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XRP Records First Green Heikin-Ashi Candle in 2 Weeks: Is the Trend Reversing?

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XRP recently recorded its first green candlestick on the daily Heikin-Ashi chart, indicating that a trend reversal may be looming.

Notably, XRP is showing early signs of recovery after a steep decline from $2.41 on Jan. 6 to a yearly low of $1.80 on Jan. 25. The appearance of a green Heikin-Ashi candle on Jan. 27, the first in nearly two weeks, suggests that the prolonged downtrend may be easing, and buying momentum is starting to return.

Moreover, technical indicators confirm the potential for a trend reversal amid improving momentum. Specifically, the MACD is approaching a bullish crossover, the Stochastic RSI has rebounded from extreme oversold levels, and the RSI is climbing toward its moving average.

Key Points

  • XRP recently rebounded from $1.80 to $1.91, showing early recovery from its latest low.
  • With this recovery, it recorded its first green Heikin-Ashi candle in 12 days, breaking the sustained downtrend.
  • The MACD line is rising while the signal line moves downward, potentially leading to a bullish crossover.
  • XRP’s Stochastic RSI has also climbed to 20 after falling to 2.12, indicating a move out of extreme oversold territory.
  • The RSI increased from 34.61 to 41.04 and is approaching a crossover above its moving average at 42.45.
  • Consecutive green Heikin-Ashi candles suggest growing buying momentum and a potential trend reversal.

XRP Starts to Stabilize After Sharp Decline

Market commentator CW confirmed this in a recent exposition, as XRP attempts a rebound. Specifically, XRP is showing early signs of strength after a prolonged pullback that followed its rally to $2.41 on Jan. 6. 

After this high, selling pressure quickly took control, pushing XRP into a steady downtrend alongside broader market weakness. The decline deepened over the following weeks, driving prices to a new yearly low of $1.80 on Jan. 25.

However, since this bottom, XRP has started to recover. At press time, the price has climbed to $1.91, signaling growing buying interest. believes this move may mark the beginning of a trend reversal, citing data from the Heikin-Ashi chart and four indicators.

Heikin-Ashi Candle Breaks Two-Week Bearish Streak

For the uninitiated, Heikin-Ashi charts smooth out price action by averaging candle values. Notably, long stretches of the same color often indicate strong directional movement, suggesting that any change may be important.

For XRP, the chart showed red candles every day from Jan. 15, 2026, through Jan. 26, totaling 12 consecutive bearish sessions. This pattern came amid consistent selling pressure and a firmly established downtrend. Interestingly, on Jan. 27, the streak finally ended when a green Heikin-Ashi candle appeared, confirming that buyers had begun to regain control.

XRP 1D Heikin-Ashi Chart CW
XRP 1D Heikin-Ashi Chart | CW

The recovery attempt has continued at press time. Today, XRP looks set to post another green candle, indicating that the bearish momentum may be weakening. Consecutive green Heikin-Ashi candles typically signal that a market is transitioning away from a downtrend toward stabilization or reversal.

MACD Shows Momentum Shifting Toward Bulls

Additionally, CW highlighted four momentum indicators that may support the narrative of a reversal. These include the MACD, a momentum wave indicator, the Stochastic RSI, and the traditional RSI.

Specifically, the MACD, which tracks trend strength and direction, has printed red histogram bars since Jan. 17, confirming ongoing bearish momentum throughout the decline. However, the relationship between its lines has started to change.

The MACD line has turned upward while the signal line continues to move downward. This narrowing gap indicates a looming golden cross if XRP’s recovery holds. A bullish MACD crossover often marks the early stages of a trend reversal, as momentum shifts from sellers to buyers. 

Stochastic RSI Rebounds from Extreme Oversold Levels

In addition, the Stochastic RSI provides further bullish evidence. After XRP peaked at $2.41 on Jan. 6, the Stochastic RSI dropped sharply from its 100 high. The selloff pushed the indicator down to just 2.12 by Jan. 26. Such low readings often appear near short-term market bottoms.

As XRP prints two green Heikin-Ashi candles, the Stochastic RSI has rebounded to 20 at press time. This recovery suggests that selling pressure is easing and that buyers are slowly returning.

RSI Recovery Bolsters Reversal Outlook

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index also shows improving conditions. XRP’s RSI reached 78.51 on Jan. 6 when the price hit $2.41. However, as the downtrend unfolded, RSI steadily declined, eventually hitting a low of 34.61 on Jan. 25 as sellers dominated the market.

Since then, RSI has climbed to 41.04 amid renewed buying activity. More importantly, the RSI line is now approaching a crossover above its moving average, which sits at 42.45. This type of move often serves as confirmation that momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.

Important Caveat

Despite these bullish signals, XRP still needs continued green Heikin-Ashi candles and confirmed indicator crossovers to fully validate a trend reversal. If this fails to happen, the ongoing rebound could transform into a bull trap, eventually slipping back into bearish territories.

Top Investment Manager Says U.S. Could Revalue Bitcoin to $1M in Radical Monetary Reset

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Investment manager Lawrence Lepard outlines a scenario in which the Trump administration could execute a dramatic monetary reset centered on Bitcoin and gold. 

He shared this view on a recent episode of the What Bitcoin Did podcast. Lepard’s commentary frames Bitcoin and gold as potential cornerstones of a future monetary system rather than speculative assets. 

In this extreme scenario, Bitcoin and gold’s values would be formally recognized by the state at a vastly higher level, instantly repricing them relative to the dollar. While highly speculative, the idea underscores the assets’ perceived role as hedges against currency debasement and fiscal instability. 

Key Points 

  • Lepard speculates that policymakers could reset the monetary system instead of allowing inflation to continue. 
  • The strategy requires the U.S. to revalue Bitcoin to $1 million per coin and gold to $30,000 per ounce. 
  • Citizens could exchange dollars for Bitcoin or gold at those fixed levels. 
  • Lepard assigns this outcome roughly a 10% probability, citing political resistance and the severe impact on bondholders.

Lepard’s Bold Strategy 

Speaking in the podcast, Leopard argues that the U.S. faces a clear choice, where it either endures years of inflation and social strain or pursues a radical reset.

In the bold alternative, led by President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, the government would revalue Bitcoin to $1 million per coin and gold to $30,000 per ounce, then allow citizens to exchange dollars for either asset at those levels. 

As a result, he suggested that the move would effectively end the post-1971 fiat era and reintroduce a hard-asset standard overnight. 

For Bitcoin, this would mark a shift from market-driven price discovery to state-level monetary recognition. Despite conceding that the transition would be extremely painful, especially for bondholders as debt loses real value, he maintains that the long-term outcome would be a stable, sound-money system.

Mixed Reactions Trail Lepard’s Commentary 

Mixed reactions followed Lawrence Lepard’s commentary on a monetary reset. Some commentators view the proposal as a necessary, one-time intervention to break the cycle of relentless money printing and rising debt.

However, others urged caution, noting that large-scale monetary resets surface every economic cycle but rarely unfold smoothly. They advised retail investors to separate compelling macro theories from practical risk management.

Moreover, some commentators reject the idea entirely, arguing that a one-off reset ignores the core problem of fiscal and monetary indiscipline and would restart the same cycle.

Rare Chance of Occurrence 

Meanwhile, Lepard himself acknowledged the low likelihood of implementation, giving it a 10% chance, and questioned whether the current administration could execute such a radical shift. Notably, Trump’s pro-crypto stance has fueled bold industry speculation about broader Bitcoin adoption, but policy actions remain limited. 

Although President Trump signed an executive order to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve, he has not signaled support for a BTC-based monetary reset. The debate unfolds as gold continues to outperform Bitcoin this year, with gold up 21.6% year-to-date to $5,262, while BTC has gained just 1.58% to $88,899. 

XRP Price Obsession Is for Spectators; Real Investors Focus on Infrastructure: Black Swan Capitalist

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Versan Aljarrah, founder of Black Swan Capitalist, has weighed in on the ongoing discussion around XRP price action, arguing that short-term price watching misses the bigger picture. 

In a recent post on X, Aljarrah said that obsessing over XRP’s daily price movements is “for spectators”. In his view, serious investors focus on adoption, infrastructure, and regulatory integration. He views these as the foundations that drive long-term value.

Key Points

  • Aljarrah says watching XRP’s daily price is “for spectators,” not serious long-term investors.

  • XRP advocates argue that adoption, infrastructure, and regulation matter more than short-term price swings.

  • Regulatory momentum builds as Ripple gains trust and bank approval, and as U.S. crypto laws advance.

  • Despite price lagging, institutional demand and infrastructure growth keep long-term conviction strong.

Long-Term Investment Lens

Aljarrah’s view reflects a popular sentiment within the XRP community that price alone does not capture the asset’s progress.

While XRP is still below its July high of $3.66, advocates say its fundamentals have strengthened. From this angle, price swings are just noise, while infrastructure growth, regulatory clarity, and real-world use cases are what truly matter long term.

Regulatory Momentum Strengthens the Case

Regulation remains a key part of the long-term outlook. Figures like Alex Cobb point to the CLARITY Act, expected to be marked up in 2026, as a possible turning point for U.S. crypto rules. Supporters say clearer laws could encourage institutions to expand their use of assets like XRP.

At the same time, Ripple has received conditional approval from the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to form a national trust bank. This would place Ripple and its dollar-backed stablecoin, RLUSD, under federal oversight, highlighting Ripple’s push to work within the regulatory system rather than around it.

Institutional Demand and Infrastructure Growth

Beyond regulation, institutional activity around XRP continues to expand. Spot XRP ETFs launched in the U.S. have attracted steady inflows, with issuers collectively holding more than $1.3 billion worth of XRP to back their products.

At the same time, several companies have announced XRP-focused treasury strategies, signaling confidence in the asset’s long-term role.

Ripple itself has also doubled down on infrastructure. Through major acquisitions and partnerships, the company has emphasized building the “plumbing” for global value transfer, with XRP positioned as a core component of that vision.

Shift From Speculation to Utility

Interestingly, Aljarrah’s comments align closely with Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse’s recent messaging. Garlinghouse has repeatedly stressed that transforming global finance is a multi-year effort that cannot be rushed by speculative cycles. Instead, Ripple’s focus remains on utility, compliance, and integration into existing financial systems.

For long-term holders, this shifts the conversation. Instead of asking why XRP’s price is lagging, the real question becomes whether today’s groundwork can lead to real adoption in the future.

Price Lags, But Conviction Holds

Essentially, even with XRP down about 50% from its peak, long-term confidence remains strong. While short-term traders focus on charts and pullbacks, supporters argue the price doesn’t reflect the level of regulatory and institutional progress happening behind the scenes.

What Could Happen as Shiba Inu Touches Major Weekly Support

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Leading meme coin Shiba Inu has touched a crucial weekly support level on the back of its recent price correctional move.

Already, Shiba Inu is showing strength around the support level, as it has in previous instances. If the token sustains this momentum, and other key factors fall in place, it could rally further to higher prices.

Key Points

  • Shiba Inu has touched a crucial weekly support level between $0.0000074 and $0.0000057 following the recent price correctional move.
  • SHIB is showing strength around the support level, as it has in previous instances.
  • If the token sustains this momentum, and other key factors fall in place, it could rally further to higher prices.
  • Specifically, a rebound from the area could spark an 80% rise to $0.00001325.

Shiba Inu and the Weekly Support

Notably, analyst MMBTrader highlighted in his recent analysis that Shiba Inu just touched a crucial weekly support area between $0.0000074 and $0.0000057. The token returned to this area after its 4% correction on January 25.

The analyst further explained that this demand zone is notable for Shiba Inu, as the meme coin has aggressively defended it in the past. For context, SHIB touched the zone during its early October flash crash to $0.00000678 but rebounded massively to close higher.

Another visit to this weekly support was late in 2025, when it consolidated around it between December 18 and 31 before bouncing on January 1. While the latest support retest may not have been as rapid as that of October 10, it was not as long as the late December consolidation.

Shiba Inu Support Rebound/MMBTrader
Shiba Inu Support Rebound/MMBTrader

What Could Happen Next

Notably, what each retest of the weekly support has in common is that it preceded a strong recovery. Shiba Inu has shown strength around this level, bouncing every time bears pushed prices to this low.

The most recent instance occurred when the meme coin rebounded from support on January 1, reaching its yearly high of $0.00001009. As a result, MMBTrader expects the same scenario to play out, driving SHIB to higher prices.

Rally Target and Supporting Factors

Essentially, the market watcher noted that sustained trade above this support, accompanied by renewed buying pressure, could signal a bullish reversal in Shiba Inu. However, he urged due diligence and close monitoring for bullish candle patterns and rising volume as confirmations.

According to him, the current rebound from the area could spark an 80% rise to $0.00001325. At the current market price of $0.00000778, reaching that level would represent a 72% growth.

Remarkably, this move remains the analyst’s view and is not guaranteed, as the market can swing in either direction.  SHIB would also need Bitcoin and major altcoins to remain stable if it were to pull off this move.

Ripple President to Discuss Why XRP Remains Core to Ripple’s Strategy

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Ripple President Monica Long will discuss why XRP remains central to the company’s strategy in the second iteration of XRP Community Day.

Notably, Ripple has announced that XRP Community Day will return on Feb. 11, 2026, as a global virtual event hosted by Ripple and RippleX across three regional X Spaces sessions covering the Americas, EMEA, and APAC. 

One of the most important moments will feature Ripple President Monica Long during the Americas session, where she will explain why XRP remains central to Ripple’s strategy amid ongoing criticism that the company is shifting focus away from the asset. 

Key Points

  • Ripple and RippleX have scheduled XRP Community Day for Feb. 11, 2026, with three live regional X Spaces sessions.
  • The Ripple President Monica Long will discuss Ripple’s evolution and why XRP continues to sit at the core of the company’s strategy.
  • Ripple executives have repeatedly confirmed their commitment to XRP throughout 2025, with CEO Garlinghouse calling it a central, foundational, and guiding force for the company.
  • The Americas session featuring Long will take place on Feb. 11 at 4:00 PM ET and will be moderated by Token Relations CEO Jacquelyn Melinek.
  • The 2026 event builds on the 2025 inaugural edition, which drew more than 250,000 listeners from over 50 countries and spotlighted major XRPL developments.

Ripple President to Discuss Why XRP Remains Important 

While the XRP Community Day event will run as one global program divided into three live X Spaces sessions for the Americas, EMEA, and APAC regions, some APAC participants will join on Feb. 12 due to time zone differences. Notably, anyone can attend for free, with registration available through Luma.

For context, Ripple designed XRP Community Day to bring together XRP holders, developers, builders, institutions, community leaders, and company executives. The discussions will focus on real-world adoption, institutional use, payments, DeFi, tokenization, financial markets, regulatory progress, ecosystem growth, and Ripple’s long-term direction for XRP.

An important moment will feature Ripple President Monica Long during the Americas session. Specifically, she will walk through Ripple’s growth and explain why XRP remains at the core of the company’s strategy. Jacquelyn Melinek, CEO of Token Relations, will moderate the conversation, which takes place on Feb. 11 at 4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM PT.

Ripple Executives Reaffirm Commitment to XRP

Notably, her appearance comes as critics continue to claim that Ripple may be gradually shifting its focus away from XRP toward other business areas. Ripple’s leadership has repeatedly pushed back on that view, and Long’s session seeks to clearly show how XRP remains central to Ripple’s mission.

In the past, Ripple executives have consistently reaffirmed their commitment to XRP. In June 2025, Garlinghouse publicly expressed “1,000%” dedication to XRP in response to a post about his XRP-themed tattoo marking the July 13, 2023, court ruling. 

Last October, he stated on X that XRP sits at the center of everything Ripple does. Weeks later, Garlinghouse described XRP as the company’s heart and soul, also emphasizing that Ripple remains deeply invested in its success.

Other Details Around XRP Community Day 2026

The latest XRP Community Day will open with a fireside chat between Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse and Tony Edward of Thinking Crypto on Feb. 11 at 10:00 AM ET, or 3:00 PM UTC. Garlinghouse will discuss growing institutional adoption, broader acceptance of crypto in public markets, XRP’s expanding role in financial infrastructure, and the importance of long-term stability and community support.

Ripple has also confirmed that more executives, ecosystem builders, community leaders, and institutional partners will join throughout the regional sessions, with a full agenda to follow.

XRP Community Day 2026 builds on the success of the first edition held on Jan. 28, 2025, which attracted more than 250,000 listeners from over 50 countries. The event covered major XRPL developments, including AMM, the RLUSD stablecoin, and ecosystem innovation, with key contributions from Ripple leadership.

Robert Kiyosaki Says Time to Dump Dollar for Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin

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Financial educator Robert Kiyosaki has once again warned investors about holding U.S. dollars, urging them to move into gold, Bitcoin, and Ethereum instead.

Key Points

  • Kiyosaki warned against holding U.S. dollars 
  • He promoted gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum as hedges 
  • He confirmed he has not sold any silver holdings 
  • Gold reached a new all-time high of $5,266 per ounce
  • Bitcoin traded at $88,927 at press time

Kiyosaki Urges Shift Away From Cash

Kiyosaki, best known as the author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, said investors should reduce their exposure to the U.S. dollar and focus on tangible and alternative assets. He shared these views in a recent post on X, describing the dollar as an unreliable store of value.

According to Kiyosaki, assets such as gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum offer stronger long-term protection against currency debasement. He framed precious metals and cryptocurrencies as more resilient options for preserving wealth over time.

His remarks followed his attendance at the Vancouver Resource Investor Conference (VRIC), which he said placed a strong emphasis on financial education surrounding gold and silver markets. Kiyosaki described the conference as particularly valuable for investors seeking deeper insight into commodities and resource-based investing.

Addressing Speculation About His Portfolio

While speaking about the conference, Kiyosaki also addressed speculation surrounding his personal investments. He denied claims that he had sold all his silver holdings to buy additional Bitcoin, calling the rumors inaccurate.

Kiyosaki clarified that he had sold some Bitcoin and later liquidated a portion of his gold. He said both transactions were made to help finance the purchase of a new home.

However, he emphasized that he has not sold any silver. In retrospect, Kiyosaki said he regretted selling some of his gold and Bitcoin, describing those decisions as serious mistakes. By contrast, he argued that retaining his silver holdings was the right move.

Expanding on his broader investment philosophy, Kiyosaki explained how real estate fits into his strategy. He said he uses debt to acquire income-producing properties, then reinvests the resulting cash flow into gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum.

Market Snapshot: Metals Surge as Bitcoin Stalls

Kiyosaki’s comments came amid significant moves across financial markets. Gold surged to a new all-time high of $5,266 per ounce earlier in the day, while silver also hit a record, climbing to $117.75 per ounce on Monday.

However, Bitcoin showed a comparatively muted performance. As of press time, the cryptocurrency was trading at $88,927, down 1.3% over the past month.

The U.S. dollar weakened as well. The U.S. Dollar Index fell to 96.07, marking a weekly decline of 1.2%. Together, these trends highlighted a growing divergence between precious metals and both digital assets and fiat currency.

Peter Schiff Pushes Back on Bitcoin Narrative

Against this backdrop, economist Peter Schiff offered a sharply contrasting view on cryptocurrencies. In a series of posts on X, Schiff urged Bitcoin investors to reconsider their exposure, arguing that gold and silver were sending clearer signals amid economic uncertainty.

Schiff noted that while precious metals continued to reach new highs, Bitcoin failed to keep pace. He challenged the long-standing comparison between Bitcoin and gold, saying Bitcoin’s inability to keep pace with gold’s rally undermines the idea that it functions as “digital gold.”

In his view, this divergence raises questions about Bitcoin’s effectiveness as a hedge during periods of monetary stress. He also warned that prolonged underperformance could eventually trigger a sharp correction in the Bitcoin market.

Annual XRP Payment Volume Spiked from $259B in 2024 to $617B in 2025, Highest in History: Dune Report

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The annual XRP payment volume more than doubled to $617 billion in 2025, marking the highest-ever recorded annual volume in history.

This is according to data provided by Dune Analytics in its latest annual multichain report, which tracked the performances of over 35 blockchain networks throughout 2025. Specifically, data confirms that the annual XRP payment volume stood at $259 billion in 2024.

However, last year, this figure more than doubled to $617.19 billion, representing a 138% increase from the previous year’s readings. More importantly, this total marks the highest annual XRP payment volume ever recorded. This was accompanied by other milestones across DEX volume and AMM performance throughout 2025.

Key Points

  • In 2024, XRP payment volume hit $259 billion, a considerable increase from figures recorded in 2022 and 2023.
  • By 2025, the total volume surged further to $617.19 billion, representing a 138% increase from 2024 figures.
  • The $617 billion volume also marked the highest-ever recorded annual XRP payment volume in history.
  • Despite the large payment volume, the XRP Ledger (XRP) only saw $2 million worth of fees throughout 2025.
  • In 2025, RLUSD also recorded $1.87 billion in payment volume and $1.37 billion in order book trading on the XRPL DEX.

Annual XRP Payment Volume Recovering After Past Struggles

According to Dune, the $617 billion annual XRP payment volume in 2025 confirmed the ecosystem’s recovery push after years of stifled growth triggered by broader crypto market downturns and unique legal issues. 

Annual XRP Payment Volume Dune Analytics
Annual XRP Payment Volume | Dune Analytics

For context, annual payment volume increased from $75.69 billion in 2020 to $388.17 billion in 2021 before dropping to $234.39 billion in 2022 during the bear market. The decline continued in 2023, with volume falling to $174 billion. However, in 2024, activity began to recover, reaching $258 billion, before surging strongly in 2025.

Low Fees and Transaction Burns

Dune also emphasized that low fees remain one of XRPL’s biggest strengths. Despite processing $617 billion in 2025, the network only charged $2 million in total fees. On average, users paid about $0.32 to move every $100,000. This makes the XRPL one of the most cost-efficient settlement networks in the industry.

In addition, the report pointed out that every transaction continues to reduce XRP’s supply. Notably, the ledger permanently removes all fees from circulation, meaning increased usage steadily lowers the total number of XRP tokens.

RLUSD Volumes

Meanwhile, the Ripple stablecoin (RLUSD), which launched in December 2024, also contributed to the ecosystem’s growth. In 2025, RLUSD recorded around $1.9 billion in payment settlements and supported about $1.4 billion in decentralized exchange trading.

RLUSD Spotlight Dune Analytics
RLUSD Spotlight | Dune Analytics

Also, data found that more than 33,000 unique wallets used RLUSD for payments in 2025. Further, liquidity also improved, with nearly 4,000 participants joining automated market maker pools that produced close to $18 million in volume.

XRP Ecosystem Milestones in 2025

The Dune report also spotlighted several major events in 2025. For instance, the XRPL EVM sidechain launched on June 30, 2025. In addition, XRP ETFs began trading in late 2025, with these products now seeing over $1.2 billion worth of net inflows since then.

Further, the network also introduced Multi-Purpose Tokens in October 2025, as it moved to bolster its position in the tokenization market. Meanwhile, CME’s XRP futures recorded $18.3 billion in trading volume and $70.5 million in open interest in November 2025.

XRP Phase 4 Structure Price Predictions as XRP Follows the Trend

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XRP has embarked on the journey toward a two-digit price, after breaking above a multi-year symmetrical triangle and slipping into the fourth phase of the current structure.

For context, this Phase 4 began in July 2024, when XRP started recovering from the downward trend that pushed its prices to $0.38 at the time. Notably, Phase 4 eventually saw XRP rise to the $3.66 peak in July 2025 before dropping to the current low below $2 as prices continue to struggle since Q4 2025.

However, while these recent struggles have resulted in increased bearish sentiments among retail investors, market data shows that XRP remains in Phase 4, which could eventually lead prices toward a new all-time high of around $21.5.

Key Points

  • Since June 2017, XRP has traded within a 4-phase structure that has dictated its price movements over the past nine years.
  • XRP entered Phase 4, the last section of this structure, in July 2024, when it began a recovery push.
  • While prices have struggled over the last few months, XRP has maintained its position within Phase 4.
  • Market data shows that XRP would remain in a bullish position as long as it remains within Phase 4, which targets a peak price of $21.5.

XRP Follows 4-Phase Structure

CW, a well-known chartist, discussed this target in a recent commentary. Data from his accompanying 3-week chart shows that XRP began the current 4-phase structure after recovering from the consolidation phase in June 2017. 

During Phase 1, XRP rallied from $0.2476 in June 2017 to a peak of $3.31 by January 2018. Meanwhile, Phase 2 introduced a sharp pullback from this high to a floor price of $0.1140 in March 2020 and then a subsequent rebound to $1.96 by April 2021. In Phase 3, XRP corrected from $1.96 to the $0.45 low in June 2024.

XRP 4-Phase Structure CW
XRP 4-Phase Structure | CW

Notably, Phase 4, which represents the current and last section of the structure, began in July 2024 as XRP sought to recover from the $0.45 low. However, this rebound did not gain sufficient momentum until after the U.S. elections in November 2024. During this period, XRP broke above a symmetrical triangle structure and soared from $0.5 to $3.4 by January 2025.

Phase 4 Targeting $21

XRP has since collapsed from the $3.4 high but remains within Phase 4. Specifically, after reaching $3.4, XRP corrected to $1.71 by April 2025 before recovering to $3.6 in July of that year. However, another correction has ensued, with XRP dropping to the current price of $1.91.

Despite this downtrend, Phase 4 remains in play, with CW identifying a target of around $21.5 as the top of this current phase. Data from his chart shows XRP already hit the first Phase 4 take profit target of $3.4 in January 2025, but now trades below it. On the road to $21.5, XRP would have to first reclaim the $3.4 mark before targeting higher levels.

Notably, historical data shows that the first TP of Phase 4 usually aligns with the peak price of Phase 1. In the previous structure, this target hovered around $0.0614, which XRP reclaimed in April 2017. Shortly after this, it soared to the peak Phase 4 target of $0.3988 by May 2017. CW expects a similar pattern to play out this time.

What’s Happening in Silver Will Happen to XRP: Crypto Coach

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As precious metals surge to historic highs while digital assets lag behind, Coach JV, a widely followed XRP commentator, suggests the divergence may not last.

Key Points

  • Coach JV says silver’s breakout could foreshadow sharp, sudden moves for Bitcoin and XRP
  • Gold tops $5,100 and silver $110 as metals surge while crypto remains in consolidation
  • Bitcoin trades near $88K and XRP at $1.89, lagging far behind metals’ explosive gains
  • Analysts say a silver-like rally could push XRP near $2.90 and Bitcoin to new highs

“Paper Markets Suppress Price… Until They Don’t”

In a recent post, Coach JV argued that Bitcoin and XRP are experiencing the same forces long seen in precious metals markets. He said that “what’s happening in silver will happen to Bitcoin and XRP,” referring to the historic price surge in metals.

“Paper markets suppress price… until reality breaks them,” he wrote.

He offered no timelines or hype, only a warning: when suppression breaks, prices won’t rise slowly; they’ll reprice sharply and suddenly.

Gold and Silver’s Historic Price Action

The message comes at a time when crypto is consolidating, while gold and silver are doing the opposite. Gold surged above $5,100 per ounce this week, extending a rally that began last year and accelerated into early 2026.

The metal is already up more than 17.63% year to date, with an approximately 84% gain since 2025. Analysts attribute the move to rising geopolitical risks and strong demand from central banks.

Silver has been even more aggressive. Prices smashed through $110 per ounce, marking a historic breakout into triple digits. The metal is up more than 262% since last year, driven by safe-haven demand and strong industrial usage across solar and data center infrastructure.

Silver Chart Tradingview
Silver Chart Tradingview

Market participants note that silver’s rally has long been associated with tight supply conditions and heavy paper trading. Now, crypto commentators are drawing these parallels with Bitcoin and XRP.

Bitcoin and XRP Lag as Capital Rotates

Indeed, Bitcoin has yet to follow metals higher. The asset currently trades around $88,212, down 30% from its October peak near $126,200. Similarly, XRP is trading at $1.89, down nearly 50% from its 2025 peak of $3.66.

XRP | CoinMarketCap
XRP | CoinMarketCap

The price performance of Bitcoin and XRP remains far behind the explosive gains seen in gold and silver. In Coach JV’s view, this gap reflects timing rather than weakness.

He suggests silver’s breakout is a signal, not a finale. If long-suppressed markets eventually break free, Bitcoin and XRP could follow with sharp, sudden moves instead of gradual gains.

XRP Price if It Follows Silver’s Path

As the wait for Bitcoin and XRP continues, some analysts are speculating on how their prices could perform relative to previous metals rallies. Considering silver has surged 52% so far this year, a similar move from XRP’s current $1.89 level would lift its price to approximately $2.89.

While still below its 2025 peak, this would represent a remarkable comeback for XRP’s price and could set the stage for a retest of the $3 range.

Meanwhile, applying the same estimate to Bitcoin would raise its price to about $134,750, marking a new all-time high. However, using gold’s year-to-date gain of roughly 17% would place Bitcoin near $103,200, still below its 2025 peak.

BTCL Keeps Building While Markets Lose Direction

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Crypto markets are still large, but participation has become uneven. Total market capitalization continues to sit just under $3 trillion, while 24-hour trading volume frequently swings between $120 billion and $140 billion without establishing a clear trend. These conditions reflect a market that remains active but cautious, where liquidity moves quickly and conviction is limited.

In periods like this, infrastructure tends to draw more scrutiny. When trading behavior becomes fragmented, networks are tested on confirmation consistency, transaction costs, and whether participation holds up as activity rises and falls. BTCL is being examined within that environment as development continues.

Market Liquidity Has Pulled Back, Network Usage Hasn’t

Recent market data shows that while directional trading has softened, transaction activity across the ecosystem continues to cycle rapidly. Liquidity concentrates into short time windows, resets quickly, and then reappears elsewhere. This pattern places pressure on transaction systems to handle bursts of activity without introducing unpredictable delays or cost swings.

When volume behaves this way, reliability becomes visible. Confirmation speed, fee stability, and node availability matter more when flows rotate quickly. BTCL frames its development around these conditions, positioning its network as something designed to remain usable when participation patterns shift.

BTCL’s Network Architecture

BTCL is structured as a lightweight transaction network supported by a dedicated node layer. Everlight Nodes are responsible for validating and routing transaction requests across the network. They do not maintain full historical ledger data, which reduces operational overhead while keeping verification distributed across multiple participants.

The architecture is deliberately narrow in scope. The network focuses on transaction flow, confirmation handling, and node coordination, with each component performing a defined role. This structure keeps network behavior observable as participation levels fluctuate.

Confirmation Flow, Fees, and Node Roles

Transaction confirmation follows a quorum-based process. When a transaction is submitted, multiple nodes independently verify its validity. Once the required quorum is reached, a confirmation receipt is issued, allowing confirmations to occur within seconds while maintaining distributed verification across the node set. Transactions can later be included in periodic settlement batches that provide an additional verification reference when required.

Fees are structured as fixed micro-fees denominated in BTCL. The network presents this model as predictable, allowing users and merchants to estimate transaction costs even during short periods of higher activity.

Node participation is tied to measurable contribution. Nodes earn rewards through transaction routing and are evaluated using operational metrics such as uptime, routing accuracy, and response behavior. The network defines three node tiers — Light, Core, and Prime — which determine routing priority and operational responsibility. Participation operates under a 14-day lock period, described as a mechanism to support stable network behavior during changing market conditions.

BTCL Supply, Presale Mechanics, and Distribution

BTCL operates with a fixed total supply of 21,000,000,000. Allocation is defined upfront. 45% of the supply is allocated to the public presale, 20% is reserved for node rewards and network incentives, 15% is allocated for liquidity provisioning, 10% is assigned to the team and core contributors, and 10% is reserved for ecosystem development and treasury functions.

The public presale is structured across 20 stages, each distributing 472,500,000 BTCL. Pricing begins at $0.0008 and increases incrementally through later stages until the final stage at $0.0110. Presale tokens unlock 20% at the token generation event, with the remaining 80% vesting linearly over six to nine months. Team and contributor allocations follow a separate vesting schedule with a 12-month cliff and 24 months of linear vesting.

Security, Audits, and KYC Verification

The project places heavy emphasis on verifiable security

and accountability. It has completed multiple third-party security reviews, including a SpyWolf audit and a SolidProof audit. In addition, the core team has passed third-party KYC verification, reinforcing accountability and transparency standards expected by infrastructure-focused projects.

Security language remains conservative. The project describes its approach in terms of multi-node verification, enforced performance requirements, and optional settlement batching used to provide additional verification context. Development messaging centers on continued execution and system stability as market participation patterns evolve.

Looking Ahead

Market pullbacks tend to thin out noise and expose how projects behave when attention drops. Systems that depend on constant inflows usually stall under those conditions. Infrastructure that continues operating becomes easier to evaluate once momentum is gone.

BTCL operates with an audited codebase, a node-driven network design, and a fixed fee structure. These characteristics point to an infrastructure setup designed to remain functional as market conditions change, without relying on speculative cycles to sustain activity.

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