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Potential Shiba Inu Triangle Breakout Targets 27% Rally to $0.0000159—Top Pundit

Elendu Benedict
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Potential Shiba Inu Triangle Breakout Targets 27% Rally to $0.0000159—Top Pundit

Shiba Inu eyes a bullish reversal to July highs, spurred by a possible breakout from a tightening triangle on the daily timeframe.

Top pundit Carl Moon discussed this positive development for Shiba Inu, suggesting that its period of price consolidation would soon taper off. He shared this in his Sunday tweet, aligning with the meme coin’s nearly 2% price increase.

Forming Descending Triangle Raises Reversal Optimism

For context, despite a slim 3.87% growth in the past seven days, Shiba Inu has dropped 40.8% since the start of the year. Most recently, it retraced from a high of $0.0000142 on August 14 to close with a 2% monthly loss at $0.0000121, joining a broader market sideways price development.

Nonetheless, Carl Moon, who is the founder of the Moon Show, told his 1.5 million X followers that Shiba Inu could be building momentum for a bullish price action. He highlighted a forming horizontal triangle on the daily timeframe as a potential catalyst for this bullish reversal.

The descending triangle originated from the high of $0.0000159 in July, a peak price that SHIB attained specifically on the 21st of that month. However, bears stepped in at that level, pushing prices to the bottom of the shared triangle at $0.0000100.

Meanwhile, SHIB bounced from the support to retest the descending resistance trendline with its rally to $0.00001419 on August 14 but was rejected again. Another attempt to break out on August 24’s high of $0.00001351 proved abortive, as the supply stood firm.

Shiba Inu Breakout Now Imminent

Carl Moon’s shared chart indicates that prices are becoming tighter within the triangle, suggesting a breakout is imminent. When Shiba Inu finally breaks free, the pundit suggested that the momentum from the outburst would spark a rally to higher prices.

Shiba Inu Imminent Breakout/Carl Moon

Specifically, he predicted a rally to retest July’s peak price of $0.0000159, marking a 27% rally from the current market price of $0.00001251. Meanwhile, the accompanying chart suggests a retest of the support at $0.0000100 before a 59% jump from the area.

Nonetheless, this could be only part of a broader bullish development for Shiba Inu, as analysts eye higher prices. For context, market commentator Javon Marks highlighted a confirmed bullish divergence on the 6-day timeframe, which could take prices towards the $0.000081 region.

The Shiba Inu ecosystem team also predicted that a price rally past $0.00008845 is on the cards, assuring enthusiasts that SHIB will surpass its 2021 peak price and current all-time high in the near term. Marketing lead Lucie recently shared this, insisting that price is temporary, but adoption is forever.

Tether CEO Dismisses Claims of Bitcoin Liquidation for Gold

Zabi
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Tether CEO Dismisses Claims of Bitcoin Liquidation for Gold

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino has dismissed reports claiming the stablecoin issuer sold off part of its Bitcoin reserves to purchase gold.

Rumors surrounding Tether’s Bitcoin strategy gained traction over the weekend when online commentators suggested the company had quietly reduced its holdings. The claims stemmed from financial attestations reviewed by accounting firm BDO for the first half of 2025.

According to YouTuber Clive Thompson, Tether’s Bitcoin balance dropped from 92,650 BTC in Q1 to 83,274 BTC in Q2. Thompson argued this was proof the firm had liquidated part of its portfolio, possibly to increase gold exposure.

CEO Paolo Ardoino Responds

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino quickly moved to address the speculation. In a post on X, he stated that the company “didn’t sell any Bitcoin” and reaffirmed its long-standing investment strategy.

“Tether continues to allocate part of its profits into safe assets such as Bitcoin, gold, and land,” Ardoino wrote. He stressed that the reduction highlighted in BDO’s reports reflected accounting movements, not market sales.

Samson Mow Provides Clarification

The narrative shifted further when Jan3 CEO Samson Mow weighed in. Mow revealed that the apparent reduction was the result of Tether transferring 19,800 BTC to a new venture, not selling.

He detailed that the company moved 14,000 BTC in June and another 5,800 BTC in July to support Twenty One Capital (XXI), a Bitcoin-native financial platform spearheaded by Strike CEO Jack Mallers.

Mow argued that if these transfers were included in the Q2 figures, Tether’s net holdings would have been higher than at the end of Q1.

“Tether would have had 4,624 more BTC if transfers were counted properly,” he explained.

$3.9 Billion in Bitcoin Allocated to XXI

The transfers formed part of a broader initiative. In June, Tether moved more than 37,000 BTC, with an estimated value of $3.9 billion, across several transactions to back XXI.

The project aims to develop a financial infrastructure rooted in Bitcoin. By supporting XXI, Tether signals its commitment not only to holding Bitcoin but also to fostering long-term institutional adoption.

Tether Remains a Top Bitcoin Holder

Despite speculation, Tether’s Bitcoin balance remains substantial. Data compiled by BitcoinTreasuries.NET shows the company currently holds 100,521 BTC, worth around $11.17 billion at recent market prices.

This makes Tether one of the largest corporate holders of Bitcoin globally.

El Salvador Turns to Gold Diversification

While Tether was clarifying its position, El Salvador announced a notable shift in its reserve strategy. The country’s central bank revealed it had acquired 13,999 troy ounces of gold, valued at $50 million.

This marks the first time El Salvador has purchased gold since 1990. Officials said the move is part of an effort to reduce reliance on the US dollar by broadening reserve assets.

El Salvador already maintains a Bitcoin reserve of 6,313 BTC, valued at about $702 million. However, an IMF report published in July indicated the country had not made additional Bitcoin purchases since February 2025. Meanwhile, the country continues to disclose daily acquisition of BTC.

It’s Funny How the Mainstream Media Ignores XRP: Altcoin Daily Founder

Abdulkarim Abdulwahab
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It’s Funny How the Mainstream Media Ignores XRP: Altcoin Daily Founder

Austin Arnold, founder of Altcoin Daily, recently remarked that it’s strange how mainstream media in the U.S. continues to overlook XRP.

His observation comes amid growing international coverage of XRP. For context, a recent segment by German broadcaster DER AKTIONÄR TV highlighted Ripple’s progress in cross-border payments, its regulatory clarity following the SEC case, and its potential as a bridge currency for international banking.

The contrast between international recognition and perceived silence in the U.S. has reignited discussions within the XRP community.

Global Spotlight vs. “U.S. Silence”

While German media emphasized XRP’s expanding role in payments and even covered investment products like futures and certificates, major American outlets have largely remained silent or have offered minimal coverage—at least not on par with what XRP supporters want.

XRP proponents argue that mainstream focus remains heavily toward Bitcoin and Ethereum, leaving XRP in the shadows despite its increasing adoption in specific financial corridors.

XRP Community Reactions

Reactions to Arnold’s comments were diverse. One user, Djtomt, argued that XRP holders should stop trying to evangelize the asset. To him, if others fail to recognize its value, that’s their own concern.

Meanwhile, Ken Rasmussen suggested the lack of coverage might be intentional. He speculated that powerful interests could be suppressing attention until XRP is “ready.”

Hasan criticized mainstream narratives that treat Bitcoin almost like a cult, claiming the masses blindly follow it while ignoring promising alternatives such as XRP.

In contrast, Matt Kvi advised caution, suggesting that XRP investors might want to avoid seeking mainstream media attention. In his view, assets heavily promoted by the media often become overhyped and risky.

Views of Critics

However, not everyone believes XRP deserves more attention. Cryptavocato dismissed it as a low-adoption layer-1 blockchain with numerous competitors. He claimed its popularity is due to uninformed speculation rather than genuine innovation.

Shaolin Chad also criticized Ripple’s banking narrative. He noted that many in the crypto space initially viewed crypto as a way to move away from traditional finance, not integrate with it.

“Blessing in Disguise”

However, some commenters saw the media’s silence as a blessing. LJM suggested that the lack of mainstream attention keeps prices lower for dedicated investors while reducing the risk of negative propaganda. GemsFinderr predicted that mainstream media will continue to ignore the asset until a major price breakout occurs.

Crypto community Reactions
Crypto community Reactions

XRP Actually Gets Covered

It’s worth noting that XRP and Ripple do receive significant U.S. media coverage from outlets like CNBC, Bloomberg, Forbes, Fortune Magazine, and FOX Business, particularly during breaking court developments or major insider revelations.

Just last month, USA Today named XRP a top crypto pick for investors with a $500 budget, citing its strong fundamentals, growing utility, and favorable regulatory outlook. While the article noted that XRP’s near-$3 price might limit explosive gains, it argued that XRP is a smart, accessible investment backed by real adoption and long-term potential.

Likewise, Forbes recently published a deep dive forecasting XRP’s price outlook for the next five years. However, the outlet has also published critical pieces in the past, such as a March 2024 article that referred to XRP and Ripple as “zombies” and “good-for-nothing” projects.

Cardano Permabull Says It Is All Aligning for Cardano, Sets Breakout Area for Price Explosion

Elendu Benedict
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Cardano Permabull Says It Is All Aligning for Cardano, Sets Breakout Area for Price Explosion

Cardano permabull Dan Gambardello has dissected the current Cardano market sentiments and near-term outlook amid aligning bullish ingredients.

Notably, Gambardello shared this in a September 8 analysis. He highlighted what the charts and indicators reveal and how to capitalize on the impending bullish momentum.

The Current State of Cardano

Right now, Cardano trades at $0.838, up 1.37% in the past 24 hours. It continues to consolidate around the price mark after a strong rejection at $1.020 in August.

Meanwhile, Gambardello buttressed data from Santiment last week, which shared that retail sentiments on Cardano are trending deeper into the bearish territory as the sideways trend persists. This comes at a time when whales have rekindled interest in ADA, handing them a good opportunity to buy at a discounted price.

Furthermore, he highlighted that this would mark a price divergence for Cardano. Historically, when retail bearishness reaches intense levels, prices usually shift in the opposite direction.

Aligning Bullish Factors for Cardano

Further fueling Gambardello’s bullish sentiment are possible positive developments in the coming weeks. He assured that things could change quickly from the current bearish market state, as all the ingredients for a price explosion are coming together. 

One of the catalysts mentioned for a bullish reversal of Cardano is the impending launch of Cardano spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States. Drawing inspiration from how the products drew institutions to Bitcoin and Ethereum, and with its October deadline approaching, he outlined that pent-up liquidity could be on its way, with an explosive price action following.

The analyst also mentioned that this aligns with the CLARITY Act timeline. The bill, also known as the market structure bill, passed in the US House in July. This raised optimism that it would see the same bipartisan support in the US Senate and become a law in the near term.

Meanwhile, the September interest rate cut is the closest bullish catalyst on the radar. The optimism that the US Fed will slash rates continues to grow, with the chance of a 25-bps cut this month standing at 87% on Polymarket.

Furthermore, the Cardano permabull noted that the weekly oscillator also appears to be in a good position. The relative strength index (RSI) has reset from overbought territory following the late 2024 rally, spurred by slashed interest rates and bullish sentiments following Donald Trump’s victory.

He added that this means there is a lot of room for higher prices. For context, the RSI stands at 54.19, far below the overbought territory.

Cardano Breakout Level

For ADA’s breakout point, Gambardello highlighted the area at $1.87. He noted he is keeping tabs around the level, and Cardano breaking above it places it on course for much higher prices.

Screenshot 2025 09 08 072019
Cardano Price Analysis/Dan Gambardello

Notably, the area aligns with an ascending trendline on the weekly chart. Cardano faced resistance at the neckline in March and December 2024, and breaking above it could spell a fresh wave of bullish momentum.

The rally would see it flip through an area he earlier identified as the bull market door. When this happens, it could open Cardano up to unprecedented prices, such as $7.5 and $10.

Here is Shiba Inu price if Bitcoin Reaches $1.3M–$2.97M

Lele Jima
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Here is Shiba Inu price if Bitcoin Reaches $1.3M–$2.97M

As Shiba Inu continues to mirror the performance of Bitcoin, a potential rise of BTC to $1.3 million or $2.97 million could propel SHIB to a new all-time high.

Bitcoin’s influence continues to shape the performance of major cryptocurrencies, including Shiba Inu. The bearish performance of the firstborn cryptocurrency over the past few weeks has also led to a broader market downturn. Shiba Inu was not spared in the massive decline. 

To put things into perspective, Bitcoin’s drop below $110,000 in August had a significant impact on the price of Shiba Inu. The dog-themed token, which previously stood as the 22nd-largest crypto before the shakeout, dropped to the 23rd position. 

At the time of publication, while Bitcoin boasts an intraday gain of 0.1%, Shiba Inu’s price has also rallied 0.23% in the same timeframe. Given Bitcoin’s strong influence on Shiba Inu’s performance, the two assets are expected to remain correlated as BTC pursues ambitious price targets set by leading market stakeholders. 

Bitwise Projects Bitcoin to Hit $1.3M–$2.9M by 2035

Recently, popular Bitcoin ETF issuer Bitwise set new price targets for Bitcoin by 2035, or over the next 10 years. Under base market conditions, Bitwise expects Bitcoin to deliver an annual growth rate of 28.3% per year over the next decade. This could potentially push Bitcoin’s price to $1,306,740 ($1.3 million) by 2035. 

However, the asset manager projects that Bitcoin could spike beyond this level in a bullish market conditions. Notably, it sees Bitcoin hitting $2.97 million by 2035, representing a 39.4% CAGR. 

According to Bitwise, the key drivers of this bullish outlook include the rising adoption of Bitcoin by institutions, states, and even nations. 

Shiba Inu Price If Bitcoin Reaches $1.3M-$2.9M 

Since Bitcoin often drives the performance of assets like Shiba Inu, a surge to $1.3 million or $2.97 million is likely to trigger a major rally for SHIB as well. For context, Bitcoin is currently trading at $108,451 per coin. 

Reaching the $1.3 million target would demand a 1,098% surge from Bitcoin’s current price, while the $2.97 million projection represents an even steeper climb of 2,638%. 

If Shiba Inu grows in tandem, mirroring Bitcoin’s 1,098% growth to $1.3 million or its 2,638% surge to $2.97 million, the top meme-based token could reach unprecedented levels. Currently, Shiba Inu is trading at $0.00001243, which translates to a market capitalization of approximately $7.32 billion. 

Applying the 1,098% growth to Shiba Inu’s price would drive it to $0.0001489. Also, if SHIB rallies by 2,638%, its price would spike to $0.0003403. Therefore, if Bitcoin clinches Bitwise’s 2035 target of $1.3 million or $2.97 million, Shiba Inu might also rally to $0.0001489 or $0.0003403, respectively. 

Shiba Inu has not reached any of the estimated targets in its lifetime. Its highest peak price of $0.00008845 is 68.34% lower than the $0.0001489 target and 284% lower than the $0.0003403 price. 

The $0.00014 and $0.00034 Price Forecasts 

Meanwhile, the $0.00014 and $0.00034 forecasts have appeared in various predictions from market commentators. Last year, Pseudonymous analyst Mags predicted that Shiba Inu would attain the $0.00014 price target in September 2024. 

Shiba Inu’s marketing lead, Lucie, also teased that SHIB was poised to rally 1,000% and reach the $0.00014 target in May 2025. However, SHIB has since missed both timelines for reaching the $0.00014 price milestone. 

For the $0.00034 prediction, ChatGPT suggested that Shiba Inu might reach the ambitious target before 2035. According to the chatbot, SHIB is expected to reach the $0.00034 price milestone by 2027. 

Nonetheless, this analysis aims to enlighten investors about how much SHIB could trade if it mirrors Bitcoin’s performance and the leading cryptocurrency reaches ambitious targets of $1.3 million or $2.97 million. Although Shiba Inu often outperforms Bitcoin during a rally, it is not certain that the trend will repeat itself. 

Bearish Concerns Emerge as Shiba Inu Encounters Another Death Cross

Lele Jima
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Bearish Concerns Emerge as Shiba Inu Encounters Another Death Cross

Shiba Inu stunned investors over the weekend following the appearance of a death cross on its daily chart. 

Notably, a death cross is a bearish indicator often interpreted as a sign of waning momentum and a potential downturn ahead.

It happens when the 50-day moving average drops below the 200-day MA. As observed over the weekend, Shiba Inu’s 50-day MA dropped below the 200-day MA on the daily chart.

Second Shiba Inu Death Cross in 2025

Notably, this is the second death cross to appear on Shiba Inu’s chart in 2025, with the previous one forming in February. Following its appearance in February, Shiba Inu experienced subdued performance in subsequent months, which eventually pushed the price down to the $0.00001 mark in June.

In the meantime, many are surprised by the new death cross, since Shiba Inu had only recently formed a golden cross. The golden cross formation, which typically signals bullish momentum, occurred last month, raising hopes of a major SHIB rally at the time.

Shiba Inu daily chart showing moving averages crossing
Shiba Inu daily chart showing moving averages crossing

However, this optimism faded quickly due to macroeconomic uncertainty and the bearish nature of September. Many consider September to be the weakest month for crypto, as the prices of major assets typically underperform. These concerns led to selling pressure, which muted the impact of the golden cross in August.

Despite this, Shiba Inu managed to climb towards $0.000013 on August 29 but failed to sustain the upward momentum as the broader market stalled.

Next Move

Amid the mixed technical signals, Shiba Inu’s next move remains a focal point for traders seeking clarity on its short-term direction.

Bulls may target $0.000014-$0.000016 if Shiba Inu breaks above the daily moving average. However, if bearish pressure persists, Shiba Inu could experience another downturn, similar to the one it experienced in the months following February, with $0.00001 likely acting as a critical support level.

Currently, Shiba Inu is trading at $0.00001251 with a 24-hour increase of 1.34% and a seven-day surge of 4.93%. Shiba Inu has rallied 2.75% since the start of the month, lifting its average September performance to 3.71%.

Its trading volume has surged by 39% over the past 24 hours to $143.94 million, signaling strong interest in the token.

Elsewhere, Shiba Inu’s burn rate has skyrocketed, increasing by 1,676% over the past 24 hours. This translates to the incineration of 1.24 million SHIB tokens across nine transactions.

Shiba Inu burn intensifies
Shiba Inu burn intensifies

Trump Family Crypto Wealth Jumps $1.3 Billion as WLFI and ABTC Go Public

Zabi
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Trump Family Crypto Wealth Jumps $1.3 Billion as WLFI and ABTC Go Public

The financial empire of U.S. President Donald Trump’s family has expanded sharply in recent days.

According to Bloomberg, their collective crypto wealth grew by $1.3 billion in just one week. This windfall comes primarily from two ventures tied to the family: American Bitcoin (ABTC), a crypto mining company, and World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a decentralized finance protocol.

How WLFI Boosted the Family Fortune

World Liberty Financial played a key role in the surge. The platform’s token WLFI entered the market last week. Since then, it is estimated to have added approximately $670 million to the Trump family’s net worth.

At launch, WLFI unlocked nearly 25 billion tokens for public trading. The token price initially spiked but quickly fell by more than 40%, amid market volatility.

Meanwhile, the Trump family holds a substantial supply of WLFI tokens, valued at around $4 billion, although these remain locked for now.

Trump Stake in American Bitcoin

Another major contributor was American Bitcoin, which completed its merger with Gryphon Digital Mining. Following the merger, it re-entered U.S. stock exchanges on Wednesday.

Eric Trump, who co-founded the firm, holds a sizable stake. Bloomberg valued that stake at over $500 million following its first day of trading.

The stock had a turbulent debut, climbing to a peak of $14. It then dropped by more than half to around $6.24 per share, with trading halted five times during the day due to extreme price swings.

Updated Net Worth and Market Position

Even without counting the locked WLFI tokens, the Trump family’s combined wealth now stands at more than $7.7 billion.

The updated figure highlights the significant portion of their fortune now tied to digital assets. This highlights their exposure to the volatile world of cryptocurrencies.

While the family’s traditional businesses remain intact, their pivot into digital finance has quickly become a central driver of their wealth.

Political Scrutiny and Industry Impact

Meanwhile, the family’s deep involvement in cryptocurrencies has sparked mixed reactions.

Supporters argue that it gives legitimacy to the crypto sector in the U.S., especially after years of restrictive policies under earlier administrations.

Critics, particularly Democratic lawmakers, warn that the president’s direct financial ties to such projects create conflicts of interest. This debate is likely to intensify as both ABTC and WLFI navigate their volatile early trading phases.

What If Banks Say No to XRP, Here’s Why XRP Still Wins Without Wall Street

Abdulkarim Abdulwahab
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What If Banks Say No to XRP, Here’s Why XRP Still Wins Without Wall Street

When XRP was first introduced, its main selling point was to serve as the digital rail for banks, replacing SWIFT in cross-border settlements.

However, over a decade later, global financial giants remain cautious. They are exploring central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and internal payment rails instead of fully adopting XRP.

Some analysts, particularly those from the Chainlink community, have called this a defeat for XRP. However, XRP has alternative use cases that secure its relevance and growth, even without Wall Street’s full embrace.

XRP Can Pivot to the People’s Rail

One of the strongest niches for XRP remains retail remittances. In markets such as Mexico, the Philippines, Nigeria, and India, millions of people depend on fast and affordable cross-border transfers.

Fintechs serving migrant workers and families can adopt XRP, where every second saved and every fee cut directly improves lives.

As The Crypto Basic reported in 2023, Michael Brooks, CEO of the freelance platform goLance, confirmed that the company uses XRP to pay freelancers quickly and cost-effectively.

Brooks explained that goLance targets underserved markets where traditional banking systems cause delays and high fees. By leveraging RippleNet and the XRP Ledger, goLance enables instant payments with minimal fees, even on weekends.

He highlighted that for freelancers in regions like the Philippines, where $50 a week is a common wage, waiting days or losing up to 10% in bank fees is unsustainable. XRP solves this by enabling fast, low-cost cross-border payments.

With the global remittance market worth nearly $860 billion a year, this “people’s rail” narrative could become the backbone of XRP’s value proposition beyond its original bank rail pitch.

Corporate Payments Beyond Banking Systems

Meanwhile, small and mid-sized enterprises are also ripe for XRP adoption. These firms don’t need a full-scale replacement of banking rails—they just need cheaper and faster ways to manage supplier payments, payroll, and foreign exchange.

For example, cross-border payroll solutions in the gig economy, or payments across Asia’s dense supplier networks, could benefit from XRP’s low-cost settlement. This use case drives steady adoption without having to wait for traditional banks to move.

Indeed, in 2023, SBI Japan launched an XRP-based international remittance service targeting bank accounts in the Philippines, Vietnam, and Indonesia—regions with high remittance volumes.

Using XRP as a bridge currency, the system allows SBI VC Trade to send XRP upon a remittance request, which is then converted into local currency for the recipient.

Powering the Internet Economy

Beyond traditional payments, XRP could become a crucial enabler of the internet economy. Micropayments for streaming, gaming, IoT devices, or even automated API calls require fast, inexpensive transactions.

While Bitcoin’s Lightning Network and stablecoins have captured much of this space, XRP’s low fees and high throughput position it as a natural contender.

The XRPL Ecosystem Advantage

Furthermore, the XRP Ledger (XRPL) itself offers fertile ground for innovation. Decentralized exchanges, automated market makers, tokenized assets, and even compliance-friendly NFTs are emerging within the XRPL ecosystem.

With stablecoin issuers already leveraging the network, XRP’s role as a native bridge asset becomes even stronger. In other words, even without banks, ecosystem activity could drive demand for XRP as collateral and liquidity fuel.

Reserve-Like Asset in a CBDC World

Finally, XRP may evolve as a diversification asset. As transaction fees gradually burn XRP supply, its scarcity could attract investors seeking a hedge in a world dominated by CBDCs.

It wouldn’t need to replace the dollar or euro to thrive. It would merely act as an alternative for portfolio allocation, supporting long-term value.

In Sum

The idea that XRP’s future rests entirely on bank adoption may no longer hold true. Instead, XRP’s path to success could emerge from a variety of use cases, from migrant remittances and gig economy payments to IoT transactions and tokenized markets.

Each use case may be smaller than the original “bank rail” vision, but together, they create a diversified foundation that makes XRP resilient.

Ultimately, even if banks say no, XRP still has plenty of ways to win.

Expert Says XRP to $50 by December 2025 Is a Matter of “Math + Market Structure,” Here’s Why

Abdulkarim Abdulwahab
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Expert Says XRP to $50 by December 2025 Is a Matter of “Math + Market Structure,” Here’s Why

Veteran Bitcoin investor Pumpius argues that if the SEC clears all pending spot XRP ETFs in October, the conditions could align for XRP to hit $50 by the end of 2025.

He pointed out that at least six major issuers have already submitted active S-1 filings or amendments with the SEC. These include Bitwise, WisdomTree, 21Shares, Canary Capital, CoinShares, and Franklin Templeton.

According to Pumpius, the timing of these filings, following the SEC’s dismissal of its case against Ripple, suggests that issuers are preparing for a serious launch window.

October Is the Key Decision Window

The SEC’s current review calendar places multiple XRP ETF applications in a decision cluster around late October 2025. Pumpius notes that this creates a potential “all-green” or “all-red” moment.

Should approvals come through, ETF launches could begin rolling out in Q4, setting the stage for institutional money to enter XRP at scale.

Demand Shock Incoming

Industry insiders project that first-month spot XRP ETF inflows will exceed $5 billion. According to commentators, this level of demand could significantly strain the asset’s supply.

Notably, about 35 billion XRP is in escrow, and a large portion of the circulating supply is in the hands of exchanges and major holders. In other words, the effective free float is thin. 

Pumpius highlights that this creates conditions for “air-pocket” price moves if billions of dollars in new demand suddenly enter the market.

Institutional Infrastructure Already Set for XRP

Furthermore, he said XRP’s path mirrors Bitcoin and Ethereum’s trajectory before their ETF approvals. Both CME and Coinbase Derivatives launched XRP futures earlier in 2025, creating regulated liquidity channels for institutions.

Combined with ETFs, this setup will funnel institutional capital into the asset, according to the Bitcoin investor.

Why $50 XRP Is Plausible

Pumpius argues that ETF-driven inflows of $10–18 billion by year-end 2025 could force extreme price elasticity, as the market adjusts to clear demand against limited liquid supply.

Beyond pure demand mechanics, ETFs open access for RIAs, wealth managers, pensions, and treasuries—turning sidelined capital into compliant, daily-settled spot exposure. According to Pumpius, the result could be a cycle where inflows boost price, which in turn attracts larger inflows.

In Pumpius’ view, if all XRP ETFs receive approval in October, the path to $50 by December 2025 is not speculative hype but a logical outcome of supply mechanics, institutional infrastructure, and market structure. “In that setup,” he concludes, “$50 stops being a meme and becomes a path, not a promise.”

Meanwhile, XRP is trading at $2.80 today, and the road to $50 requires 1,685% growth. The magnitude of this required growth has led many commentators on Pumpius’s post to express disagreement with his perspective.

They argue that the timeline is too short for the XRP market to expand from $168 billion to $3 trillion.

Here’s XRP Price If It Becomes the First Coin Held by Top 10 Central Banks

Abdulkarim Abdulwahab
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Here’s XRP Price If It Becomes the First Coin Held by Top 10 Central Banks

A new analysis explores the potential XRP price if the world’s top 10 central banks allocate a portion of their combined $13 trillion in reserves to the coin.

The results show that even a modest level of adoption at this scale could propel XRP to new heights.

XRP’s Current Market Position

Notably, XRP is currently trading at around $2.81, with a circulating supply of approximately 59.4 billion tokens. This gives it a market cap of about $172.3 billion, making it one of the largest digital assets in circulation. Despite this substantial valuation, the entry of central banks could completely reshape XRP’s trajectory.

Allocation Scenarios from $130B to $822B in XRP

If the top 10 central banks—including those in China, Japan, Switzerland, India, Russia, the United States, and others—were to allocate just 1% of their reserves (around $130 billion) to XRP, its market cap would rise to over $302 billion. This would push the token’s price to approximately $5.09.

A 3% allocation, representing $390 billion, would drive XRP’s value to about $9.47. At the upper end, a 5% allocation equal to $650 billion would result in a market cap of more than $822 billion, translating to a token price near $13.84.

Extended Outlook at 10%

Looking beyond modest allocations, a 10% commitment from central bank reserves, roughly $1.3 trillion, could raise XRP’s market cap to $1.47 trillion. In this scenario, XRP price could climb to around $22.58 per coin, nearly eight times its current value.

Speculative prices for XRP on government allocation
Speculative prices for XRP on government allocation

However, it is important to note that these figures are based on basic market cap arithmetic, assuming that central bank inflows would translate directly into increased valuation.

In reality, such massive buying pressure from institutions of this size would likely create a multiplier effect, potentially driving XRP’s price well beyond these projections.

Even a $1 billion government allocation could trigger significant market reactions, making inflows of $130 billion to $1.3 trillion far more impactful than the raw numbers might suggest.

Consider the market frenzy that would likely follow an announcement that the U.S. government is purchasing $1 billion worth of XRP.

But Is There Any Chance These Governments Will Hold XRP?

The idea of governments holding XRP is compelling, especially amid a global push for crypto innovation and adoption at the governmental level, which has reached unprecedented momentum this year.

The U.S. government has signed into law a bill on stablecoins, marking a historic milestone for crypto legitimacy. Furthermore, the government is working toward establishing a national crypto reserve that could hold up to 1 million BTC, along with a diversified crypto stockpile including XRP, Ethereum, Cardano, and Solana.

However, the U.S. has not expressed readiness to purchase any cryptocurrency beyond Bitcoin.

In countries like Russia and China, most discussions around crypto have focused on Bitcoin and stablecoins, often viewed as tools to promote their local currencies.

Regarding Bitcoin, institutional FOMO remains high. Governments that currently hold BTC show no signs of selling. Notably, countries such as the U.S., China, the U.K., Ukraine, Bhutan, El Salvador, and four others collectively hold 517,298 BTC—worth over $56.76 billion.

In essence, the current institutional focus is overwhelmingly on Bitcoin, while altcoins like XRP remain in the background.

Takeaway

This analysis highlights the potentially outsized impact of institutional adoption on XRP, particularly at the highest level. However, the scenario of governments allocating between $130 billion and $1.3 trillion into XRP remains highly speculative.

As it stands, Bitcoin is the more likely candidate for such large-scale government adoption.

Countries holding Bitcoin
Countries holding Bitcoin | https://bitbo.io/treasuries/countries/
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