Ethereum, XRP, and Hyperliquid face resistance as Celestia rallies and Lighter rebounds. Daily charts identify support levels and breakout tests for each coin.
| Asset | Price | Rolling 24-hour change | Aggregate 24-hour volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum (ETH) | $2,425.66 | −0.43% | $11.90 billion |
| XRP | $1.31 | −1.78% | $1.36 billion |
| Hyperliquid (HYPE) | $79.99 | −1.00% | $642.82 million |
| Celestia (TIA) | $0.733617 | +21.77% | $302.67 million |
| Lighter (LIT) | $3.22 | +5.38% | $76.72 million |
Ethereum: MACD Weakness Eases Without a Bullish Crossover
Ethereum closed October 16 at $2,420.22 on Kraken, down 0.79% from the previous daily close. Its $2,490.84 session high failed to extend the recovery, leaving price below the $2,527–$2,535 highs recorded earlier in the week.
Daily MACD, using 12- and 26-period exponential moving averages with a nine-period signal line, remained negative.
The MACD line stood at −38.59 against a −9.18 signal line. The histogram improved from −31.29 to −29.41, indicating a narrower bearish gap rather than a confirmed bullish crossover.
Four-hour MACD was above its signal line but still below zero at the latest completed candle. That supports a short-term recovery attempt, not confirmation that the daily decline has ended.
A daily price close above $2,490.84 would strengthen the case for another test of $2,527–$2,535. Holding above that second area would weaken the recent lower-high pattern.
A close below $2,390.35 would instead expose the October 15 low of $2,313.42 and invalidate the immediate rebound setup.
Compared with the October 16 report’s $2,435.07 snapshot, ETH was about 0.39% lower. The focus shifts from moving averages to momentum, but the need to reclaim overhead resistance remains unchanged.
XRP: RSI Slips as Support Near $1.28 Comes Into Focus
XRP closed October 16 at $1.30952, down 1.79%. Its daily range remained above the October 15 low of $1.28274, but the lower close showed that the rebound had not established sustained demand.
The 14-period daily RSI, calculated with Wilder smoothing, fell to 36.37 from 38.75. That reading remains below the neutral 50 level without reaching the conventional sub-30 oversold threshold.
It indicates weak momentum, not an automatic reversal signal. Four-hour RSI at 39.31 also remained below neutral.
The $1.28274–$1.28724 area contains the lows of the last two completed sessions. A daily close beneath $1.28274 would invalidate that short-term support and bring the September 16 low of $1.24610 back into view.
For a recovery, XRP first needs to reclaim $1.33338 and then close above $1.35208, Friday’s high.
That would improve the prospects for a move toward $1.38076–$1.38535. Until those levels are recovered, holding support alone does not establish a new uptrend.
The October 15 report used Bollinger Bands. Since then, Kraken’s daily close has fallen from $1.32990 to $1.30952, about 1.53%, reinforcing the weaker momentum picture.
Hyperliquid: Price Stays Below Falling Moving Averages
HYPE closed Friday at $80.22, down 1.80%, after trading between $78.35 and $82.44. Successive highs below $83 since October 14 show that recovery attempts have struggled to regain the earlier trading range.
The 20-day exponential moving average stood at $85.23 and the 50-day EMA at $83.33. Both declined from the previous session, while price remained below them.
The faster average is still above the slower one, so the latest candle did not produce a fresh bearish moving-average crossover. The immediate weakness comes from price position and the falling averages.
Support sits at $77.35–$78.35, encompassing the October 15 and 16 lows. A daily close below $77.35 would put the September lows around $76.53 and $75.11 in focus.
A close above the $82.44–$82.69 recent-high area would be the first recovery checkpoint. Regaining the 50-day EMA would strengthen that attempt, with the 20-day EMA the next dynamic resistance.
A move back beneath $77.35 would invalidate the near-term recovery case. Search interest alone does not resolve this technical weakness.
Celestia: Breakout Arrives With Higher Exchange Volume
TIA’s October 16 close of $0.6877 marked a 16.60% daily gain on Kraken and cleared the $0.6321–$0.6325 highs established on October 11 and 13. Unlike an intraday excursion, that move was confirmed by a completed daily candle.
Kraken recorded 6.97 million TIA traded during the session, approximately 2.71 times the mean of the preceding 20 completed sessions.
The higher matching exchange volume gives the breakout more support than a price move on thin turnover. It does not identify the buyers or establish why they traded.
The first completed four-hour candle on October 17 reached $0.7617 and closed at $0.7330, above Friday’s $0.7221 high. However, the daily candle had not closed above that level.
A daily finish above $0.7221 would confirm a further advance, with $0.7617 the next observed price hurdle rather than a guaranteed target.
On a pullback, the $0.6195–$0.6325 breakout area becomes the main retest zone. Closing below $0.6195 would weaken the breakout, while losing Friday’s $0.5808 low would invalidate the latest upward leg and expose the earlier $0.5200 low.
Lighter: Rebound Remains Below the Bollinger Midpoint
Lighter closed Friday at $3.174 on Kraken’s LIGHTER/USD market, up 4.86%. That recovered the previous day’s $3.133 high, but the close remained beneath Friday’s $3.336 intraday peak and the October 14 high of $3.415.
Daily Bollinger Bands, calculated from a 20-day simple moving average and two population standard deviations, placed the midpoint at $3.685, the lower band at $2.890 and the upper band at $4.481.
Price rebounded inside the lower half of the envelope, while the midpoint continued to fall. This remains a recovery within a declining trend rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
A daily close above $3.336–$3.415 would clear the nearest resistance area and improve the prospects for a midpoint retest. Because the bands recalculate each session, $3.685 is a current reference, not a fixed future target.
Support is defined by the $2.918 and $2.997 lows of October 15 and 16. A close below $2.918 would invalidate the rebound and put the current lower band in focus.
The completed four-hour close of $3.218 showed early follow-through, but did not clear daily resistance.