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Expert Predicts 11 Possible Events That Could Impact XRP and Ripple in the Next 3 to 9 Months

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According to community figure Luke Thomas, the XRP community could see several impactful developments for both Ripple and XRP in the coming months.

He has laid out his predictions for the next three to nine months, projecting major events that may solidify Ripple’s position in the finance scene and bolster XRP growth. His commentary comes on the back of Donald Trump’s recent win in the U.S. presidential election.

RLUSD, XRP ETF, Ripple v. SEC Settlement

Thomas anticipates the first event will be a set of new stablecoin regulations that could enable Ripple to launch its upcoming stablecoin, RLUSD. Notably, Ripple has already partnered with exchanges for this purpose, but they’re awaiting final regulatory approval. 

Secondly, Thomas also predicts that major financial firms might soon file for XRP-focused spot ETFs, similar to how BlackRock and others have shown interest in Bitcoin ETFs. Following the launch of Bitcoin ETFs, the investment products have become a success.

He believes the forthcoming XRP ETFs could either be standalone or bundled with other cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and Solana.

Interestingly, asset managers Canary Capital, Bitwise, and 21Shares have already submitted XRP ETF applications. Also, Grayscale has requested to convert its multi-asset trust that includes XRP into an ETF. 

Thomas suggests that the third key development could be a settlement in the ongoing Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit. He envisions this settlement involving the $125 million set by the court. However, the case is already heading to appeal, with the SEC’s deadline to submit its appeal brief being January 2025.

However, the pundit believes there could be a settlement. This largely syncs with speculation of a termination of the case should the new Trump administration fire the SEC Chair Gary Gensler and effect a new management.

Ripple IPO, RWA Tokenization, Utility Tokens’ Boost

For the fourth event, Thomas says Ripple might reveal plans for an Initial Public Offering (IPO), possibly by Q3 or Q4 of 2025. Although Ripple previously ruled out a U.S.-based IPO due to regulatory concerns, the recent change in administration might sway Ripple’s position.

In the fifth development, Thomas suggests a rise in bank adoption of XRP. He believes U.S. banks may begin integrating XRP for cross-border payments, with at least one top five bank potentially making a strong commitment to using XRP. However, this remains highly speculative.

Meanwhile, Thomas says the sixth event is likely to be a wave of acquisitions by Ripple after a successful IPO. He believes the company may use IPO funds to expand its product portfolio, especially in the Real-World Assets (RWA) sector. 

The community pundit also sees Ripple targeting the derivatives market, a sector worth quadrillion, to diversify its offerings. Interestingly, Ripple has recently shown interest in the tokenization scene, having acquired Metaco.

For the seventh development, Thomas expects a shift in the crypto market as regulations tighten. He sees a scenario where meme coins and other non-utility tokens fade from prominence, with the market focusing more on utility tokens that deliver real-world value. 

Bank Adoption, SWIFT Partnership, CBDCs

Thomas says the eighth event will involve banks offering custodial and trading services for crypto, allowing Gen X and Boomers to manage digital assets directly from mobile banking apps. 

For the ninth development, the community commentator predicts a partnership between Ripple and SWIFT, which would integrate SWIFT into the XRP Ledger (XRPL) ecosystem. However, this projection is very speculative and largely unlikely amid current conditions.

In addition, Thomas believes the tenth event is Ripple becoming a prominent figure in the Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) stablecoins and crypto-fiat conversion scene. 

Finally, the market commentator sees an eleventh development in which Ripple’s global reach positions it as the first double-digit trillion-dollar crypto company. While this remains highly speculative, Thomas maintains that Ripple’s international business presence amid favorable regulations could support this audacious goal.

BitBoy Says XRP Price to Pump Hardest in Top 100 Cryptos if Trump Does This

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Media personality Ben Armstrong, known as BitBoy, has recently shared his views on how the XRP price could react if Donald Trump fires the SEC Chairman Gary Gensler.

During his presidential campaign, the pro-crypto Trump stated that he would oust the infamous SEC chairman from his position on the first day of his presidency. Following the U.S. elections on Tuesday, Trump secured the presidential seat.

Interestingly, the crypto market is already feeling the significance of Trump’s victory. Bitcoin has surged, surpassing previous resistance levels and hitting new all-time highs. The leading cryptocurrency cracked the $75K mark early Wednesday morning and rose further by late evening, reaching $76,400 as crypto enthusiasts celebrated Trump’s win.

XRP price has also benefited from the bullish market, rallying to $0.5739 earlier today, its highest level in the past 30 days.

XRP Price to “Pump Hard” After Trump Fires SEC Chair Gensler

Notable community figures like Armstrong believe that the XRP price could increase significantly if Trump follows through on his promise to fire Gensler. 

Many XRP holders blame the SEC chairman for hindering XRP’s potential during the 2021 bull run. They point to the lawsuit as a major factor that prevented XRP from reaching new all-time highs in the last bull market.

According to BitBoy, XRP has a strong chance of being among the top 100 crypto assets that could “pump hardest” in this cycle if Trump fires Gensler.

While XRP has already overcome the lawsuit and now enjoys a more favorable regulatory position in the U.S., it has underperformed this bull season compared to other cryptocurrencies. 

For example, Solana and BNB have seen year-to-date gains of over 85%, while XRP has posted a negative growth of 10%. Many holders continue to speculate the event that could trigger an XRP price surge, with some pointing to Gensler’s sack as a potential catalyst.

However, it is not immediately clear how the SEC chairman’s dismissal would directly impact XRP, especially since the asset is no longer involved in the lawsuit and has already secured favorable regulatory clarity.

Meanwhile, BitBoy’s view that firing Gensler would help XRP soar was widely shared among notable market commentators. Some even suggested that this singular act could cause XRP to pump as violently as it did in 2017, when it experienced a 75,000% growth in one year.

Community reaction
Community reaction

Critics Disagree, Say XRP Pump Not Likely with Gensler’s Sack

However, others have expressed disagreement with this perspective. “That’s not happening. Sorry to burst that bubble, Ben,” said X user Erik Huisman. Huisman went on to suggest that BitBoy is merely giving his followers false hope about a substantial XRP price gain.

Meanwhile, some comments suggested that Gensler might voluntarily resign now that Trump has won to avoid the humiliation of a forced dismissal.

CNBC Says Bitcoin Could Reach $100,000 Before Donald Trump’s Inauguration

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Media outlet CNBC has reported that Bitcoin could trade at six figures before the 47th US presidential inauguration on January 20.

Journalist Mackenzie Sigalos broke the latest crypto market update on Wednesday, as Bitcoin jumped to unprecedented heights on reports that Donald Trump has emerged as the winner of the November 5 elections.

While stating that the positive crypto market reactions are tied to the investor outlook for a more friendly environment for digital assets, Sigalos gave near-term Bitcoin price expectations. According to her, multiple analysts have asserted that the premier asset would trade at $100,000 before Trump is sworn into office in January 2025.

Bitcoin to $100,000 by January

The CNBC report aligns with price expectations from analytical firm Copper Research. In a recently released market analysis, the firm stated that Bitcoin would trade at $100,000 before Donald Trump assumes office.

Copper Research tied its price predictions to the surging clamor among US investors for Bitcoin exposure through spot ETFs. Notably, inflows into the Bitcoin products have reached a fever pitch as the funds recorded a net inflow of $621 million on Wednesday.

The analytical firm back-tested the ETF accumulation trend against the probable Bitcoin price, concluding that Bitcoin could reach $100,000 by January 2025. Copper Research also asserted that the US ETFs would hold 1.1 million bitcoins on the said date.

Bitcoin ETF Trend
Bitcoin ETF Trend

Optimism Driving Price Upsurge

Following Trump’s win, crypto industry leaders have expressed optimism that he will deliver on his promises to the sector. For instance, Ripple’s CEO Brad Garlinghouse has asked Trump to keep his promises of firing SEC chair Gary Gensler on day one and give the sector regulatory clarity.

Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal has also urged the President-elect to investigate the current regulatory issues and encourage the SEC to adopt a more friendly approach to cryptocurrencies.

Optimism grew further when Senator Cynthia Lummis stated the new administration would keep to its national Bitcoin stockpile promises. In a tweet on Wednesday, she noted that the US government would erect a US strategic Bitcoin reserve, building on the $15 billion worth of the asset it already holds.

Meanwhile, this optimism has driven Bitcoin and altcoins to massive gains. For context, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $76,460 on Wednesday, while Ethereum and Solana surged to $2,877 and $191.5, respectively.

At press time, Bitcoin has retraced slightly to trade at $74,761. Meanwhile, ETH and SOL exchange hands at $2,821 and $187.77.

3 Ethereum Addresses Dormant for Over 8 Years Sell 44,706 ETH Amid Latest Price Surge

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Three dormant Ethereum addresses emerged from a multi-year hibernation to sell large amounts of ETH following the recent spike in the price of ETH. 

This week, the crypto market has witnessed many interesting developments. Topping the list is the emergence of more than 200 pro-crypto candidates for various public offices in the United States, including the presidency.

This remarkable feat led to a jaw-dropping surge in crypto prices, such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Although ETH did not register a new all-time high (ATH) like BTC, the second-biggest cryptocurrency rose to nearly $2,900.

Ethereum Whales Re-awaken After 8 Years of Inactivity  

Interestingly, the owners of three dormant Ethereum addresses capitalized on the recent price surge by offloading some of their ETH holdings. Overall, these multi-year dormant addresses sold 44,706 ETH after the recent surge. 

ICO Whales Return After Multi-Year Dormancy  

Notably, leading on-chain analytics platform Spot On Chain called the public’s attention to two long-term ETH holders who sold 33,701 ETH, worth a whopping $89.72 million. 

The first transaction came from an Ethereum ICO participant with the address ‘0xB8c.’ Apparently, this address has been dormant since the ICO but came out of hibernation after ETH’s price neared $2,700.

Following the re-awakening, the user moved 25,000 ETH to the Kraken crypto exchange, selling them for $65.67 million. Spot On Chain suggested that the whale sold each ETH at $2,627. Despite the hefty sale, the user still held about 64,450 ETH, valued at $181.2 million. 

Additionally, the second whale highlighted by Spot on Chain came out of an 8.75-year dormancy to sell over 8,000 ETH. This indicates that the Ethereum address ‘0x0c1’ has been dormant since April 2016. With ETH surging tremendously this week, the whale became active and sold 8,701 ETH for $24.05 million worth of USDC.

The address still had a balance of 2,304 ETH ($6.49 million) after recording a profit of $30.48 million, representing a return of 68,900%.

Early Ethereum Investor Sells 11,005 ETH at 80,200% Profit 

Furthermore, another Ethereum whale with an eight-year-old dormant address, ‘0xd82,’ cashed out $30.56 million after selling 11,005 ETH for $2,777 per unit, leaving it with a 0 ETH balance. Popular smart money on-chain platform Lookonchain indexed this transaction today in an X post. 

According to Lookonchain, this whale has been a long-term ETH investor since 2016. At the time, the user acquired all 11,005 ETH from crypto trading platform ShapeShift. With ETH priced at $3.46 then, the whale spent around $38,000 to accumulate the 11,005 ETH coins. Interestingly, the user made a profit of $30.52 million, representing an 80,200% ROI.

Besides these transactions, other Ethereum whales have also capitalized on the recent price surge. Despite this, ETH currently trades at $2,846 per coin, marking a 24-hour increase of 9.71%.

Bitcoin Eyes Triangle Breach in Latest Push, Brandt Sets Timeline for $150,000 Price Top

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Following the latest election-driven rally, Bitcoin has entered a critical phase, as it prepares to breach a triangle pattern identified by Peter Brandt. 

The veteran trader recently updated his Bitcoin analysis, particularly in respect to the halving cycle. In an updated weekly chart analysis, Brandt noted the importance of Bitcoin’s current position relative to an inverted broadening triangle pattern. 

Bitcoin Claims New ATH

Bitcoin’s recent rally, fueled by a favorable environment after crypto-supporting candidate Donald Trump’s U.S. election win, pushed it to a new all-time high of $76,481. This surpassed the previous peak of $73,794, which marked the culmination of a long period of bullish momentum. 

After a slight pullback, Bitcoin closed at $75,637, a strong indicator that the bulls are still in control. With a 9% gain in a single day, the pioneering crypto asset recorded its largest intraday gain since August. This compounded optimism around a more extensive upward trend.

Brandt’s Inverted Broadening Triangle 

Brandt’s recent chart considers this new upsurge. The weekly chart shows Bitcoin breaking through an inverted broadening triangle. The market veteran identified this structure last month, previously suggesting that it is imperative for BTC to break it.

Brandt indicated that Bitcoin was still at risk while it remained within this pattern. To him, a decisive break of the structure would feature a bullish close above $76,000 on Sunday. Now, with Bitcoin currently trading for $74,844, it is only a 1.5% gain away from reclaiming the $76,000 mark as Sunday approaches.

Bitcoin 1W Chart Peter Brandt
Bitcoin 1W Chart | Peter Brandt

Further, the weekly moving average is at $67,045, now well below the current price, indicating strong momentum and a well-supported bull run. As the buying volume surges, Bitcoin finds itself in a more favorable position, moving closer to Brandt’s target zone of $76,000.

Timeline for Bitcoin to Reach $150K

The latest analysis from Brandt also considers the halving cycles, especially following the latest halving in April 2024. According to the market analyst, following the recent price surge, Bitcoin has entered the “sweet spot” of the current halving cycle. 

His analysis highlights two periods of 518 days, representing Bitcoin’s growth before and after the halving. This timeline is in sync with prior halving cycles. In these previous cycles, Bitcoin reached all-time highs 1.5 years after the event. 

Considering this pattern, Brandt expects Bitcoin to top out around August or September 2025, essentially a year from now. Remarkably, his peak target for this period is in the $130,000 to $150,000 range. Last month, the market analyst identified $135K as Bitcoin’s macro top for this cycle.

Here’s How Shiba Inu Can Reach $0.01 if Ethereum Founder Vitalik Buterin Considers This Move

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A Shiba Inu community figure recently discussed how SHIB could potentially hit a target price of $0.01, but the proposal seems out of reach.

Notably, the concept hinges on Shiba Inu’s integration as a gas token on Ethereum in a dual-token model. This idea has triggered discussions within the community, with some proponents expressing optimism and others questioning its feasibility.

Shiba Inu as Ethereum Gas Token

In a post on X, community member “Lola” suggested that if SHIB serves as a gas token on Ethereum, it could trigger substantial price increases. Lola argued that using SHIB as a gas token, alongside Ethereum’s primary token, could bolster price growth through an automatic burn mechanism. 

For context, the approach would aim to reduce SHIB’s total supply and potentially increase scarcity gradually. She compared the idea to Solana’s transaction model, where each transaction contributes to SOL’s long-term value by burning 50% of the fees.

Lola believes if Shiba Inu becomes a gas token on Ethereum and replicates the Solana burn mechanism, the large volume of transactions on the Ethereum network could help reduce SHIB’s supply, potentially bolstering a price push toward $0.01.

In response to Lola’s idea, some Shiba Inu community members expressed their skepticism, suggesting that pushing for a burn mechanism specifically for SHIB might be a more realistic approach. 

Notably, achieving a dual-token economy on Ethereum might be problematic, especially considering Ethereum’s existing structure. 

In a dual-token system, two separate tokens fulfill unique roles within the network. For instance, some tokens could serve as an avenue to raise investment, complying with security regulations, while others support the network’s operational functions. 

Notable projects like VeChain and MakerDAO have successfully implemented dual-token models, but each system is tailored to the specific needs of its project.

Previous Considerations

Despite this, transitioning Ethereum to accommodate SHIB as a gas token could pose a technical and regulatory issue. Earlier this year, Shiba Inu marketing specialist Lucie discussed this, noting Ethereum’s built-in design to use ETH as the sole gas token. 

She highlighted that Ethereum’s system, which operates on the Proof of Stake (PoS) consensus, relies on ETH as a major part of its operation. Introducing SHIB as a gas token would likely involve massive adjustments to the network and could introduce technical and security challenges.

Lucie further pointed out that Ethereum’s infrastructure and ecosystem have grown around ETH as the native token. Making SHIB compatible as a gas fee token would likely demand changes to the existing ecosystem, including modifications to software and protocols. 

Such a transition would be costly and time-consuming and could potentially create confusion for users accustomed to Ethereum’s established gas token model.

Meanwhile, others who responded to Lola’s proposition suggested that the community instead focus on bolstering transactions on Shibarium, which already burns SHIB with a portion of its fees. Notably, when Shibarium saw a spike in transactions last year, SHIB’s burn rate spiked dramatically.

Blockchain Ads Review: Is It The Best Ad Network?

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Blockchain-Ads has established itself as a premium ad network designed specifically for companies supporting crypto payments. Trusted by major brands across industries, Blockchain-Ads enables targeted campaigns for businesses looking to reach an engaged crypto audience.

But does it live up to the hype? Here’s an overview.

What Makes Blockchain-Ads Different?

Blockchain-Ads stands out for its Web3 Cookie targeting technology, which leverages users’ on-chain behavior to deliver highly specific ads. Advertisers can segment audiences based on:

  • Blockchains they interact with
  • Wallets they own
  • Tokens in their portfolios
Blockchain Ads Targeting
Blockchain Ads Targeting

Other options, such as portfolio balance and competitor smart contracts, allow for even more detailed targeting. With 9,000 publisher websites and a capacity for 6 billion ad impressions per day, Blockchain-Ads offers broad and deep reach for advertisers.

How Does Blockchain-Ads Work?

Blockchain-Ads operates on a self-service platform, allowing advertisers to launch campaigns after an initial qualification call and account setup. Campaign setup is straightforward and can be completed in just a few minutes, with objectives grouped into:

  • Awareness
  • Consideration
  • Conversion
Blockchain Ads Campaign Objective
Blockchain Ads Campaign Objective

Advertisers can choose to set up their campaigns independently or opt for a managed service through the Blockchain-Ads media team.

The platform also provides a dedicated analytics dashboard with its own pixel for tracking campaign performance and conversions.

Blockchain Ads Campaign
Blockchain Ads Campaign

Who Uses Blockchain-Ads?

Blockchain-Ads is widely used by brands from various industries that have enabled crypto payments, attracting major names like Binance, OKX, and Coinbase.

Additionally, 50+ certified marketing agencies manage campaigns on the platform, including both traditional agencies and specialized Web3 agencies such as AlphaGrowth, SocialKick, and LeanMarketing-Crypto.

Pricing and Plans

According to live stats, advertisers on Blockchain-Ads spend an average of $40K-$50K per month, making it best suited for companies with significant marketing budgets.

Blockchain Ads Campaign Dashboard
Blockchain Ads Campaign Dashboard

The platform supports both CPC (Cost Per Click) and CPM (Cost Per Mille) pricing models.

Pros and Cons of Blockchain-Ads

Here are some key advantages and potential drawbacks:

Pros:

  • Unique on-chain behavior and wallet targeting capabilities
  • Pre-built retargeting and lookalike audiences
  • Performance improves as more data is collected

Cons:

  • Platform UI/UX could be improved for ease of use, especially compared to Google Ads
  • Primarily suited for large-scale advertisers with high budgets
  • New users may face a learning curve with Web3 targeting capabilities

How Does Blockchain-Ads Compare?

Ad Platform Type Targeting Capabilities
Blockchain-Ads Programmatic On-chain profiling, Web3 targeting, audience recommendations
Google Ads Programmatic/intent Search, display, contextual targeting
Taboola Programmatic Content recommendation, audience targeting
Bitmedia Contextual Geo-targeting, website-based targeting

Compared to competitors like Google Ads, Taboola, and Bitmedia, Blockchain-Ads stands out with its unique blockchain-specific targeting options and extensive on-chain data. However, ad networks like Bitmedia may be more accessible for smaller advertisers.

Conclusion

Blockchain-Ads offers a compelling solution for advertisers aiming to connect with a highly engaged audience. While there’s room for improvement in the user experience, its sophisticated targeting capabilities and substantial reach make it an excellent choice for large-scale campaigns. For serious advertisers, Blockchain-Ads is a strong contender worth considering.

Battle For Iran’s Crypto Market: Deception, Sanctions, And Blockchain Transparency

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Over the last few months, Iranian crypto exchange Nobitex has been at the eye of the storm in accusations that range from charges of money laundering to claims of ties with the Iranian government and facilitating violations of sanctions.

Such claims, amplified by Farsi-speaking media channels in the orbit of the Iranian government, have left the general public uncertain on matters related to the safety of centralized exchanges in a heavily sanctioned country. With growing scrutiny, one may pose the following questions: What is the real motive for these campaigns? How does blockchain technology impact transparency? And what of the ordinary Iranians who, being increasingly dependent on cryptocurrencies, bear the brunt of these frustrations.

Nobitex Allegations: What’s the Real Story?

Nobitex is Iran’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, with more than 6 million active users and one of the biggest players in the local market. In May 2024, two senior U.S. senators wrote to the Treasury and Defense departments, expressing concern that the cryptocurrency exchange might be helping to facilitate money laundering and terrorism financing for the Iranian government.

That, combined with OSINT reporting and insider investigations, fed accusations that Nobitex might be facilitating activities that violate international sanctions.

At the core of such allegations is the claim that Nobitex has an underhanded connection with the Iranian government and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps—IRGC. Its critics say that transparency by the exchange can only be a thin disguise, and backstage, it gets involved in illicit financial activities for the Iranian ruling elite. This narrative is now being echoed through different channels, including Farsi-speaking platforms known for closeness to the Iranian regime.

Motivations Behind the Campaign: Who Benefits?

A closer look into the situation would suggest that the story is not quite so simple. Channels campaigning against Nobitex within the Farsi-speaking community appear to have an underlying agenda. Many of these outlets, have framed their opposition to blockchain technology in a way that benefits those who profit from Iran’s black market currency exchanges and the high costs associated with traditional financial systems. These groups paint a picture of fear, suggesting that US sanctions will lead to something that some platforms like Nobitex are in a position to freeze. The goal here is to deter ordinary Iranians from using blockchain-based exchanges. Driving them back to the old, opaque ways of accessing foreign currencies: physical smuggling of US dollars or reliance on informal money changers.

These forms of operations, although are much more expensive and riskier for the ordinary person, maintain those who control the underworld networks of currency in wealth.

One plausible motive for these campaigns may be the desire to cling to the financial control that accompanies these older, more opaque systems. If platforms such as Nobitex and Tether are sanctioned, that would reduce access by normal Iranians to USD, forcing them back into traditional avenues of currency exchange, where the government and its proxies reap returns from higher costs and inefficiencies.

Blockchain Transparency: A Tool or a threat?

With all these allegations, it is very necessary to focus on the nature of blockchain technology itself, which provides a level of transparency and traceability that traditional financial systems simply can’t. All transactions on blockchain are open to the public and large-scale money-laundering activity would create a digital footprint that anyone with access to the ledger could analyze.

For Nobitex to get away with such activities, these transactions would need to be hidden in plain sight—something blockchain just makes very difficult to do.

Nobitex has claimed to operate within the confines of AML and KYC regulations that are comparable to those implemented by international financial institutions. In its annual reports, it underscored that it actively freezes suspicious accounts and tries to block high-risk payments. To this date, no solid evidence for blockchain transactions that would indicate Nobitex has been involved in money laundering has surfaced.

On top of its AML/KYC measures, Nobitex has consciously avoided implementing tools from the blockchain that could help mask transaction histories, such as mixers—something most exchanges engaging in shady dealings make use of. The way mixers work is that they combine possible dirty transactions with clean ones to make it virtually impossible to trace where the money came from or went to. Such secrecy is usually a warning bell for regulatory authorities and blockchain analysts. The fact that Nobitex has decided not to use mixers is one example of a voluntary action that further underlines its intent to be on the straight and narrow. In this respect, by making sure that all its operations are transparently traceable on the blockchain, Nobitex actively demonstrates its commitment to full transparency and sends a clear signal that it does not take part in money laundering or any other illicit activities. This move divorces Nobitex from such platforms that try to hide their activities with obfuscation tools, further adding credibility to its operations.

The Broader Impact on Ordinary Iranians

Ordinary Iranians see access to these cryptocurrency platforms as a lifeline in the face of economic challenges and isolation brought about by sanctions. Blockchain comes with a transparency guarantee in the execution of transactions and also enables Iranians to bypass corrupt and often exorbitantly expensive traditional financial systems that have held sway over currency exchange in Iran for so long.

In a nutshell, these disinformation campaigns are clearly meant to undermine security. The message being peddled on channels aligned with the government is that these platforms are unsafe, and that the U.S. government could freeze assets at any moment. This fear-mongering diverts from the fact that the more traditional means of money transfer are way riskier. It also ignores the transparency that comes with blockchain technology, which would give both regulators and users the wherewithal to flag and hopefully prevent illegitimate activities.

Nobitex’s Response and the Way Forward

Nobitex has officially denied all allegations against it, pointing to the fact that it does not hold any connections with the Iranian government or IRGC, and that its platform has been designed to be in line with international standards. In 2022, the exchange posted its board of directors’ structure to prove there are no ties with the government.

Furthermore, in monitoring transactions, Nobitex has been using machine learning algorithms to identify suspicious behavior, thereby underlining the efforts made by the company toward aligning with international compliance frameworks.

The Final Word: Who Controls the Narrative?

As the debate over Nobitex continues, it’s becoming clear that much of the noise surrounding it is as much about control as it is about compliance. After all, the channels that have been slamming the exchange may not be doing so out of real concern about financial transparency but rather to maintain their grip on a lucrative, if opaque, financial system that has learned to thrive in the shadows of sanctions. Ultimately, it will be left to the test of its activities in the passage of time that Nobitex will actually prove its adherence to transparency and legality. Blockchain, being inherently open, presents just the right framework upon which such statements may be proved.

CryptoQuant CEO Projects Further 40% Upside for Bitcoin as ‘Max Pain’ Eases

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CryptoQuant’s Ki Young Ju forecasts 40% upside for Bitcoin as its price surges to $75K, while advising gradual profit-taking amid easing “max pain.”

The price of Bitcoin surged to an all-time high of $75,400 in the wake of the latest U.S. presidential election updates. Early results showed that Donald Trump, who has positioned himself as a pro-crypto candidate, is gaining significant momentum. 

This political development triggered a sharp rally in Bitcoin’s price. Although Bitcoin has since stabilized around $74,000, its ascent reinforced its position among the world’s top 10 largest financial assets by market capitalization.

Bitcoin Market Now At Ease, Likely 40% to Follow

Amid the recent rally, market analysts have turned their attention to Bitcoin’s cyclical nature. Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, highlighted how Bitcoin holders typically behave during market cycles. He noted that new investors often endure losses during bear markets, only to see their assets change hands after about two years, once the “max pain” phase subsides.

Ju shared a chart showing these “max pain” zones, which are crucial for understanding Bitcoin’s market dynamics. He emphasized that the current market environment aligns with an easing period.

In parallel, Ju suggested that Bitcoin could see potential gains of 30-40%. However, he cautioned that the type of exponential gains seen during Bitcoin’s 368% surge from $16K are unlikely to be repeated.

Moreover, Ju stressed that Bitcoin holders should consider taking profits before the next bear market phase sets in.

Bitcoin Amost Overbought?

Bitcoin’s weekly technical indicators also provide important insights. According to TradingView, the price is trending near the upper Bollinger Band, signaling strong bullish momentum. However, when the bands widen, it typically suggests increased volatility, prompting traders to remain cautious.

Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains just below 70, at 63, indicating continued upward momentum without immediate overbought risks. Market participants are now closely watching for a decisive breakout or a short-term correction, depending on Bitcoin’s ability to sustain gains above its key resistance levels.

Staking Platforms Benefit From Surge

Elsewhere, as Bitcoin’s price soared, staking platforms experienced a corresponding surge in activity. Solv Protocol, a prominent Bitcoin staking platform, achieved a record total value locked (TVL) of over $2 billion.

According to DeFiLlama, nearly 30,000 BTC were staked on Solv, up from 16,340 in mid-October at the time of the report. This rapid growth coincides with Bitcoin’s historic rally, with the platform deploying assets across ten blockchain networks.

SolvBTC, a key product within Solv Protocol, alone holds over $1.11 billion in value. This highlights the increasing preference for staking as Bitcoin holders seek additional yield amid price volatility.

US Demand for Bitcoin Reaches Fever Pitch as Price Surges to Record High

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Demand for Bitcoin in the U.S. has heightened as BTC price surged past $75,000 following Donald Trump’s election victory, driven by expectations of pro-crypto policies.

On Wednesday, Bitcoin climbed to an all-time high of $75,400. The cryptocurrency’s historic rally was fueled by a surge in investor confidence, sparked by Trump’s pledge to make the U.S. a “bitcoin superpower,” particularly after his victory in the presidential race.

This latest surge surpassed Bitcoin’s previous record of $73,803, set in March, as traders capitalized on the momentum from key election victories in swing states such as Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia.

Trump’s pro-crypto stance, including promises to dismantle regulatory barriers, has attracted support from influential figures such as Andreessen Horowitz and the Winklevoss twins.

Heightened Activities in Derivatives Market  

The spot market price rally was accompanied by a sharp increase in Bitcoin derivatives activity. Trading volumes surged by 161% to $168.17 billion, marking a significant uptick in participation.

Similarly, open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts rose by 10.2%, reaching $44.34 billion. This increase suggests stronger trader confidence in capitalizing on Bitcoin’s bullish momentum.

Bitcoin Derivatives Data
Bitcoin Derivatives Data

Options trading mirrored this growth, with volumes climbing by 108.91% to $7.01 billion. Options open interest also increased by 6.69%, reaching $30.73 billion.

However, market sentiment showed some divergence across platforms. Binance’s BTC/USDT ratio of 1.028 leaned slightly toward long positions, while OKX data revealed a bearish tilt, with a ratio of 0.8369 favoring shorts.

As volatility spiked, liquidations surged across the market. Over the past 24 hours, total liquidations reached $279.58 million, with short positions taking the hardest hit at $217.07 million. Long liquidations came in lower at $62.51 million.

U.S. Demand Drives Market Sentiment Higher

The Coinbase Premium Index offered further insight into Bitcoin’s record-breaking rally, revealing a strong correlation between U.S. demand and price performance.

The index recently turned positive, indicating that Bitcoin was trading at a premium on Coinbase compared to other global exchanges. Historically, such positive premiums have often been associated with significant price increases, reflecting heightened buying pressure from U.S. investors.

Coinbase Premium
Coinbase Premium

Market Sentiment Flips to “Greed”

This surge in demand aligns with broader market sentiment. The Fear and Greed Index, a widely watched measure of investor sentiment, registered a score of 70, indicating “Greed.” While this is slightly lower than last week’s Extreme Greed reading of 77, it remains notably higher than last month’s Neutral score of 50.

This shift highlights sustained investor enthusiasm as Bitcoin reaches new record highs, with the market responding to evolving geopolitical and economic dynamics.