XRP Phase 4 Structure Price Predictions as XRP Follows the Trend

XRP has embarked on the journey toward a two-digit price, after breaking above a multi-year symmetrical triangle and slipping into the fourth phase of the current structure.

For context, this Phase 4 began in July 2024, when XRP started recovering from the downward trend that pushed its prices to $0.38 at the time. Notably, Phase 4 eventually saw XRP rise to the $3.66 peak in July 2025 before dropping to the current low below $2 as prices continue to struggle since Q4 2025.

However, while these recent struggles have resulted in increased bearish sentiments among retail investors, market data shows that XRP remains in Phase 4, which could eventually lead prices toward a new all-time high of around $21.5.

Key Points

• Since June 2017, XRP has traded within a 4-phase structure that has dictated its price movements over the past nine years.
• XRP entered Phase 4, the last section of this structure, in July 2024, when it began a recovery push.
• While prices have struggled over the last few months, XRP has maintained its position within Phase 4.
• Market data shows that XRP would remain in a bullish position as long as it remains within Phase 4, which targets a peak price of $21.5.

XRP Follows 4-Phase Structure

CW, a well-known chartist, discussed this target in a recent commentary. Data from his accompanying 3-week chart shows that XRP began the current 4-phase structure after recovering from the consolidation phase in June 2017. 

During Phase 1, XRP rallied from $0.2476 in June 2017 to a peak of $3.31 by January 2018. Meanwhile, Phase 2 introduced a sharp pullback from this high to a floor price of $0.1140 in March 2020 and then a subsequent rebound to $1.96 by April 2021. In Phase 3, XRP corrected from $1.96 to the $0.45 low in June 2024.

Notably, Phase 4, which represents the current and last section of the structure, began in July 2024 as XRP sought to recover from the $0.45 low. However, this rebound did not gain sufficient momentum until after the U.S. elections in November 2024. During this period, XRP broke above a symmetrical triangle structure and soared from $0.5 to $3.4 by January 2025.

Phase 4 Targeting $21

XRP has since collapsed from the $3.4 high but remains within Phase 4. Specifically, after reaching $3.4, XRP corrected to $1.71 by April 2025 before recovering to $3.6 in July of that year. However, another correction has ensued, with XRP dropping to the current price of $1.91.

Despite this downtrend, Phase 4 remains in play, with CW identifying a target of around $21.5 as the top of this current phase. Data from his chart shows XRP already hit the first Phase 4 take profit target of $3.4 in January 2025, but now trades below it. On the road to $21.5, XRP would have to first reclaim the $3.4 mark before targeting higher levels.

Notably, historical data shows that the first TP of Phase 4 usually aligns with the peak price of Phase 1. In the previous structure, this target hovered around $0.0614, which XRP reclaimed in April 2017. Shortly after this, it soared to the peak Phase 4 target of $0.3988 by May 2017. CW expects a similar pattern to play out this time.