 trillion, he said.

According to Rector, that figure would exceed the combined value of the world’s three largest companies today. It would also require SpaceX to reach an unprecedented level of corporate valuation.

He emphasized that the comparison was not meant as criticism of SpaceX or its founder, Elon Musk. Rather, he said he was simply evaluating the likelihood of each asset producing similar returns.

Why Rector Favors XRP

Rector argued that crypto markets have already shown that digital assets can reach valuations in the hundreds of billions of dollars. He pointed to the growth of Bitcoin and Ethereum as examples.

By contrast, he said SpaceX would need to become several times larger than today’s biggest public companies to provide comparable gains.

Rector also noted that many of SpaceX’s largest gains were captured by early private investors and venture capital firms during the company’s two decades as a private business.

While he acknowledged that public investors could still profit from SpaceX, he concluded that XRP price has the better chance of delivering a 9x return over the next three to five years.