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ECB and European Commission Divided on MiCA Amid Concerns Over US Stablecoin Expansion Under Trump

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The European Central Bank (ECB) and European Commission are divided on how to strengthen Europe’s crypto regulations in response to U.S. efforts to expand its stablecoin industry.

At the heart of the disagreement is the regulation known as the Markets in Crypto Assets Regulation (MiCA). The ECB believes MiCA is insufficient to counter potential financial instability driven by U.S. policy changes under President Donald Trump. 

According to POLITICO, ECB concerns primarily center on the possibility that a booming U.S. stablecoin market could destabilize Europe’s economy. Meanwhile, the Commission insists that the current rules are robust enough to manage the risk.

ECB’s Alarm Over U.S. Stablecoin Growth

The ECB’s latest analysis warns that President Trump’s support for the U.S. crypto industry, especially stablecoins, could lead to financial contagion. The central bank highlighted that if dollar-backed stablecoins were to flood European markets, it could divert significant capital from the EU to the U.S., undermining efforts to make Europe’s financial system more independent.

Furthermore, the ECB argued that MiCA, introduced just months ago, needs an urgent revision to address these risks more effectively. Specifically, the ECB is concerned about the “multi-issuance” model, which allows European stablecoin issuers to collaborate with third-country firms, increasing exposure to potentially destabilizing external forces.

In response to these concerns, analysts from Standard Chartered have projected that dollar-backed stablecoins could grow dramatically, from $240 billion to $2 trillion by 2028. This projection has further fueled the ECB’s worries that such growth could spill over into Europe, creating risks of instability and a potential “run” on assets. 

ECB officials, including President Christine Lagarde and digital payments head Piero Cipollone, have repeatedly emphasized that MiCA might not be prepared to handle this new challenge.

European Commission Pushes Back 

On the other hand, the European Commission has sharply disagreed with the ECB’s assessment. According to the Commission, the existing MiCA framework is designed to manage risks associated with global stablecoins. 

The EU executive emphasized that it is too early to determine the exact impact of U.S. reforms on European markets. Moreover, the Commission pointed out that MiCA already requires crypto firms to meet stringent criteria, which has led some companies, including the popular Tether stablecoin, to delist from EU exchanges.

The Commission also defended MiCA by stating that the regulation allows for proactive measures against potential risks.

For example, the Commission highlighted that the law grants the ECB the authority to block stablecoin issuers if they threaten Europe’s payment systems, monetary policy, or sovereignty. This legal provision, the Commission argues, ensures that any major disruptions can be quickly mitigated.

ECB Chief on the Need for a Digital Euro

The European Central Bank (ECB) has been vocal about the need to neutralize the stablecoin threats. ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane reiterated this message in a keynote address at the University College Cork Economics Society Conference in Ireland, where he emphasized the critical importance of digital currencies in maintaining Europe’s monetary sovereignty. 

Lane raised alarms over the growing influence of foreign-controlled payment systems and stablecoins. He warned that these external forces could weaken the euro’s role in domestic and cross-border transactions.

He argued that the digital euro is essential for modernizing Europe’s financial system and ensuring the continent retains control over its monetary and financial future. Lane highlighted that Europe’s financial autonomy is increasingly under threat in today’s fragmented geopolitical landscape.

Senior Bloomberg Analyst Says Bitcoin Needs the Small Wins to Be True Alternative Asset

A senior analyst at Bloomberg says Bitcoin must secure small wins to be considered a true alternative asset amid outperformance.

For context, Bitcoin price has gained significant momentum this week, climbing from $84,000 on Monday to nearly $90,000. As of the latest update, Bitcoin stands at $90,790, up 2.85% over the last 24 hours. 

This rally has prompted Balchunas to draw comparisons with traditional financial assets like stocks, treasuries, and gold. Notably, Eric Balchunas, a Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg, highlighted Bitcoin’s recent performance and its divergence from broader markets in the past week.

A Diverging Path from TradFi

Balchunas pointed out that Bitcoin outperformed treasuries, which have been what he calls ‘unreliable’ once again. Balchunas also mentions gold, which is in a league of its own, having diverged by negative 0.983 as it posts massive gains amid the drop in equities.

Notably, gold recently surged to an all-time high of $3,500 per ounce, before retreating slightly to the $3,400 level.

Balchunas acknowledged that the time frame is small but emphasized that Bitcoin needs to secure these small wins if it aims to be considered a true alternative asset. Specifically, these small wins build up to place the asset ahead of global stocks, similar to what gold has observed over the years.

Bitcoin ETF Flows Surge

Other market watchers, including Matthew Sigel, head of research at VanEck, noted that Bitcoin’s rally from its April 7 low had allowed it to break free from its long-standing correlation with US tech stocks.

He noted that as Bitcoin approached its two-week high, Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) saw a surge in inflows, reaching their highest level since January 30.

Bitcoin vs. NASDAQ: Diverging Performance

Elsewhere, Ecoinometrics, a macro data provider, highlighted an interesting divergence between Bitcoin and the NASDAQ, with Bitcoin rising as the NASDAQ struggled. Historically, such divergences have not lasted long.

When the NASDAQ’s 200-day moving average trended downward, Bitcoin faced significant macroeconomic headwinds. Currently, Bitcoin is back at its 200-day moving average, but this time could be different. Ecoinometrics emphasized that the sustainability of this rally may depend on continued ETF inflows, as the rally could lose momentum without sustained investment.

Meanwhile, data from CoinShares revealed that sentiment in digital asset investment products is recovering. The majority of the inflows seen last week were directed toward Bitcoin, although mid-week retail data prompted $146 million in outflows.

New FEC filings Confirms Ripple’s XRP Donations Second Biggest to Trump’s Inauguration Fund

New FEC filings have confirmed that Ripple’s XRP donations made up the largest contributions from the crypto industry to President Donald Trump’s inauguration funds.

For context, the Trump transition team received a record $245 million in donations from hundreds of firms for Trump’s inauguration as the 47th president of the United States. Notably, the FEC report indicated that $6.23 million was refunded.

Among the prominent donors who contributed to the fund were Ripple, Meta, Amazon, JP Morgan, and Microsoft. Ripple contributed $4.9 million, the second-largest single sum among all donors. Meanwhile, the largest donor was Pilgrim, which gave $5 million to the president.

Remarkably, this fundraising effort for Trump’s second term was the largest in history. It was more than double the $107 million raised for his first term and nearly four times the $61 million raised by the Biden administration.

Ripple Makes the Second-Largest Donation

Of the massive $239 million fund, the crypto industry collectively donated $18 million to Trump’s celebratory event. Ripple led the pack by donating $4,889,345.

As reported earlier, Ripple made its donation in XRP tokens to Trump, which helped finance the President’s three-day inauguration celebration.

It is worth noting that, in addition to Ripple’s capital commitment to Trump’s inauguration, individual executives from the company also donated to influence the November 2024 elections.

For instance, Ripple’s chairman, Chris Larsen, donated at least $1 million in XRP to support Kamala Harris, although she did not win the election. On the other hand, Ripple’s Chief Legal Officer, Stuart Alderoty, donated over $500K in XRP to support Trump’s election.

Other Crypto Businesses That Contributed to Trump’s Celebration

Beyond Ripple, other prominent businesses in the crypto space also generously donated to Trump, both pre-election and post-election. The recent filing with the Federal Election Commission reveals that Robinhood donated $2 million to Trump’s inauguration. This made it the second-largest crypto industry donation after Ripple’s.

Meanwhile, Circle, the issuer of USDC stablecoin, Coinbase, Galaxy Digital, Ondo Finance, Solana Labs, and Paradigm each contributed $1 million to Trump’s inauguration.

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Notably, the crypto industry rallied massively to support Trump’s election and his celebration, as he had promised pro-crypto regulation. They sought relief from the hostile business environment the crypto industry experienced under the Biden-led administration.

Indeed, Trump is following through with his promises. He appointed a new SEC chair, Paul Atkins, who took office this week. 

Additionally, the SEC has dropped its litigation against various crypto firms, including Coinbase, Robinhood, and Gemini. Ripple’s case is also on hold as the agency and Ripple explore a potential settlement.

Trump Media Finalizes Deal to Launch Multiple ‘Made-in-America’ Crypto ETFs, Will XRP Be Included?

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President Donald Trump’s media company finalizes its deal with Crypto.com and Yorkville America Digital to launch several crypto ETFs. 

The partners have decided to move from a non-binding agreement memorandum announced in March to a binding agreement for the launch of several ETFs under Trump Media’s fintech arm, Truth. Fi. 

Emphasis on Made-in-America Assets 

According to the press release, the ETFs will focus on ‘Made in America’ cryptos and securities across diverse sectors. Crypto.com’s broker-dealer arm, Foris Capital, will roll out these financial products later this year, pending regulatory approval. 

Once launched, the products will be made available across international trading platforms in the United States, Europe, and Asia. Per the announcement, leading American multinational law firm Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP will provide legal guidance to the partners. 

In addition to the ETFs, Truth Media will launch a series of Truth. Fi Separately Managed Accounts (SMAs). To support these financial products, Trum Media will invest up to $250 million of its cash reserves in the ETFs and SMAs. Notably, Charles Schwab will serve as the custodian. 

Partners’ Execs React 

Devin Nunes, Trump Media’s CEO and Chairman, said the partnership is a major step toward expanding the company’s operations into digital assets. He expressed excitement about the partnership and looked forward to launching the Truth. Fi ETFs for investors who believe in the American economy. 

Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek said the partnership underscores the exchange’s capabilities in bridging traditional finance and crypto. Marszalek claims the collaboration is a win for Trump Media, indicating that it will leverage Crypto.com’s platform to distribute its ETFs globally. 

Yorkville’s CEO, Troy Rillo, characterized the partnership as a significant step toward introducing new financial products that align with the company’s America-First vision. 

“This is an exciting moment, and we anticipate substantial interest in the ETFs upon their launch later this year,” Rillo remarked. 

Will XRP Be Featured in Trump Media ETF? 

Meanwhile, besides CRO, the announcement did not specify which other crypto will be featured in the Truth. Fi ETF basket.

Recall that in March, Crypto.com revealed that Trump Media will introduce three crypto ETFs under the Truth.Fi brand. 

They include an exclusive ETF tied to Bitcoin, a dual ETF linked to Bitcoin and Ethereum, and another basket ETF featuring multiple crypto assets like XRP, Solana, Ethereum, and the native token of its Cronos blockchain, CRO. 

At the time, Crypto.com deleted the post almost immediately and issued another announcement centered around CRO and Bitcoin. It remains to be seen whether the upcoming Truth. Fi ETFs will feature cryptos like XRP, other than CRO. 

In the meantime, the SEC has yet to approve an exclusive XRP ETF despite several asset managers vying to launch one. The regulator has a final deadline of October 2025 to approve or disapprove multiple XRP ETF applications. 

How Do Strategy’s Bitcoin Buys Impact BTC Price? VanEck’s Sigel Weighs In as BTC Reclaims $90K

VanEck’s Matthew Sigel has analyzed the impact of Strategy’s Bitcoin purchases amid an impressive recovery push by the crypto firstborn.

As Bitcoin surges past the $90,000 mark for the first time in over a month, market watchers again question the impact of Strategy’s relentless buying on BTC price action. However, fresh insights from VanEck’s Head of Digital Assets Research, Matthew Sigel, suggest that fears of market manipulation or artificial price inflation may be overstated.

How does Strategy’s Bitcoin Buys Impact Price?

According to Sigel, who cited data from investment bank TD Cowen, Strategy’s (formerly MicroStrategy) weekly Bitcoin purchases account for only a small fraction of overall market activity. 

On average, the company contributes around 8.4% of total weekly buy volume, although this number is skewed by a few exceptionally high-volume weeks. In most cases, its market share stays in the low single digits, around 3.3%, and there are multiple weeks when the firm does not buy any Bitcoin.

Weekly Bitcoin Trading Volume TD Cowen
Weekly Bitcoin Trading Volume | TD Cowen

Notably, statistical data support the idea that Strategy’s influence on price trends is minimal. Sigel found only a weak correlation, about 25%, between the company’s Bitcoin buying volume and BTC’s weekly closing price. 

In addition, the correlation with price changes over the course of a week is similarly low at 28%. These figures suggest that the firm’s activity does not have a meaningful or predictable effect on Bitcoin’s short-term price behavior.

Meanwhile, Sigel also addressed concerns about the new Bitcoin supply from miners. His research shows that Bitcoin’s secondary market trading volume massively outweighs mining outputs, making miners less influential in setting prices. 

Even when considering MicroStrategy’s purchases, secondary market activity remains roughly 17 times greater than total new supply, confirming the view that major institutional buys like MicroStrategy’s do not distort the overall market.

Bitcoin Reclaims $90K Shortly After Strategy’s Announcement

The timing of this analysis is especially relevant, coming just after Strategy’s latest acquisition. Yesterday, on April 21, the firm disclosed the purchase of 6,556 BTC between April 14 and April 20, at an average price of $84,785 per coin. 

The acquisition, totaling about $555.8 million, brings the company’s total holdings to 538,200 BTC. With this addition, Strategy now holds nearly 2.5% of all existing Bitcoin, procured at an average cost of $66,384 per coin.

Following this announcement, Bitcoin’s price experienced a significant uptick, reclaiming the $90,000 level and climbing to $90,718. Interestingly, the asset is up 3.78% today after a 3% rally yesterday. 

The surge has revived discussions around whether Strategy’s purchases had directly influenced the price bounce. Yet, as Sigel’s data-driven commentary suggests, broader market conditions and investor sentiment likely had a larger impact than a single firm’s actions.

For context, critics like economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff have championed this narrative. Schiff has long argued that Strategy’s aggressive Bitcoin accumulation artificially inflates prices. In particular, he suggested this in June 2021.

He accuses the firm of creating unsustainable price rallies and warns that its strategy, heavily funded through debt and equity dilution, could lead to financial disaster if Bitcoin’s value drops. Schiff has also labeled the company’s actions as bordering on market manipulation.

Bitwise Releases XRP Investment Guide ‘The Investment Case for XRP’ for Professionals

The recently released XRP investment guide by asset manager Bitwise continues to spark bullish sentiment among market commentators.

Bitwise’s XRP Investment Guide for Professionals

Notably, Bitwise titled the document “The Investment Case for XRP,” an informational guide for professional investors only. The authors include the firm’s Chief Investment Officer, Matt Hougan, and research analyst Ayush Tripathi.

In the 33-page document, Bitwise highlighted XRP as one of the oldest and most prominent cryptocurrencies. It launched in 2012 and has maintained strong interest from investors and developers through various market cycles.

Despite its longevity and scale, evidenced by over 2.8 billion transactions processed, XRP remains a polarizing asset. Advocates point to its efficient, low-cost blockchain and regulatory-friendly design.

However, detractors argue that despite multiple partnerships and a solid technological foundation, XRP has yet to achieve significant real-world adoption after more than a decade. Critics also raise concerns about its tokenomics, potential centralization, and lingering legal risks.

Meanwhile, the report explored XRP’s history, technology, use cases, and valuation, presenting bullish and bearish outlooks.

Notably, Bitwise notes that XRP’s progress faced roadblocks amid years of regulatory pressure, including the SEC lawsuit. However, it now sees a more favorable environment emerging after the 2024 U.S. election.

As a sign of this shift, the Trump administration recently announced plans to include XRP in a strategic crypto stockpile, potentially opening the door for XRP to compete on a level playing field.

Bitwise XRP Projections: Bullish and Ultra-Bullish Cases

To evaluate XRP’s prospective value, Bitwise employed the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), adjusting for risk factors such as regulatory shifts, macroeconomic uncertainty, and industry competition. The firm used this framework to estimate price targets for bearish, bullish, and super-bullish scenarios.

In its most optimistic projection, XRP could reach $4.48 by the end of 2025. From 2028 onwards, Bitwise forecasts XRP consistently trading in the double digits, starting at $13 and potentially hitting $20 by 2029. The model culminates in an ambitious $29 target by 2030.

Notably, this scenario assumes XRP becomes central to the booming tokenization and global payments space. With the tokenization market expected to top $11 trillion by the end of the decade, Bitwise suggests that even a modest 1–2% share could significantly enhance XRP’s value.

In a moderately bullish outlook, Bitwise anticipates XRP peaking at $3.90 in 2025 and gradually climbing to around $8 by 2028. By 2029, it may cross into double digits, reaching $10 before topping out at $13 by 2030.

This model implies an annual return of approximately 27%. It also relies on a more favorable regulatory environment and continued expansion of the XRP ecosystem.

Bear Case: Where XRP Fails to Gain Adoption

On the other end of the spectrum, Bitwise projects that XRP could fall to $1.82 this year. The decline could continue with XRP potentially dropping as low as $1.07 by 2026 and plummeting to just $0.13 by 2030. 

This forecast implies an annual return of -59%, driven by high volatility and a lack of traction in key growth areas such as stablecoins and institutional finance.

This outcome assumes XRP struggles to maintain relevance as competitors dominate major markets, leading to a steep decline in utility and overall value.

Despite the mix of bullish and bearish cases, Bitwise’s release of this document continues to spark discussions in the XRP community.

Pundit Says a Dogecoin Price Breakout in the Coming Days Seems Likely, Eyes Run to $0.19

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Dogecoin is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, with one analyst anticipating a breakout or a potential decline in the coming days.

Dogecoin (DOGE) has shown signs of slight recovery after a period of sideways movement since mid-April. Trading around $0.15 for most of the week, the meme coin recently surged to $0.16, marking its highest price since April 14.

Despite this uptick, DOGE’s price has struggled to maintain a strong upward momentum, and an analyst on TradingView is now focusing on key technical patterns to predict its next moves.

Symmetrical Triangle Signals Breakout

Ehsan Zeydabadi, an analyst on TradingView, has pointed out that Dogecoin is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart.

This pattern typically suggests a period of consolidation, where price action moves between converging trendlines. As DOGE approaches the apex of the triangle, the potential for a breakout in the coming days grows stronger.

Dogecoin Price Prediction | Source: TradingView
Dogecoin Price Prediction | Source: TradingView

At the time of Zeydabadi’s analysis, Dogecoin was hovering around $0.15785. The price had recently interacted with both the upper resistance and lower support of the triangle, suggesting that a breakout could occur soon. 

Notably, DOGE has been rejected near the resistance area several times—on April 2 at $0.166, again on April 14 at $0.166, and most recently on April 21 at $0.162. The analyst highlighted $0.166 as a key resistance level to watch after the price broke out of the triangle on April 21.

Possible Dogecoin Price Outcomes

If Dogecoin manages to break above the $0.166 resistance level, he predicts that it could rally toward $0.17830 and possibly reach $0.19401. However, if sellers take control and push the price below key support levels, DOGE could decline further. Support levels to monitor in such a scenario include $0.14632 and $0.13850, with a further decline possibly targeting $0.12980.

Meanwhile, another analyst, CryptosRus, noted that Dogecoin’s price action could follow a parallel channel pattern, similar to previous trends observed in 2017 and 2021. 

These parallel channels have historically signaled significant price moves. For instance, in 2021, Dogecoin surged from $0.002 to levels around $0.7. If this pattern repeats, the price could experience a major upward swing. The analyst speculates that this could push DOGE towards a target of nearly $12.

Cup and Handle Pattern Developing

Looking at Dogecoin’s long-term chart, another analyst, CobraVanguard, has identified a potential monthly cup and handle pattern. The cup began with a sharp rise to $0.80, followed by a lengthy correction period. 

After bottoming out around $0.0468, DOGE gradually began forming the right side of the cup. The analyst forecasts that the completion of the cup and handle could lead to a significant price increase, possibly reaching $0.88.

Is $1,000 XRP Possible? Here’s What the Current Supply Says

As XRP garners more institutional interest and regulatory clarity, many in the crypto space speculate about the potential for XRP to reach $1,000 per token.

While some investors believe XRP has the potential to become a global financial bridge asset, others remain skeptical, especially considering its large token supply and current price, which hovers around $2.

This article breaks down the math and market implications to understand what it would truly take for XRP to reach the $1,000 mark.

The Market Cap Math

XRP currently has a circulating supply of approximately 58.40 billion tokens. At a price of $1,000 per token, the implied market capitalization would be a staggering $58.40 trillion. To put that in context:

  • Gold: ~$22.43 trillion (the most valuable asset globally)
  • Apple Inc.: ~$2.959 trillion
  • Bitcoin: ~$1.689 trillion
  • Entire Crypto Market: ~$2.68 trillion

A $58.40 trillion market cap would make XRP more valuable than every asset in the world combined, including gold, tech stocks, and the entire crypto sector.

Is $1,000 Realistic?

Currently, XRP has a market cap of about $116.8 billion based on its circulating supply. A leap to $58.40 trillion represents an increase of approximately 49,900% from today’s level. In the short term, critics consider this projected growth highly unrealistic.

They argue that such exponential growth would require XRP to become the core infrastructure for global payments, effectively displacing SWIFT and traditional banking systems. However, XRP is not the only player in this space—competition remains strong, which diminishes its chances of achieving total dominance.

Mathematically, XRP could reach $1,000. But from a practical standpoint, such a valuation would require historic financial shifts that many consider far-fetched, especially in the near term.

When Could XRP Reach $1,000, According to Experts?

Recently, crypto executive Matthew Brienen expressed a bold belief that XRP could reach $1,000 by 2035, ten years from now. His optimism is based on XRP’s utility in the multi-trillion-dollar payments market.

Renowned commentator Patrick Bet-David also discussed the potential for XRP to hit $1,000, suggesting it could happen by processing just a small percentage of SWIFT’s daily transaction volume. However, he did not provide a specific timeline.

Meanwhile, analysts at Telegaon do not foresee XRP reaching $1,000—even in the next 25 years. They estimate XRP’s maximum value by 2050 at around $285. On the other hand, analysts at Changelly disagree, predicting that XRP could reach $1,000 by 2040.

Shiba Inu Targets $0.000015: Bullish Pattern Signals Likely Pump

Shiba Inu is preparing for a major breakout above $0.00001266. Can it surge to $0.000015, supported by bullish patterns and strong technical backing?

While the altcoin market struggles to recover, Bitcoin continues to trade above $88,000. Amid these conditions, hype-driven altcoins like meme coins are gradually gaining momentum.

The market cap of the meme coin segment has risen to $47.46 billion, with top performers like Shiba Inu recording a 5% surge over the past 7 days. Riding this short-term recovery, Shiba Inu is setting up for a major breakout from a strong bullish pattern. Will this breakout rally propel SHIB to $0.000015?

Shiba Inu Price Analysis

On the 4-hour chart, Shiba Inu’s price action reveals a bullish rebound from the psychological support level of $0.00001045. The recovery began with a double-bottom reversal and has since tested the $0.00001266 supply zone.

This zone is a crucial short-term resistance, coinciding with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Growing bullish sentiment is forming a bullish “Adam and Eve” pattern, with the neckline aligned with the 50% Fibonacci level.

Shiba Inu Price Chart
Shiba Inu Price Chart

The short-term recovery from the 23.60% retracement has pushed SHIB above the 50, 100, and 200 EMA lines on the 4-hour chart. However, this bullish move is accompanied by a short-term bearish divergence in the RSI. Despite this, the positive crossover among the 50, 100, and 200 EMAs improves momentum in shorter time frames.

Shiba Inu is currently trading around the 38.20% Fibonacci level at $0.00001210 and the upper resistance at $0.00001266. A successful breakout above the overhead supply zone could propel Shiba Inu toward the $0.00001534 target. On the downside, key support levels are found at $0.00001140 and the psychological level of $0.00001045.

Analyst Suggests Major Rebound in Shiba Inu

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez supports the case for a potential rally by pointing to a major rebound forming in Shiba Inu. On the weekly chart, the TD Sequential indicator has flashed a buy signal, indicating the potential for a fresh recovery.

Previously, Martinez highlighted key support zones at $0.0000115 and $0.00000815. Based on his analysis, the next major resistance lies at the $0.000020 supply zone.

 

Bulls Gradually Return to SHIB Derivatives

Over the past three days, the short-term recovery in Shiba Inu has led to increased long positions in the derivative market. As per the long-to-short ratio chart by Coinglass, the long positions in Shiba Inu have jumped from 47.19% to 49.77% in the past three days. 

Shiba Inu Long/Short Positions
Shiba Inu Long/Short Positions

This shift has brought the long-to-short ratio up from 0.8936 to 0.9908, indicating a more balanced market sentiment. As bullish positions gradually increase, the probability of a breakout in Shiba Inu continues to rise.

Cardano Eyes $0.66 Breakout: Will ADA Bounce Back to $0.76?

Cardano eyes a breakout at $0.66, with long positions surging to 57%. Will this post-retest recovery push ADA to $0.76?

The bullish struggle in the crypto market to sustain momentum keeps the overall conditions uncertain. Amid such volatility, Cardano continues to fluctuate between $0.60 and $0.66. 

Currently, the ADA token trades at a market price of $0.6327 with an intraday recovery of 1.35%. Hence, at a potential post-retest reversal of $0.66, will this short-term recovery drive Cardano prices back to $0.76? 

Cardano Price Targets $0.66 Breakout

The 4-hour price chart shows a bullish breakout from a triangle pattern that formed during the pullback phase in late March.

Following a quick recovery on Monday, Cardano recorded a bullish breakout. However, as the broader market failed to sustain momentum, Cardano faced strong resistance above $0.64.

This resulted in a quick pullback to retest the triangle pattern. Currently, ADA’s price action displays a bullish engulfing candle, completing a morning star pattern. This indicates a high likelihood of a post-retest reversal.

Cardano Price Chart
Cardano Price Chart

At present, Cardano is attempting to surpass the 50% Fibonacci level at $0.6324. Meanwhile, the increased volatility in the short-term pullback has led to a convergence of the MACD and signal lines, creating uncertainty in the technical outlook and signaling a potential bearish reversal.

However, the Bollinger Bands have expanded after a short-term squeeze, suggesting the possibility of continued bullish momentum.

Based on Fibonacci levels, if ADA breaks through the 61.8% resistance at $0.66, the post-retest recovery could extend to $0.76. On the downside, the key support level lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $0.60, followed by horizontal support at $0.57.

Long Positions Hit 57% Amid Growing Bullish Sentiment

As Cardano positions itself for a possible bullish reversal, the derivatives market remains stable in terms of open interest. Over the past week, Cardano’s open interest has consistently held above the $600 million mark.

Cardano Open Interest
Cardano Open Interest

Currently, it stands at $639 million, with a funding rate of 0.0035%, highlighting a short-term bullish trend. The surge in long positions further supports the expectation of a bounce-back.

Cardano Long/Short Positions
Cardano Long/Short Positions

According to Coinglass’s ADA Long-to-Short Ratio chart, long positions have surged to 57.06% in the past four hours, pushing the ratio to 1.3288 and reinforcing a strong bullish sentiment. Thus, derivative market data suggests a high probability of a post-retest reversal for Cardano.

Analyst Predicts New All-Time High for Cardano

Crypto analyst CryptoPatel supports this bullish outlook. He sees massive upside potential for Cardano, with a projected price target of $5. The analyst points to a rising channel pattern on the weekly chart as ADA approaches the lower boundary.

He also notes an ongoing accumulation phase between $0.65 and $0.45, with the lower boundary as critical support.

According to his tweet, Cardano’s key price targets include $2.00, $4.00, and $6.00, with major resistance levels at $1.17 and $2.92.

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