XRP has fallen to $1.18 after breaking an important support level on the 4-hour chart, raising concerns about further sell-offs.
XRP recently closed below the $1.2355 swing low, confirming a break of structure (BoS). This move also extended the pattern of lower highs and lower lows that started at the $1.3414 swing high.
With several resistance levels now standing above the current price, the chart suggests that sellers could remain in control unless XRP manages to recover these levels.
At the time of the analysis, XRP traded at $1.18202, down 1.85% on the session. Its intraday low had already reached $1.17668, bringing the price close to the $1.1800 level. The breakdown followed several weeks of declining price action and confirmed that sellers had gained control of the 4-hour timeframe.
XRP Breaks Below $1.23
XRP’s latest decline comes amid a broader selloff across the crypto market. The token recorded a 17% drop in a single session, its sharpest one-day decline since 2025. It also fell below $1.25, taking its weekly losses to nearly 30%.
The selloff has reduced XRP’s market cap to $75 billion, compared with its peak of $210 billion in July 2025. The decline in both price and market value makes a recovery more difficult, especially as the chart continues to show signs of weakness.

On the 4-hour timeframe, XRP closed below the $1.2355 swing low just two bars before the analysis, confirming the latest break of structure. This move confirmed the pattern of lower highs and lower lows that developed after the $1.3414 swing high.
Why $1.2355 Has Become an Important Resistance Level
The break below $1.2355 has changed how traders may view this price level. It previously acted as support, but XRP’s close below it has turned it into potential resistance.
Traders who bought around this level are now sitting on losses. If the price returns to $1.2355, some may use the opportunity to exit their positions, adding more selling pressure.
The breakdown also pushed XRP below the lower volatility band at $1.2186. This places the token in band-extended territory, which means selling has moved beyond its normal statistical range. Such conditions can lead to a temporary recovery toward the average price before the broader decline continues.
The STC indicator also provides more information about the current 4-hour structure. Its recorded plot values are 1.29555, 1.21724, 1.25640, 1.26861, 1.34000, and 1.23393.
The Last HH reading of 1.34000 marks the previous structural high, while the Last LL value of 1.23393 identifies the broken support area behind the latest BoS. This reading is close to $1.2355, which now stands as an important resistance level.
XRP Faces More Resistance
XRP also faces resistance from two major moving averages. The 21-period exponential moving average (EMA21) currently sits at $1.2578, while the 55-period exponential moving average (EMA55) stands at $1.2703.
Both averages are moving downward, with EMA21 below EMA55. This indicates a bearish trend and suggests that any recovery could face selling pressure at both levels.
The latest 4-hour candle also shows how difficult it has been for buyers to push the price higher. XRP opened at $1.20357 but only reached $1.20592 before sellers stepped in again. This suggests that buyers are struggling to overcome the selling pressure above the current price.
The previous swing high at $1.3414, which remained intact ten bars before the analysis, further confirms the bearish outlook.
With EMA21 at $1.2578 and EMA55 at $1.2703, XRP must overcome several resistance levels before it can build a stronger recovery. The gap between the current price and these moving averages also gives sellers room to maintain pressure during any upward move.
A Short-Term Recovery Could Give Sellers Another Chance
XRP could still recover temporarily because its price has fallen below the lower volatility band. A move toward EMA21 at $1.2578 is possible, with the $1.2355 area also serving as an important level to watch. However, the way XRP reacts around these prices could determine whether buyers regain some control or sellers push the price lower again.
A rejection around this zone would strengthen the bearish outlook. This could happen if XRP forms a long upper wick and then fails to hold its gains. Such a move would show that sellers remain active around resistance and could use the recovery to put more pressure on the price.
Until XRP closes above this resistance area, the 4-hour chart continues to favor sellers.
$1.12 Becomes the Next Downside Target
Meanwhile, the first level sellers need to break is $1.1800, which is close to XRP’s current price of $1.18202 and its intraday low of $1.17668. If the token falls below this area, the next level to watch is $1.1500. This round-number price could offer some support as the decline continues.
A further break below $1.1500 would bring $1.1200 into focus. This is the next downside target if selling pressure increases and buyers fail to defend the levels above it.
However, the bearish outlook has a clear invalidation level. A 4-hour candle close above EMA55 at $1.2703 would weaken the current setup and signal that sellers have failed to maintain control.
Such a move would suggest that buyers have absorbed the recent breakdown and are pushing the price back above a major resistance level.




