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Crypto Price Analysis, BTC, ETH, VVV, ONDO and ASTER, Nov. 12: Bitcoin Stabilizes as Ethereum Holds Below Lower Band

Bitcoin stabilizes above $73,000 as Ethereum stays below its lower band, VVV and ASTER rebound, and ONDO remains beneath falling averages in today’s analysis.

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Asset Latest USD price Past 24 hours 24-hour market volume Market-cap rank
Bitcoin (BTC) $73,740 +0.01% $25.86 billion 1
Ethereum (ETH) $2,053.46 −0.43% $9.26 billion 2
Venice Token (VVV) $19.81 +2.46% $23.72 million 73
Ondo (ONDO) $0.356653 −3.73% $92.94 million 51
Aster (ASTER) $0.654562 +2.00% $71.23 million 52

Bitcoin RSI rises but remains below neutral

Bitcoin gained 0.31% on Wednesday to close at $73,928.40. The session ranged from $73,113.60 to $74,754.10, holding above Tuesday’s $72,584.60 low but failing to recover Tuesday’s $75,323.50 high.

BTC Price Analysis 2026 11 12
BTC/USD holds above Tuesday’s low as 14-day RSI rises to 35.23; momentum improves slightly but remains below neutral.

The latest $73,740 price was 1.01% below the $74,494 recorded in our November 10 Bitcoin analysis.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index, calculated with Wilder smoothing, rose to 35.23 from 34.24. Momentum improved slightly but remained below the neutral 50 line. The latest completed four-hour RSI was firmer at 40.44 as the candle closed at $73,707.40, still without a neutral or bullish momentum reading.

A daily close above $74,754.10 would clear Wednesday’s high, with $75,323.50 forming the next recovery test. Regaining the latter would invalidate the immediate lower-high setup. A close below $73,113.60 would weaken Wednesday’s stabilization, while a close beneath $72,584.60 would confirm another extension below the latest 60-session low.

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Ethereum confirms another close outside its lower band

Ethereum closed Wednesday at $2,053.48, up 0.12%, after trading between $2,033.49 and $2,105.22. The small gain followed Tuesday’s 3.83% decline but did not recover the prior session’s $2,133.92 high.

ETH Price Analysis 2026 11 12
ETH/USD records a second completed close beneath its daily lower Bollinger Band, while $2,002 remains the key downside level.

The latest $2,053.46 price was 0.38% below the price recorded in our November 11 Ethereum analysis.

Daily Bollinger Bands use a 20-day simple moving average with two population standard deviations. Wednesday’s midpoint fell to $2,255.97, while the lower band moved down to $2,056.07. The $2,053.48 close remained just beneath that boundary, confirming a second consecutive completed close outside the lower band. That condition shows persistent downside pressure but does not establish that price must continue lower.

The completed four-hour candle closed at $2,052.41, within its $2,015.84–$2,157.73 band envelope. A daily close above $2,105.22 would provide the first repair, with $2,133.92 the stronger confirmation level. A close below $2,033.49 would expose Tuesday’s $2,002 low. Losing $2,002 would invalidate the attempt to stabilize above the psychological $2,000 area.

Venice Token rebounds on lighter exchange volume

Venice Token rose 2.00% on Wednesday to close at $19.674, after recovering from an $18.73 low and reaching $20.771. The latest $19.81 price was 14.02% below the $23.04 recorded in our October 9 VVV analysis.

VVV Price Analysis 2026 11 12
VVV/USD rebounds 2.00%, but exchange volume reaches only 0.62 times its preceding 20-session average; $20.771 is the next closing test.

Approximately 50,935 VVV traded on the spot USD pair, compared with a preceding 20-session average of 82,079 VVV. Wednesday’s turnover was therefore 0.62 times its recent average. Price advanced, but the lower participation provides less evidence of broad conviction than a similarly sized gain on elevated volume.

The latest completed four-hour candle closed at $19.763. A daily close above $20.771 would clear Wednesday’s high, with $21.706 providing the next resistance and bullish confirmation point. A close below $18.73 would weaken the rebound; losing Tuesday’s $18.32 low would invalidate it and extend the decline beneath the latest 60-session range.

Ondo remains below falling 20-day and 50-day averages

Ondo fell 2.34% on Wednesday to close at $0.35875. It reached $0.37698 before falling to $0.35342, leaving the close near the bottom of the daily range. The latest $0.356653 price was 17.26% below the $0.431072 recorded in our October 15 ONDO analysis.

ONDO Price Analysis 2026 11 12
ONDO/USD closes below falling 20-day and 50-day EMAs, with $0.35342 and $0.34265 marking the nearest downside tests.

Our October 15 report placed ONDO between its 20-day and 50-day averages. The 20-day exponential moving average has now fallen to $0.39150 from $0.39494, while the 50-day EMA declined to $0.41243 from $0.41462.

Price remains below both, and the faster average remains beneath the slower one. Wednesday therefore extended an existing bearish alignment rather than producing a new crossover. The completed four-hour close at $0.35631 was also below its corresponding averages.

A daily close above $0.37698 would clear Wednesday’s high, but ONDO would still need to reclaim the falling 20-day EMA near $0.39150 to improve the trend position. A close below $0.35342 would expose the November 8 low at $0.34265. Recovering the 20-day average would invalidate the immediate continuation case; losing $0.34265 would confirm a fresh lower low.

Aster holds above its first Fibonacci retracement

Aster gained 2.84% on Wednesday to close at $0.65565, after trading between $0.63684 and $0.66289. The latest completed four-hour candle ended at $0.65363, keeping the short-term move above the first retracement but beneath Wednesday’s high.

ASTER Price Analysis 2026 11 12
ASTER/USD closes above the 23.6% retracement of its October 29–November 10 decline, with $0.664063 as the next confirmation level.

The Fibonacci map measures a prospective recovery of the downswing from the October 29 high at $0.73111 to the November 10 low at $0.62262. The 23.6% retracement stands at $0.648224, followed by the 38.2% level at $0.664063, the midpoint at $0.676865 and the 61.8% level at $0.689667.

Wednesday’s close held above the first retracement but remained below $0.664063. A daily close above that level would strengthen the recovery toward $0.676865. A return below $0.648224 would weaken the setup, while a close beneath $0.62262 would invalidate the rebound and confirm a fresh extension of the completed downswing. The higher retracement levels are conditional resistance, not projected outcomes.

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Mark Brennan
Mark Brennanhttps://thecryptobasic.com/
Mark Brennan has been active in the cryptocurrency sector since 2014. His love and passion for the nascent industry drove him to develop interest in writing about important developments and updates about cryptocurrencies and blockchain. Brennan, who holds a Masters degree in Business Administration, learned about the potential of blockchain technology. Aside from crypto journalism, Brennan runs an education center, where he educates people about the asset class.

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