XRP has now started to break above the 90-day resistance that began in October 2025. Could this mean the end of the downtrend?

After starting 2025 on a bullish note, XRP slipped into a multi-month bearish situation during the last three months of the year, leading to an 11% overall annual decline. Specifically, XRP soared to a yearly peak of $3.65 in July 2025, but it all went downhill from there. After what seemed like a two-month choppy price action, the downtrend picked up fully in October 2025.

Amid the bearish pressure, XRP collapsed 35.38% in Q4 2025, contributing to the 11% annual drop. Notably, this downward push that began in October 2025 brought XRP underneath a long-term descending resistance trendline. 

XRP Finally Breaks Above the 90-Day Resistance

Waters Above, a prominent trader and analyst who calls himself an “esoteric investor,” recently called attention to this resistance trendline in one of his latest analyses. According to the market analyst, XRP has now started to break above this resistance, a development that could signal the starting phase of a long-term recovery from the prevalent downtrend.

Specifically, data from the analyst’s chart shows that this resistance began forming after XRP dropped from $3.1 on Oct. 2. Repeated attempts to nullify its formation occurred from Oct. 2 to 4, but the bulls failed to mount enough pressure, witnessing lower highs on each successive day. 

After the Oct. 10 market crash, the bears took full control of the market, with this resistance trendline forming fully. From here, the next attempt to break above it emerged in mid-November, when the XRP price retested the $2.6 level. However, the resistance proved insurmountable, leading to subsequent declines. 

Another attempt came up on Dec. 9, but, like the previous ones, it also failed. Now, XRP appears to have broken above this resistance trendline with the recent 6.71% intraday gain on Jan. 2, 2026. XRP has since built on this upsurge, up 9.06% this year, as it attempts to now secure a daily close above the trendline.

What Next for XRP?

Notably, if such a close plays out, XRP’s next line of action would be to flip this trendline from resistance to support, which would set the stage for a further push toward ultimate recovery. As recently reported by The Crypto Basic, market analyst Chart Nerd also confirmed that XRP has begun forming higher lows around the support of a multi-month descending channel.

According to Chart Nerd, once XRP breaks the resistance at the upper trendline of the channel, sitting around $2.1, its next target would be the $2.7 area, from which it collapsed to the current bearish position. For XRP to have a chance at reaching this mark, it would first need to secure a candlestick close above the 90-day trendline resistance identified by Waters Above.

Meanwhile, Tara, another market analyst, recently highlighted that the recent recovery was a good start to the new year. She confirmed that XRP would witness local resistance at $1.96 on this recovery path. Today, XRP has pushed above this level, now trading for $2.04. Tara believes that if XRP can maintain a position above $1.88, its next target could be $2.3.

The projection that XRP will follow silver’s trajectory and record parabolic expansions in the coming days is gaining momentum.

Notably, XRP proponents are heavily predicting this outcome, citing several factors that would spur this price surge. Recently, Black Swan Capitalist co-founder Vandell Aljarrah joined this group of enthusiastic supporters, predicting that XRP will soar like silver did this year.

Silver Recorded Staggering Price Growth

For the uninitiated, data shows that silver recorded a staggering price increase in the previous year. The precious metal opened in 2025 at $28.8 per ounce and recorded what was its largest yearly gain in history, with a 147% surge, per TradingView data.

Interestingly, silver started the year slowly but gained momentum in June 2025. From $33, it surged 154% to its yearly high of $83.9 before relinquishing some of its gains to close the year at $71.6.

Notably, it has started brightly again this year, rising 4% in two days to reclaim $74.50 per ounce, as the late-year correction seems to have subsided.

XRP Sits as the Same Psychological Blind Spot

Meanwhile, Vandell sees a similar price explosion for XRP, an asset that enthusiasts refer to as “digital silver.” His reason for this call is that XRP sits at the same “psychological blind spot” as silver before its parabolic expansion.

The co-founder emphasized that silver’s sudden breakout and expansion is a textbook example of how asymmetrical moves unfold. The prominent asset endured a prolonged period of consolidation and price suppression until those shackles couldn’t hold it again. After gaining momentum, it surged to unprecedented levels, rewarding patient holders with outsized gains.

Vandell highlighted that XRP has a high probability of following that trajectory in 2026. As silver stunned doubters, he believes that the XRPL native token will catch the unexposed and late participants unawares.

Notably, the psychological blind spot here implied a period where investors overlook an asset, undervaluing its potential to trigger major shifts. According to him, XRP is at that point, with several narratives and arguments recently discrediting the coin, its use case, and bullish price prospect.

Vandell’s prediction aligns with earlier projections that the next XRP move will be fast and aggressive. Coach JV shared this in December, insisting this move will happen when the time is right.

How High Can XRP Go if It Follows Silver’s Trajectory

If XRP replicated silver’s 154% rise in 2025, its price would soar to $4.75. Meanwhile, an earlier report from The Crypto Basic has underscored the possible price of XRP if it reaches silver’s valuation one day. At the time, the precious metal had a market cap of $4.485 trillion, ranking as the third-largest asset globally.

With XRP’s circulating supply of 60.57 billion, this culminated in a price of $74 for XRP, representing a 3,857% growth from the current market price of $1.87. While XRP’s circulating supply has increased to 60.67 billion tokens, per CoinMarketCap, the price target remains almost unchanged at $73.9.

A bold XRP price forecast is making waves in the crypto community, calling for a four-digit price outlook for XRP.

This prediction came from Remi Relief, a widely followed figure in the XRP community, who shared an aggressive $1,700 price target for the new year.

Specifically, Relief stated that XRP could reach between $1,200 and $1,700 in 2026, brushing aside critics who are uncomfortable with extreme price targets. 

According to him, big outcomes require big conviction, and those who shy away from such should unfollow him. He says, “XRP $1,200–$1,700 in 2026. Put that in your pipe and smoke it.”

“This Is Not a Normal Bull Run”

In his view, the market is entering a completely different phase. Remi described the current period not as a typical crypto bull run, but as a “change of guards,” where the old financial system slowly gives way to a new one.

He suggests that XRP is part of this transition and that those who understand it early could benefit the most. From his perspective, the opportunity is not meant for quick flippers, but for those willing to wait through uncertainty.

“1,000 XRP Will Be Enough”

One of the striking claims in his post was that holding just 1,000 XRP could be enough to become a millionaire if his long-term outlook plays out.

He emphasized that it “won’t take much” to reach significant wealth if XRP fulfills its perceived role in global finance. The key factor, in his words, is patience rather than timing every market move.

For context, at his proposed $1,200 to $1,700 price, those holding 1,000 XRP would reach millionaire status, with holdings worth between $1.2 million and $1.7 million.

Meanwhile, XRP is trading at $1.85 today, and reaching his projected outlook would require growth of 89,373%. Bold claims like this are widespread in the XRP community, but critics always urge caution, especially regarding the aggressive timeline.

The community is still criticizing the failed 2025 XRP $100 price outlook by Jake Claver, which went unfulfilled. Yet, as the new year begins, aggressive predictions are emerging again.

Some have said XRP should reach more immediate price targets, like $10, before entertaining bigger projections.

Lessons From Missing Internet Stocks and Bitcoin

Meanwhile, Remi backed his conviction with personal history. He recalled being introduced to internet stocks like Yahoo, AOL, and Amazon during their early days, only to ignore them. Later, he dismissed Bitcoin as a scam when it traded around $500, a decision he now openly regrets.

He sees XRP as his third major opportunity for generational wealth, noting that this time he is paying attention. He revealed that he accumulated XRP as early as $0.14, reinforcing his long-term confidence.

Beyond charts and price targets, Remi framed his belief in XRP through faith and destiny. He described this moment as another open door, one he does not intend to ignore, and expressed confidence that history will be made.

His message to holders is buy and wait, or hold and wait, and don’t be discouraged by slow price action. In his view, emotional endurance now could be rewarded later.

Some influential voices in the XRP community believe its current price severely understates its long-term potential, especially when compared to what has recently happened in traditional hard assets.

Chad Steingraber, a widely followed figure in the XRP community, stirred conversation about XRP’s future after gold and silver posted their strongest annual gains since 1979. According to Steingraber, XRP doesn’t just compete with metals; it dwarfs them.

XRP vs. Metals

Steingraber wrote that XRP will “obliterate metals by 10x,” pointing to silver trading above $80 after a 150% surge that elevated its market value above $4.4 trillion.

Gold rose roughly 60–70% to above $4,500, marking its strongest year since 1979. This all-time high price pushed gold’s valuation beyond $30 trillion.

Notably, gold and silver delivered these historic returns amid inflation fears, geopolitical risks, central bank accumulation, and declining trust in fiat currencies.

Looking ahead to 2026, major banks expect this momentum to continue. J.P. Morgan sees gold rising above $5,000, while silver forecasts range from $95 to $110, with higher prices possible if supply shortages persist.

How High XRP Could Reach Following Gold and Silver

The question many crypto investors are now asking is how XRP could perform when its breakout occurs. According to Steingraber, XRP could stage price rallies many times larger than those seen in metals.

XRP has a circulating supply of roughly 60.6 billion tokens. At a price of $1.90 today, its market capitalization sits at around $115 billion, well below assets like gold or even silver.

That gap is what fuels bold long-term projections.

XRP will obliterate metals by 10x

TRUST⏰ https://t.co/CrgJVLoQPw

— Chad Steingraber (@ChadSteingraber) December 27, 2025

Scenario 1: XRP Equals the Size of the Silver Market

At a current price of roughly $74 per ounce, silver’s total market value stands at about $4.17 trillion. If XRP were simply to match a silver-sized market:

$4 trillion ÷ 60.6 billion XRP
XRP price: roughly $65–$70

That alone would represent more than a 30x move from current levels — without XRP “obliterating” anything.

Scenario 2: XRP at 10x the Silver Market

This is where Steingraber’s claim comes into focus. If XRP were at 10 times silver’s market size, or roughly $40 trillion:

$40 trillion ÷ 60.6 billion XRP
XRP price: around $650

At this level, XRP would rank among the most valuable financial networks on the planet, rivaling major global settlement systems.

Scenario 3: XRP at 10x Gold’s Market Value

At press time, gold is trading near $4,410, with an estimated above-ground value of about $30 trillion. If XRP were to “obliterate metals” by reaching 10 times gold’s value:

$300 trillion ÷ 60.6 billion XRP
XRP price: roughly $5,000

While this price outlook is undeniably bold, some in the XRP community have forecast even more ambitious targets, such as $10,000. This scenario assumes XRP evolves into a global liquidity backbone, handling settlement, reserves, and cross-border value at scale. Many, however, view this outcome as unrealistic.

In Sum

At $1.90, many proponents argue XRP is cheap and undervalued. They stress that when viewed through the lens of global value storage and settlement, comparisons to metals dramatically change the scale of the conversation.

Ultimately, whether XRP ever reaches silver-sized, gold-sized, or “10x metals” valuations remains theoretical. Still, supporters insist that if XRP truly fulfills a global financial role, today’s price would not even be in the same universe as its long-term ceiling.

A market analyst has presented the bullish and bearish case scenarios for XRP from here, as the token enters a multi-month descending channel structure.

XRP and the broader crypto market experienced intense bearish pressure in the last quarter of 2025, incurring massive losses that led to the first annual bearish candlestick since 2022. Specifically, after reaching a $3.1 high in early October, XRP collapsed, losing the $3 and $2 psychological levels and eventually closing the year at $1.84, an 11.51% yearly drop.

XRP Trading Within Descending Channel

However, bullish momentum seems to be returning in the new year, 2025, with XRP recently recovering above the $2 region for the first time in three weeks. Amid this renewed bullish spell, market analyst Chart Nerd has presented what he believes could be XRP’s bullish and bearish case scenarios from the current position.

In his latest analysis, the market watcher reminded investors that XRP faced a strong rejection at the $2.7 to $2.75 region, which resulted in the latest price collapse. For context, this rejection occurred in late October after XRP attempted to recover from the Oct. 10 market crash. The price soared to around $2.7 on Oct. 27, but the resistance at this mark resulted in the sustained losses throughout Q4 2025.

According to Chart Nerd, the $2.7 to $2.75 area flipped from support to resistance, with XRP’s Q4 2025 downtrend pushing the crypto asset into a descending channel. Notably, as is consistent with descending channels, XRP continued to print lower highs as the price crashed in Q4 2025, confirming the downtrend.

However, with the recent recovery in 2026, data from the market analyst’s 1-day chart confirms that the short-term trend has flipped, with XRP now seeing higher lows after retesting the support at the descending channel bottom, which currently lies around $1.6 to $1.77. Chart Nerd stressed that momentum may now be compressing, which could lead to a volatility surge.

XRP Bullish and Bearish Case Scenarios

At press time, XRP has recovered 10.77% within the first three days of 2026, but it remains inside the descending channel. The market analyst then presented bullish and bearish case scenarios for XRP from this position.

According to him, in the bullish scenario, XRP would maintain the current upward momentum and then breach the resistance at the upper trendline of the descending channel, which currently sits around $2.1. At press time, XRP changes hands at $2.03. From here, XRP could then push toward reclaiming the previous resistance around $2.7 to $2.75. Chart Nerd believes XRP’s macro structure would change to bullish once it recovers this area.

However, for the bearish case, XRP could fail to break above the upper trendline resistance of the descending channel. If this happens, the price could correct further into the lower ends of the support, around $1.6. The last time XRP saw this price mark was in April 2025. Meanwhile, regardless of the scenario that unfolds, whether bullish or bearish, Chart Nerd insists that XRP is building momentum.