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Dogecoin Uptrend Set to Resume? Here’s Why Analysts Think So

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Analysts suggest Dogecoin is on the cusp of resuming its uptrend after an extensive consolidation period.

Shortly after Donald Trump’s election victory, the leading meme coin Dogecoin (DOGE) surged 220% from $0.15139 to $0.48434 as investors speculated that the incoming administration would support crypto.

While this rally has stalled in the past few weeks, with the doggy-themed crypto shedding some of its gains to trade around $0.38429, analysts now suggest it is ready for its next move.

Dogecoin (DOGE) Uptrend to Resume?

Crypto trader “Olivier Đ X” has suggested that Dogecoin’s price rally is set to resume. The analyst disclosed this in an X post on Tuesday, December 17, asserting that the meme coin was staging a price reversal to the upside on its 4-hour candle chart.

Per Olivier Ð X’s analysis, DOGE is completing a breakout of a descending channel on the 4-hour candle chart. According to the trader, the asset should resume its uptrend after breaking an emerging resistance around the $0.4140 price point. This pattern notably also has the potential to expand into an ascending triangle chart pattern.

Olivier D X's analysis of Dogecoin/USDT 4-hour candle chart.
Olivier D X’s analysis of Dogecoin/USDT 4-hour candle chart. Source: Olivier D X

Meanwhile, Olivier Ð X is not the only analyst who has suggested that Dogecoin’s rally is set to resume. On Tuesday, December 17, “The Cryptomist” asserted that the meme coin’s price was gearing up for a significant spike. The analyst expressed this view, citing an ascending triangle pattern on the asset’s daily candle chart.

The Cryptomist's analysis of the Dogecoin/USDT daily candle chart
The Cryptomist’s analysis of the Dogecoin/USDT daily candle chart. Source: The Cryptomist

While Olivier Ð X and The Cryptomist offer no price targets for the expected rally, analysts like Javon Marks have contended that DOGE is set to break its all-time high price of over $0.73 with conservative long-term targets of $3.

The recent views contending that the meme coin’s uptrend is set to resume come just as data suggests that investors may now be losing patience.

Dogecoin (DOGE) Sentiment Flips Negative

According to Sentiment Feed data shared by Ali Martinez on Tuesday, weighted sentiment around DOGE has flipped negative, dropping sharply from highs of nearly five on Santiment’s scale in mid-November 2024 to a negative 0.6.

Santiment Feed chart showing Dogecoin social volume and weighted sentiment
Santiment Feed chart showing Dogecoin social volume and weighted sentiment. Source: Ali Martinez

At the same time, social mentions of the asset have also tanked from over 3,200 to below 300.

Santiment Feed has often tipped overwhelming negative sentiment as a contrarian indicator.

Ethereum Risks Breakdown to $3,378 as Bears Threaten $3,800 Support

With Ethereum prices suddenly dropping below $3,900, bearish sentiment targets a breakdown under the $3,700 mark.

Unable to maintain levels above $4,000, Ethereum has taken a bearish turn as Bitcoin falls below $104k. Breaking below the $3,900 threshold, Ethereum has formed a second consecutive bearish candle, signaling the potential for a significant correction ahead.

As the price approaches the support trendline, bullish dominance at lower levels is at risk. Could this correction lead to a major crash for Ethereum?

Ethereum Price Analysis

After a double-top reversal at the key $4,000 resistance level, Ethereum’s price has dropped by 4.41% over the past 24 hours. The bearish retracement is nearing a local support trendline.

Ethereum Price chart
Ethereum Price chart

The double-top reversal suggests a potential decline toward the $3,600 mark. A fall to this level will materialize if Ethereum breaks below the local support, which could trigger increased selling pressure.

Currently, Ethereum is trading at $3,837, reflecting a 1.43% intraday drop from the opening price of $3,837. Compared to the 52-week high of $4,106 reached during the recent recovery, Ethereum is down by 6.5%.

This decline highlights the significant supply pressure at higher levels, with Ethereum now at a critical juncture. The price is set to test the 20-day EMA in confluence with the local support trendline.

Amid this correction, the MACD and signal lines continue to show a downward trend, confirming the strong bearish momentum.

Ethereum ETFs Record $144M in Inflows

Despite the ongoing bearish trend in Ethereum prices, the U.S. spot Ethereum ETF has recorded a daily net inflow of $144.7 million. This includes $134.8 million in Ethereum purchased by BlackRock, followed by $3.9 million bought by Fidelity.

This demonstrates that, despite short-term volatility, institutional support for Ethereum remains robust.

Ethereum Price Targets 

A breakdown of key support levels, including the 20-day EMA and the ascending trendline, could lead to an extended correction. In this scenario, the 61.80% Fibonacci level at $3,378 would provide strong support.

On the other hand, if Ethereum experiences a bullish rebound, it may challenge the 50% Fibonacci level for a potential breakout. In this case, the breakout rally could target $4,598 or a market capitalization of $1.5 trillion for Ethereum.

Binance BNB Faces $700 Support Test, Bears Threaten $684 Low

As bears take control of the market, Binance Coin (BNB) price signals a potential decline below $700, threatening to break key psychological support.

The crypto market is experiencing a sudden surge in selling pressure, leading to $418 million in liquidations within 24 hours. Amid these conditions, the BNB coin price is facing significant downward pressure.

BNB is down 1.11% over the last 24 hours, with a continued risk of falling below the $700 psychological support. Is a further decline in Binance Coin price imminent?

BNB Coin Price Analysis

In the 4-hour chart, the Binance Coin price initially showed a bullish breakout from a triangle pattern. However, the BNB price quickly lost bullish momentum due to the broader market correction and shifted to a bearish trend.

Binance Coin Price Chart
Binance Coin Price Chart

After failing to surpass the 61.80% Fibonacci level at $739, the price faced four consecutive bearish candles on the 4-hour chart. As a result, the price is now threatening the $700 psychological support level.

At press time, BNB traded at $708, reflecting a 1.32% intraday decline. With a lower rejection of the price, BNB is testing the 38.20% Fibonacci level.

The previous bullish breakout is nullified as the coin retests its levels and breaks through the symmetrical triangle pattern. Additionally, the MACD and signal lines have crossed into bearish territory, signaling a shift in trend.

However, the 4-hour RSI suggests a slight possibility of a bullish recovery, showing a minor divergence. Nevertheless, the overall technical indicators continue to point to a sell signal.

Binance Coin Price Targets

Given the lower price rejection, a post-retest reversal could help the BNB coin price reclaim the 50% Fibonacci level at $722.

If this occurs, the price could continue upward, potentially targeting the 78.60% Fibonacci level at $763.40.

On the bearish side, the critical support level below the $700 psychological mark lies at $684, the 23.60% Fibonacci level.

Is the US Next? Bitwise Debuts Solana Staking ETP in Europe

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Leading asset manager Bitwise has launched a Solana staking exchange-traded product in Europe, raising optimism that such a product might enter the US soon.

Bitwise, a $10 billion asset manager, has debuted a Solana-focused investment product—with ticker BSOL—that allows staking services. Per reports, the ETP issuer will allow European users alternative exposure to the high-caliber crypto asset while offering staking rewards.

Notably, the milestone came in partnership with Marinade. The Solana staking firm will provide Bitwise with staking services, offering dual incentives to BSOL holders.

Bitwise Expands ETP Offerings

The Bitwise Solana Staking ETP will charge users a 0.85% management fee for the dual offering. Furthermore, the asset manager disclosed that it would pay BSOL holders a competitive 6.48% staking yield.

Notably, these parameters pose a competitive edge over other funds offering the same product. For instance, VanEck’s Solana staking ETP charges an annual fee of 2.5% and pays users 5.49% in staking retributions.

Meanwhile, Bitwise has an existing Solana ETP in Europe. The asset manager secured the offering by acquiring London-based ETC Group.

The Solana exchange-traded product trades with the ticker ESOL. Notably, the fund has accrued a net asset of $24 million, with the absence of staking services contributing to its lack of traction.

It bears mentioning that an exchange-traded product (ETP) differs from an exchange-traded fund (ETF). An ETF is a type of ETP, an investment vehicle that allows investors indirect exposure to the underlying asset and trades on a stock exchange.

Is the United States Next?

Meanwhile, Bitwise has filed for a Solana spot ETF in the US. The asset manager joined VanEck, 21 Shares, Grayscale, and Canary Capital as applicants for the investment product.

However, the application does not include staking services. Notably, none of the ETF filings in the US have included the offering due to regulatory unclarity.

The current SEC hierarchy views crypto staking services as offering securities to investors. It was on the premise that the Gary Gensler-led Wall Street regulator pursued legal actions against Ethereum.

Nonetheless, a change in the SEC hierarchy has sparked optimism that the staking clause will transition with the outgoing administration. The digital asset industry expects crypto-friendly incoming chair Paul Atkins to effect certain changes, and the standing rules on staking could be one of them.

Donald Trump’s Executive Order to Establish Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Drafted

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The Bitcoin Policy Institute has drafted the executive order to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve under the United States Treasury’s Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF).

The draft aims to position Bitcoin as a national strategic asset for the U.S. under President Donald Trump. The proposed order outlines measures to ensure the United States remains competitive in the evolving global digital economy. Notably, this policy requires approval and signing after Donald Trump’s inauguration to take effect.

Details of The Bitcoin Reserve and Policy Objectives

The executive order emphasizes integrating Bitcoin into the U.S. financial system to strengthen economic security and global leadership.

According to the draft, Bitcoin’s decentralized and limited supply characteristics make it a valuable asset comparable to digital gold. The proposal recommends designating Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset within the ESF to diversify holdings, attract innovation, and promote domestic industry growth.

Under the draft’s provisions, the Treasury Secretary would oversee the creation of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR), with an allocation of $521 billion for Bitcoin acquisition.

The proposal mandates that all Bitcoin held by federal agencies, such as the U.S. Marshals Service, be consolidated into the SBR within seven days of the order’s issuance. Notably, it prohibits the sale of any Bitcoin from this period.

Additionally, the draft directs the Treasury to implement a detailed acquisition plan within 60 days to establish the United States as a global leader in Bitcoin holdings and innovation.

Safeguarding Bitcoin Holdings

The draft order includes stringent measures to ensure the security of Bitcoin reserves. Initial custody of Bitcoin would rely on reputable third-party custodial service providers while the Treasury develops a robust self-custody framework.

The proposed self-custody measures involve collaboration with agencies such as the National Security Agency (NSA) and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) to implement multi-signature controls, geographic distribution, and cryptographic reserve proof verification.

Additionally, the Treasury would be responsible for regular audits and transparency measures, including quarterly public proofs of reserve and detailed annual reports.

These reports would assess the strategic advantages of Bitcoin holdings, acquisition strategies, and economic impacts. The plan aims to maintain public trust while safeguarding national economic interests.

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Donald Trump’s Executive Order for Bitcoin Reserve

Global Context 

The draft order arrives amid growing global interest in Bitcoin. Sarah Knafo, a French member of the European Parliament, has urged the European Union to establish its own strategic Bitcoin reserve. 

She opposes the proposed digital euro, describing it as a potential tool for central control, and instead supports Bitcoin as a decentralized alternative. Citing El Salvador’s adoption of Bitcoin as a legal tender in 2021, Knafo pointed to its success in boosting economic returns and national sovereignty.

Bitcoin Drops Below $104K: Is a $100K Retest Imminent?

Bitcoin price falls below the $104k level and warns of a support trendline breakdown to potentially retest the $100k psychological milestone.

After a sudden 2.75% drop over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has lost its footing above the $104,000 mark. The current BTC price is $103,674, with the market capitalization remaining at $2.052 trillion.

As the surge in supply suggests a potential extended correction, attention is now focused on a crucial support trendline. Will the declining trend lead to a breakdown that tests the $100,000 level?

Bitcoin Price Analysis

In the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin’s price action shows a failed attempt to maintain a strong close above the 50% Fibonacci level. The key Fibonacci resistance is at $106,912.

Despite reaching a new all-time high of $108,364, overwhelming supply in this region caused a swift bearish reversal. This has led to a 4.42% pullback from the new all-time high.

Bitcoin Price Chart
Bitcoin Price Chart

The bearish retracement has caused the price to fall below the 20-EMA line on the 4-hour chart. After forming two large bearish engulfing candles, Bitcoin is now testing a critical local support trendline.

This support trendline sits slightly above the 38.20% Fibonacci level at $103,093. Additional support is found near the 50-EMA line, around $102,676.

Given these support levels, BTC may experience a bullish recovery. However, the quick decline has caused the 4-hour RSI to drop below the halfway mark, signaling increased selling pressure and the potential for further downside.

Bitcoin ETFs Buy The Dip

Amid the overnight correction, BlackRock accumulated $741.41 million worth of Bitcoin yesterday. With this substantial inflow, the total daily net inflow for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs reached $493.95 million.

This contrasts with an outflow of $128.17 million from Fidelity and three other ETFs. Furthermore, over the past 14 days, Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen positive inflows totaling $6.45 billion.

BTC Price Targets

According to Fibonacci levels, a breakdown below the 38.20% Fibonacci level could lead to a retest of the $100,000 psychological mark, with the 23.60% Fibonacci level at $98,369 serving as a target in the event of an extended decline.

Conversely, a bullish reversal for Bitcoin would face resistance at the 50% Fibonacci level, with a bullish target set at $110,730.

Dogecoin Sentiment Turns Sour as Traders Grow Impatient

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The Dogecoin weighted sentiment metric has collapsed in the past few weeks as its sluggish price action triggers impatience among investors.

Donald Trump’s election victory in November 2024 sparked a wave of excitement that sent the broad crypto market soaring as the president-elect had shown extreme support for the industry during his campaign.

However, as the rally now stalls for some assets, investor sentiment may now be changing. This appears particularly true for meme coin market leader Dogecoin (DOGE).

Dogecoin (DOGE) Investors Grow Impatient 

Following Trump’s election victory and the announcement of plans to launch a department of government efficiency playfully nicknamed D.O.G.E. by Tesla CEO Elon Musk, Dogecoin (DOGE) soared about 220% from $0.15139 to highs of $0.48434.

But as the rally has stalled over the past few weeks, with DOGE shedding some of its gains to trade at the $0.38429 price point at the time of writing, traders may now be losing patience and faith that the asset’s price still has more room for growth in the short term.

According to Santiment Feed data shared by prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez on Tuesday, December 17, weighted DOGE sentiment has turned negative, dropping from highs of nearly five on Santiment’s scale in mid-November to a negative 0.6. Along with this decline in sentiment has also come a massive dip in mentions on social media from over 3,200 to below 300.

Santiment Feed chart showing Dogecoin social volume and weighted sentiment
Santiment Feed chart showing Dogecoin social volume and weighted sentiment. Source: Ali Martinez

Still, negative sentiment may not be a reason for investors to panic, as it can often be a contrarian indicator when it is overwhelming. Indeed, analysts continue to sound bullish on the asset despite the recent correction.

More Room for Growth Still?

Most recently, market analyst Javon Marks has asserted that DOGE has nearly perfectly replicated its historical performance, indicating higher prices. 

“History says Dogecoin is about to record a near +75% gain and more, to and above its current ATH’s ($0.73905) before much, much higher,” the analyst wrote.

Specifically, the analyst set a conservative final target of $3 and over $15 in the best-case scenario. 

On a more ambitious note, crypto analyst “Cantonese Cat” has set a target of $24, citing historical price action.

Castle Island Founder Issues Bold $900K Bitcoin Forecast, Says BTC Will Match Gold Market Cap

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Nic Carter, the founder partner of Castle Island Ventures, has said Bitcoin could reach $900,000 in the long term, drawing comparisons to gold and citing factors such as growing institutional adoption.

As Bitcoin sells at $103,967, analysts are revising their long-term valuation for BTC, proposing new heights. They cite factors such as adoption by institutional players, potential integration by sovereign entities, and its comparison to gold as a store of value.

Experts have drawn parallels between Bitcoin’s market capitalization and gold, citing the possibility of the crypto matching gold’s market cap. Castle Island Ventures’ Nic Carter highlighted this potential, projecting a long-term Bitcoin price of $900,000. 

Institutional Strategies For Bitcoin

Carter points out that institutional participation has significantly boosted Bitcoin’s prominence. Strategies like MicroStrategy’s use of fixed-income markets to fund Bitcoin purchases have shown the profitability of such investments, with substantial premiums on their holdings.

As Carter notes, these trends demonstrate the growing interest in Bitcoin as an investment vehicle, especially among entities unable to buy the cryptocurrency directly.

Additionally, regulatory changes in Washington could unlock new opportunities for broader adoption. Carter suggests that policies like the cessation of de-banking and Bitcoin custody by major banks could trigger a new wave of institutional and sovereign adoption.

Proposals for Bitcoin as a Strategic Reserve

Furthermore, Bitcoin’s role in addressing fiscal challenges has also garnered attention. Earlier, VanEck proposed a model where the U.S. Treasury could strategically acquire Bitcoin to mitigate national debt.

This proposal assumes the purchase of one million BTC tokens over five years at an average price of $250,000 per Bitcoin. Such strategic reserves could theoretically align with Senator Cynthia Lummis’ vision while addressing inflation and fiscal sustainability.

These developments coincide with broader market trends, as noted by VanEck’s CEO, Jan van Eck. His forecast of Bitcoin reaching $150,000–$170,000 by 2025 reflects growing confidence in the asset’s resilience.

The asset’s year-to-date return of 124.4% further underscores its market dominance in 2024, far outpacing gold’s 28.1% performance.

Trader Sells 10,000 XRP for 100 RLUSD, Losing $27,000

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An unlucky trader has lost $27,000 by FOMOing into the recently-launched Ripple stablecoin RLUSD with his XRP holdings.

The trade occurred yesterday, Dec. 17 shortly after Ripple confirmed the launch of the much-anticipated stablecoin. For context, RLUSD launched on Dec. 17, a few days after reports indicated that the New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) had granted its regulatory approval.

Details of the XRP-RLUSD Trade

However, it appears the excitement behind the launch resulted in the unfortunate trade. Notably, data from leading XRPL explorer Bithomp indicates that the trade began when a network participant placed an order to sell his 10,000 XRP tokens for 100 RLUSD.

The order was fulfilled on Dec. 17 at exactly 13:00 UTC, with the trader receiving the 100 RLUSD in his wallet. Notably, XRP was already witnessing an impressive rally during this period, as bullish sentiments followed the launch of the stablecoin. 

XRP to RLUSD Trade Bithomp
XRP to RLUSD Trade | Bithomp

As a result of this uptrend, XRP was changing hands at the $2.71 mark when the transaction occurred. This indicates that the trader’s 10,000 XRP tokens were worth a whopping $27,100 or 27,000 RLUSD at the time the system fulfilled the order.

With the market participant receiving only 100 RLUSD in this transaction, this confirms that he lost $27,000. However, this move cannot be regarded as an investment choice with hopes of future returns, as the Ripple stablecoin would always maintain its peg to the dollar, leaving the trader with $100.

RLUSD is Not an Opportunity to Get Rich

The recent transaction highlights the mistakes certain network participants could make as a result of the euphoria surrounding the RLUSD launch. Before the launch, Ripple CTO David Schwartz warned investors not to consider the stablecoin as an investment opportunity, as its value would always remain at $1.

Schwartz noted this while commenting on a disclosure that Xaman (formerly Xumm), a leading XRPL non-custodial wallet, showed a rate of $1,200 for 1 RLUSD. This triggered speculations that XRP’s price could adjust to this value, fueling the hope of a price surge for XRP.

Schwartz dismissed these speculations, explaining that Xaman shows this rate because someone already placed an order to buy a small fraction of RLUSD for $1,200. He cautioned that investors should not regard RLUSD as a potential avenue to get rich.

It bears mentioning that the order referenced by Schwartz is similar to the latest one involving the 10,000 XRP trade. However, in this trade, the investor placed his order to purchase 1 RLUSD for 100 XRP or $271, leading to the massive loss.

It is imperative that investors see RLUSD as just another stablecoin, like Tether (USDT), and not an opportunity to rake in gains. XRPL validator Vet noted in a previous report that RLUSD will always maintain a $1 price. Schwartz also suggested that the stablecoin’s benefit would be to improve liquidity, not to effect prices.

Here’s How High Dogecoin Must Rise to Turn $1,000, $5,000 and $10,000 into $1M

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Dogecoin would have to skyrocket by astronomical margins to transform modest investments into million-dollar fortunes.

The crypto market has presented some of the biggest opportunities for investors to turn their modest investments into fortunes. Notably, the meme coin market is one particular sector that holds the most promise in this regard.

Dogecoin, which kick-started the meme coin movement back in 2013, laid the foundation four years back when it skyrocketed by more than 36,000% from January 2020 to May 2021. This historic event has sustained optimism of a possible repetition under the appropriate market conditions.

As a result, investors have persistently entered the market, with whales increasingly augmenting their balances. Notably, data from Santiment confirms that addresses holding between 10,000 and 100,000 DOGE worth $4,000 to $40,000 have increased in number since mid-November amid Dogecoin’s recent uptrend. 

Price for DOGE to Turn $1K, $5K and $10K to $1M

Most of these new entrants anticipate a scenario where their Dogecoin investments yield substantial returns, with some ambitious ones eyeing the $1 million mark. However, for DOGE to present a yield of $1 million from modest investments, it must rally at a massive rate.

For instance, investors who commit $1,000 to Dogecoin now will procure about 2,500 tokens at the current price of $0.40. For these tokens to reach a worth of $1 million, DOGE would need to rally to a price of $400 per token, a rather unfeasible dream at current market conditions. Such an uptick would mark a 99,900% rally.

Meanwhile, those holding $5,000 worth of DOGE are currently sitting on 12,500 tokens. Dogecoin must rally to $80 for these 12,500 tokens to rise to $1 million. This appreciation, which would represent a 19,899% upsurge, could also pose difficulties for Dogecoin.

Further, an investor that splashes $10,000 on Dogecoin today would amass about 25,000 coins. Should Dogecoin’s price increase 9,900% from the current value to $40, these 25,000 tokens would hit a worth of $1 million. 

Can Dogecoin Hit $40, $80 or $400?

As noted earlier, confidence in Dogecoin’s potential stems from historical data. For context, DOGE began 2020 with a price of $0.002010 in January. This price position was the result of a correction that impacted the meme coin from Q3 2019.

However, the crypto asset recovered its losses from November 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic persisted. Amid the rebound process, DOGE soared to an all-time high price of $0.7399 by May 2021, marking an impressive 36,710% from the January 2020 price.

If Dogecoin reaches the above prices, its estimated market capitalization would be $56.82 trillion at $400, $11.36 trillion at $80, and $5.68 trillion if Doge reaches $40. All these market caps are not feasible.

While such an upsurge demonstrates its potential, Dogecoin could find it challenging to even surpass $4 in the near future due to supply constraints.

Nonetheless, analysts at exchange platform Changelly are extremely optimistic. They expect DOGE to reach $40 in June 2040 and then claim $80 in December 2040. However, they don’t believe the meme coin is capable of reaching the $400 mark before 2050.

Dogecoin Price Prediction Changelly
Dogecoin Price Prediction | Changelly