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Inflation Hits the Poor Hardest, Bitcoin Offers Relief: Coinbase CEO

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Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has renewed his support for Bitcoin, casting it as both a hedge against inflation and a gateway to financial access.

Key Points

  • Brian Armstrong says inflation disproportionately harms those holding cash, widening economic inequality.
  • Wealthier individuals can shield themselves from inflation by investing in assets such as Bitcoin, stocks, and real estate.
  • Bitcoin and other digital assets can expand financial access, enabling anyone with internet access to participate.
  • Armstrong links crypto adoption to national economic growth in supportive regulatory environments.
  • The CLARITY Act aims to clarify U.S. digital asset regulations, with bipartisan talks targeting passage by April.
  • Armstrong warns the U.S. must compete with China’s digital currency initiatives to maintain global financial leadership.

Inflation, Access, and Bitcoin

In a recent post on X, Armstrong argued that inflation hits hardest those who hold most of their wealth in cash. As prices rise, purchasing power erodes—an effect that, in his view, gradually widens economic inequality.

Building on that point, Armstrong suggested that wealthier individuals can better shield themselves from inflation. They often move funds into assets such as stocks, real estate, and Bitcoin. By contrast, those without access to such investments remain more exposed to currency depreciation.

For Armstrong, this gap highlights crypto’s broader purpose. He said digital assets lower barriers to entry in financial markets, meaning anyone with an internet connection can participate. In his view, such accessibility forms the foundation of what he describes as economic freedom.

Extending the argument further, Armstrong linked crypto adoption to national growth. He stated that capital tends to flow toward supportive regulatory environments. Consequently, countries that welcome digital assets could see stronger economic expansion in the years ahead.

CLARITY Act and the Regulatory Push

These comments come as debate intensifies around the CLARITY Act. The proposed legislation seeks to clarify how digital assets are regulated in the United States. Specifically, it aims to define the responsibilities of key agencies overseeing securities and commodities.

Just last week, Armstrong and US Senator Bernie Moreno indicated that discussions are moving in a constructive direction. Moreno said lawmakers are working toward passing the bill, possibly by April.

For the cryptocurrency market, the stakes are high. Many investors view regulatory clarity as a potential boost for sentiment. With Bitcoin trading below $65,000 amid a prolonged period of weakness, any legislative breakthrough could carry symbolic, and possibly practical, weight.

Speaking at the World Liberty Forum, hosted by the family of U.S. President Donald Trump, Armstrong described the evolving regulatory framework as a potential “win” for multiple stakeholders. A balanced bill, he said, could foster innovation in the crypto sector while addressing concerns from the banking industry—ultimately benefiting American consumers.

Moreno struck a similarly cooperative tone, noting that regulators, banks, and crypto firms are working to draw clearer jurisdictional lines. In particular, discussions have focused on how to handle stablecoin yields without weakening US competitiveness.

Global Competition and the China Factor

The debate also carries international implications. Armstrong pointed to China’s efforts to advance a central bank digital currency that pays interest. In response, he argued that the United States must allow competitive stablecoin incentives to keep pace.

Moreno reinforced that message, emphasizing the importance of maintaining America’s leadership in financial innovation. He expressed optimism that lawmakers can finalize the CLARITY Act by April, positioning the U.S. to compete more effectively in the evolving global digital asset landscape.

Pundit Identifies “Extremely Great Indicator” to Predict XRP Price Trends

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XRP has been under steady selling pressure, but data suggests its futures Open Interest metric could spot the next big move. 

With XRP now trading at $1.35 and sitting 28% down year-to-date, a well-known XRP community commentator says futures Open Interest could act as an “extremely great indicator” for predicting where price could head next, citing historical data.

Key Points

  • XRP is down 28% year-to-date, with the price at $1.35 and Open Interest (OI) reduced to $2.29 billion amid the current downtrend.
  • Historical data suggest the XRP price and Open Interest have always moved in lockstep.
  • After Donald Trump’s November 2024 victory, XRP climbed from $0.5 to $3.4 by January 2025 while OI hit a then-record $7.76 billion.
  • In June to July 2025, XRP rose from $2.19 to $3.6 as Open Interest reached a new all-time high of $10.94 billion.
  • Rising prices and rising OI often feed into each other, but OI works best as a trend confirmation tool, not a standalone predictor.

Historical Data Confirms Relationship Between XRP Price and OI

Chad Steingraber, a community commentator, highlighted this trend. Notably, CryptoQuant data confirms the close relationship between OI and price, as XRP’s three last major price surges since 2021 have occurred alongside a rise in OI.

The first major surge happened between March 2021 and April 2021. Within this period, XRP jumped from $0.46 to $1.96. At the same time, Open Interest expanded from around $500 million to $1.95 billion. 

After the rally faded in the months that followed, both price and Open Interest pulled back together. Even the smaller rallies that came later still showed the same connection, though on a milder scale.

XRP Futures Open Interest Coinglass
XRP Futures Open Interest | Coinglass

The second major move followed the November 2024 election win of Donald Trump. XRP rose from $0.5 in early November 2024 to $3.4 by January 2025. During that same period, OI surged from about $640 million to $7.76 billion. When the rally slowed and the price fell, Open Interest dropped as well. 

The third big rally came in June 2025, when XRP climbed from $2.19 to $3.6 by July 2025. Notably, Open Interest jumped from $3.68 billion to $10.94 billion, marking another record high. Now, with XRP back in a steep downtrend, Open Interest has also fallen to $2.29 billion.

Why XRP Price and Open Interest Often Move Together

While Steingraber encourages investors to watch for Open Interest spikes as a signal of recovery, the relationship between price and Open Interest is not always simple. Notably, the two often move together because they feed off each other.

When the price starts rising, traders rush in to open long positions. Every new long position must match with a short contract, which increases total Open Interest. 

This usually shows new money entering the market and strengthening the trend. At the same time, heavy leveraged trading can add buying pressure. Essentially, more contracts mean more liquidity and more room for volatility, which can, in turn, push prices higher.

Other Hidden Factors

Meanwhile, there is also a technical detail that many traders overlook. Specifically, exchanges often report Open Interest in dollar terms, not by the number of contracts. So when XRP’s price rises, the dollar value of existing contracts rises too, even if traders do not add new positions. 

This means reported Open Interest can increase automatically when price climbs, and this creates the impression of new activity even when the number of contracts stays the same.

Another subtle factor involves market psychology. Notably, when traders see both price and Open Interest rising together, they read it as a strong trend. This belief pulls in trend followers, which then creates higher demand to feed the uptrend and keep the cycle going.

Traders mainly use OI to confirm trends, not to predict direction on its own. When price rises, and Open Interest rises steadily, it usually indicates healthy participation and fresh capital. But if Open Interest shoots up too quickly during a rally, the market can become crowded with leveraged longs, raising the risk of sharp liquidations.

New XRP Price Target as XRP Now Sees 3 Signals That Led to 2024 Upsurge

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XRP may now be witnessing three of the signals that emerged right before and during the November 2024 upsurge to new heights.

XRP staged one of its sharpest rallies in November 2024 after President Donald Trump won the U.S. election. The token jumped from $0.5 in November 2024 to a high of $3.4 by January 2025, marking a powerful run in just a few months. 

Today, XRP trades around $1.39 as sellers continue to weigh on the price. However, market data indicate that familiar setups may be emerging. Specifically, XRP now witnesses three of the same signals that appeared before and during the November 2024 breakout. 

Key Points

  • XRP staged one of its most explosive runs in November 2024 when it rallied from $0.5 to $3.4 by January 2025 after Donald Trump’s election win.
  • XRP now trades around $1.39 as it faces bearish pressure but shows signs similar to the November 2024 breakout phase.
  • For instance, large exchange inflow spikes, including double-digit billion XRP moves in late 2024, preceded the last rally and have started appearing again.
  • USD liquidity in AMM pools previously dropped to as low as $1.5 million before the 2024 surge and now ranges between $1.9 million and $2.1 million.
  • XRP liquidity compressed sharply before the last breakout, falling to 1.5 million XRP, and now averages about 1.385 million XRP in February 2026.
  • If the current pattern continues to play out as before, they could set the stage for a move toward $10.

Exchange Inflows Rise on Binance

Market analyst Xaif shared this information in a recent disclosure, citing data from CryptoQuant. He first highlighted a rise in exchange inflows as one of the three signals. Notably, large amounts of XRP have started moving onto Binance again. While traders see such rising inflows and expect a price drop, Xaif says this may be bullish.

Data from the CryptoQuant chart shows that before and during the early November 2024 rally that pushed XRP from $0.5 to $3.4 by January 2025, XRP recorded several big daily inflow spikes into Binance. 

XRP Exchange Flows to Binance CryptoQuant
XRP Exchange Flows to Binance | CryptoQuant

Specifically, on Oct. 20, 2024, inflows reached 15.12 billion XRP, and hit highs around 3.616 billion XRP by Nov. 14, 2024. Also, on Nov. 23, 2024, inflows climbed to 10.345 billion XRP. After these spikes, XRP did not crash. Instead, volatility picked up, and the price moved higher.

USD Liquidity Shrinks in AMM Pools

Xaif then highlighted falling USD liquidity as the second factor. He said the capital backing XRP markets has started to shrink. According to him, when markets thin out, prices often move more sharply in either direction because there is less support in the order books.

Notably, CryptoQuant data tracking total USD liquidity in AMM pools shows that just before and during the start of the November 2024 rally, daily USD liquidity dropped. In October 2024, liquidity fell to between $2.5 million and $2.6 million. From early to late November 2024, it slumped further to a range between $1.5 million and $2.5 million.

USD Liquidity in XRPL AMMs CryptoQuant
USD Liquidity in XRPL AMMs | CryptoQuant

Xaif compared this to today’s figures. For context, after daily liquidity climbed above $6 million in September 2025 and above $5 million in October 2025, it started thinning again. In February 2026, daily USD liquidity now ranges between $1.9 million and $2.1 million, showing another contraction.

XRP Liquidity Continues to Tighten

The third signal involves shrinking XRP liquidity. Xaif noted that the available token supply in the market has quietly declined. He explained that before the last breakout, XRP liquidity compressed in the same way. 

According to CryptoQuant data tracking total XRP liquidity in AMM pools, liquidity averaged 5.8 million XRP from August to September 2024. In October 2024, the figure dropped to 5 million XRP. By November 2024, liquidity fell sharply to 1.5 million XRP, aligning with the rally from $0.5 to $3.4 by January 2025. 

XRP Liquidity in XRPL AMMs CryptoQuant
XRP Liquidity in XRPL AMMs | CryptoQuant

After the rally, most of 2025 saw liquidity hovering around 2.2 million XRP. However, in December 2025, it slipped again to 1.5 million XRP. Now, in February 2026, XRP liquidity averages 1.385 million XRP per day.

The Same Setup Appearing Again

Xaif explained that during the last rally, exchange inflow spikes came first. After that, USD liquidity expanded and led to a longer move higher. At the same time, XRP liquidity compression helped trigger the breakout. He now sees all three signals coming up again in February 2026. The analyst expects XRP to hit $10, a 619% rise from here, if the breakout comes.

Despite this, Xaif warned traders not to rely on these signals alone. According to him, they should also check derivatives positioning, funding rates, and the broader market structure before making any decisions. While the structure continues to form, the analyst suggested that traders wait for clear confirmation.

XRP Sees Realized Loss of $908,000,000, Largest Spike Since 2022: What History Tells Us

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XRP has recorded its biggest on-chain realized loss spike since 2022, according to fresh data from analytics firm Santiment.

The development comes as XRP’s price attempts to stabilize after a major correction that has continued to frustrate holders. For context, XRP’s price fell 4.65% over the past day, bringing its weekly loss to 8.89% and its monthly loss to close to 30%.

Key Points

  • XRP posts largest on-chain realized loss spike since 2022, signaling heavy selling at a loss.

  • Market fear peaks as XRP drops 4.65% in a day, with weekly losses near 9% and monthly close to 30%.

  • Historically, such realized loss spikes often precede significant rebounds in XRP price.

  • Analysts see $1.11 retest possible, with potential rebound to $4–$10, citing shakeout and regulatory catalysts.

Largest Weekly Realized Loss Event Since 2022

In its latest update, Santiment revealed that XRP just recorded a realized loss of $908 million. This represents the largest weekly event since November 2022.

The last time such an extreme milestone occurred, the market recorded roughly $1.93 billion in realized losses. What followed was a notable 114% price increase over the next eight months.

Now, nearly 39 months later, XRP has once again entered a zone of heavy realized losses. This indicates that many investors have sold their holdings at a loss.

Panic Selling Hits XRP Holders

Realized losses occur when investors sell coins for less than their original purchase price. These events spike during periods of intense fear, as is the case now, with the market’s fear and greed index at 8. In other words, traders are cutting losses rather than holding through volatility.

For context, XRP is now down almost 70% from its 2025 peak of $3.66, currently trading at $1.30.

Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index
Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index

According to Santiment, such large-scale realized losses often mark emotional extremes in the market. Once panic peaks and weaker hands exit, a significant portion of selling pressure may already be exhausted. Simply put, after most fearful sellers are out, fewer participants remain to push prices lower.

This dynamic does not automatically trigger a rally. However, it can shift the supply-demand balance. If new buying pressure emerges after capitulation, even modest inflows can have a major impact on price.

Historical Example

Historically, major spikes in realized losses often occur near market bottoms. In 2022, after XRP hit a significant realized loss milestone, it later gained triple digits over eight months. While history doesn’t guarantee a repeat, similar on-chain signals are catching traders’ attention.

Santiment points out that tracking realized profits and losses can reveal when market emotions are stretched. Markets often move against the crowd, and high realized losses indicate capitulation.

Santiment's chart
Santiment’s chart

Amid this, many analysts are urging investors to see current prices as a “generational” opportunity, suggesting the worst may be over.

What Analysts Are Saying

In a recent post, analyst CryptoBull argued that a retest of $1.11 is possible before a stronger rebound. He notes that XRP’s 3-day chart shows a “shakeout” phase, pushing out weak holders before a surge. He projects $4 by early March and $9 afterward, with some analysts even eyeing $10.

Positive catalysts may include regulatory clarity, with the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act potentially passing by April, and a teased “major XRP development” linked to Ripple.

Interestingly, AI models forecast a possible 2026 surge above $35, though skeptics question the feasibility given market cap and tokenomics.

Shiba Inu Death Cross Adds Fresh Pressure on Key Support

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Shiba Inu just recorded a death cross on the lower timeframe, raising further doubts about the possibility of its near-term price recovery.

This cross specifically occurred over the 2-hour SHIB/USD chart, building on a similar event on the lower timeframes. If Shiba Inu continues its current momentum, it may be only a matter of time before the bearish indicator prints on higher timeframes, further strengthening the bearish narrative.

Key Points

  • Shiba Inu just recorded a death cross on the lower timeframe, raising further doubts about the possibility of its near-term price recovery.
  • On February 23, the 200 MA crossed above the 50 MA, suggesting fading momentum and a swing from bullish to bearish.
  • The February 23 dip following the death cross saw Shiba Inu test the key support at $0.0000060.
  • Currently at $0.00000592, it has shown resilience so far, and how far it holds the demand zone would determine its next course of action.
  • A sustained hold would spark a rebound to higher resistance levels at $0.0000066, $0.0000072, and $0.0000078.
  • Losing the $0.0000060 support would send SHIB to lower levels, such as $0.0000057 and $0.0000050.

Shiba Inu Death Cross

Notably, the SHIB death cross occurred between the 200-period SMA and the 50-period SMA, which represent long- and short-term indicators, respectively. On February 23, the 200 MA crossed above the 50 MA, suggesting fading momentum and a swing from bullish to bearish.

Shiba Inu Death Cross
Shiba Inu Death Cross

Meanwhile, this had earlier happened on the 1-hour timeframe on February 19. Such a progressive death cross is concerning, as it continues to confirm the bearish trend up the chart chain.

However, some argue it is a lagging market indicator, as it often reflects what is already happening in the market. Notably, the cross occurred just after SHIB printed a large red candle on the 2-hour chart on Monday, where it corrected 4.2%.

Others still view the death cross not just as a reflection of developing price action but also as an indicator of subsequent price trends. 

Correction Pushes SHIB to Key Support

The February 23 dip following the death cross saw Shiba Inu test the key support at $0.0000060. The meme coin dropped to the area early Monday but rebounded from there to quickly reclaim $0.00000614.

That momentum did not last, as macro uncertainties weighed on the crypto sector, sending SHIB back to the $0.0000060 support level. Currently at $0.00000592, it has shown resilience so far, and how far it holds the demand zone would determine its next course of action.

A sustained hold, as it did on February 12, would spark a rebound to higher resistance levels. The closest ones are $0.0000066, $0.0000072, and $0.0000078. Meanwhile, for a sustainable rally, SHIB would need to break above major moving averages, as it is practically below all of them. Until then, any upward move would be seen as a relief pump rather than a trend reversal.

Losing the $0.0000060 support would send SHIB to lower levels, such as $0.0000057 and $0.0000050. Buyers previously stepped in at these levels earlier, and analysts remain upbeat that counter-buying pressure will meet any dip to these supports.

Shiba Inu Forecast for Feb 24: Can SHIB Reclaim $0.0000070 Amid Massive Futures Outflows?

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Shiba Inu faces persistent selling pressure as futures outflows rise, testing whether bulls can regain key resistance levels.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) currently changes hands at $0.00000593, reflecting a 2.5% decline over the past 24 hours. The token has moved within a daily range of $0.000005907 to $0.000006225, and is now hovering closer to the lower end of that band, indicating sustained short-term selling pressure.

While SHIB is down in USD terms, it shows relative strength against major assets, gaining 1.6% versus Bitcoin and 0.5% versus Ethereum. The 24-hour chart reveals an early-session rally toward the $0.0000062 area before facing resistance and gradually trending lower.

Performance metrics show broader weakness, with SHIB down 9.2% over the past week and 23.7% over 30 days. Notably, unless buyers reclaim the upper end of the daily range near $0.0000062, SHIB remains technically pressured in the short term while consolidating within a broader downtrend.

Shiba Inu Price Prediction

On the daily timeframe, Shiba Inu continues to trade within a broader downtrend after failing to sustain recent rebound attempts. Recent candles reflect hesitation near the $0.0000065 region, followed by renewed selling that has pushed SHIB back toward short-term support near $0.0000058–$0.0000059. Unless buyers reclaim the mid-range resistance levels, like $0.0000070, established earlier in February, the overall structure remains technically weak.

Shiba Inu Price Analysis
Shiba Inu Price Analysis

Momentum indicators also reflect cooling conditions. Specifically, the Stochastic RSI trends lower, with the %K and %D lines around the mid-to-lower range (near 36 and 47), indicating fading bullish momentum after recently approaching overbought territory. 

Meanwhile, the MACD histogram has begun to contract after a brief positive phase, and the MACD line attempts to cross below the signal line, signaling that bearish momentum still dominates despite minor recovery attempts. Together, these indicators suggest SHIB is consolidating within a broader corrective phase, with upside potential limited unless momentum shifts decisively in favor of buyers.

SHIB Futures Flows

Also, recent derivatives flow data shows mixed but increasingly cautious positioning in the market. On lower timeframes, futures activity reflects short-term buying interest, with the 30-minute window recording a net inflow of approximately $56.98K and the 1-hour timeframe posting a $36.50K net inflow. However, this brief uptick in inflows fades on higher timeframes, suggesting that short-lived speculative positioning is not translating into sustained bullish conviction.

SHIB Futures Flows
SHIB Futures Flows

Over the 4-hour and 8-hour periods, futures markets shifted to net outflows of roughly $146.98K and $147.74K, respectively, signaling growing selling pressure. The 12-hour window shows a deeper net outflow of about $489.69K, while the 24-hour total expands to approximately $601.02K in net outflows. Extending further, the 3-day timeframe reflects a significant $1.67 million net outflow.

Ethereum Price Outlook for Feb 24: Will ETH Sweep Lows Before a Rebound?

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Ethereum faces sustained selling pressure as weak demand raises the risk of a liquidity sweep before any rebound attempt emerges.

Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $1,828, marking a 2.87% decline over the past 24 hours. The intraday chart shows ETH initially trading above the $1,900 level before facing sustained selling pressure that pushed price action into a steady downtrend.

After breaking below the $1,880 region, bearish momentum accelerated, leading to a session low near the $1,820 area. The price has since attempted minor stabilization, but it remains firmly in negative territory, reflecting persistent short-term weakness.

Meanwhile, derivatives and volume data highlight elevated market activity. 24-hour futures volume stands at $51.19 billion, significantly outweighing spot volume of $3.38 billion and suggesting that leveraged trading continues to dominate market participation. Ethereum’s open interest is $23.38 billion, indicating substantial outstanding derivatives positions despite the pullback. Can Ethereum finally find a bottom?

Ethereum Price Forecast

Looking at the daily chart, Ethereum is trading just below $1,900 after an aggressive decline from the recent swing high around $3,399 in mid-January to a low near $1,747. The Auto Fibonacci retracement levels highlight how sharply the price has broken through key support zones since the swing high, including the 0.618 ($2,768), 0.5 ($2,573), 0.382 ($2,378), and even 0.236 levels, confirming strong bearish momentum during the selloff. 

Ethereum 1D Chart
Ethereum 1D Chart

Price is now consolidating just above the swing low, but remains firmly below the 0.236 retracement near $2,136, which now acts as key resistance. Unless ETH reclaims that level, the broader structure continues to favor sellers, with the $1,747 swing low remaining a critical support zone to watch.

Momentum indicators reinforce this cautious outlook. Specifically, the True Strength Index remains in negative territory, with both lines hovering around -35 and showing only mild flattening rather than a decisive bullish crossover. While the indicator suggests that downside momentum may be stabilizing after the sharp drop, it does not yet confirm a reversal. 

Ethereum Buyers Aren’t Stepping in Yet

In a separate social media commentary, crypto analyst Ted notes how Ethereum has declined toward the $1,800 level. According to him, buying pressure has not meaningfully stepped in at this zone, suggesting that the market may not have found a firm bottom yet. 

Ethereum Prediction
Ethereum Prediction

The lack of strong demand increases the probability that ETH could sweep this month’s lows before any sustained recovery attempt begins. He adds that after the possible sweep, Ethereum could show some bounce-back after hitting levels around $1,500. 

On his chart, Ted also highlights key resistance zones that could determine the strength of any recovery. The first major barrier sits near $2,097, followed by a broader resistance region around $2,400, with a higher ceiling near $2,800.

XRP Key Levels to Watch as Structure Shifts Bearish

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Beyond market sentiment, the recent XRP price drop has weighed on technical structures that once favored an upside trend.

XRP, the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is not immune to the downward momentum ravaging the digital asset sector. It has followed the broader trend, correcting nearly 3% in the past 24 hours and 28% since the start of the year.  Still, there is a risk of a further price downturn in the near term, as its structure is turning bearish.

Key Points

  • Beyond market sentiment, the recent XRP price drop has weighed on technical structures that once favored an upside move.
  • Despite the recent downturn, there is a risk of a further price downturn in the near term, as its structure is turning bearish following a key support breach.
  • This demand trendline originated from a low of $1.34 on February 11 and has provided a base for XRP until it broke down on February 22.
  • Following the structural shift, analysis now highlights the two major support areas at $1.11 and $0.87 as major downside targets.
  • Still, XRP will not revisit any of these lows if it flips the $1.65 resistance level.

XRP Structure Turns Bearish

Experienced market commentator Casi floated this sentiment in her recent X post, citing a recent break below a key support level.

A shared 1-hour chart shows that this demand trendline originated from a low of $1.34 on February 11 and has provided a base for XRP until it broke down on February 22. A subsequent attempt to reclaim this zone yesterday proved unsustainable, as broader market weakness drove prices down again.

XRP Breaks Below Support/CasiTrades
XRP Breaks Below Support/CasiTrades

CasiTrades noted that XRP is now showing signs of bearish strength, as bulls have failed to keep selling pressure at bay. As such, she expects more downward trends, highlighting key levels to watch.

Notably, her chart once favored an XRP rebound in a broader wave-like price development. The key support recently lost stemmed from the wave (B) lows and was supposed to form the base for an XRP rebound to start the next wave of bullish price action. Dropping below the zone has now turned the former support into a strong resistance area.

Crucial Downtrend Targets

Following the structural shift, the analysis now highlights key levels to keep an eye on if XRP trends downwards. These are two major support areas at $1.11 and $0.87, identified as major downside targets.

Reaching $1.11 would see XRP drop 16.5% from the current market price of $1.33. Interestingly, this is not the first time it has dipped to the support in recent days. The coin tested the support for the first time in 15 months on February 6, but rebounded aggressively from there.

Failure to replicate such strength if XRP revisits that lower level would pave the way for the $0.87 support, a 34.5% correction from here. The chart shows that the level could be an exhaustion point before a sustained recovery.

Still, XRP would not revisit any of these lows if it flips the $1.65 resistance level. Doing so would turn the structure bullish and make the recent drop a mere false breakdown rather than the start of a deeper corrective move.

XRP Could Follow One of Three Paths from Here Based on the 44 EMA

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Data analysis indicates that XRP could follow one of three possible paths from here, depending on how it interacts with the 44 EMA.

XRP has remained under pressure along with the wider crypto market, wiping out $136 billion in market value since its peak in July 2025. As the price trades at lower levels, the 44-month exponential moving average (EMA) has emerged as one of the most pivotal levels to watch.

Key Points

  • XRP has erased $136 billion in value since July 2025, recently dropping to retest the 44 EMA around $1.12.
  • Data indicates that XRP could take one of three paths from here, depending on how it interacts with the 44 EMA.
  • A monthly close below the EMA could break structure and open the door to a decline toward the $0.65 to $0.85 range.
  • Holding the 44 EMA could trigger a relief move toward $2.20, though this would likely act as a bull trap rather than a full breakout.
  • A confirmed bullish continuation would require acceptance above $2.20 to $2.30, with $3.65 as the next major target.

A Critical Support Level

Market analyst EGRAG Crypto highlighted these levels in a recent analysis. He suggested that the 44 EMA was the most important level on the monthly chart right now. At the time of his analysis, the 44 EMA stood around $1.12, while XRP traded at $1.32. 

He explained that price is now testing this moving average, which has historically acted as a painful zone for the asset. For context, XRP’s drop to $1.11 on Feb. 6 marked a retest of the 44 EMA, followed by a rebound. While EGRAG said he still sees the bigger picture as bullish, he clarified that XRP is currently moving through a correction.

XRP Closing Below 44 EMA

With XRP still at risk of another retest of the 44 EMA, EGRAG shared that the price could follow one of three paths depending on how it interacts with the moving average. 

In the first scenario, if XRP closes a monthly candle below the 44 EMA at $1.12, the current structure would break. EGRAG warned that this kind of move could trigger a drop toward the $0.65 to $0.85 range. He called this zone a likely final capitulation area, where sellers could push the price down in a last wave of heavy selling.

According to him, losing the 44 EMA would show weakness and open the door to much lower levels. In this case, bears would stay firmly in control, and XRP could revisit prices far below where it trades today.

Holding Above the 44 EMA

Meanwhile, the second path involves XRP holding above the 44 EMA at $1.12. If the price stays above the EMA, a reaction move inside the broader channel structure could ensue. 

For context, XRP currently trades within a multi-year ascending channel. The token broke above the channel in November 2024 and stayed above it until January 2026. In January 2026, XRP dropped below $1.6 and fell back into the channel. 

XRP 44 EMA EGRAG Crypto
XRP 44 EMA | EGRAG Crypto

If XRP now holds the 44 EMA, EGRAG believes the price could rebound toward the upper boundary of that channel, which lines up with the $2.2 level.

According to him, $2.2 remains the most logical relief target to reclaim, but he admitted that this would not indicate the start of a new bull run. The analyst confirmed that he would only see a run to $2.2 as a possible bull trap, not a true breakout.

XRP Pushing Above $2.3

In a third scenario, which would involve a real bullish continuation, XRP must move above the $2.20 to $2.30 range and hold there. Notably, $2.20 matches the upper trendline of the multi-year ascending channel, making it a major resistance point. Only after the price gains acceptance above this area would new all-time highs return to the discussion.

If the breakout happens, the analyst sets the next target at $3.65, which marks XRP’s previous all-time high. According to him, until the structure clearly confirms strength, the short-term view remains neutral to bearish. However, he maintains that the long-term outlook remains strong.

Cathie Wood Says Bitcoin Is “Hands Down” Superior to Gold

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Ark Invest founder Cathie Wood has reiterated her strong conviction in Bitcoin, describing it as a superior alternative to gold.

In a recent interview with Bloomberg, Wood explained why she believes the digital asset maintains a structural advantage, even though short-term performance tells a more nuanced story.

Key Points

  • Cathie Wood sees Bitcoin as a modern hedge against both inflation and deflation, highlighting its structural advantage over gold.
  • She notes Bitcoin adoption is still in early stages, with institutional exposure developing and younger investors favoring digital assets over bullion.
  • Despite Wood’s optimism, Bitcoin is down 27.7% year-to-date, while gold has gained 19% over the same period.
  • Ark Invest is actively expanding its crypto-related holdings, including purchases of Bitmine, Bullish, and Robinhood.
  • Wood and Ark view Bitcoin and digital assets as a generational shift in finance, focusing on long-term growth rather than short-term market fluctuations.

Bitcoin Structural Advantage

During the discussion, Wood framed Bitcoin as a hedge against both inflation and deflation. She acknowledged that gold has traditionally played a similar defensive role. However, she emphasized that Bitcoin’s digital nature sets it apart in a modern financial system.

According to Wood, gold’s demand profile is mature and well established. By contrast, Bitcoin is still in the early stages of institutional and retail adoption. Institutional exposure is still developing, she noted, while younger investors increasingly favor digital assets over physical bullion.

She also pointed out that both assets can serve as protection during deflationary cycles. In her view, Bitcoin has recently demonstrated stronger relative performance in that environment. This perspective underscores her belief that Bitcoin represents a generational shift in store-of-value investments.

Market Performance Tells a Different Story

Despite her optimism, current market data reflects a more complex reality. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $63,269. The cryptocurrency has declined 27.70% since the start of the year.

On the other hand, Gold was priced at $5,180 per troy ounce. The metal has gained 19% year-to-date. These figures show that gold has outperformed Bitcoin so far this year.

Consequently, this divergence highlights the tension between long-term conviction and short-term price action. While Wood focuses on structural adoption trends, recent returns favor the traditional safe-haven asset.

Ark Invest Doubles Down on Crypto

Even so, Ark Invest continues to expand its exposure to crypto-linked companies. Trading disclosures reveal that on February 12, the firm purchased 212,314 shares of Bitmine. The transaction was valued at approximately $4.2 million and spread across three exchange-traded funds.

On the same day, Ark acquired 74,323 shares of Bullish, worth about $2.4 million. The firm also bought 174,767 shares of Robinhood, totaling roughly $12.4 million.

Updated portfolio data shows that Bullish now ranks as the ninth-largest holding in Ark’s ARKF fund. The position carries a 3.4% weighting and is valued at nearly $30 million. In addition, Ark maintains ETF positions in Block, Circle, and Coinbase.

Long-Term Strategy Amid Volatility

Taken together, these moves reflect a consistent strategy. Although Bitcoin’s price has weakened this year, Ark appears focused on long-term ecosystem growth rather than short-term fluctuations.

Wood’s comments and the firm’s latest investments suggest a clear message. Ark views digital assets as a foundational shift in finance. Although gold currently leads in annual performance, Ark’s positioning indicates continued confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.