Home Blog Page 157

XRP May Drop Further, But Here’s What Truly Matters: Black Swan Capitalist Founder

0

Black Swan Capitalist Founder Versan Aljarrah challenges the market’s fixation on short-term XRP price predictions.

In a detailed X post, he argues that investors are asking the wrong question about XRP’s price action. Rather than focusing on whether XRP will drop further in the short term, he urges investors to analyze liquidity cycles, macroeconomic forces, and XRP’s long-term role in financial infrastructure. 

Key Points

  • Versan Aljarrah argues that investors focus on the wrong question when they fixate on XRP’s short-term price direction.
  • The analyst urges investors to shift attention to liquidity cycles, macroeconomic trends, and long-term market structure.
  • He explains that short-term XRP price movements remain difficult to predict due to factors such as regulation and exchange liquidity.
  • He prioritizes long-term positioning over short-term trading, viewing volatility as a natural part of a broader structural and liquidity-driven evolution.

XRP Could Still Go Lower

XRP’s price performance has been highly volatile this year. It fell from an opening price of $1.84 to below $1.130 before rebounding above $1.40. Despite this recovery, uncertainty persists, prompting Aljarrah to address whether further downside remains possible.

He acknowledges that XRP can still decline in the near term. However, he explains that such movements are typical within cyclical market structures. He notes that these cycles reset leverage, flush out weak positions, and ultimately prepare the market for the next phase of expansion. 

Factors That Make Short-Term Price Prediction Difficult  

While many analysts have relied on technical analysis to project XRP’s price movements, Aljarrah criticizes it as inherently backward-looking. 

Although it helps identify trends, he argues that it often fails to anticipate forward-looking shifts in liquidity, positioning imbalances, and structural changes, especially in a complex market like crypto. 

He also highlights additional forces shaping price action, including regulatory developments, exchange liquidity conditions, and increasing institutional participation. He believes these factors make short-term price movements even more difficult to predict. 

XRP Is Beyond a Speculative Asset: Aljarrah  

At the core of his thesis, Aljarrah positions XRP as more than a speculative asset. The Black Swan Capitalist founder sees the token as part of a potential liquidity and settlement layer that could support a modernized financial system.

From this standpoint, he emphasized that macroeconomic trends become critical. As money supply expands and fiat currencies gradually lose purchasing power, capital tends to rotate into assets positioned to benefit from these shifts. In this context, XRP could play a significant role.

Consequently, Aljarrah emphasizes long-term positioning over short-term reactions. Rather than attempting to buy XRP at lower prices during dips, he focuses on aligning with a broader liquidity and infrastructure cycle, where volatility is not noise, but part of a larger structural evolution.  

Market Updates: Circle Sued Over $280M Drift Exploit, Grinex Halts Trading After $13.7M Hack, Public Miners Dump 32K Bitcoin in Q1

0

Latest Market Updates: As of 17th April 2026.

A series of major developments has unsettled the crypto sector today, including legal action against Circle Internet Group, a fresh exchange hack, record Bitcoin sales by miners, and the launch of spot crypto trading services by leading brokerage Charles Schwab.

Circle Sued Over Alleged Inaction in $280M Drift Exploit

To begin with, Circle Internet Group faces a class action arising from a major breach involving Drift Protocol. The lawsuit, filed in a Massachusetts federal court by investor Joshua McCollum, represents more than 100 affected participants.

The case centers on an April 1 breach that resulted in approximately $280 million in losses. According to the complaint, attackers transferred roughly $230 million in USDC across blockchains over several hours. These transactions allegedly used Circle’s Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP) to route funds from Solana to Ethereum without interruption.

Specifically, the filing argues that Circle failed to take timely action to halt the transfers. It accuses the company of negligence and facilitating wrongful conversion. The case is being pursued by Mira Gibb, with damages to be determined at trial.

In the aftermath, Drift Protocol is expected to overhaul its settlement system, replacing USDC with USD upon resumption of operations.

Grinex Halts Trading After Multi-Million Dollar Breach

At the same time, security concerns have resurfaced with a major breach at Grinex. The exchange has halted trading after a cyberattack resulted in losses exceeding 1 billion rubles (about $13.7 million).

Grinex, registered in Kyrgyzstan but closely tied to Russia’s crypto ecosystem, reported that 54 wallets were compromised. The company described the attack as highly sophisticated, raising the possibility of involvement by well-resourced or state-linked actors.

Additionally, blockchain analytics firm Elliptic traced roughly $15 million in USDT leaving the platform. The funds were routed through Tron and Ethereum before being converted into other assets, a move likely intended to evade potential freezing actions by Tether.

Following the breach, Grinex said it notified law enforcement and filed a formal complaint. 

The exchange has also drawn comparisons to the sanctioned Garantex platform, with both entities previously accused by U.S. authorities of facilitating sanctions evasion and laundering funds linked to Russian actors.

Public Bitcoin Miners Offload Record 32,000 BTC in Q1 2026

Meanwhile, financial stress is becoming increasingly visible in the mining sector. Data from TheEnergyMag indicates that public Bitcoin miners sold more than 32,000 BTC in Q1 2026, surpassing the total for all of 2025 and even exceeding sell-offs during the 2022 Terra-Luna collapse.

Specifically, the pressure stems largely from deteriorating post-halving economics. Since the 2024 Bitcoin halving, block rewards have been halved, while network difficulty has surged to roughly 10 times its 2021 level. Meanwhile, hash prices have dropped into the low $30/PH/s range, near historic lows.

Consequently, profitability has narrowed sharply, particularly for operators running older hardware or facing elevated energy costs. 

To stay afloat, many firms, including MARA Holdings, Riot Platforms, and CleanSpark, have ramped up Bitcoin sales. Others, such as Cango, Bitdeer, and Core Scientific, are taking similar measures to manage liquidity and debt obligations.

Charles Schwab Rolls Out Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum Trading

Despite ongoing turbulence, institutional adoption continues to advance. Charles Schwab has announced the phased rollout of Schwab Crypto, a spot trading service targeting retail investors. 

At launch, the platform will support Bitcoin and Ethereum trading, with fees set at approximately 0.75% per transaction. Schwab Premier Bank will provide custody services, while Paxos will handle execution and infrastructure. 

Furthermore, the firm has indicated that additional assets and transfer capabilities are already in the pipeline, signaling a longer-term commitment to expanding its crypto offering.

Cardano Sentiment Turns Bullish as Midnight Stays in Bearish Territory

0

Recent data from CoinMarketCap reveals a sharp divergence in community sentiment between Cardano (ADA) and Midnight (NIGHT). 

While Cardano continues to attract strong bullish support, Midnight trends in the opposite direction, ranking among the most bearish tokens based on user votes.

Key Points

  • Data from CoinMarketCap shows a sharp divergence in sentiment between Cardano and Midnight. 
  • Cardano ranks 9th among the most bullish cryptocurrencies on CoinMarketCap, with a bullish vote of 79.5%. 
  • Midnight ranks 5th among the most bearish tokens, recording a bearish score of 33.8%. 
  • Recent price movements contradict expectations as ADA rose modestly by 0.95% despite the bullish sentiment, while NIGHT gained 3.02%.

Cardano Sentiment Turns Bullish, but Midnight Stays Bearish 

According to CoinMarketCap, Cardano ranks ninth among the most bullish cryptocurrencies, securing a strong 79.5% bullish vote. Notably, this places it ahead of Ethereum in community sentiment. 

However, it still trails other major tokens such as Pepe, Celestia, and Pi. Even so, its presence in the top 10 highlights the resilience and commitment of its community despite broader market fluctuations.

In contrast, Midnight ranks among the least favored crypto assets in terms of community sentiment. The CoinMarketCap metric ranks NIGHT as the fifth among tokens with the most bearish sentiment, with a 33.8% bearish score. It follows projects like Official Trump and World Liberty Financial, both of which have recently faced controversy.

This contrast underscores a clear divergence in market perception. Although NIGHT is the native token of Cardano’s partner chain, Midnight, investor sentiment toward it differs significantly from that of ADA. 

Cardano and Midnight Sentiment
Cardano and Midnight Sentiment

Potential Price Impact 

Meanwhile, analysts note that sentiment often influences short-term price action. Typically, assets with stronger community backing attract more attention and capital, while bearish sentiment can limit momentum. 

However, recent price movements challenge this pattern. ADA, despite its bullish sentiment, rose modestly by 0.95% to $0.2526 over the past day. In contrast, Midnight climbed 3.02% to $0.03675 within the same period, despite its bearish outlook. 

ADA and NIGHT Complement Each Other 

Meanwhile, key figures within the Cardano ecosystem, including Charles Hoskinson, maintain that the two tokens are not in competition. Instead, they emphasize a complementary relationship that makes them both “stronger together.” 

Specifically, developers can combine Midnight’s data protection and privacy-focused features with Cardano’s secure, decentralized public layer. As a result, this integration enables Cardano-based applications to adopt enhanced privacy, attract institutional and regulatory-compliant use cases, and leverage shared security. 

In the meantime, ADA is currently sitting above a key technical level that Ali Martinez suggested could propel the price to $0.30. Despite the token’s current bullish sentiment, it remains uncertain whether this momentum will drive prices to that level in the short term. 

Short Positions Make up 70% of XRP Liquidations as Price Now Eyeing First Monthly Gain of the Year

Recent XRP liquidation data shows short traders have taken most of the losses over the past 24 hours, as XRP’s price eyes its first monthly gain of the year.

Specifically, short liquidations make up 68.5% of the total, accounting for nearly 70% of the $5.33 million recorded in the last 24 hours. This suggests that many traders betting against XRP were forced out of their positions as the price recently rebounded.

Key Points

  • XRP short liquidations dominated the past 24 hours, accounting for 68.5% of total liquidations.
  • XRP futures trading volume has spiked above $4 billion, with Binance accounting for $1.3 billion.
  • The XRP price now sees a 7.51% gain this month, putting it on track for its largest monthly gain in 2026.
  • The asset has rebounded 11.8% from its April 5 low following a breakout above a multi-month symmetrical triangle.

Short XRP Liquidations Hit $5M Amid Volume Spike

XRP futures market data from Coinglass confirms the bullish trend despite a skew toward bearishness in the last 12 hours.

Specifically, in the 1-hour timeframe, total liquidations stood at $64,220, with longs contributing just $43.06, while shorts made up $64,170. Over 4 hours, liquidations reached $80,440, including $13,740 in longs and $66,690 in shorts.

XRP Liquidation Data Coinglass
XRP Liquidation Data | Coinglass

Meanwhile, in the 12-hour period, total liquidations rose to $2.04 million, with $1.23 million from longs and $805,980 from shorts. Over the full 24 hours, total liquidations hit $7.77 million, with $2.44 million from longs and a much larger $5.33 million from shorts.

Interestingly, further data indicates that XRP’s futures volume has spiked in the last 24 hours, reaching $4 billion. Binance dominates this volume with $1.30 billion, making it the main hub for XRP trades. 

Below Binance, MEXC records $701.79 million, followed by Bybit with $531.59 million. Coinbase reports $472.61 million, while Bitget comes in at $356.22 million.

XRP Futures Volume
XRP Futures Volume

XRP Eyes First Monthly Gain of the Year 

The recent activity spike comes amid XRP’s latest rebound effort. Notably, the price currently stands at $1.4391, showing a 2.4% gain over the past 24 hours and a 7.51% increase for the month. This puts XRP on track for its first monthly gain in 2026 and its second-largest monthly gain in 15 months.

If XRP closes April 2026 with gains, it will end a long losing streak that started in October 2025. From October 2025 to March 2026, the price dropped by 52%, marking six straight months of losses, something not seen since 2014. April began with the same downward trend but has now turned positive and may break the streak.

Also, the recovery push looks stronger when viewed from recent lows. XRP has risen 11.8% from its April 5 low of $1.279, showing that buyers have stepped in at lower levels.

What Next for XRP?

From a technical view, XRP recently broke above a symmetrical triangle pattern that had limited its price since it fell from the $2.41 high in January 2026.

XRP 1D Chart
XRP 1D Chart

Specifically, the breakout happened on April 13. From there, the price pulled back to test the top of the pattern, and the latest move up seems to come from holding that level as support.

Meanwhile, momentum indicators give mixed signals. The Directional Moving Index (DMI) supports the upward move, with the +DI at 24.85 staying above the -DI at 14.32, which shows buyers are still in control. However, the ADX sits at 11.69, indicating weak momentum.

At the same time, XRP trades slightly above the upper Bollinger Band at $1.4287, which has now turned into support. This level may help hold the price if it dips. Below that, the mid-band, which represents the 20-day simple moving average (SMA), sits at $1.35 and acts as the next key support level if selling pressure increases.

Monad Price Analysis: MON Triple Top Structure Concerns Amid 7% Drop

0

Monad has formed a triple top on lower timeframes, raising concerns of further short-term weakness. What is the possible target?

While other altcoins are showing signs of recovery, Monad (MON) is correcting. Over the past 24 hours, the coin has dropped over 7% to $0.0336 after failing at a crucial price level again.

Notably, this move began recently. While MON is down 7% in the past seven days, it has increased by 38% over the last 30 days and 46% since the start of the year.

Accompanying this price pullback is a drop in trading volume. In the past 24 hours, trading volume has declined by 3% as market participants prefer to stay on the sidelines and observe Monad’s price trend.

MON Price Analysis: Triple Top Formation

An analysis of the 4-hour chart calls for greater concern about Monad, as a triple top appears to have formed. A string of price developments in the past few days led to this structure, which, from a price standpoint, does not look too good for near-term trends.

Monad Triple Top/TradingView
Monad Triple Top/TradingView

The first top started forming on April 10, after a high of $0.0373. The coin consolidated around this area and then tried another breakout the next day. However, MON peaked at $0.0369, completing the first top formation.

After a wave of sideways price trends, MON attempted to break higher again. It peaked at $0.0374 on April 14, forming the second top. Prices were rejected around the same level, and Monad trended lower but tried again a few days later.

On April 16, it rallied again to an intraday high of $0.0375. The token met strong selling supply again and still couldn’t overcome it. From the high, Monad has dropped 10% to its current price level.

Triple tops suggest that an asset has not gained sufficient price momentum to forge ahead to higher prices. Repeated attempts to break above a resistance area have been met with strong rejection, and most of the time, the coin retests lower levels.

Key Moving Average Reinforces Bearish Outlook

The recent rejection and subsequent bearish trend have seen MON break below the 50-period moving average. The dynamic trendline sits at $0.0344, below the current price of $0.0336. More interestingly, this moving average has previously served as support for the coin during earlier rejections.

The pullback from the first and second top rejections found support around the 50 MA, but this time the coin has broken below it. Losing this dynamic support increases the risk of a drop to lower prices. The previous day also crossed with a shooting star candlestick, another bearish confirmation.

Meanwhile, the downward target is the 200 MA at $0.0268, representing a 20% correction from the current level. Breaking above the resistance around $0.0375 would invalidate this move and turn momentum bullish again.

Monad On-Chain Data

Derivative data shows caution among traders towards Monad. Open interest has dropped 8% in the past 24 hours to $140.77 million, and futures flow reinforces the loss in appetite among futures traders.

Outflows have outpaced inflows, showing that more futures contracts have been closed in the past 24 hours than opened. Futures volume has dropped nearly 20% to $116.5 million, reflecting the deleveraging.

Monad Trading Volume/Coinglass
Monad Trading Volume/Coinglass

Meanwhile, spot volume has increased slightly in the same timeframe to $42 million, with a taker sell of 53% suggesting that a majority of this volume is selling pressure.

Analyst Says XRP XLS-66 for Yield It’s Not “Easy Passive Income”

Market analyst Bodhi Karma is pushing back against a growing belief among XRP holders that the upcoming XLS-66 feature will offer simple, passive income. 

In a detailed breakdown, the analyst explains that while the system does create opportunities to earn yield, it works very differently from traditional “interest-paying” products.

Key Points

  • XLS-66 may offer yield for XRP holders, but it’s not simple passive income as many expect.
  • Users receive MPTs, not payouts, with profits only realized when redeeming their vault share.
  • Interest stays in the pool, boosting token value rather than sending regular wallet payments.
  • XRP holders need active strategies and risk management, as returns depend on lending performance.

No Automatic Interest Payments

According to the analyst, many users assume that depositing XRP into vaults will generate regular payouts directly into their wallets. However, that is not the case.

Instead of earning periodic interest, users receive Multi-Purpose Tokens (MPTs) when they deposit XRP into a Single Asset Vault. These tokens represent their share of the pooled XRP.

Any interest generated from lending activity stays inside the vault, increasing the overall value of the pool rather than being distributed as direct payments.

Profits are only realized when users redeem their MPTs. At that point, they receive their share of the XRP in the vault, including any accumulated gains.

Image by Bodhi Karma on X
Image by Bodhi Karma on X

How the Lending System Works

Notably, the XLS-66 model introduces a structured lending system within the XRP Ledger ecosystem. Deposited XRP is pooled and made available for lending through a LoanBroker, typically an institution or specialized operator.

Loans issued through the system are:

  • Fixed-term, usually between 30 and 180 days
  • Uncollateralized, meaning no on-chain collateral is posted
  • Approved using off-chain credit assessments

Borrowers repay both principal and interest, which is then added back into the vault. Over time, this increases the redemption value of the MPTs held by depositors.

To reduce risk, LoanBrokers provide a “first-loss buffer,” a capital reserve to absorb initial losses if borrowers default. Only when losses exceed this buffer would depositors begin to take a hit.

Institutional Players Dominate Borrowing

The system is not designed for everyday consumer loans. Instead, the main borrowers are expected to be institutions such as:

  • Market makers
  • Payment providers
  • Fintech firms
  • Exchanges
  • Large XRP holders managing liquidity

This institutional focus explains the short loan durations and reliance on traditional credit underwriting processes.

Multiple Vaults, Different Strategies

Another key feature of XLS-66 is the ability for different institutions to operate their own vaults. Each LoanBroker can specialize in different borrower types or risk levels.

Some vaults may be open to all XRP holders, while others could be restricted for regulatory reasons. As more participants enter the ecosystem, users may see a wide range of vault options with varying risk and return profiles.

This structure allows XRP holders to diversify by spreading funds across multiple vaults rather than relying on a single provider.

Active Strategy Required

Despite the appeal of earning yield, the analyst stresses that XLS-66 is not a “set it and forget it” system.

To manage risk and optimize returns, users may need to adopt strategies like staggered redemptions. One example shared involves splitting XRP across multiple vaults and periodically redeeming portions on a rotating schedule.

This “redeem-and-redeploy” approach allows users to:

  • Realize profits regularly
  • Monitor vault performance
  • Shift funds away from underperforming operators
  • Keep most capital continuously deployed

Over time, this can create a balance between earning yield and maintaining flexibility.

Risks Still Exist

While the structure introduces safeguards, risks remain. Because the loans are uncollateralized, significant borrower defaults could reduce returns or even impact deposited capital if losses exceed the first-loss buffer.

Liquidity is another factor, as access to funds depends on how much of the vault’s assets are currently lent out.

New Opportunity for XRP Holders

In summary, XLS-66 offers a more advanced way for XRP holders to put idle assets to work, but it requires a clear understanding of how the system operates.

Rather than automatic income, it introduces a model where returns build over time within pooled vaults and are only realized upon redemption.

With the proposal still under voting and not yet live, XRP holders have time to study the system and decide whether this more hands-on approach to earning yield fits their strategy.

Tokenized RWA Activity on XRP Explodes 875% as Total Value Approaches $2.5B

Tokenized RWA activity on XRP has recorded impressive growth amid a spike in transfer volume over the past month.

Over the past 30 days, real-world asset transfer volume on XRP has jumped by 875%, reaching $101.7 million. The recent surge confirms that activity on the network is growing in size and also in how network participants move and trade assets.

Key Points

  • RWA transfer volume on the XRP Ledger has surged 875% in 30 days to $101.7 million, confirming a spike in on-chain activity.
  • Distributed asset value has also risen to $447.55 million, with represented asset value hitting $1.60 billion.
  • Together, the total RWA value stands at $2.498 billion, having added $1.482 billion this year.
  • Stablecoin activity remains strong, with a market cap of $449.17 million and 30-day transfer volume climbing to $1.74 billion.
  • Justoken leads asset managers with $861.0 million, ahead of Ondo at $221.8 million and VERT Capital at $202.9 million.

RWA Transfer Volume Surge Shows Growing Network Utility

The increase in RWA transfer volume suggests that users are not only holding tokenized assets. Notably, these network participants have now begun actively moving and using real-world assets across the network. When transfer volume rises this quickly, it leads to better liquidity, possibly driven by large institutions. 

Meanwhile, other major figures support this upward trend. Specifically, distributed asset value now stands at $447.55 million, showing a 17.93% increase over the last 30 days, while represented asset value has reached $1.60 billion, up 7.37% within the same period.

Uniform Growth in RWA Activity on XRP
Uniform Growth in RWA Activity on XRP

In addition to this, the number of RWA holders has increased to 38 amid a 40.74% jump over 30 days, while the total number of RWAs has reached 291. For context, this shows that more participants are entering the market and that the range of tokenized assets may be expanding.

Further, stablecoin market value has risen to $449.17 million, up 13.14% over 30 days, mostly driven by RLUSD and Braza’s USDB. At the same time, stablecoin holders have grown to 57,190, as transfer volume hits $1.74 billion over 30 days.

Total XRP RWA Value Nears $2.5B

Overall, total RWA value on the XRP Ledger has now reached $2.498 billion, up from $1.016 billion at the start of the year. This means the network has added $1.482 billion in value in less than four months. For context, throughout 2025, this figure increased by $1 billion.

Total Tokenized RWA Value
Total Tokenized RWA Value

Among the largest assets, JMWH leads with $861 million, followed by RLUSD at $345.8 million and the Ondo Short-Term US Government Bond Fund with $221.8 million. Other major assets include VERT’s FIDC Byx at $108 million, Diamonds: AD Collection 1 at $105 million, and Braza USDB with $82.34 million.

Justoken Dominates RWA Activity on XRP

Meanwhile, RWA value breakdown by asset managers shows that a few major firms control a large share of the market. At the top, Justoken leads with $861.0 million due to its JMWH product. Ondo follows with $221.8 million, while VERT Capital holds $202.9 million, placing them as the next major contributors.

Breakdown by Managers
Breakdown by Managers

Other participants include the Bank of New York Mellon with $55.2 million, Guggenheim Treasury Services at $40.3 million, and Fisherman Capital with $21.0 million. This distribution shows that while several firms have tokenized products on XRP, a small group holds most of the value, with Justoken ahead.

Cardano Midnight Price Analysis: Moving Averages Flash Buy Signal as NIGHT Holds Crucial Support

0

Midnight could be eyeing further recovery higher, as it holds above both a crucial support level and lower-timeframe moving averages, but there is a catch.

At the time of writing, Midnight (NIGHT) trades at $0.0367, up 3% in the past 24 hours. However, this figure does not fully capture how poorly the Cardano-native token has trended.

In the past seven, for instance, NIGHT has dropped nearly 10%, despite a broader market recovery in the past week. This has extended its 30-day decline to 25%, with year-to-date performance at -59%. However, there could be a glimmer of hope for the privacy-niched token.

Midnight Price Analysis

On the 1-hour chart, NIGHT has held nicely above the 50-period simple moving average. It reclaimed this decisive indicator yesterday, reaching an intra-day high of $0.0372. Notably, this price level aligned with the 100-period MA, which proved too strong to flip, forcing a pullback.

Midnight (NIGHT) Chart Analysis
Midnight (NIGHT) Chart Analysis

On Friday, NIGHT retested the 50 MA support and has held it at press time. Doing so keeps the prospects of a recovery alive.

Currently, the 50 and 100 MAs are closely tied at $0.03603 and $0.03671, keeping the token compressed between supply and demand. Breaking above the latter clears the path for higher prices, with the next area of interest being the 200-period moving average at $0.3848.

Technical Analysis

TradingView’s technicals on the Midnight 1-hour timeframe have a neutral summary. While buy signals total 9, several other indicators remain indecisive, bringing the neutral signal to 9 as well.

NIGHT Technical Analysis/TradingView
NIGHT Technical Analysis/TradingView

Moving averages are where a majority of the buy signals are coming from. This comes as NIGHT has broken above key MAs, including the 20, 30, and 50 simple and exponential moving averages. This is a positive sign for NIGHT, as these indicators provide momentum for further bullish developments.

However, the oscillators provided 8 neutral signals, diluting the bullish outlook from MAs. RSI remains neutral at 52.6, and the Stochastic RSI Fast oscillator also trades around the neutral threshold at 36.6. Six other oscillators are neutral, with the Bull Bear Power the only indicator with a buy signal. 

Taken together, the technical analysis suggests that the next directional move for NIGHT remains unclear, with neither bulls nor bears showing total market dominance. However, the growing number of buy signals is a good sign for NIGHT.

Midnight Market Participation Remains Low

For context, trading volume has dropped sharply from levels seen in its early days, indicating a slowdown in market interest. In the past 24 hours, volume has increased by only 3% to $25.91 million, closely tracking the price.

Derivative interest also slows disinterest. Open interest has dropped 3.7% in the past 24 hours to $42.88 million, continuing its steady decline since the high of $57.65 million on April 1. Futures flow also shows that traders are closing more derivative contracts than they are opening, with inflows of $8.52 million and outflows of $9.18 million.

Midnight Open Interest/Coinglass
Midnight Open Interest/Coinglass

Exchange spot inflows have also increased, adding to the skepticism around Midnight. Until this changes, the token might struggle to sustain a trend higher.

Why XRP Value Is Rising Despite Weak Price Action: XRPL Validator Explains

XRP recent price weakness may be masking a notable development within the ecosystem.

Vet, a widely followed XRPL validator, shared this perspective during a recent podcast appearance with Krippenreiter.

While XRP’s price momentum has failed to impress, underlying network activity and development suggest that its fundamental value is quietly strengthening.

Key Points

  • XRP price lags as macro forces dominate, but the underlying network value continues to strengthen steadily.
  • XRPL upgrades like telemetry and logging improve scalability, resilience, and developer efficiency.
  • Ripple expands treasury tools, enabling firms to manage cash and interact with digital assets seamlessly.
  • On-chain data shows stronger fundamentals, with lower NVT and rising institutional participation.

Price Driven by Macro, Not Ecosystem Progress

Addressing the disconnect, Vet explained that XRP’s price action is largely influenced by macroeconomic conditions rather than developments within the XRP ecosystem itself.

He noted that price movements remain outside the control of builders and contributors as external market forces continue to dictate short-term trends across crypto markets. In contrast, what the community can control is the steady improvement of the network’s utility and infrastructure.

According to him, this creates a divergence where price may lag even as the overall value of the network increases.

“Cleaning the House” During a Quiet Market Phase

Meanwhile, Vet emphasized that the current slower market environment is being used productively to strengthen the XRPL’s core foundation.

He pointed to ongoing backend upgrades such as improved telemetry, standardized logging, and better documentation. These changes may not be immediately visible to users, but are critical for long-term scalability and developer efficiency.

The improvements aim to make the network safer, easier to build on, and more resilient, especially during periods of high transaction demand.

Ripple Expands Institutional Utility

On the institutional front, Ripple is advancing new product developments around XRP.

Host Krippenreiter highlighted the expansion of Ripple’s treasury solution, which now integrates native digital asset capabilities. The product, designed for corporate treasury teams and CFOs, allows businesses not only to manage cash positions but also to interact directly with digital assets within the same framework.

This marks a notable step in bridging traditional finance operations with blockchain-based systems.

On-Chain Data Signals Growing Strength

Beyond development activity, on-chain metrics are reinforcing the narrative of rising value beneath stagnant price action.

A recent analysis points to a sharp decline in XRP’s Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio from over 1,200 during its 2025 highs to around 170 currently. This suggests that XRP’s valuation is now more closely aligned with actual network usage rather than speculative demand.

At the same time, falling exchange reserves and over $1.2 billion in spot ETF inflows indicate tightening supply and growing institutional participation.

Bearish Sentiment May Signal a Turning Point

Despite these positive indicators, XRP remains under pressure, down significantly from its previous highs and facing widespread bearish sentiment.

However, such conditions have historically preceded reversals. Market data shows sentiment at multi-year lows, while metrics like MVRV suggest many holders are currently at a loss.

With price action appearing “boring” to many retail investors, the underlying data tells a different story. The combination of improving infrastructure, stronger on-chain fundamentals, and increasing institutional interest points to a market that may be quietly tightening.

As Vet suggested, whether the price eventually catches up to this growing value remains uncertain, but the groundwork for a potential shift appears to be taking shape.

Murad Highlights XRP Community as Blueprint for Parabolic Growth

0

Prominent memecoin analyst Murad Mahmudov has identified Cardano and XRP communities as the gold standard for brand power and parabolic growth. 

He recently argued that explosive crypto growth stems not only from fundamentals and technology but also from deeply committed communities, such as those behind XRP and Cardano.

Key Points

  • Murad Mahmudov identifies the Cardano and XRP communities as benchmarks for brand power and significant growth in crypto.
  • He characterizes these communities as highly passionate, stubborn, obsessed, and relentless in defending and promoting their ecosystems.
  • Mahmudov urges investors to actively watch for the emergence of the next XRP Army or Cardano Army when evaluating opportunities.
  • He further argues that SPX6900 is following a similar community-driven growth model, positioning it as a potential breakout phenomenon.

How XRP and Cardano Armies Drive Parabolic Rallies: Mahmudov

In an X post, Mahmudov urged investors to focus on narrative strength when evaluating opportunities. Rather than relying solely on innovation, he emphasized collective belief as a powerful market force. Specifically, he advised investors to watch for the emergence of the next XRP Army or Cardano Army.

He described these communities as passionate, obsessed, stubborn, and relentless. Although outsiders may view such traits as irrational, Mahmudov maintained that they are essential ingredients for parabolic rallies.

XRP and Cardano Supporters

Given their solid technologies and real-world use cases, XRP and Cardano have built powerful identities that supporters actively defend and promote.

XRP advocates consistently position the token as a solution for global payments. While some financial institutions already utilize it, supporters expect broader adoption over time.

Similarly, Cardano proponents promote ADA as a more secure and sustainable alternative to earlier blockchains like Ethereum and Bitcoin. They also highlight the network’s resilience, governance, and organized development approach.

As a result, these highly engaged communities continue to counter negative sentiment and FUD while attracting new participants. For instance, during the SEC lawsuit against Ripple, XRP supporters organized and contributed to efforts that helped secure the company’s partial legal victory.

Next Big Phenomenon in Crypto Market

Against this backdrop, Mahmudov argued that SPX6900 follows a similar blueprint. He positioned it as the next major phenomenon, suggesting it could even evolve beyond the models established by XRP and Cardano.

Notably, SPX6900 launched in September 2024 as an Ethereum-based meme coin to satirize traditional financial markets, with a narrative centered on “flipping the S&P 500.”

Unlike XRP and Cardano, which often rallied alongside upgrades or bull cycles, SPX6900’s growth has largely been driven by social media hype.

This was particularly evident in July 2025, when the token surged to an all-time high of $2.28. At press time, it is down 85% from its ATH, trading at $0.3427.