Bitcoin RSI Drops to Oversold Level that Historically Led to an Average 103% Surge

Bitcoin RSI hits oversold zone which previously led to price surges of 60%, 63%, and 198% marking an average of 103% price increase in three occasions.

Ali Martinez, a technical and on-chain analyst, has observed a trend in Bitcoin’s price movements over the past two years. According to Martinez, the Bitcoin daily RSI has dipped into oversold territory three times during this period, each time resulting in substantial price surges of 60%, 63%, and 198%. 

In the past two years, the #Bitcoin daily RSI has hit oversold territory three times, resulting in $BTC price surges of 60%, 63%, and 198%, respectively.

With #BTC now below $62,000 and the RSI in oversold territory again, it might be a prime opportunity to buy the dip! pic.twitter.com/JkJ4IgoeML

— Ali (@ali_charts) June 24, 2024

According to him, with Bitcoin now trading below $62,000 and the RSI again in oversold territory, this might present a prime opportunity to buy the dip.

Historical RSI and Price Surges

Notably, on November 9, 2022, Bitcoin’s RSI hit oversold territory, dropping below 30. This event triggered a subsequent price surge of 60.11%, with Bitcoin’s price climbing from approximately $15,800 to around $25,000. 

Similarly, on March 10, 2023, another RSI dip into oversold territory was observed. Bitcoin’s price surged by 62.54%, from approximately $19,600 to around $32,000. The trend continued on August 18, 2023, when the RSI again dropped into oversold territory. This was followed by a price increase of 197.77%, pushing Bitcoin’s price from about $25,000 to levels above $70,000.

Current Market Situation

As of June 24, 2024, Bitcoin’s RSI has again entered oversold territory, indicated by a recent sharp dip in the RSI metric below 30. As such dips have been followed by significant price increases, analysts see this as a potential bullish opportunity. 

However, this analysis comes just hours after Bitcoin and the broader crypto market experienced an accelerated price slump. The slump coincided with the announcement from the bankrupt exchange Mt. Gox, confirming its repayment date, which added to the market’s bearish momentum.

Other Indicators Point to Further Daily Declines

Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $61,143.52, reflecting a 4.99% price decline in the last 24 hours and a 7.04% decline over the past week.

However, on the flip side, the daily chart suggests further potential declines. The Bollinger Bands show the price recently broke below the lower band, signaling strong downward momentum and increased volatility. The MACD line is below the signal line, indicating a bearish trend, while the MACD histogram is in negative territory, showing increasing downward momentum.