Dogecoin recently clinched a three-year peak amid the ongoing uptrend, but a market analyst believes the MVRV indicator confirms further upside.
Dogecoin has outperformed major assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana in recent days. After reaching a three-year high of $0.4385 yesterday, Dogecoin experienced a modest pullback to $0.3601 today. Even so, the meme-inspired asset is still up by an impressive 73% over the past week.
This remarkable rally is closely tied to the broader market’s uptrend, spearheaded by Bitcoin’s rise to a new peak above $89,000. Notably, this uptrend came on the back of the victory of pro-crypto candidate Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential election.
Trump, who had the backing of Tesla Chief and Dogecoin supporter Elon Musk, has shown support for the crypto industry. Musk’s involvement has contributed to DOGE’s rally. Despite the short-term dip, analyst Ali Martinez believe Dogecoin’s rally has not yet run its course.
MVRV Suggests Upside Potential for Dogecoin
He recently presented the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio as the indicator pointing to this bullish outlook. Martinez highlighted that historically, Dogecoin reaches a market peak when the MVRV crosses 78%.
However, after the latest price correction, the MVRV ratio has reset to 45.65%. This indicates there is still substantial room for the meme coin to climb further before entering overvalued territory.
The accompanying chart shows this historical relationship, revealed that past rallies have consistently peaked when MVRV hit the critical 78% threshold. With the current reading significantly below that level, the analyst suggests that Dogecoin’s current momentum remains sustainable.
While the long-term outlook appears bullish, Martinez has also flagged potential short-term risks. He noted that the TD Sequential indicator has flashed sell signals on Dogecoin’s 4-hour and 12-hour charts, with a similar signal forming on the daily chart.
This suggests a temporary price correction is likely before the cryptocurrency resumes its upward trajectory. Such corrections are natural during parabolic rallies and provide a healthy reset. The recent 5% dip to $0.3601 aligns with this expectation.
Dogecoin Long-Term Channel and Price Targets
In a previous report, Martinez discussed Dogecoin’s long-term price trajectory, highlighting a ten-year ascending channel. He predicts that Dogecoin could target the channel’s middle or upper boundary, which corresponds to price levels of $2.40 or even $18 in the long term.
Currently, Dogecoin has already breached the lower boundary of this channel, signaling the start of a potentially extended rally. While reaching $18 may seem ambitious, the middle boundary target of $2.40 appears more attainable given current momentum and historical behavior.
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