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Ethereum ICO Investor Turns $30 Into $295,000, Moves Over 50% of Holdings to Kraken

Lele Jima
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Ethereum ICO Investor Turns $30 Into $295,000, Moves Over 50% of Holdings to Kraken

Blockchain analytics firm Arkham has spotlighted a long-dormant Ethereum wallet that turned a modest 2015 investment into a six-figure portfolio.

Notably, Arkham’s post underscores the power of long-term holding, in which patient holders have consistently reaped substantial gains amid price surges across multiple market cycles.

Key Points

  • The whale joined the Ethereum ICO in 2015 with just $30.
  • That small stake grew to about $295,000, delivering a return of over 983,000%.
  • The whale has been transferring funds to Kraken, moving more than 50 ETH to the exchange so far.
  • Despite these transfers, the wallet still holds gains that far exceed the initial investment.

$30 Investment Balloons to $295,000

Recent on-chain analysis spotlights an anonymous investor who purchased just $30 worth of ETH in 2015. The wallet traces back to a Genesis-era address, indicating its participation in Ethereum’s initial coin offering (ICO).

After making the purchase, the investor left the funds untouched for more than a decade. Over time, the portfolio grew to approximately $295,000 this year—an extraordinary return on investment of over 983,000%.

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After years of inactivity, the wallet became active over the past week. The holder first made a test transaction containing 0.01 ETH to Kraken. Notably, it subsequently transferred 50 ETH to Kraken in two separate transactions, cashing out roughly $95,000.

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Despite the sale, the investor continues to hold a significant profit relative to the original $30 investment. At press time, the address still holds about 50 ETH, valued at approximately $102,520.

Other ICO Investors Seeing Huge Returns

Notably, several reports show that long-dormant ETH holders have recently awakened to massive returns on modest investments.

For example, The Crypto Basic reported in December that a wallet inactive for over 10 years turned a $263 investment from 2015 into $2.8 million. Similarly, another early participant who invested $600 during Ethereum’s ICO era saw the portfolio surge to $6.5 million in 2024.

According to Arkham, these cases reinforce the narrative that sometimes doing nothing is the best trading strategy. This view resonates strongly with long-term investors who argue that patience, rather than constant market timing, often delivers superior results in volatile markets like cryptocurrency.

Looking Beyond Short-Term Fluctuations

Meanwhile, the broader crypto market is in an enduring downturn. While many investors have voiced frustration, long-term proponents urge them to look beyond short-term volatility and focus on future growth potential, where prices could reach new all-time highs.

Reflecting this uncertainty, Standard Chartered previously projected that ETH could climb to $7,500 this year, citing institutional adoption and improved regulatory clarity. However, in a recent update, the bank warned that Ethereum could instead drop to $1,400 as sentiment weakens and market conditions deteriorate.

These contrasting forecasts underscore the crypto market’s volatility and show that even long-term holders face no guaranteed outcomes.

XRP Doesn’t Move Long Term on Hype, It Moves on Structure: Finance Coach

Abdulkarim Abdulwahab
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XRP Doesn’t Move Long Term on Hype, It Moves on Structure: Finance Coach

XRP commentator Coach JV argues that long-term price appreciation in crypto will not come from hype alone, but from regulatory structure and capital flows.

In a tweet, he said the real catalyst for assets like XRP and Bitcoin is regulatory clarity, not social media excitement or speculative “moon” narratives.

Key Points

  • Regulatory clarity, not hype, is the real long-term catalyst for XRP and Bitcoin, says Coach JV.
  • The proposed Digital Asset Market Clarity Act could reshape U.S. crypto capital flows.
  • Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse believes the bill has up to a 90% chance of passing.
  • Analysts say XRP’s price could surge if clear rules unlock major institutional adoption.

Clarity Act as the Turning Point

Coach JV pointed directly to the proposed Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. He believes clearer rules in the U.S. could change how money flows into the market.

Under this framework, Bitcoin could strengthen as institutional collateral, while XRP could grow as a regulated liquidity infrastructure.

In his view, clear regulations would open the door to institutional balance sheet exposure, deeper banking integration, ETF growth, and broader corporate adoption.

“Uncertainty suppresses capital. Clarity attracts it,” he stated, adding that money ultimately moves toward structured systems rather than emotional narratives.

Ripple CEO Sees High Odds of Passage

The comments come as Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse continues to project strong odds that the Clarity Act will pass.

In mid-February, Garlinghouse said there was an 80% chance U.S. President Donald Trump would sign the bill into law by April 2026. In subsequent remarks, he pointed to prediction market data suggesting the probability had risen closer to 90%.

The bill is currently approaching the Senate Banking Committee markup stage, though disagreements remain over whether stablecoins should offer yield. Banks have expressed concern that yield-bearing stablecoins could draw deposits away from traditional accounts.

Despite these tensions, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has urged lawmakers to pass the bill swiftly to reduce crypto market volatility.

Garlinghouse has said that no law is perfect, but clear rules are better than uncertainty. He pointed to Ripple’s long legal fight with the SEC, which ended with a ruling that XRP is not a security, as proof that the crypto industry still needs clearer regulations.

XRP Price in a Structured System

As optimism grows around the Clarity Act, some AI-based forecasts suggest XRP could rise significantly if it gains full regulatory clarity and becomes deeply integrated with U.S. banks.

Currently, XRP trades at about $1.35. Some analysts believe that if the Clarity Act officially classifies XRP as a digital commodity and removes legal uncertainty, its price could reflect real financial utility rather than just retail speculation.

More ambitious projections estimate:

  • $5–$10 with basic regulatory clarity
  • $15–$30 if major (Tier-1) banks adopt it
  • $100+ if XRP becomes a key liquidity tool in the U.S. banking system

“Watch Policy, Watch Liquidity”

Ultimately, Coach JV says the focus shouldn’t be on exact price targets. He argues that the real question is whether regulatory clarity will unlock trillions of dollars currently waiting on the sidelines. His advice is to pay attention to policy changes, track liquidity, and ignore emotional market swings.

The Full Bitcoin Bull Market Run is Coming—Analyst Says This May Be a “Quasi Bear” Period

Elendu Benedict
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The Full Bitcoin Bull Market Run is Coming—Analyst Says This May Be a “Quasi Bear” Period

Certain market commentaries suggest the most recent Bitcoin bull cycle was not complete, fueling speculation that a full bullish phase is imminent.

The latest Bitcoin (BTC) market cycle has left many proponents uneasy. While BTC rallied to a new all-time high of $126,200 last year, broader economic conditions never fully aligned with those of past cycles at their strongest. That disconnect is forcing a rethink of whether the last few years truly qualified as a complete bull run.

Key Points

  • Certain market commentaries suggest the most recent Bitcoin bull cycle was not complete, fueling speculation that a full bullish phase is imminent.
  • Bitcoin clearly surged, yet the broader economy never gave the same support seen in previous cycles.
  • One macro signal fueling this sentiment is the Purchasing Managers Index’s trend below 50 during the bullish phase.
  • Because of that mismatch, analysts have described the just-concluded run as a partial bull run rather than a classic, full-bodied cycle.
  • In this scenario, the past few years could look more like a prelude before the full bull cycle completes.

Bitcoin “Quasi Bull Market”

Prominent market analyst Plan C noted that calling the just-concluded bullish phase a “quasi bull market” is accurate. Bitcoin failed to record the massive expansion seen in previous periods, with most altcoins suffering even more. Citing this, he claimed that the full Bitcoin bull cycle has not yet happened.

One macro signal fueling this sentiment is the Purchasing Managers’ Index, which tracks the performance of the manufacturing sector. A PMI reading below 50 usually reflects contraction across production and services, an environment that tends to limit liquidity and risk appetite.

Bitcoin Price vs PMI/Plan C
Bitcoin Price vs PMI/Plan C

Historically, Bitcoin has not experienced a full, extended bull phase while that indicator stayed below 50 the entire time. In earlier cycles, its massive increases coincided with improving economic activity and a bullish phase in the crypto market. This time, however, the bull cycle unfolded while those conditions remained low.

A Bitcoin Rally Without the Usual Economic Tailwinds

From a price perspective, Bitcoin clearly surged. It reached new highs, sentiment turned optimistic, and select altcoins broke previous cycle highs. Yet the broader economy never gave the same support seen in previous cycles. Business activity stayed muted, and monetary conditions were tighter, suppressing liquidity.

Because of that mismatch, Plan C described it as a partial run rather than a classic, full-bodied cycle. The idea is that prices climbed largely on narrative and speculation while the underlying macro foundation remained fragile. In other words, the chart looked strong, but the environment behind it did not fully cooperate.

For one, that difference matters. When rallies occur without strong economic support, they often lack durability and can unwind faster than expected. Again, this suggests that the market may not have completed its cycle.

Why the Market Correction May Also Be Different

If the recent period was only a partial expansion, the correction that follows could also be less severe than the crushing bear markets of the past. Plan C expects a shorter pullback with smaller declines.

At the same time, an improving business cycle could set the stage for something larger still ahead. If liquidity conditions ease and economic activity strengthens, Bitcoin may finally align with the macro setup that has historically supported its strongest growth. In that scenario, the past few years would look more like a prelude before the full bull cycle starts.

Interestingly, several market analysts have shared this sentiment, one of whom is VanEck’s CEO, Jan van Eck. He recently noted that BTC is forming a bottom as it shows signs of life despite macro pressure. Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood also argued that the premier crypto asset would have a shallow bear market, as it failed to post its usual explosive price action.

If this proves true, Bitcoin could start another bull market imminently. Analysts have identified prices like $200,000 and $500,000 as possible targets. However, this remains speculative and uncertain at press time.

Bitwise CIO Says 60/40 Portfolios Perform Better With Bitcoin

Zabi
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Bitwise CIO Says 60/40 Portfolios Perform Better With Bitcoin

Adding a small allocation of Bitcoin to a traditional 60/40 portfolio can steadily improve returns, according to Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan.

Research first published in 2018 and updated every year since shows that including cryptocurrency may improve long-term results in different market conditions. Hougan recently shared on X that portfolios with stocks, bonds, and Bitcoin have historically performed better than traditional portfolios without Bitcoin.

Key Points

  • Bitwise study shows that adding Bitcoin to a 60/40 stocks-bonds portfolio improved three-year returns 100% of the time.
  • Two-year performance also benefited, with a 93% probability of higher returns compared to traditional portfolios.
  • A 5% Bitcoin allocation is identified as optimal, balancing upside potential with portfolio volatility.
  • Portfolios including Bitcoin demonstrated stronger risk-adjusted returns, including higher Sharpe ratios and reduced drawdowns.

Strong Statistical Backing Since 2018

The argument rests on long-term historical data. According to Hougan’s analysis, adding Bitcoin to a portfolio composed of 60% equities and 40% bonds improved returns in every observed three-year holding period. In practical terms, this represents a 100% probability of higher returns over rolling three-year windows.

The pattern also holds over shorter horizons. The research shows a 93% likelihood of improved performance across two-year periods. These conclusions are based on historical backtesting conducted across multiple market environments.

Importantly, Bitwise has applied the same methodology each year since 2018. Every annual update has reinforced the original conclusion. Over time, the study has evolved from a single data point into a multi-year performance record.

Contribution of Bitcoin to 60 40 Portfolio
Contribution of Bitcoin to 60 40 Portfolio

Why Bitcoin Alters Portfolio Dynamics

To understand the impact, it is helpful to revisit the traditional 60/40 model. For decades, investors have relied on this mix of stocks and bonds as a balanced strategy. However, shifting interest rate regimes and elevated volatility have challenged its effectiveness in recent years.

Within this environment, Bitcoin introduces a distinct return profile. According to Bitwise, the cryptocurrency has exhibited relatively low correlation with both equities and fixed income assets. This differentiated behavior creates diversification benefits that traditional asset classes may not consistently provide.

The research further indicates that portfolios including Bitcoin not only delivered stronger overall returns but also improved risk-adjusted performance. Reported benefits include higher Sharpe ratios and more resilient drawdown characteristics.

Between 2018 and 2024, these enhanced portfolios navigated pandemic-driven volatility, inflationary pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty more effectively than their traditional counterparts.

The Role of a 5% Allocation and Rebalancing

While the concept may sound aggressive, Bitwise identifies a modest 5% Bitcoin allocation as optimal. According to the firm, this level seeks to balance volatility with upside potential.

Equally important is disciplined rebalancing. Investors periodically reduce positions in outperforming assets and increase exposure to underperforming ones. This structured process helps lock in gains and maintain target allocations.

The research suggests that the 5% allocation framework remained effective during both strong rallies and consolidation phases. It also accounted for varying entry points and holding periods, emphasizing consistency over market timing.

Institutional Adoption and Market Evolution

As Bitwise continued updating its analysis, the digital asset market evolved alongside it. Since 2018, regulatory clarity has improved across major financial jurisdictions, with more defined frameworks for custody, trading, and reporting.

At the same time, market infrastructure has matured. Liquidity has expanded, and trading platforms have become more robust, making implementation increasingly accessible for institutional and individual investors alike.

Bitwise notes that financial institutions now reference its findings when shaping cryptocurrency allocation strategies. The firm’s consistent analytical framework over multiple years has helped establish credibility within digital asset research.

Practical Considerations for Investors

Despite the encouraging historical results, implementation requires careful planning. Secure custody solutions remain essential, and tax treatment varies across jurisdictions, requiring close review.

Investors must also determine rebalancing frequency and execution methods. Thoughtful position sizing and ongoing risk monitoring are equally important. Institutional participants often rely on specialized service providers, while retail investors increasingly access advanced tools through cryptocurrency platforms.

Taken together, Bitwise’s long-running analysis presents a structured case for limited Bitcoin exposure in diversified portfolios. The reported 100% probability of improved three-year returns and 93% probability over two years underscore the consistency of the findings.

Although the strategy centers on a 5% allocation, disciplined rebalancing remains central to its effectiveness. As financial markets continue to evolve, the discussion surrounding Bitcoin’s role in portfolio construction is likely to deepen.

XRP Breaks Above Short-Term Descending Trendline, Will Price Drop to $1.1 Next or Breach $1.52?

Mark Brennan
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XRP Breaks Above Short-Term Descending Trendline, Will Price Drop to $1.1 Next or Breach $1.52?

XRP recently broke above a short-term descending trendline, with its next directional move decisive yet still largely uncertain.

As the broader crypto market battles the bears amid the escalating Israel-Iran conflict, XRP has continued to fluctuate between $1.4 and $1.33 amid declining volatility. Notably, its recent upward push breached a multi-week descending trendline that has capped upside potential since February, leaving two pathways in sight.

Key Points

  • XRP has fluctuated between $1.4 and $1.33 over the past week as volatility declines despite the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict.
  • Following a drop at the start of this week, XRP recently staged a recovery that allowed it to breach a long-standing descending trendline.
  • This trendline started forming in mid-February and capped XRP’s upside potential for over two weeks.
  • With XRP now above the trendline, a sustained push could lead to the $1.52 resistance area, which would determine if the uptrend hits higher levels or loses momentum.
  • Meanwhile, if XRP fails to maintain the breakout, a drop back below the trendline could bring back bearish targets around $1.1 to $1.27.

The XRP Descending Trendline

Market analyst Shay (Shay Analytics) called attention to the descending trendline in a recent TradingView report. Data from the chart shows that this trendline started forming on the 2-hour timeframe after XRP collapsed from the $1.67 high on Feb. 15.

Following the drop, XRP traded way below the trendline, failing to even attempt a breakout above it for ten days. However, bulls leveraged the recovery campaign that began on Feb. 24 to eventually retest the trendline, pushing prices to $1.49 by Feb. 26. Nonetheless, the resistance at the trendline resulted in a pullback.

XRP made another breakout attempt three days later, soaring to a high of $1.43 on March 1, but this also failed. The third push occurred barely 24 hours later, and the bears triggered another pullback. Seeing these failed attempts, Shay suggested that XRP would likely see sustained declines below the trendline, potentially reaching $1.27 as the first bearish target and $1.11 as the second.

XRP’s Breakout Keeps Upside Hope Alive

However, XRP has beaten the analyst’s expectations, having now successfully broken above the resistance at the multi-week descending trendline, as it trades for $1.41 at press time. Nonetheless, the upward push has stalled, with XRP currently indecisive.

XRP 2h Chart Shay Analytics
XRP 2h Chart | Shay Analytics

From the current position, the healthiest option would be a quick retest of the trendline breakout in the form of a pullback to the $1.37 area. If the support at this region holds, this would confirm that the breakout had solid strength, potentially allowing XRP to target the resistance area marked on the chart between $1.49 and $1.52. This would keep the upside hope alive.

Meanwhile, if XRP pulls back to the trendline support around $1.37 and drops below it, the original downside targets of $1.11 and $1.27 could come back into play. Essentially, XRP’s next direction now depends on whether it can hold above the $1.37 support area.

Mid-Term Structure Remains Unchanged 

However, while XRP has broken above the short-term descending trendline, market watcher Casi suggested that the mid-term structure remains unchanged. Specifically, she stressed that for XRP to flip the current trend, it would have to breach the $1.67 resistance, which sits above Shay’s $1.52 mark.

On the downside, Casi noted that a push below $1.11 to $0.87 would introduce greater bearishness to the market. While XRP has not broken above resistance, it has still not made lower lows. Until XRP breaks either of these areas, the analyst stressed that it remains within a range.

Solana Price Prediction for Mar 4: What’s Next After SOL Tests Key Resistance and Short Squeeze Drives SOL Higher?

Maxwell Mutuma
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Solana Price Prediction for Mar 4: What’s Next After SOL Tests Key Resistance and Short Squeeze Drives SOL Higher?

Solana advances toward key resistance as rising buying pressure and widespread short liquidations strengthen bullish momentum.

Solana (SOL) recorded a notable intraday recovery, with the price trading around $89.67 after gaining roughly 5.7% over the past 24 hours. After hovering near the lower range earlier in the day, SOL accelerated upward and approached the $90 zone.

Market metrics further underline the network’s scale, with Solana’s market cap exceeding $51 billion and 24-hour trading volume surpassing $6 billion, up 2.64% in the past day. 

The price structure suggests a clear shift in momentum as buyers pushed the asset toward the upper boundary of the daily range. If upward pressure continues, the Solana price could attempt to breach levels above the $89–$90 region, while any pullback may find short-term support around the $86–$87 range.

Can Solana Breach Key Resistance?

The 4-hour chart for Solana shows the price trading just below $90, signaling renewed bullish momentum after a period of sideways consolidation. Recent candles reveal a steady climb above the midline of the Bollinger Bands, indicating strengthening buying pressure. The price has now breached the upper Bollinger Band at $89.6.

Solana Price Prediction
Solana Price Prediction

From a technical standpoint, the next resistance sits around $92.02, a zone where the upper band and recent price peaks converge. A sustained break above this level could open the door for a move toward the $95 region, which would mark the next significant resistance area on the chart. 

On the downside, initial support appears near $85.8, aligned with the Bollinger Band midline and recent consolidation. A deeper pullback could target the $82 level, where the lower Bollinger Band currently provides a broader support base.

Meanwhile, the Bull Bear Power indicator is currently in positive territory, reading around 4.83, which suggests that buyers are gaining control of the short-term trend. The histogram has shifted from earlier red bars into green territory, indicating that bullish momentum has started to strengthen after a brief consolidation phase.

Solana Liquidation Data

Recent liquidation data for Solana shows that short traders have taken the largest hit as the asset moved higher.

In the past hour alone, roughly $5.11 million in positions faced liquidations, with short positions accounting for about $4.97 million, compared with only $134,970 in long liquidations. The imbalance suggests that the recent upward move triggered a wave of forced short closures as the price pushed through key resistance levels.

Solana Rekt Data
Solana Rekt Data | Coinglass

The trend becomes even clearer across longer timeframes. Over the past 24 hours, total liquidations reached about $24.63 million, with shorts contributing nearly $17.94 million, significantly outweighing the $6.69 million in long liquidations.

This pattern indicates that bearish traders were largely caught off guard by the rally, and the cascade of short liquidations likely helped accelerate Solana’s upward.

Bitcoin Outlook for Mar 4: Where Next as BTC Builds Momentum Toward $70K?

Mark Brennan
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Bitcoin Outlook for Mar 4: Where Next as BTC Builds Momentum Toward $70K?

Bitcoin rebounds after recent weakness, with improving momentum, and an analyst predicting a potential breakout.

The daily chart shows Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $69,188, posting a 1.9% gain over the past 24 hours after recovering from an earlier dip near $66,300. The price initially declined during the session but quickly stabilized as buyers stepped in, creating a steady upward move. This recovery pushed BTC back toward the upper end of the daily range, briefly approaching the $69,700 resistance.

The data also highlights Bitcoin’s strong market position, with a market cap of about $1.38 trillion and 24-hour trading volume exceeding $57 billion. Price action currently sits within a $66,000–$69,700 range, where the lower zone acts as support while the $69,500–$70,000 area remains immediate resistance. Sustained strength above $68,000 could support another test of the $70,000 level, while rejection may lead to continued consolidation.

Can Bitcoin Test $70,000

The daily chart shows Bitcoin attempting to reverse after a sharp correction that pushed the price briefly toward the $60,000–$62,000 region. Recent candles indicate a gradual recovery phase, with BTC preparing to test the $70,000 area, suggesting improving short-term momentum. The Balance of Power indicator near 0.69 also signals that buyers currently hold a slight advantage, supporting the ongoing rebound.

Bitcoin Price Analysis
Bitcoin Price Analysis

From a technical perspective, immediate support appears around $66,000–$67,000, a zone that held during the recent consolidation phase. A stronger support base sits near $62,000, which marked the lowest point of the recent selloff. 

On the upside, resistance is emerging around $72,000, while stronger roadblock aligns with the 50-day EMA near $74,327. A sustained break above that level could shift momentum toward the $80,000 region, where the 200-day EMA around $81,900 represents the next major technical barrier.

Bitcoin Printing Today?

Elsewhere, crypto analyst Crypto Tony shared a bullish update on Bitcoin, noting that BTC is “printing today” as the asset pushes higher on the hourly chart. The chart shows Bitcoin climbing after a strong impulsive move that broke above the $69,700 resistance zone, a level that previously capped several intraday attempts. 

Bitcoin 1H Chart
Bitcoin 1H Chart

From a technical perspective, the $69,500–$69,700 area now acts as immediate support, with price potentially retesting this level before continuing upward. If Bitcoin holds above this zone, the next resistance target appears near $71,800–$72,000, as highlighted on the chart.

XRP Maintains $15-$20 Macro Target Despite Elliott Wave Structure Uncertainty

Mark Brennan
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XRP Maintains $15-$20 Macro Target Despite Elliott Wave Structure Uncertainty

XRP witnesses an unclear structure within a complex Elliott Wave web that has played out since 2014, but the macro target remains bullish.

The crypto market has not recovered from the persistent downtrend that has led to nearly $2 trillion in losses since October 2025. Amid the decline, XRP has continued to face selling pressure, down 23.64% year-to-date as it battles the bears at $1.4.

However, multiple analysts insist that the ongoing turbulence may merely represent a correction within a broader bullish structure. Now, market data shows that this structure could be a web of Elliott Wave patterns that have played out since 2014, pointing to a potential macro target of $15 to $20.

Key Points

  • Currently trading for $1.4, XRP has declined 23.64% this year in a market-wide downtrend that has led to nearly $2 trillion in losses since October 2025.
  • Data shows that the current XRP price turbulence may represent a pullback within an otherwise bullish web of Elliott Wave patterns.
  • As these patterns continue to play out, whether XRP is trailing a Wave 4 or 2 formation remains unclear.
  • Regardless of the structure that takes precedence, XRP’s macro target of around $15 to $20 for the imminent breakout remains in play.

XRP Run Since the 2022 Low

Market analyst Hov discussed this during a recent report. The analyst stressed that his main long-term expectation has not changed. Specifically, he has been watching the $15 to $20 zone for a while now, and it does not matter whether the current move is a fourth wave correction or a deeper second wave pullback. Either way, he still sees the price heading toward that same macro target.

Data from his 2-week chart shows that XRP trades within a complex web of Elliott Wave structures that date back to its inception. However, his point of interest for the current analysis starts at the $0.28 bottom in June 2022 during the bear market at the time. 

From this level, XRP recorded an impressive recovery to reach a $0.94 peak in July 2023, buoyed by the pivotal SEC case ruling that month. Notably, this $0.94 high marked Wave 1 of the Elliott Wave structure relevant to the current analysis. 

After the $0.94 peak, XRP entered Wave 2, which resulted in a collapse to $0.38 in July 2024. From here, Wave 3 ensued, pushing XRP to $3.4 by January 2025, with this peak triggered by the November 2024 rally. From $3.4, XRP pulled back and soared to $3.6 by July 2025. However, it has since corrected from this high, now trading within Wave 4.

Current XRP Structure Still Unclear

The Wave 4 correction has led to the ongoing downtrend, which has resulted in an over 60% decline from the $3.6 peak. However, the market is facing uncertainty at this point. Hov noted that it remains unclear whether this downtrend really represents a Wave 4 or a Wave 2 phase that is part of a larger structure.

XRP 2W Chart Hov
XRP 2W Chart | Hov

However, whether the downturn represents a Wave 4 decline or a Wave 2 drop, the macro target of $15 to $20 remains in play. Nonetheless, Hov emphasized that if this turns out to be a deeper Wave 2 pullback, then the recovery push could lead to a much higher target.

Why Wave 2 Could Lead to Higher Gains

His chart shows several Fibonacci extension levels that support the targets. Specifically, the 1.618 extension points to about $12.2, while the 2.0 extension sits near $29.37. There is also a target box between $17 and $23, with a 0.236 retracement marker around $17.69. These levels sit close to his $15-$20 expectation.

If the current move is a Wave 4, then a final Wave 5 could send XRP into the $15-$20 range. However, if this turns out to be a larger Wave 2, the upside could be even stronger. In this case, XRP would still need to complete a strong Wave 3, followed by a corrective Wave 4 and then another Wave 5 rally. 

Elliott Wave theory often sees Wave 3 as the strongest part of the trend. As a result, this could push the price toward $12.20 first and potentially toward $29.37 later. In this scenario, $20 would not be the final stop but just part of a much bigger run.

Anything Under $10 for XRP Is Extremely Undervalued: Analyst

Abdulkarim Abdulwahab
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Anything Under $10 for XRP Is Extremely Undervalued: Analyst

A popular XRP commentator known as 24hrscrypto1 has declared that anything below $10 for XRP is “extremely undervalued.”

He argues that current prices fail to reflect where global financial infrastructure is heading. In a recent post on X, he wrote that he “can’t simplify this further,” urging followers to understand the magnitude of what is unfolding in the traditional financial system.

To support his view, he shared footage from Sibos, the annual global banking conference organized by SWIFT, where financial leaders discussed the future of cross-border payments and the need for greater efficiency.

Key Points

  • Analyst 24hrscrypto1 says anything under $10 for XRP is “extremely undervalued” given global finance trends.

  • Citibank reportedly moves $4T daily, signaling the massive scale of cross-border financial flows.

  • The analyst argues that faster, interoperable systems strengthen XRP’s long-term valuation case.

  • Some bulls project $100 XRP, implying a potential $6T market cap if adoption accelerates.

$4 Trillion a Day

In the video, a Citibank representative highlighted the scale at which modern finance operates. The bank reportedly moves over $4 trillion globally each day, enabling client payments in 144 currencies across 160 countries.

The executive noted that the way the industry operated a decade ago is now being replaced by new systems built for significantly greater speed and scale.

According to 24hrscrypto1, this transition toward faster, more interoperable infrastructure strengthens the long-term case for blockchain-based settlement layers such as XRP.

For the analyst, the takeaway is that if trillions of dollars in daily flows migrate toward more efficient rails, assets within that infrastructure could see substantial repricing over time.

From $10 XRP to $100

This is not the first time 24hrscrypto1 has shared bold projections. In previous commentary, he argued that “something big is going on” with XRP and maintained that the asset could reach $100 well before 2030.

At current price levels of $1.35, even a move to $10 would represent a 7.4x price surge. A rise to $100, however, would imply a market capitalization of over $6 trillion for XRP.

Other market commentators have echoed similar long-term optimism. Some point to Ripple’s acquisitions, treasury integrations, and expanding enterprise relationships as early signs of deeper financial integration.

At the same time, Wall Street has entered the XRP market through five spot XRP ETFs, which are seeing daily inflows. For XRP holders, these factors strengthen the case for the asset to be valued far beyond its current $1.35 price.

Infrastructure Shift or Market Hype?

This optimism persists even as the idea that XRP would completely replace SWIFT faces pushback, especially after SWIFT introduced its own blockchain initiatives. In other words, rather than being replaced, traditional financial institutions appear to be upgrading and modernizing their systems.

For XRP supporters like 24hrscrypto1, the focus is not on replacing legacy networks but on being part of the next stage of financial infrastructure. The analyst believes prices under $10 underestimate the scale of change unfolding in global finance.

Google AI Predicts Cardano Price for 2027–2030

Lele Jima
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Google AI Predicts Cardano Price for 2027–2030

Google’s AI model Gemini projects Cardano (ADA) could mount a significant rally between 2027 and 2030.

While 2026 is only in its third month, many crypto investors have already shifted their focus to 2027 and beyond. Ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, including geopolitical tensions involving Israel, the U.S., and Iran, has kept global markets under pressure.

As a result, Cardano has fallen more than 20% year to date. As analysts warn that the conflict could persist for weeks or even months, investors have begun evaluating longer-term price prospects. 

Key Points 

  • Google’s Gemini projects that Cardano could trade between $0.28 and $18 by 2027, depending on market conditions.
  • The model anticipates stronger upside in 2028, with price targets ranging from $0.95 to $23.
  • For 2029 and 2030, Gemini sets bullish peak projections of $35 and $45, respectively.
  • Analysts advise caution, noting that reaching targets above $10 within this timeframe would require extraordinary market expansion.

Gemini’s Long-Term Outlook

To assess ADA’s trajectory, we queried Google’s AI model, Gemini, for projections from 2027 through 2030. According to Gemini, Cardano’s long-term outlook depends heavily on adoption trends, technical execution, and broader market cycles.

At the time of the forecast, ADA traded at $0.2650, down 1.48% over the past 24 hours.

2027 and 2028 Projections

Under a conservative outlook, Gemini projects ADA between $0.28 and $0.90, implying gains of up to 239% from current levels. In a moderate scenario, the AI model expects ADA to reach $1.00–$1.50, representing a potential 277%- 466% increase.

Meanwhile, its bullish projection places ADA between $4.50 and $18 by the end of 2027, an aggressive 1,598%–6,692% surge. 

Gemini’s 2028 outlook turns even more optimistic in its upper range. While the conservative estimate keeps ADA below $0.95, the bullish scenario envisions a rally to $5.25–$23. From today’s price, reaching $23 would require an increase of 8,579%.

2029 and 2030 Prediction

For 2029, Gemini expects ADA to trade between $0.35 and $1.15 under bearish conditions. However, in a bullish scenario, it projects a price range of $6.68–$35. Achieving the upper bound would demand a 13,107% rally from current levels.

Furthermore, Gemini forecasts ADA between $0.32 and $1.50 under conservative assumptions. Conversely, in a bullish environment, it estimates a range of $4.50–$45 by 2030. A move to $45 would represent a 16,881% surge. 

Google AI Prediction for Cardano from 2027 to 2030
Google AI Prediction for Cardano from 2027 to 2030

Key Drivers

Meanwhile, Gemini identifies several catalysts that could fuel long-term growth. It stressed that scalability upgrades, particularly Hydra and the broader Basho phase, could significantly increase throughput and lower transaction fees. 

In addition, it highlighted the maturation of Cardano’s governance model as a key factor that may strengthen decentralization and investor confidence.

Moreover, Gemini stressed that institutional adoption remains central to Cardano’s Vision 2030 roadmap, especially through enterprise-grade infrastructure and real-world asset tokenization.

Ultimately, the AI model expects the 2028 Bitcoin halving to spark a crypto bull cycle, which could lift ADA alongside the wider market. 

Gemini Key Drivers for Cardano Price Prediction
Gemini Key Drivers for Cardano Price Prediction

Market Cap Reality Check

Despite the optimistic projections, Gemini acknowledges the difficulty of reaching extreme targets. For instance, a $10 ADA price would imply a market cap exceeding $360 billion—an outcome many analysts consider unlikely within this timeframe.

While Gemini outlines substantial upside scenarios, it emphasizes that adoption and intense competition from L1 networks will determine whether Cardano can achieve these ambitious targets. 

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