Michael Saylor: Companies Holding Bitcoin Have a 90% Success Rate in 5 Years, 99% Over 30–40 Years

Michael Saylor delivered another passionate speech on Bitcoin, this time emphasizing its extremely low chance of failure if held in one’s balance sheet.

The Strategy executive chairman and Bitcoin evangelist said one can never go wrong holding Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market cap. In a speech delivered at the 2025 Bitcoin Conference in Las Vegas, Saylor emphasized that investing in Bitcoin is unequivocally synonymous with creating life-changing wealth.

Saylor Highlights Two Paths to Wealth

He identified two paths to riches in 2025: one requiring competency and the other involving doing nothing for a long time. With the emergence and growing relevance of artificial intelligence, Saylor told the over 35,000 crypto enthusiasts present at the Las Vegas event that mastering the technology to build real skills is one path to acquiring wealth.

“If you have the humility to ask for help from the AI, don’t put your ego first; put your interest first. Your family will thank you in years to come,” Saylor said.

Meanwhile, the second route to riches is to buy Bitcoin and hold onto it simply. Saylor emphasized that changing the world operationally is tedious, and even the best ideas ultimately fail to succeed.

The Strategy co-founder noted that there is a 90% chance that a new product will fail in the next five years. However, that is not the case with Bitcoin, as keeping the asset on one’s balance sheet has a 90% success rate over the next half-decade.

The situation becomes even more interesting in a longer timeframe. Saylor highlighted that most operational ideas have a 99% failure rate in 30-40 years, a stark contrast to Bitcoin’s long-term proficiency.

“There’s a 99% chance every financial idea that rests upon a foundation of Bitcoin succeeds,” Saylor added.

Interestingly, Bitcoin’s past long-term price trajectory aligns with Saylor’s comments. CoinMarketCap shows that the pioneering cryptocurrency is up over 218 million percent from its lows of $0.048 nearly 15 years ago.

Leveraged Partnership to Create Wealth Faster With Bitcoin

Meanwhile, Saylor applauded solo Bitcoin holders for their efforts to take the orange pill. While he noted that they would become wealthy regardless, the executive chairman highlighted that “cutting others in” would not just increase capital but also returns.

Saylor buttressed his point using a dentist who earns $200,000 a year. He shared that the dentist would buy $1 million worth of Bitcoin if he invested it all in the premier asset.

However, if he incorporates the dental practice and gets his business valued at five times its cash flow, the dentist can sell 33% of his venture for $500,000 and buy Bitcoin. 

He can raise an additional $500,000 a year later, at a double market cap, to buy even more Bitcoin. With Bitcoin’s strong performance, his business can raise another $3 million the following year, thereby increasing the firm’s assets and profit by simply sharing the Bitcoin opportunity with others.

Saylor noted that this initiative is what Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) and firms like Metaplanet and Semler Scientific have adopted. With this playbook, Strategy currently holds 580,250 BTC worth $61.2 billion. Meanwhile, Metaplanet holds 7,800 BTC worth $832.5 million, while Semler Scientific boasts 4,264 BTC valued at $450.3 million.

Meanwhile, the list continues to swell as Marathon Digital, GameStop, and soon Trump Media have mirrored the playbook.

Interestingly, the recently concluded 2025 Bitcoin Conference also featured key speeches on Bitcoin. Blockstream’s CEO, Adam Back, said Bitcoin will be worth $1 million in five years; Eric Trump insisted that 0.1 BTC is enough to create a fortune; and US Vice President JD Vance assured that Bitcoin is part of America’s mainstream economy.