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Tokenized Stocks Are Testing the Limits of Onchain Ownership

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Tokenized stocks promise to make traditional equities easier to transfer, trade and integrate with blockchain-based financial services. Yet the ability to move a digital token between wallets does not necessarily give its holder the same rights as owning a share through a conventional brokerage account.

As tokenized equities enter decentralized lending markets, the legal structure behind each token is becoming increasingly important. Investors must consider who holds the underlying shares, what claims they can enforce and whether they can convert their tokens into traditional securities.

These questions could determine whether tokenized equities become a credible extension of financial markets or remain specialized products with limited practical uses.

Token Ownership Is Not Always Share Ownership

The term tokenized stock describes several different financial arrangements. Some tokens represent claims backed by actual shares, while others provide contractual exposure to equity prices without granting direct ownership of the underlying securities.

Even when a token is fully backed by shares, its legal rights depend on the issuer’s documentation.

Coinbase’s tokenized equities illustrate this complexity. According to Aave’s September 2026 announcement, each token represents a certificate issued by Coinbase Onchain SPV Ltd., with the underlying shares held by Alpaca Securities in segregated custody accounts.

The issuer holds the shares under a trust arrangement designed to give token holders economic exposure to the underlying equities.

However, economic exposure does not automatically mean that every holder possesses identical shareholder rights or unrestricted access to redemption.

An October assessment published through Aave governance explains that secondary-market purchasers must complete an issuer-defined vesting process before obtaining redemption rights.

This creates a distinction between holding a transferable token and possessing an immediately enforceable claim to exchange it for the underlying asset.

For investors, understanding these conditions may be as important as tracking the token’s market price.

DeFi Is Giving Tokenized Equities a Second Function

The integration of tokenized stocks into decentralized finance has introduced another use case beyond trading.

In September 2026, Aave announced that seven Coinbase tokenized technology stocks could serve as collateral for USDC borrowing through its Equities Hub on Base. The supported equities include Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla.

Instead of selling their exposure, eligible holders can pledge their tokens and borrow stablecoins against them.

The development brings blockchain-based lending closer to securities-backed financing, a service traditionally provided by banks and brokerage firms.

However, it also creates new dependencies between the legal rights attached to tokens and the financial protocols accepting them.

In a recent article, Arslan Tabish examines how tokenized equities introduce additional risks for decentralized lenders, particularly around collateral valuation, market liquidity and liquidation procedures.

Those operational concerns raise a broader ownership question: what happens when a protocol receives tokenized securities through liquidation but cannot immediately exercise the same rights as an eligible investor?

A liquidator’s ability to recover value may depend on more than the token’s quoted price. Transfer restrictions, redemption eligibility and the availability of buyers can influence what the asset is actually worth in a distressed transaction.

The Legal Wrapper Matters as Much as the Blockchain

Blockchain transactions can establish that a particular wallet controls a token. They cannot, by themselves, guarantee that the wallet owner has an enforceable claim against the company whose shares the token represents.

That relationship depends on the contractual and legal framework surrounding the instrument.

A token issuer may rely on custodians, trustees, brokers and other intermediaries to maintain the connection between digital certificates and traditional securities.

Each arrangement introduces questions about insolvency protection, beneficial ownership and the treatment of assets if an intermediary fails.

Digital recordkeeping does not eliminate these exposures. In some cases, it changes how they are distributed among market participants.

For example, an investor may successfully transfer a token onchain while remaining dependent on an offchain institution to recognize the associated ownership claim.

Similarly, the existence of underlying shares in custody does not necessarily guarantee that every token holder can redeem those shares immediately or without restrictions.

These conditions become particularly relevant when tokens circulate beyond their original distribution platforms.

Secondary Markets Could Expose Differences Between Tokens

The development of secondary markets may reveal how much investors value the rights attached to different tokenized equity products.

Two tokens referencing the same company could trade at different prices if they have different redemption arrangements, custody protections or eligibility requirements.

A product that allows straightforward conversion into underlying shares may attract different participants from one that offers only indirect economic exposure.

Arbitrage can help keep token prices aligned with conventional equities, but it requires participants capable of executing the necessary transactions.

When redemption is restricted or expensive, discrepancies may persist because not every investor can exchange the token for its underlying asset.

This matters for market confidence.

A token’s price may closely track a conventional share during ordinary trading conditions without proving that the two instruments are legally or operationally interchangeable.

The relationship could become more difficult to maintain during market disruptions, when investors place greater importance on immediate access to underlying assets.

Institutional Adoption Will Require Clearer Rights

Tokenized equities could eventually support a wider range of financial activities, including securities-backed lending, automated collateral management and more efficient asset transfers.

But institutional investors are unlikely to evaluate these products solely on transaction speed or blockchain compatibility.

They also need clarity about custody arrangements, enforceability of claims, corporate actions and the consequences of issuer or intermediary insolvency.

Standardized disclosure could help investors compare products that reference the same underlying securities but provide different legal protections.

Clear redemption procedures would also make it easier for trading venues and lending protocols to assess the practical value of collateral.

The challenge is not necessarily to make every tokenized equity identical to a conventional share. Different financial instruments can serve legitimate purposes, provided investors understand the rights and limitations involved.

As tokenized stocks become integrated into more financial applications, the distinction between digital transferability and legal ownership will become harder to overlook.

The infrastructure may operate continuously, but confidence in these markets will ultimately depend on whether investors can reliably enforce the claims represented by their tokens.

TCB Daily Edition: What Happened in Crypto on November 5, 2026

Greece approved a crypto tax bill, Payward disclosed an AAVE investment, and Binance cut connections to a third-party trading platform following a security warning. Today’s roundup covers announcements and fresh disclosures from November 5, including new investment products, institutional services and developments in tokenization.

Binance and Deribit Disconnect SignalPlus After Security Warning

Binance and Deribit revoked API keys connected to SignalPlus after the trading platform alerted them to a potential security issue. Both exchanges said their own systems had not been compromised, while Binance advised affected customers to check positions and pending orders directly through their accounts. The exchanges urged users to wait for confirmation that the issue had been resolved before reconnecting SignalPlus.

Payward-Affiliated Fund and Clients Acquire AAVE Tokens

Kraken parent Payward announced that its affiliated investment fund, Digital Asset Special Investments I, LP, and clients had purchased AAVE tokens on the secondary market. The company withheld the investment’s size and purchase price but said further acquisitions were possible. Payward and Aave are also exploring additional collaboration as the investment company expands its exposure to decentralized lending.

Greece Approves 10% Tax on Cryptocurrency Gains

Greece’s parliament passed legislation introducing a 10% capital-gains tax on cryptocurrencies, moving the country’s previously proposed framework into law. Annual crypto gains of up to €500 will be exempt, according to the bill. A finance ministry official told Reuters that further instructions covering implementation, transparency and audits would follow in the coming weeks.

Canary’s Staked Injective ETF Debuts on Nasdaq

Canary Capital launched its Staked INJ ETF on Nasdaq under the ticker INJC, giving brokerage investors exposure to Injective’s native token. The fund holds INJ and seeks additional tokens through staking, with accrued rewards included in its net asset value. Canary lists an annual sponsor fee of 1.10%, with BitGo serving as the digital asset custodian.

Amundi Brings European Equity Fund Shares to Ethereum

Amundi announced a tokenized share class for its Amundi Core STOXX Europe 600 fund, extending its blockchain offerings into European equity investing. CACEIS supplied the infrastructure used to issue the shares on Ethereum, while conventional access to the underlying fund remains available. The launch expands Amundi’s tokenization program beyond its earlier money-market products.

Anchorage Seeks Registration for Crypto Derivatives Business

Anchorage Digital disclosed an application to register a dedicated swap dealer with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, with the National Futures Association reviewing the submission. If approved, the business initially expects to offer institutional clients European-style Bitcoin and Ether options with maturities of up to one year. The company has not provided a timetable for completing registration.

Valour Launches Eight Crypto Investment Products in Sweden

Valour introduced eight exchange-traded products on Sweden’s Spotlight Stock Market, with trading beginning on November 5. The products track Venice, Canton Network, Raydium, Morpho, Maple Finance, Pump.fun, Dogwifhat and Bonk. Each is denominated in Swedish kronor and carries a 1.9% management fee, allowing investors to obtain token exposure through securities accounts.

Crédit Mutuel Arkéa Puts Cyberattack Loss at About €100 Million

Crédit Mutuel Arkéa said approximately €100 million had been stolen, providing a financial estimate after acknowledging the attack a day earlier. The French bank said the funds were originally held in conventional currency, although they could subsequently have been converted into crypto. Recovery efforts are underway, and the bank said customer assets were unaffected.

Gate Introduces New Asset Security Disclosure Framework

Gate unveiled its Proof of Security framework and reported that assets classified as cold storage covered 104.58% of customer balances in a November 4 snapshot. Its calculation includes offline digital assets and traditional assets held under independent custody. Gate said an outside audit firm was still reviewing the figures and methodology, with a report to follow when that work concludes.

Blockchain.com Opens Automated Trading Access for Institutions

Blockchain.com launched an institutional trading API that lets clients request executable prices and transact directly with the company around the clock. The service covers cryptocurrencies and stablecoins and complements its existing trading arrangements conducted by phone and chat. Qualifying customers can also trade without depositing funds in advance and choose settlement schedules suited to their operations.

DIA Publishes Research Showing Euro Stablecoin Growth

DIA released a study finding that the comparable euro stablecoins it tracked added $263 million in supply over the year ending October 19, representing 54% growth. Including coins without comparable year-earlier data, the research estimated the total euro stablecoin market at approximately $790 million. The report also measured $459 million in traceable euro stablecoin card spending over the twelve months through September.

American Broker-Dealer Firm Reports XRP ETF Exposure Worth $13M

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Simplex Trading, LLC, a broker-dealer firm based in Chicago, Illinois, has become the latest American company to report a significant XRP ETF investment.

In its Q3 2026 Form 13F-HR, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Nov. 4, 2026, the firm disclosed a position in Grayscale’s XRP ETF worth about $13.97 million as of Sept. 30, 2026.

Simplex operates as an SEC-registered broker-dealer incorporated in Delaware. The firm mainly provides market-making services across U.S. exchange-traded options, equity securities, and futures. 

Its latest quarterly filing shows a total 13F portfolio worth $183.8 billion, spread across 9,112 positions. Although the $13.97 million GXRP holding accounts for a small part of that portfolio, it represents a major increase from the firm’s earlier investment in the fund.

Simplex Expands XRP ETF Exposure

Simplex first reported an investment in Grayscale’s XRP ETF in Q4 2025, when it held just 340 shares. The position had minimal reported value at the time. 

The firm later appeared among institutional investors reporting holdings in the Bitwise XRP ETF during the Q2 2026 reporting period. Its filing for that quarter carried a date of Aug. 12, 2026.

By the end of Q3 2026, covering holdings through Sept. 30, Simplex had greatly increased its Grayscale XRP ETF position. Its latest filing placed the fair market value of the holding at $13.97 million, and this shows how much its reported GXRP exposure had grown since its initial purchase.

The Grayscale XRP Trust ETF (GXRP) began trading on NYSE Arca on Nov. 24, 2025, after converting from a private trust structure. The fund holds actual XRP through Coinbase Custody Trust Company and charges an annual expense ratio of 0.35%.

Its initial fee waiver ended in February 2026. At press time, GXRP trades at $25.23 per share, has approximately 3.35 million outstanding shares, and holds around $85 million in assets under management (AUM).

More Wall Street Firms Report Holdings in XRP ETFs

Simplex’s latest disclosure comes as more Q3 2026 Form 13F filings begin appearing on the SEC’s EDGAR database. These reports add to the growing number of disclosures showing that institutional investment managers across the United States hold regulated XRP investment products.

Goldman Sachs currently has the largest reported position among institutional investors of XRP ETFs. Its Q2 2026 filing showed $86.5 million invested across five spot XRP ETFs from Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, Canary Capital, 21Shares, and Grayscale. 

Goldman previously increased its holdings to $153.8 million in Q4 2025 before selling its entire position in Q1 2026. The bank returned to the XRP ETF market in Q2 2026 and rebuilt its holdings.

Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, and Bank of America have also reported XRP ETF holdings in their recent 13F filings. 

UMB Private Wealth Management disclosed a $100,316 position in the Franklin XRP ETF (XRPZ) in its Q3 2026 report. Meanwhile, AdvisorNet Financial also reported holding 12,380 shares of the Franklin XRP ETF, worth approximately $177,800.

Farther Finance Advisors reported eight separate positions XRP ETFs in its Q3 2026 filing. These holdings covered seven different fund providers and amounted to 36,531 shares. 

Overall, aggregate 13F data now shows that at least 30 major institutions, including Millennium Management and Citadel, have reported exposure to XRP ETFs.

The six U.S. spot XRP ETFs collectively hold $1.48 billion in net assets at press time. This represents approximately 1.8% of XRP’s total market cap. The Bitwise XRP ETF currently leads the group with roughly $540 million in AUM after surpassing the $500 million mark in August 2026.

Micron Stock Falls Amid Reported Construction Halt at Taiwan Chip Plant Costing Up to $4.5 Billion

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Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) shares extended their losses in early trading Thursday following a Bloomberg report that construction of the company’s planned memory-chip factory in Taoyuan, Taiwan, was largely suspended amid a prolonged labor dispute.

The shares traded at $719.19 as of 09:52 a.m. ET, down 9.56% from Wednesday’s closing price of $795.23.

The factory, known as Fab 11E, has an estimated budget of $3 billion to $4.5 billion and was originally scheduled to begin operations in 2028. The plant was planned to produce dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) and high-bandwidth memory (HBM), with HBM used in artificial intelligence systems.

The report said Micron has informed Taiwanese officials and a supplier about the construction halt. However, the Taoyuan city government told the news outlet it had not been notified of a suspension.

The labor dispute centers on compensation and profit-sharing involving Micron’s employees in Taiwan. Bloomberg reported that executives feared a challenge from the separate Taoyuan union could overturn the October agreement between Micron and the larger Taichung union.

According to Bloomberg, most construction work had stopped, although limited activity continued to secure the site. That remaining work was expected to cease once safety preparations were complete.

The planned investment includes purchases of advanced chipmaking equipment from ASML. No revised construction schedule has been disclosed.

Micron told the news outlet that its existing Taiwan operations remain normal and that it is confident it can maintain supplies to customers. The company did not directly confirm reports of a construction halt.

Taiwan accounts for approximately 60% of Micron’s global dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) production. The reported halt concerns planned additional capacity rather than a confirmed interruption at operating factories.

Counterpoint Research reported Thursday that Micron held 21% of global DRAM revenue in the third quarter of 2026, behind Samsung Electronics at 38% and SK hynix at 29%. Micron’s DRAM revenue grew more slowly than that of its two larger competitors. Across the industry, revenue surged 369% year over year, driven by higher memory prices and demand from AI infrastructure.

Micron Shares Extend Decline After 7% Drop

Micron shares fell 7% in Wednesday’s regular session, leaving the stock down 19.1% from its October 28 close of $983.23.

Wednesday’s losses coincided with broader selling in semiconductor stocks as investors assessed whether Democratic victories in the U.S. midterm elections could lead to tighter restrictions on data-center construction.

The Taiwan construction report emerged Thursday, after Wednesday’s regular trading session had ended.

Separately, Micron Technology Tokenized bStocks (MUB) traded at $719.11, down 14.19% over the preceding 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. MUB is a tokenized instrument distinct from Micron’s Nasdaq-listed shares.

Taoyuan Union Dispute Remains Unresolved

The reported construction suspension follows months of negotiations between Micron and unions representing employees at its Taiwanese facilities.

Micron reached an agreement with its larger Taichung union in October covering higher salaries, quarterly bonuses and increased pension contributions. However, the separate Taoyuan union remains dissatisfied with the terms.

The Taoyuan union represents more than 2,300 workers and is demanding that Micron distribute 15% of its operating profit to employees worldwide. Union chairman Jerry Lin also said workers want cash incentives rather than compensation partly paid in shares.

Micron announced a quarterly profit-linked bonus program for employees worldwide starting in fiscal 2027, with payments split evenly between cash and shares. However, the company did not commit to distributing a fixed percentage of operating profits.

The Taoyuan union subsequently rejected Micron’s bonus proposal, with 1,633 of the 1,637 participating members voting against the offer, according to the union.

According to Bloomberg, the Taoyuan union is seeking to recruit members from the larger Taichung union to challenge the existing agreement and reopen negotiations.

Micron believes the October agreement is legally binding, according to a person familiar with the company’s position. The company has said discussions with the Taoyuan union are continuing.

The Taoyuan union secured authorization to strike on October 7, when 1,994 members voted in favor of industrial action. Eleven union officials subsequently staged a 24-hour strike on October 22. Micron and the union are scheduled to resume negotiations on November 6, with Taiwanese labor authorities helping facilitate the talks.

XRP Long-Term VHD Pattern Projects Path to $17, $27, and $48

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Crypto analyst EGRAG has identified a long-term pattern on the XRP monthly chart that leads to possible price targets of $17, $27, and $48.

He calls this the Vertical-Horizontal-Diagonal (VHD) Theory, which describes three phases XRP has moved through before previous major price rallies. The current phase has now lasted 22 monthly bars, and EGRAG believes it could be leading to another major expansion.

The theory considers how XRP behaves during accumulation periods before a major rally. These periods take three forms: a sharp vertical move, an extended sideways phase, and a gradual upward structure. 

EGRAG suggests that the duration and relationship between these phases could explain XRP’s broader market cycles.

XRP’s First Two VHD Phases Led to Major Price Expansions

The first phase, which EGRAG identifies as Vertical, lasted 16 monthly bars, equivalent to 488 days. During this period, XRP traded below its 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) while the market went through an accumulation period. 

The structure eventually ended with a sudden upward breakout that preceded XRP’s major rally in 2017. 

The second phase, called Horizontal, followed a different pattern. It lasted 28 monthly bars, or 853 days, as XRP traded sideways beneath and around the 21 EMA. 

In this phase, the market did not break out immediately but spent an extended period consolidating before another major price expansion during the 2019-2021 cycle.

This second occurrence showed that XRP could go through a much longer accumulation period before making another significant move.

XRP’s Current Diagonal Structure Reaches 669 Days

The third phase, which EGRAG calls Diagonal, is currently underway and has lasted 22 monthly bars, or 669 days. Unlike the previous two phases, XRP is not moving within a flat consolidation range. 

XRP VHD pattern projects path to $17, $27, and $48
XRP VHD pattern projects path to $17, $27, and $48

Its monthly chart instead shows an ascending channel, with each new swing low forming above the previous one. This suggests that buyers are gradually accepting higher prices instead of waiting for the market to return to an established support level.

However, the duration of this phase makes the current position particularly interesting. The first two phases lasted 488 days and 853 days, respectively. When averaged, their combined duration produces 670.5 days. 

This is almost identical to the 669 days recorded in the current Diagonal phase, which leaves a difference of just 1.5 days. EGRAG acknowledged that the similarity could be coincidental but said the timing alignment is worth watching.

The rising channel also separates the current structure from the earlier accumulation periods. Instead of moving sideways, XRP continues to establish higher lows, showing a gradual shift in the prices at which buyers are willing to enter. 

If this structure holds, it could provide the foundation for another expansion. However, the market must first overcome several important resistance levels.

$1.55 Remains XRP’s First Major Confirmation Level

EGRAG’s near-term roadmap begins at $1.55, which aligns with the 21 EMA on the monthly chart. XRP needs to reclaim this level and maintain a monthly close above it to provide the first meaningful confirmation of the bullish structure. 

The indicator has influenced XRP’s broader trend across several market cycles, and this makes its current position important to the VHD outlook.

Above $1.55, the next major resistance stands at $2.60. A successful move through this level could open the way toward $3.50, which EGRAG identifies as the expansion target for the current Diagonal phase. 

However, he sees $3.50 as a possible intermediate level, not the end of the rally. The larger projections of $17, $27, and $48 depend on the broader structure continuing beyond this initial expansion.

The Chasm Establishes XRP’s $17, $27, and $48 Projections

EGRAG bases his long-term targets on a structure he calls The Chasm. It describes the widening gap between XRP’s current price and the upper boundary of a green macro trendline channel that has been visible on the monthly chart since 2014. 

Because this upper boundary continues to rise over time, the projected targets depend on when XRP reaches it rather than remaining fixed at one price.

Using the projected channel intersections, EGRAG places XRP at $17 in 2027, $27 in 2029, and $48 in 2031. However, these figures are speculative and do not guarantee that XRP will reach those levels.

AppLovin Stock Jumps After Earnings Beat, Revenue per Installation Climbs 55%

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AppLovin Corporation (NASDAQ: APP) shares jumped nearly 20% to $325.52 in Thursday’s premarket trading after the advertising technology company reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter earnings and issued a fourth-quarter revenue forecast above Wall Street estimates.

The company reported third-quarter revenue of $2.185 billion, up 55% from a year earlier and above analysts’ expectations of $2.07 billion. Revenue also exceeded the upper end of AppLovin’s previous third-quarter guidance by approximately $100 million, according to Chief Financial Officer Matthew Stumpf. GAAP diluted earnings per share reached $4.30, exceeding the $4.03 consensus estimate. Net income increased 72% to $1.439 billion.

AppLovin’s Q4 Revenue Forecast Tops Estimates

AppLovin projected fourth-quarter revenue of $2.365 billion to $2.395 billion, above Wall Street’s $2.25 billion estimate. The outlook implies sequential revenue growth of 8% to 10%, down from approximately 14% in the third quarter.

The company also forecast adjusted EBITDA of $1.995 billion to $2.025 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 84% to 85%. Third-quarter adjusted EBITDA rose 59% YoY to $1.842 billion, while free cash flow reached about $1.4 billion.

AppLovin’s Advertising Metrics and Stock Performance

In its November 4 Form 10-Q filing, AppLovin attributed its quarterly revenue growth primarily to improved performance of its AppLovin Ads platform. Net revenue per installation climbed 55% YoY, while installation volume grew just 2%.

AppLovin shares had already gained nearly 19% over the first three trading sessions of the week, including a 10.7% advance on Wednesday before the earnings release. Despite the rebound and Thursday’s premarket gain, the stock remained approximately 56% below its 52-week high of $738.01, set in December 2025.

Separately, AppLovin Corp Tokenized bStocks (APPB) was trading at $316.25, up 26% over the preceding 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. The tokenized instrument’s 24-hour performance is distinct from the premarket percentage change in AppLovin’s Nasdaq-listed shares.

AppLovin Details Advertising-Model Rollout and $3.2 Billion Buyback Increase

During an earnings call, CEO Adam Foroughi said AppLovin’s core gaming advertising business grew nearly 50% YoY as the company partially introduced its next-generation advertising models.

Foroughi said the new models had improved advertising performance, with advertisers increasing spending while meeting their target returns on advertising expenditures. The rollout remains incomplete, and management did not provide a date for the full transition.

Stumpf said spending by consumer advertisers increased at a double-digit rate from the previous quarter and a triple-digit rate from a year earlier.

AppLovin also increased its share repurchase authorization by $3.2 billion, bringing its remaining authorization to $3.6 billion as of the end of October.

During the third quarter, the company repurchased and withheld approximately 4.1 million Class A shares at a combined cost of $1.4 billion. The total includes shares withheld to pay taxes on vested equity awards.

Stumpf said management had accelerated repurchases because it believed AppLovin’s market price was disconnected from the company’s intrinsic value. He added that the expanded authorization gave the company flexibility to make further opportunistic repurchases.

Qualcomm Stock Tumbles on 26% Handset Revenue Drop, Lower QCT Pretax-Margin Forecast

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Qualcomm Incorporated (NASDAQ: QCOM) shares fell more than 10% to $155.22 in Thursday premarket trading after the chipmaker reported a 26% decline in fiscal fourth-quarter handset revenue and forecast a lower earnings-before-tax margin for its QCT semiconductor segment in the current quarter.

Handset revenue totaled $5.14 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter ended September 27, down from $6.96 billion a year earlier and below the $5.25 billion expected by analysts surveyed by Visible Alpha. The decline came as smartphone manufacturers faced higher memory costs and weaker demand. 

Qualcomm projected adjusted earnings of $2.15 to $2.35 per share for the first quarter of fiscal 2027. The $2.25 midpoint was slightly below the $2.27 analyst consensus. However, the company’s revenue forecast of $10.4 billion to $11.2 billion had a midpoint of $10.8 billion, exceeding the $10.48 billion consensus estimate.

The company also expects an earnings-before-tax margin of 20% to 22% for its QCT semiconductor segment, compared with 24% in the reported fourth quarter. The outlook includes costs associated with bringing Qualcomm’s data-center operations into the segment.

Memory Shortages Prompt Handset Makers to Revise Build Plans

Qualcomm’s annual filing attributed much of its fiscal 2026 handset revenue decline to fewer chipset shipments to certain major customers. Those customers had revised build plans to reduce inventories amid memory supply constraints and higher prices.

The company warned that these constraints could continue to weigh on demand from handset customers and its financial results.

Chief Financial Officer Akash Palkhiwala said fourth-quarter handset revenue reflected industry-wide memory pressures. He expects handset revenue to fall by a mid-single-digit percentage sequentially in the current quarter. Growth in Android-related sales is expected to be offset by a decline in revenue from Apple, which is shifting toward internally developed modem chips.

Qualcomm’s overall fourth-quarter non-GAAP revenue fell 7% to $10.44 billion, above analysts’ estimate of $10.11 billion. Adjusted earnings declined to $2.17 per share from $3 a year earlier, but remained slightly above the consensus estimate of $2.16 per share.

Automotive revenue increased 89% to $1.99 billion, while Internet of Things revenue rose 4% to $1.89 billion. These gains partially offset declining handset revenue, which remained QCT’s largest revenue category. Overall QCT revenue fell 8% to $9.02 billion.

Data-Center Shift Weighs on QCT Margin Outlook

During an earnings call, Palkhiwala explained that the QCT margin forecast includes a three-percentage-point impact from adding Qualcomm’s data-center business to the segment in fiscal 2027.

The impact reflects investments in AI accelerator and processor platforms ahead of their expected revenue growth. He said the revised segment reporting structure does not affect company-wide guidance or Qualcomm’s long-term QCT earnings-before-tax margin target of 30%.

Qualcomm expects data-center revenue to exceed $650 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, above the $539.1 million consensus estimate from analysts surveyed by Visible Alpha. The company also reaffirmed its $5 billion data-center revenue target for the full fiscal year.

Management expects its custom data-center chip programs to improve QCT operating margins while reducing gross margins, reflecting different profitability characteristics within the business.

Separately, Qualcomm is raising chip prices to offset higher semiconductor manufacturing costs, including wafer fabrication, assembly, testing, and advanced packaging expenses. The company expects these price increases to fully benefit QCT gross margins in the second half of fiscal 2027.

Qualcomm Stock Performance and Barclays Price Target Cut

Qualcomm’s premarket decline followed a 5.33% gain in Wednesday’s regular session, when shares closed at $173.19. At $155.22 in premarket trading, the stock was about 40% below its 52-week high of $259.92.

Barclays analyst Tom O’Malley also lowered his Qualcomm price target to $150 from $180 early Thursday while maintaining an Underweight rating.

Meanwhile, Qualcomm Tokenized bStocks (QCOMB) was trading at $155.81, down 5% over the preceding 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. QCOMB is a tokenized product, and its 24-hour price change is not directly comparable to the Nasdaq-listed stock’s premarket decline.

XRP Price and Ripple Progress Move in Opposite Directions: Does the Disconnect Have an End?

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XRP price is struggling, even as Ripple makes progress through new partnerships, financial services, and regulatory approvals.

Versan Aljarrah, founder of Black Swan Capitalist, recently highlighted this disconnect. He noted that XRP was trading around $1.30, about 65% below its July 2025 high of $3.65.

Meanwhile, amid the harrowing price drop, Ripple has been expanding its business and attracting major financial institutions. 

In a post on X, Aljarrah said, “The price and the progress are moving in opposite directions. That doesn’t happen forever.”

His point is that Ripple is making progress, but XRP’s price has not reflected that growth. However, he believes the price and fundamental progress will ultimately align. 

Ripple Is Making Progress

Indeed, several major developments have strengthened Ripple’s position in the financial industry.

  • Bank approval: On October 26, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) gave final approval for Ripple National Trust Bank. The bank will help manage the reserves backing Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin and provide digital asset custody services.
  • Coinbase partnership: Coinbase added RLUSD to Coinbase Prime, Coinbase Exchange, and its retail app, allowing customers to trade and manage the stablecoin.
  • Robinhood partnership: Ripple announced an alliance with Robinhood to make RLUSD available on Robinhood Chain and Bitstamp, with plans for further expansion.
  • BNY partnership: BNY expanded its relationship with Ripple to support XRP and RLUSD through its digital asset custody services. Both companies also plan to explore tokenized trade finance.
  • DTCC tokenization: The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) launched a service that allows traditional financial assets to be represented digitally. However, there is no confirmation that this service uses the XRP Ledger.

These developments show that Ripple is expanding its presence in traditional finance, even if they do not directly benefit XRP.

Does Ripple Growth Actually Help XRP Price?

Aljarrah believes the market has not fully recognized the progress being made. However, he also admitted that positive developments cannot stop XRP from falling during a wider crypto market downturn.

He cautioned that these developments could take years to have a noticeable impact on XRP’s price. Investors using leverage could suffer losses while waiting for adoption to grow.

Other members of the XRP community have also questioned the connection between Ripple’s progress and XRP’s value. One user, Mr Swell, argued that if XRP’s price directly reflected its real-world usefulness, its historical performance should have shown a stronger connection.

His view is that Ripple becoming more successful does not necessarily mean XRP will become more valuable. For example, RLUSD can operate on multiple blockchains, which means its growing adoption does not automatically create more demand for XRP.

Fred Martinez disagreed with this criticism and supported Aljarrah’s position. He argued that the market still treats XRP mainly as a speculative investment instead of recognizing its potential role in financial infrastructure.

He believes investors should focus on long-term developments, not daily price movements.

Will XRP Price Eventually Catch Up?

The big question is whether Ripple’s growing business will eventually translate into higher demand for XRP. Ripple is building relationships with major financial institutions and expanding its services in stablecoins, digital asset custody, and tokenization.

But not every Ripple partnership directly involves XRP. Some developments focus on RLUSD or other financial services, while others involve blockchain technology that is not necessarily connected to the XRP Ledger.

For XRP’s price to benefit significantly, these developments would need to create stronger demand for the token itself. Aljarrah believes that the market may eventually recognize the value of Ripple’s growing ecosystem. But that process could take years.

XRP Reserves on Binance Suddenly Spike by 280M Post-Hack

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About 280 million XRP entered Binance in just 48 hours, marking a sudden increase in the exchange’s holdings following the Oct. 29 security breach. 

Between Nov. 3 and 5, the world’s largest crypto exchange saw its XRP reserves rise from 2.35 billion to 2.63 billion tokens, an increase of 11.9%.

The increase comes one week after hackers broke into five of Binance’s hot wallets and stole billions of dollars’ worth of crypto assets. 

XRP reserves on Binance see a sudden spike post-hack
XRP reserves on Binance see a sudden spike post-hack

The Binance Hack

The latest increase in Binance’s XRP reserves follows the Oct. 29 attack, when hackers stole 233.46 million XRP from five of the exchange’s hot wallets in a coordinated operation. Blockchain intelligence firm TRM Labs later linked the attack to North Korea’s TraderTraitor hacking group.

XRP was not the only cryptocurrency affected. The hackers also stole 18,270 Bitcoin, 970,500 Solana, and 44.2 million OP tokens. These losses brought the estimated value of the stolen assets to roughly $6.34 billion, making the incident the largest cryptocurrency heist on record.

Meanwhile, large-transfer netflows on Binance moved from an outflow of 226 million XRP on Oct. 29 to an inflow of 273 million XRP by Nov. 4. This represents a reversal of roughly 500 million XRP in net movement in less than a week.

Binance Covers the Tab

Binance assured customers that they would not suffer any losses from the attack. The exchange used its own funds to cover the stolen assets, drawing from three sources: its Secure Asset Fund for Users (SAFU), futures insurance reserves, and corporate holdings.

Binance also froze or intercepted approximately $2.85 billion in assets linked to the attack. Separately, industry partners Tether and Circle froze about $3 billion in affected assets.

By Nov. 4, Binance had replaced 98% of the affected assets. XRP was among the fastest tokens to recover, as the exchange restored 100% reserve backing for it by October 31, just two days after the breach. 

Nine other cryptocurrencies also reached full reserve backing during the same period. These included Bitcoin, Tether’s USDT, Ripple’s RLUSD, Ethereum, Solana, BNB, Solana, USD1, USDC, and Zcash. Binance confirmed these figures through its Proof of Reserves system.

XRP Deposits Spike on Binance

The 280 million XRP increase also comes as deposit and withdrawal activity on Binance changes. Data shows that the exchange’s share of XRP deposit transactions across centralized exchanges rose from 44.3% on Oct. 27 to 56.2% on Nov. 5.

A sudden surge in XRP deposit transactions on Binance
A sudden surge in XRP deposit transactions on Binance

At the same time, Binance’s share of XRP withdrawal transactions fell from 55.7% to 43.7%. This means deposits now account for a larger share of XRP transaction activity on the platform than withdrawals. 

The broader centralized exchange market recorded a smaller change. Across all CEX platforms, the share of XRP deposit transactions increased from 45% to 47.5%, while the withdrawal share declined from 55% to 52.4%. 

Withdrawals still accounted for the larger share of transactions across the industry, although the gap between deposits and withdrawals became smaller.

Data from other major exchanges shows a different trend. Upbit, South Korea’s largest crypto exchange, saw its XRP reserves decline from 6.44 billion to 6.41 billion between Oct. 30 and Nov. 5.

Bithumb also recorded a drop in its holdings. Its XRP reserves fell from 1.85 billion to 1.81 billion since October 23. 

Where Did the 280M XRP Come From?

Binance has also taken steps to provide more information about its reserves. On Nov. 4, the exchange released an updated Proof of Reserves snapshot, expanding the number of verified assets from 10 to 44. 

However, the exchange has reported different figures for its asset recovery at different times. Binance reported 90% replenishment on Oct. 31, increased that figure to 95% on Nov. 2, and later reported 98%. 

Despite these updates, one important question remains: where did the additional 280 million XRP that entered Binance’s reserves between Nov. 3 and 5 come from?

The tokens could have come from open-market purchases, over-the-counter (OTC) deals, or transfers between Binance’s internal wallets. However, the exchange has not confirmed which of these explains the increase. As a result, the source of the additional XRP remains unknown.

Elliott Wave Analysis Suggests Cardano Could Bottom at $0.10 Before Next Major Rally

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Cardano could be approaching the final stages of an extended correction, with analyst Mohamad identifying $0.10 as a potential price floor before the coin stages a significant recovery.

Mohamad believes Cardano’s prolonged weakness does not necessarily signal the end of its market prospects. Instead, he views the nearly five-year correction as a necessary setback that could prepare ADA for a much larger upward move.

Mohamad Sees Extended Correction as Preparation for Recovery

In his analysis, Mohamad acknowledged that many market participants have written off Cardano, describing the cryptocurrency as dead after years of disappointing price performance. However, he believes the ongoing correction could eventually create the foundation for a substantial recovery.

The analyst particularly highlighted the second wave of Cardano’s Elliott Wave structure, describing it as extremely erosive. He compared this prolonged correction to Shiba Inu’s price behavior, suggesting that ADA has endured sustained downward pressure before reaching the next major phase of its market cycle.

For context, Shiba Inu reached an all-time high of $0.00008845 in October 2021 but has since declined 94.66% to approximately $0.000004727.

Mohamad Sets $0.10 as Cardano’s Potential Bottom

Mohamad’s monthly TradingView chart provides further insight into his bearish outlook and long-term expectations.

The chart tracks Cardano’s price movements from 2018 through November 2026, using Elliott Wave Theory to map its broader market structure. It identifies an initial five-wave upward impulse, followed by a corrective sequence consisting of waves A, B, and C.

Following its previous bull-market advance, ADA entered an extended correction. However, Mohamad’s wave count suggests that the cryptocurrency is now approaching the completion of this broader corrective phase.

Notably, his chart identifies $0.1072 as a major horizontal support level, aligning closely with his assessment that Cardano could establish its bottom around $0.10.

With ADA trading around $0.1973 on the monthly chart, a decline to $0.1072 would represent another 45.66% correction.

Despite this bearish near-term projection, Mohamad maintains an optimistic long-term outlook. He views the extended correction as a potential foundation for a significant recovery rather than evidence of Cardano’s permanent decline. 

Muhammad Cardano Chart
Mohamad Cardano Chart

Another Analyst Warns of Further Declines for ADA

Meanwhile, crypto analyst KhaldHegazy has maintained a similarly bearish outlook for Cardano, drawing on Elliott Wave Theory and volume analysis.

He observed that ADA has followed a prolonged downward trend characterized by weak buying pressure. His initial technical assessment identified a bearish market structure, which has continued to play out as the cryptocurrency declined 22% from the October 2026 high since his initial analysis.

His accompanying chart highlights Cardano’s breakdown after failing to sustain its previous local highs. ADA retreated from an intermediate peak, entered another corrective phase, and eventually slipped below $0.2200 to $0.1973. 

KhaldHegazy Cardano Chart
KhaldHegazy Cardano Chart

According to KhaldHegazy, the lack of convincing buying pressure makes a sustained recovery unlikely at this stage. Consequently, he wants to see ADA establish a clear bottom before considering a potential reversal.

He also intends to monitor trading volume and price action for evidence of renewed buying interest and an improvement in market structure. Until such confirmation emerges, he plans to maintain his bearish stance.

Notably, KhaldHegazy has previously identified two potential downside targets for ADA, such as $0.0920 and $0.0715. These levels suggest that Cardano could face further substantial losses if the current bearish structure persists and buyers fail to establish meaningful support.