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XRP Looking Better After Finally Breaking First Higher High in 6 Months

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After six months of witnessing lower highs and lower lows amid a market downtrend, XRP has finally broken the bearish structure with a new higher high.

XRP is gradually pushing toward new territories after months of a sustained downtrend. Specifically, following the July 2025 peak of $3.6, XRP slipped into a downward spiral alongside the rest of the crypto market. Notably, XRP recorded four monthly losses out of five, losing 39% of its value during this period.

A recovery attempt that emerged earlier this month faced resistance at $2.41 on Jan. 6, leading to another round of losses. However, market data indicates that this recovery push helped XRP break what appears to have been a series of lower highs and lower lows that played out consistently after the July 2025 peak.

Key Points

  • XRP’s price action has remained under pressure following the drop from the $3.6 peak in July 2025.
  • Since then, XRP has recorded multiple monthly losses, losing 39% of its value as it records lower highs and lower lows.
  • The recovery attempt from earlier this year, which met resistance at $2.41, helped XRP break this structure of lower highs and lower lows.
  • Specifically, XRP’s rise to $2.41 on Jan. 6 marked a higher high, indicating that the bearish momentum may be weakening.

XRP Records Series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows

This pattern was identified by Sjuul Follings, founder and CEO of crypto resource AltCryptoGems. Follings suggested that XRP was starting to look better after breaking the bearish structure that followed the pullback from $3.6 in July 2025.

For context, after this pullback, XRP first dropped to a low of $2.96 by Aug. 3 before recovering to $3.2 six days later. However, this $3.2 peak marked a lower high despite representing stern resistance. From here, XRP dropped further to $2.69 on Sept. 1, marking a lower low. The recovery that followed led to $3.07, another lower high.

This pattern of lower highs and lower lows persisted until Q4 2025, when XRP witnessed another lower high of $2.28 in late November and from here collapsed to a lower low of $1.77 by Dec. 19, 2025. Essentially, the bearish structure lasted till the end of the year.

XRP Breaks Bearish Structure

However, the rebound that ensued at the start of 2026 pushed XRP to $2.41, a higher high when compared to the $2.28 high in late November 2025. This marked the first time XRP recorded a higher high on the daily chart in six months, leading to a break of the bearish structure.

While the pullback that emerged following the $2.41 peak has dampened investor sentiment this year, analysts like Follings believe XRP now sits in a better position. In his latest analysis, Follings confirmed this and noted that XRP must now maintain this new trend of higher values to keep the bullish positioning. 

XRP Breaks Bearish Structure Sjuul Follings
XRP Breaks Bearish Structure | Sjuul Follings

This would mean forming a low higher than the December 2025 floor of $1.77 before rebounding to prices higher than the $2.41 peak of Jan. 6. If this materializes, XRP will have begun forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, a pattern that could set the stage for a sustained recovery.

To maintain the bullish structure, XRP must hold above the $1.8 support identified by Follings in his chart. Meanwhile, the recovery could gain momentum once XRP’s price recovers above the $2.7 pivot, with a full bullish trend emerging above the $3.4 resistance.

XRP Stands With Purpose, People Betting Against XRP Will Regret It: Top CEO

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A prominent wealth expert argues that XRP’s value goes far beyond price speculation, warning that those betting against the asset are likely to regret it. 

Although XRP plays a clear role in cross-border settlements, critics have often downplayed this utility and dismissed the token as just another speculative play. In response, XRP proponents continue to push back, stressing that its distinct design and real-world use case set it apart.

Key Points 

  • Prominent wealth expert Jake Claver argues that XRP’s value extends far beyond price speculation. 
  • Critics have frequently downplayed XRP’s role in cross-border settlements, labeling it as speculative. 
  • Claver warns that investors betting against XRP may ultimately regret it. 
  • Historical trends show that utility consistently outperforms hype.

XRP’s Purpose Extends Beyond Speculation 

Jake Claver, CEO of Digital Ascension Group (DAG), recently reinforced this view in a post on X. In his commentary, Claver emphasized that XRP was deliberately engineered with a specific purpose beyond price speculation. 

He noted that while much of the crypto market has chased scarcity narratives in hopes of becoming digital gold alongside Bitcoin, XRP has taken a different path, focusing instead on solving tangible real-world problems. 

Moreover, Claver pointed to historical market trends, arguing that utility ultimately outperforms hype over the long term. From this perspective, dismissing XRP as just another token overlooks the intentional choices that underpin its architecture. 

Consequently, he cautioned that those who underestimate XRP’s uniqueness may regret it, particularly if they miss the point where function and purpose begin to outweigh speculation. 

“Utility Wins All the Time”

Notably, several members of the XRP community rallied behind Jake Claver’s commentary. One user argued that utility ultimately prevails in the market, stressing that assets with real-world applications tend to outperform speculation-driven tokens over the long term. 

Similarly, another commenter maintained that utility has always been the defining factor in crypto. Despite acknowledging that mass adoption has yet to materialize fully, they emphasized that progress continues steadily. 

XRP Targets Real-World Payment Inefficiencies

Meanwhile, XRP has positioned itself as a digital asset with clear real-world utility. Developers designed the token to reduce inefficiencies in traditional payment systems by enabling fast, low-cost, and scalable value transfers, especially for cross-border transactions. 

As a result, its architecture prioritizes rapid settlement, liquidity efficiency, and interoperability with existing financial infrastructure. In addition, Ripple has driven XRP’s adoption for cross-border payments. Several financial institutions, including SBI Group and Tranglo, already use the token for settlements. 

From Claver’s perspective, this problem-solving capability signals that broader adoption is only a matter of time and could support long-term price appreciation. 

However, skeptics remain unconvinced. Some argue that Ripple, not XRP holders, benefits most from the ecosystem and claim the company could eventually replace XRP with its stablecoin, RLUSD. 

Meanwhile, Ripple executives have repeatedly rejected this view. In fact, CEO Brad Garlinghouse has reaffirmed that XRP remains central to Ripple’s long-term strategy, directly countering speculation that the asset could be sidelined. 

XRP Secures Top-Tier Allocation in Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest New ETF Filing 

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Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest has filed an S-1 application with the U.S. SEC for the ARK CoinDesk 20 Crypto ETF, highlighting XRP among the fund’s most significant holdings. 

The filing, submitted yesterday, underscores growing institutional confidence in diversified crypto exposure, particularly beyond Bitcoin to assets like XRP. 

Key Points 

  • XRP is one of the fund’s largest holdings, with a 19.88% weighting. 
  • It ranks behind only Bitcoin (32.4%) and Ethereum (20.69%) in the full index. 
  • Shares of the ETF are expected to be listed and traded on NYSE Arca, Inc. 
  • Estimated launch capital is approximately $437,000, according to the filing. 

XRP Sees Nearly 20% Allocation 

The proposed ETF, filed on January 23, 2026, tracks the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) Index. Notably, XRP carries a significant 19.88% weighting, making it one of the fund’s top components. The token only ranks behind Ethereum and Bitcoin, which are assigned weights of 20.69% and 32.4% in the full index, respectively. 

Other major cryptocurrencies in the fund include Solana, Cardano, Bitcoin Cash, Chainlink, Stellar, Litecoin, and Avalanche, with respective weightings of 12.88%, 2.29%, 2.25%, 1.61%, 1.20%, 1.10%, and 0.99%. 

Ark CoinDesk 20 ETF Constituents
Ark CoinDesk 20 ETF Constituents

Meanwhile, Ark Invest will sponsor the fund, and CSC Delaware Trust will act as trustee. Notably, the fund’s shares will list and trade on NYSE Arca, Inc. The fund currently shows a nominal seed value of $100, with an expected launch capital of about $437,000. 

What This Means for XRP

XRP’s near-20% allocation places it firmly in the institutional spotlight. Inclusion at this scale suggests growing acceptance of XRP as a liquid, investable asset suitable for regulated products. 

For market participants, this strengthens XRP’s case as a long-term component of professionally managed crypto portfolios and could support deeper liquidity and broader adoption if the ETF is approved.  

XRP’s Growing Presence Across Spot ETFs

XRP’s inclusion in the ARK CoinDesk 20 ETF builds on an already expanding footprint in U.S.-listed crypto funds. Over the past year, the token has been a core component of several major basket ETFs, including the Bitwise 10 Crypto Index Fund (BITW), the Grayscale CoinDesk Crypto 5 ETF (GDLC), and Hashdex’s Nasdaq Crypto Index US ETF (NCIQ).

Beyond diversified products, XRP has also gained traction through single-asset spot ETFs. Currently, five XRP spot ETFs are trading on U.S. exchanges, offered by Grayscale, Franklin, Bitwise, Canary, and 21Shares. 

Since Canary launched the first of these products in November, the group has attracted $1.23 billion in net inflows, lifting total assets under management to approximately $1.36 billion. 

Tokenized RWA on the XRP Ledger Crosses the $1B Milestone

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The total value of the tokenized RWA on the XRP Ledger has finally hit the $1 billion milestone amid a rapid expansion since the start of the year. 

While XRP and the broader crypto market have faced a roadblock to the earlier bullish momentum, real-world asset (RWA) tokenization has continued to expand across multiple blockchains, and the XRP Ledger (XRPL) remains a major beneficiary of the growth.

Specifically, data confirms that tokenized RWA on the XRP Ledger has now crossed the $1 billion mark for the first time in history, after starting the year with a total value of $885 million. This indicates that the value of tokenized RWA on the XRP Ledger has grown by nearly $115 million this year, with the Ripple stablecoin (RLUSD) contributing the most to this growth.

Key Points

  • Tokenized RWA on the XRP Ledger has hit the $1 million milestone after adding $115 million worth of value in 2026.
  • The Ripple stablecoin, RLUSD, contributed the most to this growth, making up more than 90% of the value added this year.
  • Today, the value of RWA on the XRPL stands at $1.001 billion, with US treasury debt accounting for $150.2 million and stablecoins making up $395 million.
  • Exactly a year ago, the XRPL hosted just $45 million worth of tokenized RWA, indicating that the network has added over $956 million in the past year.

Tokenized RWA on the XRP Ledger Hits $1B

This is according to data provided by RWA.xyz, an industry-standard data aggregator focused on tokenized real-world assets. Notably, the recent $1 billion figure accounts for all RWA value on the XRPL, including distributed and represented assets.

Tokenized RWA on the XRP Ledger
Tokenized RWA on the XRP Ledger

With the XRPL adding $115 million in tokenized value since the start of this year, the RLUSD stablecoin accounts for 90% of this growth, having contributed $104 million. Following this rapid surge, RLUSD market cap on the XRP Ledger has now increased to $338 million, making up 33.7% of the total RWA value on the network.

Contributions from Each Asset Class

Today, the total value of RWA on the XRPL sits exactly at $1.001 billion, including distributed represented assets. For context, distributed assets represent assets that users can hold and transfer on the blockchain for trading and DeFi use, while represented assets stay on the issuing platform and can’t be transferred outside. Notably, represented assets act as internal digital records of ownership, not tradable assets.

Of the $1.001 billion, distributed assets make up $600.4 million, representing a 60% share. These assets include private equity ($55.2 million), U.S. treasury debt ($150.2 million), and stablecoins ($395 million). Interestingly, RLUSD, currently boasting a $338 million market cap on the XRPL, accounts for 85% of all stablecoin value on the network.

Distributed Assets RWAxyz
Distributed Assets | RWAxyz

Meanwhile, represented assets make up $401.4 million, representing 40% of the $1.001 billion total value on the XRPL. Notably, these assets include commodities ($110.7 million), real estate ($6.9 million), and private credit ($283.8 million). Vert Capital’s tokens, which represent Brazilian private equity, account for $269.8 million worth of private credit.

Represented Assets RWAxyz
Represented Assets | RWAxyz

XRPL RWA Tokenization Recording Rapid Expansion

The recent $1 billion milestone reflects the rapid expansion the XRPL has continued to record in the tokenization scene, which the BlackRock CEO Larry Fink calls “inevitable.” 

For context, exactly a year ago, the XRPL only hosted $45.179 million worth of tokenized RWA. The current figure of $1.001 billion indicates that the blockchain’s RWA value has grown by $956.6 billion over the past year, as it sets itself up to benefit from the growing tokenization narrative. Recall that Bitwise suggested last year that buying XRP was one of the “cleanest” ways to invest in the future of tokenization.

XRP Targets if Dogecoin Hits $2 and Ethereum Reaches $7,000

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As the market searches for direction, fresh price targets from industry figures are reviving discussions around how high major altcoins like XRP could realistically climb in the next bullish phase.

Zia ul Haque, founder of Open4profit, recently shared his bullish crypto targets for 2026. He outlined a scenario in which Ethereum climbs to $7,000 and Dogecoin stages a historic rally to $2.

These prices would represent new peaks for both ETH and DOGE. Within that framework, Haque places XRP at a level that would also mark a new all-time high.

At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.90, down 2.0% on the day and nearly 8% over the past week. By comparison, Dogecoin is trading at $0.125, while Ethereum sits near $2,934, with both slightly lower on the day.

Key Points

  • Analysts eye a 2x XRP price surge if Ethereum hits $7,000 and Dogecoin rallies to a historic $2 level.

  • A $2 DOGE would signal extreme altcoin euphoria, often lifting large-cap tokens like XRP.

  • XRP moving from $1.90 to $5 implies a modest 2.6x rise versus meme-coin surges.

  • ChatGPT and Grok project XRP between $4–$10, with higher targets in euphoric markets.

What $2 Dogecoin and $7,000 Ethereum Would Signal

A move to $2 would be transformative for Dogecoin. From current levels, it would represent a 16x rally, pushing DOGE into the upper tier of global crypto assets and firmly signaling a full-blown speculative altcoin cycle.

Ethereum reaching $7,000 would also mark a major milestone. Such a price would place ETH’s market capitalization well above $800 billion.

Historically, environments in which Ethereum posts multi-X gains and meme coins explode imply a full-blown bull run, where altcoins like XRP also experience explosive growth. In this context, Haque suggested XRP’s price could reach $5.

Why XRP at $5 Fits This Scenario

In Haque’s model, XRP reaching $5 would be a more measured outcome compared to Dogecoin’s surge. From $1.90, a move to $5 represents roughly a 2.6x increase, pushing XRP’s market capitalization toward the $300 billion range.

This aligns with what several analysts describe as a conservative bull-cycle outcome for XRP, where capital rotates into the asset without the extreme euphoria seen in meme coins or smaller-cap tokens.

Notably, this $5 target sits below more aggressive forecasts that place XRP between $8 and $30 during peak bull scenarios. Instead, it reflects a market where XRP benefits from broader altcoin strength while still lagging assets like Ethereum and Dogecoin in percentage terms.

What ChatGPT and Grok Say About XRP’s Price

In its analysis, ChatGPT acknowledged that Dogecoin reaching $2 would signal extreme market euphoria. Under this context, it suggested a moderately bullish outlook for XRP between $4 and $8. On the more aggressive side, it projected XRP could reach $26 to $50 by 2030.

ChatGPT XRP Price Prediction
ChatGPT XRP Price Prediction

Grok AI shared a similar view, outlining a $6 to $10 price range for XRP if Ethereum reaches $7,000 and Dogecoin trades at $2. Under a “euphoria spillover” scenario, it predicted XRP could rise above $10 to $15, noting that extreme hype could push it beyond $20.

When Could Dogecoin Hit $2?

According to Changelly’s analysis, Dogecoin may reach $2 by March 2033. Interestingly, the platform suggests XRP could be trading around $38 at that time, implying a massive 1,851.5% gain from current levels.

Meanwhile, Telegaon’s analysis suggests $2 DOGE could occur sooner, by 2029. During that period, it expects XRP to trade between $13 and $16.8.

Whales Massively Buying Gold Instead of Bitcoin: Details

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Bitcoin slipped today as on-chain data showed large investors shifting capital toward gold-backed assets instead of crypto.

The move comes as traditional safe havens surge to fresh all-time highs, leaving the digital asset market in the red.

Key Points

  • Bitcoin slipped as whales rotated capital into tokenized gold amid record-breaking rallies in precious metals.

  • A whale bought millions in XAUT as gold and silver hit fresh all-time highs on macro uncertainty.

  • BTC lagged near $88,653, reflecting investor caution and preference for lower-volatility hedges.

  • Peter Schiff renewed Bitcoin criticism, citing underperformance versus gold since 2021.

Whales Buying Gold Instead of Bitcoin

In a tweet today, blockchain tracking platform Lookonchain highlighted a whale address actively accumulating tokenized gold rather than Bitcoin. According to the data, the whale deposited $1.53 million in USDC into Hyperliquid to purchase XAUT, a token backed by physical gold and issued by Tether.

This follows an earlier purchase of 481.6 XAUT worth approximately $2.38 million. The address still holds around $1.44 million in USDC, suggesting additional gold exposure could be ahead.

Image

The rotation aligns with a strong rally in precious metals. Gold recently surged to $4,967 per ounce. At the same time, silver climbed to $99.24, with both assets printing new all-time highs amid heightened macroeconomic uncertainty.

The strength in metals appears to be attracting capital that might otherwise flow into risk assets like crypto.

Bitcoin Lagging Behind

Indeed, Bitcoin has struggled to regain momentum. At the time of writing, BTC is trading around $88,653, down roughly 1% on the day and nearly 30% below its previous cycle peak.

The price action reflects investor hesitation as markets weigh inflation risks, monetary policy expectations, and the appeal of less volatile stores of value.

The contrast between whale activity in gold and Bitcoin’s softer performance highlights a short-term shift in sentiment. While long-term Bitcoin holders continue to view BTC as digital gold, current on-chain behavior suggests that some large players are prioritizing traditional hedges as macro pressures intensify.

Peter Schiff Renews Criticism of Bitcoin

Amid gold’s historic performance, economist Peter Schiff has renewed his criticism of Bitcoin, arguing that investors are missing out as precious metals surge to record levels.

In posts on X today, Schiff said gold and silver are sending stronger signals in today’s volatile economic environment, while Bitcoin has failed to keep pace.

He also noted that since November 2021, Bitcoin has lost more than 50% of its value when measured against gold.

Schiff argued that the real risk for Bitcoin holders is opportunity cost, with capital tied up in an asset that has underperformed traditional stores of value. He further questioned Bitcoin’s “digital gold” narrative, saying its failure to rally alongside gold during periods of monetary stress weakens its case as a hedge.

While acknowledging Bitcoin’s early gains, Schiff maintained that gold and silver remain safer havens amid rising debt, currency pressure, and broader market uncertainty.

$6.9 Trillion Swiss Bank UBS to Offer Bitcoin Trading

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UBS is moving closer to offering cryptocurrency trading to some of its banking clients, marking a significant step in the bank’s gradual entry into digital assets.

The initiative reflects growing demand from wealthy investors and mirrors a broader shift across global finance as traditional institutions seek regulated exposure to cryptocurrencies.

Key Points

  • UBS is preparing to offer crypto trading to select private banking clients in Switzerland.
  • The initial trading will include Bitcoin and Ethereum.
  • UBS has spent several months assessing partners to support its crypto trading plans.
  • Expansion to Asia-Pacific and the United States is under consideration.

Initial Rollout to Begin in Switzerland

According to Bloomberg, UBS has spent several months assessing potential partners to support its crypto trading plans and is now nearing a final decision.

Initially, the rollout will focus on a select group of private banking clients in Switzerland, who will be able to trade Bitcoin and Ethereum. By starting in its home market, UBS aims to test operational processes while maintaining close regulatory and risk oversight.

Subsequently, once the Swiss pilot is established, the bank may expand the service to additional regions. Bloomberg reported that Asia-Pacific and the United States are among the markets under consideration. This phased expansion would enable UBS to refine its offering in response to client demand and evolving regulatory conditions.

Wall Street Peers Deepen Crypto Involvement

UBS’s move comes amid intensifying competition among major global banks. For instance, as previously reported by The Crypto Basic, Morgan Stanley is preparing to offer trading in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana to its clients. The firm has also filed for spot exchange-traded funds tied to these assets. Furthermore, it plans to launch a crypto wallet later this year.

Meanwhile, JPMorgan continues to deepen its involvement in digital assets. The bank already accepts Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs as collateral and has tokenized its JPM Coin on the Base blockchain, with plans to extend the initiative to the Canton network. In December, The Crypto Basic reported that JPMorgan was also exploring crypto trading services for institutional clients.

Bloomberg noted that UBS’s crypto push is partly driven by demand from its wealthy clientele. As expectations evolve, banks are increasingly seeking compliant ways to integrate digital assets into traditional financial services.

UBS CEO Highlights Long-Term Blockchain Potential

UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti has been vocal about the long-term role of blockchain technologies in finance. Speaking to CNBC at the World Economic Forum in Davos, he described blockchain as a foundational technology for the future of banking.

Ermotti said he expects traditional finance and decentralized finance to converge over time. However, he cautioned that blockchain must still demonstrate long-term resilience. He also pointed to quantum computing as a potential future risk that the industry will need to address.

UBS has already gained hands-on experience with blockchain technology. For context, in 2024, UBS Asset Management launched a tokenized money market fund on the Ethereum network.

Last year, the bank also completed its first live tokenized fund transaction using Chainlink’s Digital Transfer Agent standard.

Together, these initiatives have enabled UBS to develop operational expertise in on-chain finance in advance of broader client-facing offerings.

Regulation May Accelerate Bank Adoption

Broader adoption across the banking sector may hinge on regulatory clarity. David Sacks, the White House Crypto Czar, recently said that adoption could accelerate if the U.S. passes the CLARITY Act.

The U.S. is also pushing for reforms to the Basel III framework that would allow banks to expand into activities such as crypto trading. In response, the Basel Committee has confirmed it will review its rules governing banks’ crypto holdings. This move could facilitate broader institutional participation in digital asset markets.

Senator Cynthia Lummis Says, Let’s Get the CLARITY Act Passed Before It’s Too Late

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Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis has called on US lawmakers to swiftly pass the CLARITY Act, which would bring structure to the US crypto market.

She reiterated the legislation’s importance to the growth of the digital asset sector in her recent X post, calling for a decisive move in Congress. Beyond the space, she also emphasized that the crypto market structure bill is also critical to America’s leadership.

Key Points

  • Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis has called on US lawmakers to swiftly pass the CLARITY Act, which would bring structure to the US crypto market.
  • According to her, the CLARITY Act “locks in protection” for the sector against future anti-crypto leaders like Elizabeth Warren.
  • The CLARITY Act, which provides clearer insight into the regulation of digital assets, has become a topic of interest to US lawmakers and industry leaders alike.
  • Lummis earlier noted that a crypto president is on the ground to implement the agreed-upon regulations for the industry.

Bill Passage Locks in Protection for Digital Assets

The CLARITY Act, which provides clearer insight into the regulation of digital assets, has become a topic of interest to US lawmakers and industry leaders alike. On Friday, pro-crypto senator Lummis highlighted the importance of passing the bill now.

She started by criticizing the Biden administration for stunting the advancement of digital assets during his tenure. The senator insisted that the previous government waged war against the industry, evidenced in the incessant lawsuits and the Wells Notice issued by the former US SEC chair, Gary Gensler.

Meanwhile, she urged Congress to leverage the current friendly environment to set clear rules governing digital assets. According to her, the CLARITY Act “locks in protection” for the sector against future anti-crypto leaders like Elizabeth Warren.

“Let’s get this done,” she charged, emphasizing that once done, antagonists cannot undo it.

Broader Industry Agreement on the CLARITY Bill

Her tweet today builds on one from Thursday, in which she noted that the crypto industry is in agreement on the crypto market structure bill. She highlighted the rarity of “builders,” “investors,” and “innovators” in the digital asset sector standing in one voice to support the legislation.

Notably, while this is true to a large extent, recent details of the bill have forced a social media revolt from Coinbase. Its CEO, Brian Armstrong, announced the exchange has denounced support for the bill, citing several flaws, including the stablecoin yield-bearing ban. Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson also took it out on Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse for his stance that clarity is better than chaos.

Further, Lummis noted that a crypto president is on the ground to implement the agreed-upon regulations for the industry. She added that America’s leadership depends on this.

Donald Trump has repeatedly expressed his support for Bitcoin and the broader industry. He has pledged to make America the crypto capital of the world, following up with his signing of the GENIUS stablecoin bill.

Why It Matters for Crypto and Its Investors

Passage of the CLARITY bill will foster an environment where crypto thrives in the US. Issues on who controls what would be resolved, bringing clarity and protecting participants from sudden legal lawsuits.

It would also encourage large institutions to invest in the sector, broadening adoption and innovation.

However, much work remains in the pipeline, including reconciling the different versions of the bill in the Senate and House. The counter bill from the Senate shrinks the purview of the US Commodities Futures Trading Commission and seeks stricter regulation of customer protection, while the House proposal gives the commodities regulators more power over the sector.

Notably, the US SEC chair, Paul Atkins, is already working to harmonize his agency with the CFTC on crypto regulation. He will meet with CFTC Chair Mike Selig next week to discuss this.

Cardano Founder Hoskinson Warns of U.S. Recession

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Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson warned that the United States faces a significant risk of recession if several global forces converge.

In a recent commentary, he said a potential AI bubble burst, combined with long-time U.S. allies shifting trade and investment toward China, could push the economy into recession.

As a result, Hoskinson argued that prolonged economic decoupling would sharply reduce U.S. consumption and could become economically catastrophic without timely policy intervention.

Key Points  

  • Hoskinson identifies retaliatory EU tariffs, a potential AI bubble burst, and a shift in trade toward China as major risks to the U.S. economy.
  • He warns that a recession becomes inevitable if these pressures persist without intervention.
  • Goldman Sachs estimates a 35% odds that the U.S. will enter a recession this year.
  • Hoskinson notes that decisive action by the U.S. government could still prevent or mitigate a downturn.

What Could Drive US Into Recession

The Cardano founder made the assertion in a recent interview while addressing questions about whether and when the U.S. could enter a recession. He described a chain reaction in which financial strain and geopolitical realignment weaken foreign direct investment into the U.S.

He pointed to deepening economic ties with China among Western partners, including new trade deals and expanded diplomacy involving Canada and the U.K., as signs of a gradual but meaningful shift in global trade dynamics.

Hoskinson also warned of a potential AI bubble burst and escalating retaliatory tariffs across Europe as factors that could drive the U.S. into recession.

Potential Timing

According to him, losing a significant share of trading partners over a three- to five-year period would directly weaken U.S. consumption. Since consumption underpins the economy, he argued that losing as many as 50% of trading partners would have a severe impact.

He adds that if these pressures remain unchecked, a U.S. recession becomes inevitable. However, he maintains that prompt and decisive government action could still prevent an economic downturn.

Fears of Potential Recession Remain

Amid escalating trade tensions, financial experts warn that the U.S. faces rising recession risks. In March 2025, Goldman Sachs estimated a 35% chance of a U.S. recession within the next 12 months, citing intensifying trade wars.

After a prolonged back-and-forth with China last year, the U.S. entered 2026 by slamming a 10% tariff on several European countries, effective February 1. In response, the EU suspended its trade deal with the U.S.

However, President Trump later reversed course, scrapping the tariffs after reaching an agreement on Greenland’s future.

Despite the reversal, economist Mark Zandi warned that the U.S. remains close to recession, citing a weakening labor market and slowing economic growth. 

Data Shows 45% of XRP Wallets Hold Less Than 100 XRP

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Market data shows that nearly 50% of all XRP wallets currently hold less than 100 XRP, confirming room for further adoption.

According to the XRP wallet distribution metric, exactly 45% of wallets hold between 1 and 100 XRP worth $1.90 to $190. Additionally, those holding 100 to 1,000 XRP represent 22% of the total wallets. This confirms that the XRP market still has room for growth despite being nearly 13 years old.

Key Points

  • XRP has traded for nearly 13 years, but most market commentators believe the asset is still early, with room for growth.
  • One of the factors driving this argument is the XRP wallet distribution metric, which indicates that about 45% of the 7.53 million XRP wallets hold less than 100 XRP.
  • Moreover, those holding between 100 and 1,000 XRP represent 22% of the total, with just 10% managing wallets with 10,000 to 100,000 XRP.

XRP Still Early?

Japanese XRP community member Sekairoboyashi recently shared this data, aligning with suggestions that the XRP market is still early.

Notably, despite being nearly 13 years old, XRP holders believe the crypto asset is still in an early growth phase. Since its launch, XRP has delivered an all-time gain exceeding 32,000%, yet several market commentators argue that its current adoption level leaves room for expansion. 

They believe investors entering the market today may still be setting themselves up relatively early, especially when they compare XRP’s user metrics with those of older and more established cryptocurrencies.

For instance, XRP currently boasts 7.53 million wallets. In contrast, Bitcoin alone has approximately 56.8 million wallets holding between 0 and 1 BTC. This difference shows how much smaller XRP’s holder base remains, even after more than a decade of existence. 

45% of XRP Wallets Hold Less Than 100 XRP

Notably, of the 7.53 million wallets, the report from Sekairoboyashi reveals that a substantial portion of XRP wallets hold relatively small amounts of the asset. 

Specifically, around 45% of all XRP wallets contain between 1 and 100 XRP, making this the largest single group of holders on the network. Meanwhile, about 22% of wallets are estimated to hold between 100 and 1,000 XRP, while another 17% fall within the 1,000 to 10,000 XRP range. 

Interestingly, as the balances increase, the number of wallets continues to decline. Notably, about 10% of XRP wallets reportedly hold between 10,000 and 100,000 XRP. Moving up, roughly 4% of wallets control between 100,000 and 1 million XRP. At the top, wallets holding more than 1 million XRP account for less than 2% of the total. 

Current Holders Will Benefit When Institutions Enter

Sekairoboyashi emphasized that this means large-scale holders, or whales, represent only a small fraction of the overall XRP holder base. He also noted that when these upper tiers are combined, roughly the top 15% of wallets collectively control the majority of the circulating supply.

Now, while a large number of participants hold relatively small balances, owning 10,000 XRP or more already places a wallet within the top 15% of all holders. According to Sekairoboyashi, this shows how rare long-term holders with sizable balances have become over time.

He further suggested that this could become important if institutional players, banks, and even sovereign entities begin using the XRP Ledger at scale. In such a scenario, he believes the greatest benefit would accrue to those who accumulated and held XRP quietly during periods of relatively low adoption.