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Crypto Price Analysis, BTC, XRP, NEAR, SUI and XMR, NOV 03: XRP Holds Near $1.25, NEAR Falls 10.8% as Bitcoin Loses Weekend Support, While Monero Advances

NEAR falls 10.8% as Bitcoin loses weekend support and Monero advances. November 3 analysis tracks BTC, XRP, NEAR, SUI and XMR with key levels and daily charts.

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Asset USD price 24-hour change Aggregate 24-hour volume Market-cap rank
Bitcoin (BTC) $76,838 −2.19% $26.64 billion 1
XRP $1.25 −0.79% $1.37 billion 5
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) $3.83 −10.85% $630.86 million 21
Sui (SUI) $0.867481 −4.04% $247.85 million 30
Monero (XMR) $609.36 +1.21% $141.90 million 13

Bitcoin Loses Weekend Support as RSI Falls to 35

Bitcoin closed Monday at $76,675.80, down 2.00%, after reaching $78,739.70 and falling to $76,564.70. It briefly exceeded Friday’s $78,667.30 high but failed to hold that recovery threshold at the close. Instead, it finished below both Sunday’s $77,385.80 low and Saturday’s $77,000 floor.

BTC Price Analysis 2026 11 03
BTC/USD closes below $77,000 weekend support as daily RSI falls to 35.01, leaving $76,155.50 as the next major daily reference.

That reverses the higher-low sequence described in Monday’s price analysis. The daily 14-period RSI, calculated with Wilder smoothing, fell to 35.01 from 39.61. Momentum weakened toward the conventional oversold threshold of 30, but remained above it.

The latest completed four-hour candle reached a lower $76,427 low before closing at $76,804.10. Its RSI stood at 36.57, leaving both timeframes below neutral. That early Tuesday low is a short-term reference, rather than a completed daily low.

A daily reclaim of $77,000 and $77,385.80 would repair the first broken supports. Clearing $78,739.70 would then overturn Monday’s reversal, with $79,120.80 still overhead. On the downside, failure to hold $76,427 would increase pressure on Friday’s $76,155.50 low. A daily close below that level would confirm another extension, bringing the September 15 low at $74,891.50 into focus.

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XRP Holds Near $1.25 Beneath Falling Averages

XRP closed Monday at $1.24803, down 0.09%, after trading between $1.23364 and $1.26254. The session exceeded Sunday’s high and undercut its low, but finished close to the previous close. Buyers recovered part of the intraday decline without establishing an upside breakout.

XRP Price Analysis 2026 11 03
XRP/USD holds near $1.25 but remains below falling daily EMAs at $1.30389 and $1.33873.

The Crypto Basic previously highlighted repeated buying near $1.24. Monday traded below that area before closing back above it, showing why a brief breach and a confirmed closing breakdown should be distinguished.

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The 20-day exponential moving average fell to $1.30389 from $1.30977, while the 50-day EMA declined to $1.33873 from $1.34243. Price remained beneath both, with the faster average below the slower one. The latest completed four-hour close of $1.24964 also stayed beneath its 20-period EMA at $1.25341 and 50-period EMA at $1.27032.

A daily close above $1.26254 would clear Monday’s high. The next test is Friday’s $1.27214 high, near the longer four-hour average, followed by $1.28908 and the daily 20-period EMA. Losing $1.23364 would weaken the latest defense and expose $1.22224. A close below Friday’s $1.19685 low would invalidate the broader stabilization attempt.

NEAR Confirms a New Low as Its Bearish MACD Gap Widens

NEAR closed Monday at $3.8600, falling 9.87%, after a $3.8384–$4.3438 session. The close broke Friday’s $3.9001 low, invalidating the rebound base described in the October 31 report. Monday also established the weakest traded price in the latest 30 completed daily sessions.

NEAR Price Analysis 2026 11 03
NEAR/USD closes below $3.9001 as its daily MACD histogram widens to −0.11575; early Tuesday trading reaches $3.7801.

Daily MACD, using 12- and 26-period exponential averages with a nine-period signal EMA, deteriorated. The line fell to −0.13242 against a −0.01667 signal. The histogram widened below zero to −0.11575 from −0.09767. This was renewed weakness within an existing bearish line-signal relationship, not a new bearish crossover.

The latest completed four-hour candle extended the decline to $3.7801 and closed at $3.8222, beneath Monday’s low. Its MACD histogram remained negative at −0.04738. The shorter timeframe therefore confirmed continued pressure after the daily breakdown, rather than an immediate recovery of the lost floor.

Reclaiming $3.8384 and then $3.9001 would be the first repair. A daily close above $4.0333 would recover another former support, while $4.2262 and Monday’s $4.3438 high remain farther obstacles. Holding $3.7801 is necessary for a new short-term base to develop. A break beneath it would extend the decline; a daily reclaim of $3.9001 would instead challenge the latest breakdown.

SUI Approaches Its Lower Daily Bollinger Band

SUI closed Monday at $0.8715, losing 3.17%, after reaching $0.9082 and falling to $0.8630. The session marginally exceeded Sunday’s high before reversing beneath its $0.8853 low. Friday’s $0.8257 extreme remained intact, but the rebound had lost ground.

SUI Price Analysis 2026 11 03
SUI/USD closes above its $0.84908 lower daily Bollinger Band, while the latest four-hour close falls below its own lower boundary.

Daily Bollinger Bands, using a 20-day simple moving average and two population standard deviations, placed the lower boundary at $0.84908. The midpoint fell to $0.95614 from $0.96488. Monday closed above the lower band but well beneath the declining midpoint, indicating continued weakness within the daily envelope.

The four-hour picture was weaker. Its latest completed candle closed at $0.8668, below the $0.87010 lower band, after reaching $0.8602. This is a confirmed four-hour close outside the bands, not a completed daily break below the daily lower boundary.

A recovery above $0.8853 would reclaim Sunday’s lost low. A daily close above $0.9082 would overturn Monday’s reversal, with $0.9108 and the daily midpoint farther overhead. Support lies near $0.8583, followed by the current daily lower band and $0.8257. A daily close below $0.8257 would invalidate the rebound from Friday’s low. The band values themselves will adjust with subsequent closes.

Monero Advances With Volume 74% Above Its Recent Average

Monero closed Monday at $604.07, gaining 0.83%, after trading between $596.76 and $614.90. It recorded a higher high and higher low than Sunday, extending the recovery from Friday’s $572.49 low. However, the close remained below Sunday’s $609.88 high, leaving the intraday breakout unconfirmed on the daily timeframe.

XMR Price Analysis 2026 11 03
XMR/USD rises on volume 74% above its preceding 20-session average, but the daily close remains below $609.88.

Daily turnover reached approximately 16,050 XMR, or 1.74 times the preceding 20-session average. Trading participation was therefore about 74% above that benchmark. This provides stronger volume support for the advance, although price still needs to clear resistance at the close.

The latest completed four-hour candle closed at $608.98 after reaching $610.35. It also finished below $609.88, despite trading above it. The latest $609.36 market price remained beneath Monday’s $614.90 high.

A daily close above $609.88 and then $614.90 would strengthen the recovery. The October 28 high at $618.56 is the next nearby obstacle, followed by $638.87 and $649.40. A return below $596.76 would weaken the latest higher-low sequence; support then sits at $590.00 and $585.65. Losing Friday’s $572.49 low would invalidate the broader rebound despite the stronger participation in Monday’s advance.

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Mark Brennan
Mark Brennanhttps://thecryptobasic.com/
Mark Brennan has been active in the cryptocurrency sector since 2014. His love and passion for the nascent industry drove him to develop interest in writing about important developments and updates about cryptocurrencies and blockchain. Brennan, who holds a Masters degree in Business Administration, learned about the potential of blockchain technology. Aside from crypto journalism, Brennan runs an education center, where he educates people about the asset class.

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