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XRP Has Welcomed $1.3B in Tokenized RWA in 2026 Alone, Already Surpassing All of 2025

Sam Wisdom Raphael
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XRP Has Welcomed $1.3B in Tokenized RWA in 2026 Alone, Already Surpassing All of 2025

The XRP Ledger has seen its tokenized RWA value grow by $1.3 billion within the two months of 2026, already surpassing all of 2025.

While XRP’s price has struggled alongside the rest of the crypto market, the XRP ecosystem has continued to make giant strides in terms of real-world asset tokenization, as the nascent sector captures the attention of industry leaders such as BlackRock CEO Larry Fink and SEC Chair Paul Atkins.

Data confirms that the XRP Ledger (XRPL) has welcomed more than $1.3 billion worth of tokenized real-world assets (RWA) value within the two months of this year. This already surpasses the growth figure recorded in all of 2025, which amounted to about $900 million.

Key Points

  • The XRP ecosystem has continued to grow in the tokenization market despite XRP’s price struggles since the fourth quarter of 2025.
  • This year alone, the XRPL has welcomed $1.3 billion worth of tokenized real-world assets, bringing the total value to $2.325 billion.
  • The $1.3 billion recorded within the two months of 2026 already surpasses the overall growth figure from the entire 2025.
  • The JMWH commodity on Justoken contributed the most to this growth, bringing in $861 million in value to the XRPL last month.
  • Ripple stablecoin RLUSD’s gradual growth has also contributed to the rise in RWA value on the XRPL this year.

XRPL Welcomes $1.3B Worth of RWA in 2026

This is according to data provided by RWA.xyz, a data and intelligence platform for the tokenized real-world assets market. Specifically, at the start of 2026, data confirms that the XRP Ledger hosted $991.1 million worth of real-world assets.

As the year progressed, the XRPL saw a steady growth in RWA value, hitting $1.05 billion after the first week of the year. However, the most rapid increase came with the introduction of the JMWH commodity in mid-January, which brought with it $861 million worth of tokenized real-world assets value to the XRPL. 

For the uninitiated, JWMH is a tokenized digital token that represents one real megawatt-hour of energy from energy companies. The token resides on the Justoken platform and is available to non-U.S. investors. Following the entrance of JMWH, the XRPL had $1.953 billion worth of tokenized RWA.

Meanwhile, the growth of the Ripple stablecoin, which has added $113 million in XRPL-based market value, Ondo’s Short-Term US Government Bond, and the AD Diamonds Collections, spurred the rest of the increase. Today, the XRPL hosts $2.325 billion in RWA, marking an increase of $1.33 billion since Jan. 1, 2026.

RWA on XRP Ledger RWAxyz
RWA on XRP Ledger | RWAxyz

This Year’s Figure Already Surpasses All of 2025

Interestingly, with just two months into the year, the $1.33 billion added to the XRP ecosystem in RWA value already surpasses what the ledger welcomed throughout 2025. For context, the XRPL had just $24.68 million worth of real-world assets as of Jan. 1, 2025. 

This figure rose to $998.8 million by the end of the year, with most of the contributions coming from the Ripple USD stablecoin ($234 million), VERT’s FIDC Byx Mozart ($108 million), and the TBILL Vault from OpenEden ($61 million). The total at the end of 2025 represented an increase of $974 million throughout the year, which XRP has already surpassed this year.

Backtesting the 1M Triangle Breakout Shows XRP Eyes $19

Mark Brennan
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Backtesting the 1M Triangle Breakout Shows XRP Eyes $19

An XRP Fibonacci extension target now eyes a two-digit price after XRP’s price successfully backtested its 1-month triangle breakout.

XRP has faced bearish pressure over the past few months alongside a broader market downturn. As a result, prices have collapsed since XRP reached the $3.66 peak in July 2025. Currently trading for $1.42, XRP has dropped by more than 61% from the $3.66 peak, recording six monthly red candles out of seven since then.

Interestingly, XRP’s latest downtrend aligns with a backtest of an earlier symmetrical triangle breakout that occurred in November 2024. With the latest drop to the $1.11 floor, XRP retested the support at the upper trendline of this triangle and recovered immediately, successfully backtesting the breakout.

Key Points

  • XRP has been at the mercy of the bears since the $3.66 peak in July 2025, now down 61% from this high amid six monthly red candles.
  • This downtrend comes as the broader market suffers intense selling pressure that has wiped out $1.52 trillion from the crypto market since October 2025.
  • Amid the downward push, XRP suffered a sharp decline on Feb. 5, leading to a 15-month low of $1.11.
  • Market data confirms that this crash helped XRP retest the upper trendline of a multi-year symmetrical triangle it broke out of in November 2024.
  • XRP recovered immediately from this $1.11 floor, successfully backtesting the symmetrical triangle breakout, with Fibonacci extension levels pointing to a $19 target.

XRP Pulls Back After Triangle Breakout

This came from an analysis from “XRP Captain,” a pseudonymous market commentator and XRP community member. Notably, data from his chart shows that the ongoing XRP downturn, which has led to 61% in losses, actually represents a natural pullback after a symmetrical triangle breakout.

For context, the symmetrical triangle started forming after XRP dropped from the $3.31 high in January 2018. From here, prices saw lower highs and lower lows, forming a symmetrical triangle that lasted for nearly eight years. A breakout occurred in November 2024, when the Trump-inspired upsurge pushed XRP from $0.5 to above $2.

XRP 1M Chart XRP Captain
XRP 1M Chart | XRP Captain

The breakout rally spilled into 2025, eventually taking XRP to a new all-time high of $3.6 in July 2025. However, from this peak, a pullback emerged, leading to the ongoing downtrend. This pullback is a natural next step after a triangle breakout to test the strength of the breakout before the next leg up.

Successful Backtest of the Triangle Breakout

The downturn intensified as the market entered this month, with a steep decline coming on Feb. 5. Specifically, XRP crashed by more than 19% on that day, marking its largest intraday decline since May 2021. Interestingly, this Feb. 5 crash, which took prices to a low of $1.11, helped XRP to retest the upper trendline of the symmetrical triangle.

Following this retest, XRP immediately recovered, now changing hands at $1.42. This event marked a successful backtest of the symmetrical triangle breakout, confirming that the breakout featured sufficient strength to push prices to greater heights.

From here, XRP now eyes higher targets, with the 1.272 Fibonacci level around $5 representing the first extension beyond the July peak of $3.66. Beyond this, XRP eyes the Fibonacci 2.618 extension at $19.4, marking the ultimate target on the 1-month chart. XRP would need to surge 1,266% from the current price to reach $19.4.

XRP Target of $42 Represents Structure, Not Hopium

Mark Brennan
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XRP Target of $42 Represents Structure, Not Hopium

Recent projections suggesting XRP could reach ambitious two-digit price levels hinge on historical structure, not “hopium.”

Specifically, XRP’s historical price behavior shows repeating cycles where consolidation leads to breakouts and major expansions, and this has created a reliable roadmap pointing to a potential surge to $42.

Notably, since late 2014, XRP has formed four macro price structures that follow the same compression, breakout, and expansion pattern, with each earlier cycle reaching its measured target. The current cycle shows a breakout and retest, which bolsters the case for a larger upside move over time.

Key Points

  • While XRP has continued to witness bearish pressure, it may be on track for a two-digit price target based on historical trends.
  • XRP has moved through four macro formations since 2014, marked as pink, blue, yellow, and white on the monthly chart.
  • Market data shows that XRP currently trades within the white macro formation, as it retests a trendline breakout from November 2024.
  • The repeated structure across all cycles explains the projected long-term path toward $42 based on historical pattern behavior.

XRP’s Past Macro Formations

EGRAG Crypto, a well-known analyst, shared this data during his analysis of the one-month chart. EGRAG believes XRP remains on track to claim $42 but insists that this target is not based on “hopium,” but historical structure.

For context, data shows that XRP has gone through four major macro formations, each marked with a color: pink, blue, yellow, and white. 

The pink macro formation started in Q4 2014, involving an XRP rebound from $0.00466 in October 2014 to $0.0280 by December 2014, and a subsequent collapse from this high to consolidate at lower levels between $0.006 and $0.009. This consolidation ended in March 2017 alongside the pink macro formation. 

Meanwhile, the blue macro formation started in March 2017 and involved XRP’s run to $0.3988 by May 2017 and a subsequent pullback and consolidation. The consolidation ended in November 2017 alongside the blue macro formation.

XRP 1M Chart EGRAG Crypto
XRP 1M Chart | EGRAG Crypto

For the yellow macro formation, it started in December 2017, as XRP recovered from the previous consolidation and surged to a peak of $3.31. From here, it collapsed immediately and entered a downtrend that pushed prices to $0.1691 by June 2020. This marked the end of the yellow macro formation. 

The Current White Formation

Notably, the white formation began in June 2020. Here, XRP first recovered to $1.96 by April 2021, dropped to $0.5, and then climbed to $3.65 by July 2025. The coin broke above the upper trendline of this formation, and now, during the current downtrend, it is retesting that breakout.

EGRAG pointed out that the white formation follows the same pattern as the earlier three. Specifically, it shares the same compression profile, breakout rules, timing, and expansion setup. The repeated behavior across these cycles shows that the market moves in predictable ways.

Why Structure Supports the $42 Target

Speaking further, EGRAG stressed that the first three macro formations all reached their measured targets with nearly 100% accuracy. This shows that XRP moves in cycles, not randomly. These patterns confirm why the current white formation may lead toward $42.

However, EGRAG doesn’t guarantee the price will hit $42. Despite this, he emphasized that the structure justifies the journey toward that target. 

When asked whether the major price surge could happen in Summer 2026, EGRAG presented two scenarios: either the bullish outlook has failed, and the market has entered a bear phase, or XRP is moving into a new cycle while maintaining its overall structure. He confirmed that he leans toward the second scenario.

Standard Chartered’s Revision of XRP Forecast from $8 to $2.80 Is Not Bad News: Expert

Abdulkarim Abdulwahab
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Standard Chartered’s Revision of XRP Forecast from $8 to $2.80 Is Not Bad News: Expert

Crypto commentator Nick O’Neill recently criticized Standard Chartered’s sharp downgrade of its XRP forecast, calling the move from $8 to $2.80 “not a revision, but a funeral.”

However, XRP advocate Bill Morgan disagrees. Morgan pushed back against the narrative that the bank’s updated outlook is disastrous.

According to him, he never believed XRP would reach $8 this year in the first place, so the revised target does not change his expectations. In his view, it is not necessarily bad news.

Key Points

  • Standard Chartered slashed its XRP target from $8 to $2.80, a 65% cut after the recent market selloff.
  • Bill Morgan says the downgrade isn’t disastrous, noting he never expected XRP to hit $8 this year.
  • The bank also lowered Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana forecasts amid broader crypto weakness.
  • Despite near-term caution, Standard Chartered kept its long-term 2030 XRP target at $28.

Standard Chartered Cuts XRP Target by 65%

Notably, the revision came via an updated note to investors from Geoffrey Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered. It lowered the bank’s end-2026 XRP price target from $8 to $2.80, marking a massive 65% reduction.

The downgrade came after a brutal market selloff that has erased nearly $2 trillion from the broader crypto market since October. XRP itself has struggled in recent weeks. The asset briefly fell to $1.116 earlier this month, marking a massive 70% dip from its $3.66 peak.

Now, XRP is trading at $1.48 and has remained significantly down over the past month, even after a modest rebound.

Bank Also Cuts Bitcoin, Ethereum Targets

Notably, Standard Chartered also trimmed its forecasts for other major cryptocurrencies. It now expects Bitcoin’s price to reclaim $100,000, down from its earlier $150,000 forecast. It also projects Ethereum to reach $4,000, as opposed to the $7,000 it initially forecast. Similarly, it dropped Solana’s $250 outlook to $135.

Despite the near-term caution, the bank maintained its long-term 2030 XRP target of $28, suggesting it still sees structural upside over time.

Standard Chartered’s sharp downgrade of XRP and crypto forecasts
Standard Chartered’s sharp downgrade of XRP and crypto forecasts

Is It Really “Bad News”?

Nick O’Neill framed the downgrade as a sign of collapsing expectations in crypto. But Bill Morgan sees it differently.

For Morgan, the $8 target was always aggressive. A reduction to $2.80 simply aligns forecasts with current macroeconomic realities rather than signaling the death of XRP’s long-term thesis.

Standard Chartered itself noted that XRP and Ethereum could benefit from continued development in stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets. The bank also warned of further short-term declines across digital assets before any broader recovery later in 2026.

Bigger Catalysts Ahead

One potential catalyst for XRP remains U.S. crypto regulation, particularly the proposed Clarity Act. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently suggested that clearer rules could help the digital asset market recover.

If regulatory clarity improves and liquidity conditions stabilize, sentiment around XRP could shift again, regardless of revised price targets.

Some market watchers call the present prices a historic buying opportunity, believing the worst is over. However, others think the bottom is not in yet.

Bitcoin Dominates Crypto Trading as Altcoin Volume Drops 50%

Sam Wisdom Raphael
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Bitcoin Dominates Crypto Trading as Altcoin Volume Drops 50%

Bitcoin has seen an increase in its dominance of crypto trading activity, as altcoin volume drops 50% from previous levels.

The crypto market is still trying to catch its breath after months of steady pressure that has dragged prices down since Q4 2025. Traders are looking for signs of relief, but the mood remains cautious. New data now shows a change in investors’ trading activity. 

According to market data, activity has swung heavily toward Bitcoin, while interest in altcoins has cooled off sharply. Meanwhile, over the past three weeks, the Bitcoin dominance has declined by 2.23%, indicating that the higher volume could be translating to stronger selloffs.

Key Points

  • As the crypto market grapples with the consistent bearish pressure, data shows trading activity has tilted more toward Bitcoin.
  • Bitcoin accounted for 36.8% of total Binance trading volume on Feb. 7 and has maintained this lead, compared to 35.3% for altcoins and 27.8% for Ethereum.
  • Altcoin trading volume fell from 59.2% in November to 33.6% by Feb. 13, marking nearly a 50% contraction.
  • However, over the past three weeks, the Bitcoin dominance has declined by 2.23%, dropping from 59.93% to 58.59% after rising throughout January.
  • This suggests that the increased trading activity surrounding Bitcoin could be translating to greater selloffs, not higher accumulation.

Bitcoin Seeing Increased Trading Activity

According to Darkfost, a CryptoQuant verified author, Bitcoin now trades in the $72,000 to $65,000 range after a sharp drop. At the time of writing, the crypto firstborn changes hands at $67,305, well within the range.

Inside this zone, whales, long-term holders, and institutional investors show increased trading appetite. He explained that during heavy corrections or the final stretch of bear markets, investors often pull money out of altcoins and move it into Bitcoin.

To show this trend, Darkfost highlighted trading volumes on Binance across three groups: BTC, ETH, and other altcoins. He pointed out that Binance regularly records some of the highest volumes in the market, which makes it a strong reference point for tracking investor behavior.

Altcoin Volume Shrinks by 50%

When Bitcoin climbed back above $60,000, the balance of trading activity changed. On Feb. 7, Bitcoin reclaimed the largest share of Binance trading volume, making up 36.8% of total exchange activity. This lead has continued up to now. Within the same period, altcoins accounted for 35.3%, while Ethereum represented 27.8%.

Crypto Dominance by Volume CryptoQuant
Crypto Dominance by Volume | CryptoQuant

Altcoins felt the impact during the change. In November, they made up 59.2% of Binance trading volume. By Feb. 13, that figure had dropped to 33.6%, showing an almost 50% contraction in activity. 

Darkfost noted that similar patterns showed up in earlier correction periods, including April 2025, August 2024, and October 2022, near the close of the bear market. He added that Bitcoin’s share of trading volume often rises when uncertainty and stress hit the market. During such moments, investors tend to lean toward BTC.

Market Data Shows Bitcoin Suffering Heavier Selloffs

While Darkfost’s analysis points to capital rotating into Bitcoin, market data suggests that the situation may be different. 

Specifically, the Bitcoin dominance has actually declined during this period. In the first week of February, Bitcoin dominance stood at 59.93%. At the time of writing, it sits at 58.59%, marking a 2.23% drop over three weeks. This decline followed a steady rise throughout January.

Bitcoin Dominance Slumps
Bitcoin Dominance Slumps

In addition, at the start of February, Bitcoin’s market cap stood at $1.54 trillion. It has since fallen nearly 13% to $1.34 trillion. Meanwhile, the altcoin market cap (TOTAL2) dropped from $1.03 trillion to $951 billion during the same period, a smaller decline of 5.18%.

These figures show that Bitcoin has taken heavier losses than the broader altcoin market, even though it controls a larger share of exchange trading volume. This suggests the surge in Bitcoin activity may reflect stronger selling rather than aggressive buying.

Euro-backed Stablecoin, EUR CoinVertible Goes Live on XRP

Abdulkarim Abdulwahab
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Euro-backed Stablecoin, EUR CoinVertible Goes Live on XRP

Societe Generale Forge has announced that its euro-backed stablecoin, EUR CoinVertible, is now live on the XRP Ledger, marking another step in its multi-chain strategy.

The deployment comes after previous integrations on Ethereum and Solana. The move reinforces the firm’s commitment to delivering compliant crypto-assets across multiple Layer-1 networks.

Key Points

  • Société Générale Forge expands EUR CoinVertible to XRP Ledger, boosting its multi-chain strategy.

  • The euro-backed stablecoin adds XRPL to Ethereum and Solana deployments.

  • Ripple supports the launch with institutional-grade custody and infrastructure services.

  • SG-FORGE aims to drive regulated euro stablecoin adoption across trading, payments, and collateral use cases.

Why XRP Ledger?

According to SG-FORGE, the move seeks to improve adoption by leveraging XRP Ledger’s high-performance infrastructure. The company highlighted three key advantages:

  • Enhanced scalability and transaction speed
  • Lower transaction costs
  • A secure and decentralized Layer-1 architecture

The integration is supported by custody infrastructure from Ripple, enabling institutional-grade security and operational standards.

New Use Cases on the Horizon

With EUR CoinVertible now live on XRPL, SG-FORGE plans to explore additional use cases. These include the potential integration of the stablecoin into Ripple’s product suite and its use as trading collateral within the broader digital asset ecosystem.

Ripple’s Managing Director for UK & Europe, Cassie Craddock, described SG-FORGE as one of the early European institutional players building a structured crypto-asset offering. She noted that Ripple has acted as a long-standing infrastructure partner, providing custody and blockchain technology to support the expansion.

Jean-Marc Stenger, CEO of SG-FORGE, said the launch represents another milestone in delivering next-generation compliant digital assets focused on transparency, security, and scalability.

Strengthening Institutional Stablecoin Adoption

The launch of EUR CoinVertible on XRPL shows that large institutions are interested in regulated stablecoins. By expanding to Ethereum, Solana, and now the XRP network, SG-FORGE aims to make its euro stablecoin easier to use across different blockchains.

As stablecoins play a bigger role in trading, payments, and collateral, moves like this could increase the use of regulated euro-backed digital assets in the global crypto market.

Peter Thiel Dumped Entire ETHZilla Stake, SEC Filing Confirms

Zabi
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Peter Thiel Dumped Entire ETHZilla Stake, SEC Filing Confirms

A new SEC filing confirms Peter Thiel and Founders Fund have fully exited ETHZilla. The move comes as the company pivots from aggressive Ethereum accumulation to real-world asset (RWA) tokenization.

Key Points

  • Peter Thiel and affiliated Founders Fund entities no longer hold any stake in ETHZilla, per a Schedule 13G filing.
  • ETHZilla shares fell nearly 7% in premarket trading to around $3.20, down approximately 97% from the last August peak of $107.
  • The company raised $565 million in August 2025 to launch its Ethereum treasury strategy.
  • ETHZilla has sold portions of its Ethereum holdings, including $40M in October 2025 and 24,291 ETH in December 2025.
  • The company’s Ethereum holdings total 69,802 ETH (~$139 million), ranking it seventh among corporate ETH holders.

Peter Thiel Exits ETHZilla

According to a Schedule 13G filing submitted to the U.S. SEC late Tuesday, Thiel and affiliated Founders Fund entities have completely divested their holdings in the Ethereum-focused treasury firm. The disclosure confirms the prominent tech investor no longer maintains an ownership stake.

Following the filing, ETHZilla (NASDAQ: ETHZ) shares fell nearly 7% in premarket trading, changing hands at around $3.20 based on Google Finance data. At that price, the stock is down roughly 97% from its $107 peak reached last August — a high point fueled by investor enthusiasm surrounding the company’s strategic transformation.

From Biotech Roots to Ethereum Treasury Model

In August 2025, Thiel and related Founders Fund entities disclosed a 7.5% ownership stake. The investment coincided with the company’s rebrand from biotech firm 180 Life Sciences Corp. At the time, news of Thiel’s involvement triggered a surge of more than 90% in a single trading session.

Shortly afterward, on August 18, 2025, ETHZilla formally launched an Ethereum treasury strategy following a $565 million capital raise. At the time, management positioned the initiative as a way to provide public market investors with structured Ethereum exposure while generating yield through staking.

The funding round attracted more than 60 investors, including Polychain Capital, Electric Capital, and GSR, cementing ETHZilla’s image as an aggressive corporate accumulator of Ethereum.

However, that posture began to soften within months. For instance, in October 2025, the company sold roughly $40 million in Ethereum, directing proceeds toward a $250 million board-authorized share repurchase program.

Then, in December, ETHZilla sold an additional 24,291 ETH. Those tokens were valued at $74.5 million at the time. The sale funded the redemption of outstanding senior secured convertible notes.

Together, these moves signaled a shift away from pure accumulation toward balance-sheet optimization.

Strategic Pivot to Tokenized Real-World Assets

By December, ETHZilla signaled a broader strategic redirection. Specifically, the company stated that future value creation would center on revenue and cash flow generated from tokenizing real-world assets.

Since then, ETHZilla has advanced multiple initiatives in that area. On February 5, the firm completed the acquisition of 95 manufactured and modular home loans, valued at roughly $4.7 million, and is preparing to tokenize the portfolio on an Ethereum Layer 2 platform. The assets are projected to deliver a 10.36% annualized yield.

In addition, the company purchased two CFM56-7B24 aircraft engines, which will be tokenized through Liquidity.io, an SEC-regulated alternative trading system. These transactions illustrate management’s push to diversify beyond purely crypto-native holdings into yield-bearing real-world assets.

Despite the aforementioned sales and strategic changes, ETHZilla remains a significant holder of Ethereum. CoinGecko data ranks the firm as the seventh-largest corporate ETH holder, with 69,802 ETH valued at roughly $139 million at current prices.

For context, sector leader Bitmine Immersion Technologies holds 4,371,497 ETH, worth about $8.7 billion. Meanwhile, the top 10 Ethereum treasury companies collectively control more than 6.1 million ETH with an aggregate market value exceeding $12 billion.

Against this backdrop, Thiel’s exit underscores a turning point for ETHZilla. The company now appears focused on building a tokenized asset platform while maintaining a sizable, though reduced, Ethereum position.

Rare Bearish Signal Shows Bitcoin Faces Potential Six-Month Losing Streak

Lele Jima
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Rare Bearish Signal Shows Bitcoin Faces Potential Six-Month Losing Streak

A prominent crypto pundit has flagged a bearish pattern that could push Bitcoin to close next month in the red. 

Ash Crypto highlighted a rare historical pattern in Bitcoin’s price action, signaling that the market may still face further downside. After recording four consecutive red months from October 2025 through January 2026, Bitcoin has now entered a technical phase that previously preceded a sixth straight monthly loss. 

Key Points 

  • Bitcoin has recorded four consecutive monthly losses from October 2025 through January 2026, while February is on track to mark a fifth straight red close.
  • If a rare historical pattern repeats, Bitcoin could also finish March 2026 in negative territory.
  • However, analysts contend that catalysts such as Bitcoin ETFs and expanding nation-state adoption may help reverse the downtrend.
  • Others caution that historical trends provide context but do not guarantee future performance.

Recent Bearish Performance 

Bitcoin’s recent price action has reignited fears of a deeper downside, as the asset appears on track to complete five consecutive red months, marking an uncommon event in its trading history. 

Notably, Bitcoin closed October 2025, November 2025, December 2025, and January 2026 in negative territory, posting losses of 3.69%, 17.67%, 2.97%, and 10.17%, respectively. In addition, Bitcoin has already fallen by 14.6% in February 2026, with just 10 days remaining in the month. 

Sixth Consecutive Bearish Month Looms 

Commenting on this trend, Ash Crypto pointed to a similar historical episode in which Bitcoin, after closing its fifth consecutive month in the red, also ended the sixth month with further losses. 

Per the accompanying chart, Bitcoin recorded five straight bearish months from August 2018 to December 2018, followed by another decline in January 2019.

Consequently, with Bitcoin now mirroring this bearish pattern, having already closed in the red from October 2025 to January 2026 and currently down more than 14% in February 2026 to $67,185, March 2026 could also finish lower if history repeats itself. 

Bitcoin Could Diverge From Past Bearish Trend 

Despite Ash’s concerns, many crypto advocates dismiss fears that Bitcoin will post a sixth straight monthly loss. They argue that market conditions have changed significantly since the last prolonged bearish streak.

Specifically, they point to catalysts such as Bitcoin ETFs and growing nation-state adoption of the leading cryptocurrency as forces that could reverse the downtrend and prevent another red monthly close.

Moreover, proponents stress that while historical patterns provide context, they do not dictate future performance. As a result, they believe Bitcoin could diverge from past trends and close March 2026 in the green. 

As March approaches, market participants will be closely watching whether Bitcoin breaks this bearish sequence or confirms another chapter of prolonged market pain. 

XRP Inflection Point Will Happen When Most Investors Are Looking in the Wrong Direction: Pundit

Mark Brennan
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XRP Inflection Point Will Happen When Most Investors Are Looking in the Wrong Direction: Pundit

A well-known market commentator believes the bullish XRP inflection point will happen when most investors least expect it.

XRP has been stuck in a tough stretch. Over the past five months, the asset has fallen 60% from its July 2025 all-time high of $3.66. This steady decline has cooled enthusiasm across the market, especially among traders who expected the rally to continue.

Despite the pullback, Vandell Aljarrah, co-founder of Black Swan Capitalist, argues that the real breakout will arrive when most investors least expect it, as attention moves elsewhere.

Key Points

  • XRP has fallen 60% from its $3.66 all-time high reached in July 2025, marking a prolonged five-month decline.
  • Amid the prevalent downtrend, Aljarrah believes XRP’s breakout above $3.66 would likely occur while most investors look in the wrong direction.
  • In a past comment, he compared XRP’s setup to silver’s sharp rally and suggested a similar asymmetric move could unfold in 2026.
  • XRP had previously engineered such a sudden explosive run, rallying by 66,000% in 2017 and then soaring 580% in 2024.

Aljarrah Says the Real Breakout Will Catch People Off Guard

Aljarrah presented his latest comments in a recent post on X. Specifically, the market commentator noted that he believes XRP’s true turning point will arrive when most investors least expect it. 

He argued that once the token breaks above its July 2025 all-time high of $3.6 and pushes into new price territory, the move will likely play out while many market participants focus elsewhere.

Vandell Aljarrah on X
Vandell Aljarrah on X

Aljarrah pointed out that major market moves rarely happen when the crowd predicts them. Instead, they tend to surprise people who have already lost interest or turned their attention to other assets. To him, the current downtrend may be creating exactly that kind of setup.

Historical Data Confirms This Trend

Interestingly, historical data confirms that XRP has always had a penchant for rapid price surges, and these surges often happen unexpectedly. 

For instance, from late 2016 to early 2017, XRP underperformed while the rest of the market saw gradual gains. However, after reaching $0.005 in February 2017, XRP exploded, increasing by 66,100% to $3.31 by January 2018.

A similar occurrence happened between March and April 2021, when XRP’s price rose 369% from $0.41 to $1.96 within these two months. In another instance, XRP spiked from the $0.5 price in November 2024 to $3.4 by January 2025, representing a 580% increase within three months.

XRP’s Setup Compares Silver’s Parabolic Move

Aljarrah had also touted XRP’s potential to rise sharply when he compared it to silver’s breakout last year. Last December, he called silver’s rally an example of how sharp, one-sided moves can develop after long periods of quiet buildup. Based on this pattern, he said there is a strong chance XRP could follow a similar path in 2026.

He explained that XRP currently sits in what he calls a psychological blind spot. Notably, most investors appear distracted or discouraged, which often happens just before an asset regains momentum. If XRP does mirror silver’s move, late buyers could find themselves scrambling to enter at much higher levels.

XRP Moves “Fast and Aggressively”

Financial analyst Coach JV previously expressed similar confidence. In December 2024, he predicted that many investors would look back and wish they had bought XRP at $2, $5, or $7, only to jump in at $100 out of fear of missing out. He argued that short-term thinking often leads to missed opportunities.

As XRP’s decline continued into late 2025, Coach JV doubled down on his forecast. In December 2025, he said that when XRP finally moves, it will do so “fast and aggressively.” This aligns with Aljarrah’s argument that the next major breakout could arrive suddenly and catch much of the market unprepared.

Shiba Inu Will Recover to Prices Never Seen Before—Top Analyst

Elendu Benedict
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Shiba Inu Will Recover to Prices Never Seen Before—Top Analyst

After an extended period of weakness, Shiba Inu is once again drawing attention from analysts who believe history could repeat for the token.

This comes as Shiba Inu has closed several consecutive months in the red. During this run, SHIB dropped to multi-year lows and, most recently, marked its lowest price on the Coinbase exchange. Yet, for seasoned analysts, this type of prolonged downturn has often preceded sharp reversals.

Key Points

  • After an extended period of weakness, Shiba Inu is once again drawing attention from analysts who believe history could repeat for the token.
  • The comparison comes from the token’s price action in 2021, when it surged 1,332% in 42 days to unprecedented levels.
  • SHIB reached a floor price in the first week of September 2021, before accelerating to new all-time highs.
  • The historical pattern may be resurfacing as SHIB recently saw another floor price during its early February drop to $0.00000507.
  • While no two cycles are identical, the similar structure could see Shiba Inu grow in “unexpected ways.”
  • Shiba Inu could rally to a new all-time high of $0.0001114 in the long term, representing a 1,606% upsurge from the current price of $0.00000653.

What Is Possible for Shiba Inu

Analyst MasterAnanda encouraged proponents in his recent TradingView commentary, emphasizing what is possible for Shiba Inu. He drew strength from historical context, highlighting periods when the meme coin retraced considerably, as it is now, yet still recovered substantially.

For context, his comparison comes from the token’s price action in 2021. SHIB looked choppy earlier in the year before a sudden burst of momentum between September and October 2021 changed everything. 

In just six weekly candles, or roughly 42 days, the token surged 1,332%, turning earlier consolidation into one of the fastest rallies in its history. While the analyst suggested that the floor price at the time was SHIB’s all-time low, data indicates that it was only its lowest price on Coinbase, not globally. After reaching this low in the first week of September 2021, it accelerated to unprecedented prices.

That historical pattern may be resurfacing, according to MasterAnanda. His analysis suggested that this year could bring back the historic 2021 rally, especially as SHIB forms another floor price during its early February drop to $0.00000507. While no two cycles are identical, the similar structure has led the analyst to insist that Shiba Inu can grow in “unexpected ways.”

A Big Move After Months of Selling Pressure

SHIB’s recent price behavior reflects nearly two years of steady declines since its March 2024 high of $0.0000456. Momentum indicators and weekly closes show sustained selling pressure, the kind typically seen during periods of severe price capitulation.

However, the analyst noted that long bearish trends usually precede periods of long-term growth. Moreover, it is very unlikely that the downtrend will last forever. He called this common sense rather than wishful thinking.

Additionally, the broader crypto market is growing rather than dying. According to the analyst, Bitcoin and other large-cap tokens continue to evolve, and total market participation remains far higher than in earlier years. As such, he believes this corrective phase is only temporary.

Can History Repeat for SHIB?

If SHIB begins printing higher highs and higher lows, the dynamics change. Historically, once momentum returns, price moves rapidly, as seen in the 2021 cycle.

A shared chart suggests that Shiba Inu could rally to a new all-time high of $0.0001114 in the long term, representing a 1,606% upsurge from the current price of $0.00000653. Below this ultimate target are take-profit levels at $0.0000708, $0.0000303, and $0.0000206.

Shiba Inu Targets/MasterAnanda
Shiba Inu Targets/MasterAnanda

Of course, he noted there are no guarantees of this, but insisted that Shiba Inu will recover, arguing that periods that feel most discouraging often come just before conditions improve.

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