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Analyst Issues Warning to XRP Holders, Says Majority Will Lose as Only a Few Cash Out Big

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A popular crypto analyst has issued a stark warning to XRP community members amid anticipation for a potential price rally. 

According to Jaydee, XRP could be gearing up for what he called a “historical pump and dump” cycle. This indicates that he expects XRP to experience a massive price surge followed by a sharp crash, similar to what happened in past XRP cycles. 

XRP Historical Pump and Dump 

Based on the accompanying chart, XRP’s last major cycle, specifically in 2017, illustrates the scale of volatility the token has previously endured. In 2017, XRP traded near $0.006 before exploding to $3.84 in early January 2018, according to Jaydee. 

During that period, some influencers projected eye-catching targets of up to $589. Instead of a continued surge, the token collapsed by 95%, wiping out many retail traders—those Jaydee labels as “dumb money.”

In his latest update, Jaydee argues that XRP is now positioning for another major rally, with potential upside to $21, representing a 982% spike from the current price of $1.94. However, he warns that the peak could coincide with aggressive social media promotion, as influencers amplify bullish narratives while preparing to exit their positions.

At that stage, he predicts, XRP could once again face a severe correction, triggered by early investors offloading their holdings and leaving latecomers exposed to a steep downturn. 

Many Will Lose and Only a Few Will Retire 

Consequently, the technical analyst stressed that many investors will not be prepared for XRP’s historical pump-and-dump, which involves a massive price spike followed by an equally massive decline. 

He expects the same pattern observed in the 2017 market cycle to repeat, where ‘smart money’ sells at the top, while new retail traders are used as exit liquidity.  

Jaydee anticipates a sharp rally driven by hype, followed by a severe correction targeting what he calls his “bear pink box” region—zones on the chart where he expects price to retrace 95% from the top. 

Therefore, he emphasized that many investors will lose money, as these individuals would buy high and hold XRP through the drop. In contrast, he still expects a small group of investors who time the market perfectly to make life-changing gains and eventually retire their whole family. 

Expert Projects Different Outcome 

Meanwhile, some crypto analysts dispute Jaydee’s prediction of another historical pump-and-dump cycle. Trader Moon Jay, in particular, argued that XRP’s market dynamics could shift as institutional adoption grows and the asset’s role in global payments expands.

He noted that while large investors were responsible for the severe sell-offs seen in past cycles, the institutions now acquiring XRP for payment utility or treasury reserve purposes are unlikely to unload their holdings in the same way. According to him, these utility-driven players won’t replicate the whale-driven dumps that fueled previous market collapses. 

If You Hold 1,000 XRP, Here’s Its Value if Major Banks Worldwide Used XRP for Cross-Border Transfers

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As discussions continue about XRP real-world usefulness in global payments, many investors wonder how its utility could impact the asset’s price.

Most XRP holders are retail investors holding 1,000 coins or fewer, hoping XRP will eventually lead them to meaningful wealth. Naturally, they speculate on how high XRP’s price could climb if major financial institutions adopt it for international transfers.

XRP Utility in International Payments

Ripple has been expanding its presence in global payments through Ripple Payments. This service uses XRP as a bridge asset to move money across borders faster and more cheaply than traditional systems.

This year, Ripple invested over $2.5 billion in acquisitions, including Hidden Road (Ripple Prime), GTreasury, and Rails, to strengthen its payments ecosystem.

To assess what this growth could mean for XRP’s value, The Crypto Basic asked OpenAI’s ChatGPT to estimate XRP’s potential price under a best-case scenario in which major banks adopt it for cross-border transfers.

1,000 XRP Value Under Full Global Bank Adoption

ChatGPT produced several highly optimistic valuation scenarios, each based on different economic models.

1. Market Capture Model: XRP at $83

In one of the most bullish projections, it assumed XRP to handle 10% of the $150 trillion processed through SWIFT annually. Under this scenario, the ecosystem would require roughly $5 trillion worth of XRP to operate.

Given today’s circulating supply of 60 billion tokens, that would price XRP at approximately $83.33.

A holder of 1,000 XRP would see their portfolio rise to $83,300. With XRP trading at $1.92 today, this represents an upside of 4,283%.

Notably, 252,365 XRP wallets hold between 500 and 1,000 tokens, while 593,297 addresses hold between 1,000 and 5,000 tokens, according to Rich List data.

2. Total Cross-Border Payments Model: XRP at $33

Another model considered the entire international payments market, including remittances, corporate transfers, and consumer transactions, valued at an estimated $200 trillion annually.

If XRP facilitated just 5% of those flows, the system would require around $2 trillion in active XRP. Under these assumptions, each token would be worth about $33.33.

At that price, a 1,000-XRP wallet (worth only $1,920 today) would grow to $33,330, representing an upside of 1,635%.

3. Liquidity/Reserve Model: XRP at $8

ChatGPT also explored a more conservative scenario based on bank liquidity needs rather than transaction volume.

In this case, 1,000 of the world’s leading banks each hold $500 million in XRP as part of their liquidity reserves, for a total of $500 billion. Divided across the circulating supply, this produces a price of roughly $8.33 per XRP.

Under this model, 1,000 XRP would rise in value to $8,330, a gain of 333.85%.

What Ultimately Drives These Valuations?

According to ChatGPT, XRP’s velocity, which is how frequently the same tokens are reused, plays a central role in determining price.

  • Higher velocity means less XRP must be locked in liquidity pools at any moment, reducing price pressure.
  • Lower velocity means more XRP must be in reserve, increasing price pressure.

Ultimately, if XRP evolved into a core asset for global settlements, its price could fall somewhere in the $8 to $80+ range, depending on the level of adoption and system velocity. While the projections are promising, there is no absolute guarantee that these outcomes will materialize.

Top Company Asks XRP Army to Get Ready, Here’s What is Coming

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A prominent U.S.-based asset manager has sparked excitement across the XRP community with a cryptic message hinting that something major tied to the token is on the horizon.

In its teaser, 21Shares urged the “XRP Army,” the token’s passionate global community, to “get ready,” punctuating the post with a salute emoji. The brief message has fueled speculation that the firm is preparing to unveil a significant XRP-related product or announcement. 

21Shares XRP ETF 

Although 21Shares did not disclose specifics, the new teaser likely signals the imminent launch of its long-awaited spot XRP ETF. The firm has been working to bring the product to the U.S. market, but progress was slowed by the extended U.S. government shutdown, which pushed back approval timelines. 

In response, 21Shares updated its S-1 application on November 7 in an effort to allow the ETF to become auto-effective. Following the revised filing, analysts projected that 21Shares could debut its spot XRP ETF as early as November 27. 

However, analysts such as Zach Rector noted that 21Shares’ November 7 amendment did not remove the “delay language” that would have cleared the path for a late-November debut. Even so, other experts argued that the filing appeared solid and maintained that the 21Shares XRP ETF was still on track to launch next week. 

Updated Filing 

On November 20, 2025, 21Shares submitted an additional update to its XRP ETF filing, confirming that the product will list on the Cboe BZX Exchange under the ticker TOXR. The fund will carry a 0.50% management fee, and 21Shares plans to purchase initial seed creation baskets totaling 20,000 shares at $25 each, for an initial capital of $500,000.

If launched, it would enter a growing market for spot XRP ETFs. Canary Capital and Bitwise already have separate funds trading in the United States, with their cumulative net inflows totaling $422 million. 

Moreover, Franklin Templeton and Grayscale Investments are preparing to launch their spot XRP ETFs, with Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart suggesting they could launch on November 24, 2025. 

Here’s Why $0.00005 Is a Stronger Target for Shiba Inu Than $0.0001

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While $0.0001 remains a long-term aspiration for many Shiba Inu holders, market realities suggest that $0.00005 is a more realistic milestone for the foreseeable future. 

Despite Shiba Inu’s lackluster performance, the token has continued to inspire ambitious price predictions, such as $0.00005 and $0.0001. 

Experts, including Alex Clay and Dollar Maker, are among the proponents of the $0.00005 prediction. These experts believe the post-election rally seen in late 2024 and early 2025 could provide the momentum needed for SHIB to reach $0.00005. 

However, those advocating for Shiba Inu’s climb to $0.0001 include Eunice Wong, Oscar Ramos, and Buncchieng. They suggested that SHIB could clinch the $0.0001 target by year-end. 

Why $0.00005 Is a Stronger Target Than $0.0001 

While $0.0001 remains a popular dream target within the Shiba Inu community, market data and tokenomics suggest that $0.00005 is a far more realistic and structurally supported milestone in the near to mid-term. 

For context, Shiba Inu has previously traded in the $0.00005 range, while $0.0001 remains unprecedented and would represent a new all-time high if SHIB ever reaches that level. Here are the factors that position $0.00005 as a stronger target compared to the $0.0001 mark. 

Market Cap Requirements Favor $0.00005 Over $0.0001 

Reaching the $0.0001 target would require the market cap of Shiba Inu to expand dramatically, pushing it to levels that exceed the combined valuation of several meme-based tokens. 

Notably, if Shiba Inu hits $0.0001, its valuation would rise to $58.92 billion, due to the asset’s enormous supply of 589.24 trillion. Conversely, Shiba Inu only requires roughly half that valuation to hit $0.00005, which seems realistic. 

Token Supply Constraints Make $0.0001 Harder to Achieve 

Despite ongoing burn efforts within the community, SHIB still carries an enormous circulating supply of 589.24 trillion tokens. 

Even with the aggressive burn scenarios seen in recent years, the asset has struggled to achieve the level of scarcity needed to push its price toward $0.0001. However, hitting $0.00005 aligns much better with the current burn rates, which have seen 19.45 million tokens erased from the supply over the past 24 hours. 

Growth Requirements 

From the current price of $0.00000898, Shiba Inu would require a far more moderate growth to reach $0.00005 than $0.0001. Specifically, a rally of about 456% would be enough to propel SHIB to $0.00005, while hitting $0.0001 would demand a much steeper 1,013% surge—more than double the upside needed for the lower target.

Ecosystem Growth Supports Gradual, Not Explosive Gains 

Although the Shiba Inu ecosystem has rolled out several initiatives, such as Shibarium and ShibaSwap, to enhance real-world utility, the adoption of these projects has had only a negligible impact on SHIB’s price. This limited growth makes $0.00005 a more realistic initial target before attempting to reach higher milestones, such as $0.0001. 

The factors mentioned above suggest that market realities position $0.00005 level as a stronger target for SHIB compared to $0.0001 level. 

Here’s XRP Price if XRP Follows Bitcoin Price Trajectory After Spot ETF Debut

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With investors anticipating spot XRP ETFs to mirror the success of the Bitcoin ETFs, how high could XRP go if the price also followed the same trajectory?

The XRP community recently witnessed the launch of the first spot XRP ETF, the Canary Capital XRP ETF (XRPC). After a successful debut, which saw the ETF record about $245 million worth of inflows, the product has maintained a positive showing for two more days, now holding $277.82 million worth of XRP.

Interestingly, XRP community members found that the Canary Capital XRP ETF performed better than BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which saw $111.6 million on its debut. However, XRPC has since fallen short of the subsequent performances observed by IBIT.

Despite this, several market pundits have explored the possibility of XRP ETFs witnessing a similar level of success that Bitcoin ETFs recorded. While they may not equal the Bitcoin ETF inflows, they could attract enough capital to the market to impact the XRP price in the same fashion Bitcoin ETFs did for the BTC price.

Notably, Bitcoin ETFs saw a cumulative total net inflow of $36.2 billion as of Jan. 11, 2025, a year after they launched. XRP proponents have conceded that XRP may not see such a high level of inflows. However, if the capital influx is substantial enough, XRP, being a smaller asset, may not need that much inflow to push higher.

XRP Price if XRP Follows BTC Trajectory

Amid these prospects, we recently assessed how much XRP could rise if its price followed Bitcoin’s trajectory a year after the ETFs’ debut. For context, when the Bitcoin ETFs began trading on Jan. 11, 2024, the BTC price stood at $46,678. A year later, by Jan. 11, 2025, the price had soared to $94,975, representing a 103% increase within this period.

If XRP price followed a similar trajectory, it could rise to a new all-time high, albeit modest by some analysts’ standards. Specifically, when XRPC began trading on Nov. 13, 2025, the XRP price stood at $2.386. If XRP replicated a similar 103% rise as Bitcoin, its price would reach $4.83 in November 2026.

While this represents an increase from the current position, the bullish consensus within the community expects much higher targets. For instance, in June, market analyst EGRAG revealed how the XRP price could push to prices ranging from $6.5 to $27.

Most recently, EGRAG also presented four XRPBTC simulation models around the different paths the pair could take. Combined, these models place the XRP price at an average of $11. The market analyst also said in July that XRP was eyeing a possible run to $11, but suggested that $27 may not be off the table.

Cross-Chain Freedom: How Exolix Powers Private Liquidity Across 200+ Blockchains

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November 2025, Exolix, the well-known leader in non-custodial digital asset conversion, announced its next generation in privacy-oriented exchange infrastructure, introducing the enhanced framework for anonymous, registration-free, and decentralized cryptocurrency swaps. It will be available at Exolix, the platform is thus an important step forward in the development of user autonomy, accessibility, and privacy protection within the global crypto-world.

While the regulatory environment hardens and centralized exchanges introduce more restrictions, Exolix continues to occupy one of the most strategically important spaces in the market-a secure, non-custodial, and fully private exchange aggregator. It allows users to convert assets directly from their wallets without KYC, without data collection, and without the risks associated with custodial holdings. Built on three principles-speed, security, and self-sovereignty-the platform relies on continuous technological innovation.

Traders, long-term investors, and ecosystem partners can perform real-time swaps across thousands of digital assets while staying in full control of their funds. With Exolix’s partner integrations and advanced routing system, the process remains totally transparent, instant, and completely private.

A Privacy-First Philosophy for the Modern Digital Economy

Exolix, in its very form and function, was built to solve one of the most major ills of the crypto world: the erosion of user privacy through forced registration and custodial dependence. Traditional exchanges often require personal data, centralized account creation, and deposit custody, creating significant exposure to hacking, misuse, and tracking. Exolix reimagines this process entirely by enabling direct wallet-to-wallet swaps, executed in real time, with zero data retention.

This model protects users from:

  • Data harvesting by centralized trading platforms.
  • Custodial counterparty risk from third-party wallets.
  • Restrictions in jurisdictions or access blocking based on location.
  • Security vulnerabilities related to centralized fund storage.

By keeping users’ funds and private keys completely outside the custody of the platform, Exolix effectively removes one of the most common attack vectors in digital asset trading. Its encrypted routing mechanism ensures each transaction flows through trusted liquidity sources in security, while none of the identities or behavioral data are stored.

This privacy-first approach deeply resonated with users looking for:

  • Instant, on-demand liquidity without registration.
  • Fast cross-chain access between leading and emerging blockchains.
  • Tools for digital self-sovereignty and independence.
  • A counterbalance to overregulation and exchange gatekeeping.

Unparalleled Asset Coverage: 2,000+ Cryptocurrencies on 200+ Blockchains

The key strength of Exolix lies in the breadth of supported assets. Currently, the platform enables conversions across:

  • Over 2,000 cryptocurrencies
  • 200+ blockchains
  • Cross-chain operations including wrapped and bridged tokens
  • Privacy coins, stablecoins, meme tokens, and utility assets

Major supported ecosystems will include Bitcoin, Ethereum, Polygon, BNB Chain, Tron, Solana, Avalanche, Cardano, Arbitrum, Optimism, Cosmos, and Polkadot, among others. This depth ensures users are able to perform even the most specific swaps-from large-cap assets to newly launched tokens-without relying on illiquid or centralized markets.

Unlike traditional exchanges, Exolix doesn’t require listings of market pairs. Instead, its smart routing engine simultaneously scans multiple decentralized and centralized liquidity pools to locate the most efficient path between selected assets. This technology optimizes each transaction for price, execution speed, and network efficiency, ensuring maximum value without manual configuration.

Full Flexibility: Fixed versus Floating Exchange Models

Exolix offers two different exchange modes that fit every trading profile: fixed and floating rates, for precise control over one’s transactions.

Fixed Rate Mode

With the fixed-rate option, exchange value is locked at the point of creating the transaction, so that market fluctuations during confirmation don’t impact users seeking stability.

  • Guarantees the quoted rate regardless of volatility.
  • Ideal for high-value transfers and institutional use.
  • Ensures predictable outcomes and precision during unstable markets.

Floating Rate Mode

The floating-rate model grants exposure to real-time market conditions and provides the best price available at execution.

  • It utilizes favorable movements in prices.
  • Automatically adjusts to the latest exchange data.
  • Preferred for active traders who optimize for performance.

These choices, taken together, represent a hybrid flexibility that caters to conservative investors and agile traders alike: the ability to transact in private without sacrificing transparency or control.

Non-Custodial Architecture and Industry-Leading Security

Exolix treats every transaction in a very non-custodial way:

  • User funds never enter centralized wallets.
  • Each swap uses a one-time deposit address.
  • Private keys always remain under the user’s control.

The platform uses end-to-end SSL encryption, real-time monitoring of transactions, and multi-layer DDoS protection to ensure always-on performance. With the complete avoidance of account-based systems, Exolix eliminates data storage requirements in turn-reducing breach, phishing, and third-party intrusion risks by several factors.

Independent audits, redundant server infrastructure, and automated system health checks ensure consistent performance during surges in global traffic. This architecture allows Exolix to achieve simplicity and institutional-grade security at the same time, making it one of the safest gateways for anonymous crypto conversion.

Transparent Flow: How Private Swaps Work

The Exolix exchange process is intentionally simple and intuitive, built for everyday users while retaining professional-grade backend efficiency.

  1. Select the currencies to exchange and the target asset to receive.
  2. Enter the wallet address of your destination. No registration or account is required.
  3. Send your deposit to a unique address generated for that particular transaction.
  4. Automated routing and execution: Exolix’s algorithm scans the available liquidity sources to find the best route of exchange.
  5. Receive your crypto in your wallet within 5-10 minutes, depending on network congestion.

It follows, then, that throughout this process, ownership never leaves the user’s hands. No centralized intermediaries hold or manage funds, this again ensures both operational transparency and complete personal control.

A Growing Partner Ecosystem

The expansion of Exolix is built on a foundation of partnerships. API and widget integrations make the service an infrastructure provider trusted by a wide range of Web3 applications:

  • Multi-asset wallets and cold storage devices.
  • Portfolio tracking and portfolio management tools.
  • NFT marketplaces and decentralized trading assistants.
  • Web3 browsers, mobile finance apps, and payment gateways.

Recent integrations include Zelcore Wallet, Klever Wallet, and eSignus Cold Wallet, each of them allowing users to swap assets inside their native environments without leaving the interface.

The Exolix API is optimized for:

  • Fast and secure integration into third-party applications.
  • Self-executing transactions without exposing any user data.
  • High throughput and real-time routing adjustments.
  • Multi-chain scalability for future expansion.

The partnership now allows wallets and platforms to offer frictionless, anonymous swap functionality that improves user retention, access to liquidity, and ultimately, user trust in the broader crypto ecosystem.

Private Exchanges: An Emerging Global Utility

Beyond its core service, Exolix plays the role of a global liquidity utility for millions of users who need:

  • Immediate conversion, no intermediaries.
  • Cross-chain movement without bridges and centralized exchanges.
  • Access to privacy-first financial tools.
  • Borderless approach to the management of digital portfolios.

This infrastructure supports a wide variety of use cases:

  • Retail investors who prize swiftness and autonomy.
  • Mining operations that exchange block rewards.
  • NFT creators transfer funds across chains.
  • DAOs and DeFi treasuries managing diversified assets.
  • Privacy advocates who seek self-custody and anonymity.

By combining flexibility, inclusivity, and resiliency, Exolix becomes an indispensable part of a decentralized financial ecosystem that is in sync with the global shift toward personal data ownership and financial sovereignty.

Innovation Without Bounds

Exolix’s commitment to innovation goes much further than traditional swap mechanics: the next phase of development is deep integrations with cross-chain bridges, DEX aggregators, and liquidity protocols, whereby users can exchange assets across independent ecosystems in one unified transaction flow.

Upcoming features include:

  • Smart-routing algorithms which automatically determine the most efficient paths across both CEX and DEX liquidity pools.
  • Dynamic fee optimization: The user will always pay the lowest cost available.
  • Real-time transparency dashboards displaying every stage of execution.
  • Cross-ecosystem swaps, connecting major blockchains such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Layer 2s.

This evolution will position Exolix as a privacy-centric liquidity engine, the foundational layer that connects wallets, protocols, and dApps via a unified, non-custodial infrastructure. This will power the needs of retail traders, institutional partners, and Fintech developers alike, while never compromising on absolute privacy standards.

Future Vision: Privacy – Core Financial Infrastructure

As blockchain adoption grows, privacy is changing from a personal preference into an economic necessity. Exolix believes in a world of decentralized finance where anonymous exchanges are not a niche service but permanent structural parts of the crypto economy.

In this vision, private swap engines coexist with regulated layers: a setup enabling lawful, compliant, and confidential transactions in concert. Exolix continues to work on multi-asset wallet integrations, hardware compatibility, and DeFi partnerships that make sure institutional and retail participants can access secure, untraceable liquidity at any moment in time.

This model not only protects users but also contributes to a healthier decentralized market where people can transact freely, in an unmonitored and censorship-resistant way, while still benefiting from transparent on-chain execution.

Leadership Insight

“The long-term success of crypto relies upon user sovereignty and technological transparency,” said a spokesperson at Exolix. Centralized exchanges will continue to play an important role, but they must not be the only avenue. People deserve a private, permissionless alternative-a system that lets them move assets securely, without accounts, restrictions, or risk of data exposure. Exolix is building that foundation and will keep working toward anonymous access to borderless liquidity.” 

The company emphasizes that private exchange mechanisms are not anti-regulatory but pro-choice – they preserve essential freedoms within a rapidly standardizing industry. Exolix believes this is a dual model of compliance readiness with privacy architecture that will define the next stage of global financial innovation.

Redefining Trust in Digital Asset Freedom

Exolix is a symbol of digital independence created in an environment dominated by surveillance, regulation, and custodial dependency. Its technology proves that privacy and transparency can coexist, offering verifiable trustless exchange without compromising user autonomy. Through its cutting-edge aggregation engine, Exolix continuously sources liquidity from multiple CEX and DEX venues, optimizing price execution across more than 2,000 assets.

This leads to institutional-grade precision, made accessible to the everyday user. But beyond efficiency, Exolix’s mission is deeply philosophical-it represents a return to the founding ethos of blockchain: decentralization, self-custody, and equality of access. Every swap executed through Exolix reinforces this principle-that financial freedom is not a privilege but a fundamental right. With each innovation, partnership, and integration of protocols, Exolix continues to shape the decentralized economy of tomorrow: private, fast, and entirely in the user’s control.

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EasyA Founder Raises Key Question as Satoshi-Era Bitcoin Whale Liquidates Entire 11K BTC Holdings

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Dom Kwok, founder of the Web3 education platform EasyA, has expressed curiosity regarding a Satoshi-era Bitcoin investor who has liquidated his entire BTC holdings. 

Investors have remained cautious as Bitcoin extends its downtrend. Amid the persistent decline, many holders have resorted to panic selling in an effort to limit their losses.

Satoshi-Era Bitcoin Whale Finalizes 11K Bitcoin Sale

Blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence revealed that Owen Gunden, an early Bitcoin holder who has been holding BTC since 2011, has fully liquidated his entire Bitcoin position.

According to the report, Gunden began liquidating his Bitcoin holdings last month and completed the final phase of the sell-off yesterday. In his final sale, the Bitcoin OG transferred approximately 2,500 BTC, worth around $230 million at the time, to the Kraken exchange.

Sending assets to exchanges typically signals an intention to sell. In this final sale, Arkham Intelligence noted that Gunden has offloaded roughly 11,000 BTC since October at around $1.3 billion.

“What Does He Know?”

The development has attracted widespread attention across the crypto community. Kwok echoed the thoughts of many observers: “What does he know?”

The comment highlights the curiosity surrounding why a long-term Bitcoin holder would suddenly liquidate his entire position after more than a decade of holding.

Meanwhile, several X users speculated about potential motives, including the possibility that Gunden may have insight into upcoming market conditions, such as a major downturn. The sale coincided with heightened market volatility, as Bitcoin’s price fell below $81,000 today for the first time since April 2025.

CoinMarketCap data shows Bitcoin fell to $80,659 earlier today, prompting the liquidation of more than $2 billion in leveraged crypto positions. Bitcoin has rebounded ever since, currently changing hands above $84,000. Despite the recovery, the premier cryptocurrency has slumped by 8.22% over the past day and 22.23% in the past week.

While Gunden’s sale has sparked concern, reports indicate other major investors have been aggressively accumulating Bitcoin. Just yesterday, a previously inactive address reemerged after two months, withdrawing over 500 BTC from Binance.

Here is Key Fibonacci Level for Shiba Inu Price to Hold for a Reversal

Shiba Inu continues its bearish trend with heavy long liquidations, but key support at the 1.618 Fibonacci level could signal a potential reversal.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has faced notable fluctuations in the past 24 hours, seeing a decrease of 9.8%, as it currently trades for $0.00000786. Over the past week, SHIB has experienced a decline of 13.7%, and in the last 14 days, it has dropped by 13.2%. The coin’s performance continues to show a bearish trend, with a 30-day decline of 20.7%.

Meanwhile, SHIB’s price range in the last 24 hours has been between $0.00000761 and $0.00000880, reflecting the current volatility in the market. Investors and traders continue to monitor SHIB’s movements closely, questioning if it can hold on to support reverse.

Shiba Inu Price Analysis

Notably, the weekly Shiba Inu chart shows the current price action as the asset struggles with significant downward movement. The key support level rests at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, currently around 0.0000064.

This level is crucial for the price to hold for reversal, as further downside could push the price lower, potentially reaching the next support zone near the 0.00000048 region.

Screenshot
Shiba Inu

On the upside, the next major resistance lies at the 1 Fibonacci level, around $0.0000106. A breakout above this resistance would suggest a possible rally toward higher levels, but the price would need to overcome the resistance zone first.

Stochastic RSI on the chart indicates an oversold condition, suggesting a potential bounce if the price reaches key support levels. However, unless there is a strong reversal from this support, the price may continue its downtrend.

SHIB Liquidation Data

Meanwhile, the liquidation data for SHIB shows significant bearish pressure, with long positions facing heavy liquidations across multiple time frames. Over the past 12 hours, long liquidations have totaled over $265.54K, suggesting widespread selling as traders react to downward price movement. This reinforces the sentiment of caution among traders, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend.

Screenshot 2

On the other hand, short liquidations remain relatively small, with only $9K and $11K in the 12-hour and 24-hour periods, respectively. This shows that shorts are not under significant pressure, suggesting a more cautious approach from bearish traders. Overall, the heavy liquidation of long positions points to a dominant bearish trend in the market.

Strategy, Bitmine, and Forward Industries Suffer Heavy Losses Amid Bitcoin Bloodbath

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Bitcoin dropping to the $80,000 mark today has erased a large share of unrealized gains for major corporate holders. 

New data shows that several leading Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana treasury firms are now facing steep paper losses amid the broader crypto market’s retreat.

Strategy Sees Sharp Decline in Portfolio Value

Data from SaylorTracker shows that Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings have fallen to $54.53 billion. Specifically, the company’s 649,870 BTC now accounts for just $6.15 billion in unrealized gains, slipping below the $10 billion threshold for the first time in months.

Additionally, the firm’s overall yield has slipped to 27.91%, and its mNAV stands at 1.04. Strategy’s average Bitcoin purchase price is $74,433, while the current market level sits roughly $10,000 higher.

Strategy Bitcoin Holdings Stats
Strategy Bitcoin Holdings Stats

Ethereum and Solana Treasury Holders Hit Hard

However, the downturn has not been limited to Bitcoin. Treasury firms with large Ethereum and Solana positions have also incurred heavy losses as both assets have fallen sharply.

According to Lookonchain, Bitmine holds 3,559,879 ETH, valued at $9.75 billion at current prices. The position now shows an unrealized loss of $4.52 billion, representing a 31.67% decline from its purchase basis of about $4,010 per ETH.

Similarly, Forward Industries faces even deeper pressure. The company owns 6,834,506 SOL, which is valued at $874.8 million at current market levels. Its holdings now reflect an unrealized loss of $711 million, or 44.85%, based on an average buy price of $232.08.

At the time of reporting, ETH trades at $2,748, down 8.4% over the past day. Meanwhile, Solana has dropped to $127.15, marking a 10.1% decline over the same period.

Image by Loonkonchain
Image by Loonkonchain

Analyst Predicts Possible Bottom for Bitcoin

Despite the steep pullback, some analysts see signs that Bitcoin may be nearing an important support area.

For instance, a new assessment from André Dragosch, head of research for Europe at Bitwise, suggests the market could soon approach a potential cycle floor. He expects Bitcoin to find stability between $73,000 and $84,000, a range he describes as a “reset zone.”

Furthermore, Dragosch notes that this zone aligns with the cost bases of key institutional players, including MicroStrategy and BlackRock’s IBIT ETF. He believes these levels often influence sentiment because investors monitor whether losses justify further reductions in portfolio exposure.

As Bitcoin approaches these institutional averages, market participants tend to reassess risk more carefully, which can slow further declines.

Bitcoin Realized Losses Hit Levels Last Seen Since the FTX Crash in a STH-Driven Sell-off

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Short-term holders are driving Bitcoin sell-offs, pushing realized losses to levels last seen since the FTX exchange crash in November 2022.

Bitcoin briefly reached $80,000 today, as it continues to flirt with lower prices. BTC capsized to the low earlier, marking an over 8% correction in the past 24 hours alone, before a rebound to trade at $84,780.

Impatient Short-Term Holders Dump Bitcoin Holdings

Meanwhile, the retracement has impacted short-term holders (STHs) the most. For context, wallets in this category are those that have held Bitcoin for less than 155 days, according to Glassnode. 

Notably, CoinMarketCap data shows that BTC has now corrected by 14% over the past year, putting most holders in this category at a significant portfolio drawdown. Instead of weathering the storms, these STHs have taken to realizing losses.

Glassnode data today confirmed this, with the market intelligence platform noting that the trend has reached insane levels. Specifically, realized Bitcoin losses have surged to heights last seen since the FTX implosion in November 2022, driven mainly by FUD among short-term holders.

An accompanying 7-day moving average chart highlights that over $800 million in losses have been realized, surpassing the over $600 million seen during the April market crash. The last time this large amount was sold at a loss was when the Sam Bankman-Fried-founded exchange collapsed, sparking a panic that led to over $1.2 billion in realized losses for both long and short-term BTC investors.

Bitcoin Realized Loss Chart/Glassnode
Bitcoin Realized Loss Chart/Glassnode

Crypto Market Unwinding

Glassnode noted that the scale and speed of these realized losses indicate an ongoing marginal demand washout, with investors unwinding their exposure to the crypto market. This process has separated paper hands from diamond hands, particularly as most of the panic has come from STHs.

Meanwhile, these short-term holder-dominated sell-offs might be a good sign for Bitcoin. With long-term investors remaining calm under such circumstances, it reassures their commitment and confidence in the asset’s near-term and future price trajectory.

Bottom Signal?

Remarkably, investor panic in this manner has historically marked Bitcoin’s bottom. The last two times BTC recorded this level of selloffs, its price rebounded sharply to record highs.

For perspective, Bitcoin bottomed in November 2022 following the FTX crash. From a low of $15,470, the crypto leader reclaimed its November 2021 peak of $69,000 by March 2024 and extended the run to six-figure valuations.

Again, the April crash saw Bitcoin dip to $74,441, but the token didn’t stay there for long. During the same month, it recovered to $95,000 and continued to rise, reaching its October all-time high of $126,220.

These historical precedents have strengthened convictions that Bitcoin could rebound from recent lows to target new highs in the near term. Whales have also begun buying massive amounts of Bitcoin, fueling the reversal narrative.